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Pablo Bluth
Sep 7, 2007

I've made a huge mistake.
https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1496958617945317377

Assuming Putin isn't about to do a Hitler and open up a different front on a different country, presumably this is about further stretching the Ukraine resources.

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i am a moron
Nov 12, 2020

"I think if there’s one thing we can all agree on it’s that Penn State and Michigan both suck and are garbage and it’s hilarious Michigan fans are freaking out thinking this is their natty window when they can’t even beat a B12 team in the playoffs lmao"

Concerned Citizen posted:

this airport thing is still bugging me. i know russia's military culture is very different from ours, but i think if we sent a few hundred special forces to their death at an airport behind enemy lines, it would result in several ruined careers and maybe a few movies about one of the biggest military blunders in decades.

The difference is the US would've obliterated the attack on the airport after the Rangers or some other light infantry unit took it with combined arms. I'm not a military nerd, so if the Russians got their SF/SEAL equivalents killed trying to fight a conventional fight they're stupid as hell. Our special forces wouldn't have been there in the first place.

Mr. Fall Down Terror
Jan 24, 2018

by Fluffdaddy

Concerned Citizen posted:

this airport thing is still bugging me. i know russia's military culture is very different from ours, but i think if we sent a few hundred special forces to their death at an airport behind enemy lines, it would result in several ruined careers and maybe a few movies about one of the biggest military blunders in decades.

yes, if the VDV did get routed from the airport that would indeed be deeply embarassing and a tremendous waste of soldiers lives

it feels to me like an overreach. like the ukraine resistance was much stronger than expected and the whole plan went to hell

Shooting Blanks
Jun 6, 2007

Real bullets mess up how cool this thing looks.

-Blade



A big flaming stink posted:

https://twitter.com/BNONews/status/1496959123707109394

:stonk: if this is actually true ukraine seems to be on the ropes already

universal conscription is not a measure you take unless you absolutely have to

It's worth noting that this is a no poo poo "Defend the homeland" against an enemy invader that has superior numbers and funding. It's better to make this call sooner, rather than later, when it's more likely to help - and before Russia decides to announce something like "Due to ongoing insurgent attacks, all military aged males will be put into work camps until the situation in Ukraine is resolved."

Libluini
May 18, 2012

I gravitated towards the Greens, eventually even joining the party itself.

The Linke is a party I grudgingly accept exists, but I've learned enough about DDR-history I can't bring myself to trust a party that was once the SED, a party leading the corrupt state apparatus ...
Grimey Drawer

quote:

Grouchio wrote on Feb 24, 2022 22:31:
https://www.quora.com/If-the-International-Space-Station-crashed-into-the-Earth-would-it-cause-any-damage

Please share with the Ukraine thread.

(the answer is most of it would burn up in the atmosphere on re-entry)

Grouchio wanted me to share this with the thread. Apparently not much of the ISS would even survive deorbiting, so "only" the astronauts would die, if it comes to that.

And now, I don't know why they didn't want to post this by themselves.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

A GIANT PARSNIP
Apr 13, 2010

Too much fuckin' eggnog


chupacabraTERROR posted:

This is... troubling. Brest, Belarus is literally on the Polish border.

https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1496958617945317377

I imagine a lot of NATO troops and equipment are about to flow into the Baltics, Poland, and Romania so I wouldn’t be surprised that Russia would want to do the same on the other side of the border.

Actually, forcing Russia to counter NATO border troops is probably one way to help Ukraine by taking those troops away from other duties.

Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.
https://twitter.com/julianroepcke/status/1496961714113425415?s=21

mykoliav reportedly fallen, now the road to Odessa is open

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Libluini posted:

And now, I don't know why they didn't want to post this by themselves.

They're probed and just tricked you into evading probation.

A GIANT PARSNIP
Apr 13, 2010

Too much fuckin' eggnog


Mr. Fall Down Terror posted:

yes, if the VDV did get routed from the airport that would indeed be deeply embarassing and a tremendous waste of soldiers lives

it feels to me like an overreach. like the ukraine resistance was much stronger than expected and the whole plan went to hell

poo poo like this happens when a strong man chases out any and all dissenters over several decades.

Kaddish
Feb 7, 2002

Libluini posted:

Grouchio wanted me to share this with the thread. Apparently not much of the ISS would even survive deorbiting, so "only" the astronauts would die, if it comes to that.

And now, I don't know why they didn't want to post this by themselves.

The plan is already to de-orbit the ISS when it retires. Of course, it would be done in a controlled fashion, over ocean. It's just bluster.

KillHour
Oct 28, 2007


Concerned Citizen posted:

this airport thing is still bugging me. i know russia's military culture is very different from ours, but i think if we sent a few hundred special forces to their death at an airport behind enemy lines, it would result in several ruined careers and maybe a few movies about one of the biggest military blunders in decades.

We don't invade countries with modern, functional militaries in a conventional ground war. That's not a thing that's supposed to happen any more.

dominoeffect
Oct 1, 2013

Ola posted:

From a bunch of pages back and worthless but several people reacted to it so it doesn't hurt to mention.

I have no interest in convincing him this way or that, but for anyone who read it he has just made up some some cool sounding airplane stuff that has no basis in the videos he linked. Maybe he has read something somewhere that I haven't and not linked it, more likely he just likes planes and dreamed up some hero scenario. War isn't good for anyone's mental health.

Yes, I agree. While I like the feelgood vibes about the story, the videos don't show any of that.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

Owlofcreamcheese posted:

I don’t think they are threatening the iss like a supervillain. They are pointing out that other than like a demo launch for space x that docked with the iss like 99% of all the functional launches to the iss in the last ten years have all been Russian
This is wrong. SpaceX are going to launch their 25th cargo resupply mission to the ISS in May, they've been flying them for a decade. They've also flown three sets of crew with the fourth due in April. Also Rogozin is a massive clown who knows nothing and was appointed because he's a Putin buddy rather than an actual competent person with any understanding of the agency he's in charge of

Zephro fucked around with this message at 22:54 on Feb 24, 2022

Deviant
Sep 26, 2003

i've forgotten all of your names.


Willo567 posted:

How worried should we be about the war spiraling out of control?

well they just threatened to throw a space station at us so you tell me

Mr. Fall Down Terror
Jan 24, 2018

by Fluffdaddy

KillHour posted:

We don't invade countries with modern, functional militaries in a conventional ground war. That's not a thing that's supposed to happen any more.

at least, not without a shitload of bombing first, or ensuring that the enemy won't be able to summon a significantly larger defending force

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Northern_Delay

Randarkman
Jul 18, 2011

Deviant posted:

well they just threatened to throw a space station at us so you tell me

That's probably just some nazi thug in a symbolic government post blustering to please his patron

Shes Not Impressed
Apr 25, 2004


From my host sister (I think she translated it):

quote:

23:37 Near Chernihiv, Ukrainian military and Russian occupiers are being clashed.

About 11:20 p.m., there was a little bit of shaking near the various districts of Chernihiv.

The head of the Chernigiv ODA V'yacheslav Chaus, having said at the commentary , that he can't say, where are concrete places of fights.

Behind his words, as if the city of the region is threatening to attack the population of Chernihiv, a siren will sound.

Smart not to give away positions obviously.
Can't find anything on Twitter in Ukrainian about it.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Charliegrs posted:

So all those reports from yesterday about Russians landing in Odessa, did any of that turn out to be true?

Not that I can tell, at least.

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

https://twitter.com/NotWoofers/status/1496965585573400584

https://twitter.com/NeilPHauer/status/1496964939034120195

Loving Africa Chaps
Dec 3, 2007


We had not left it yet, but when I would wake in the night, I would lie, listening, homesick for it already.

Concerned Citizen posted:

this airport thing is still bugging me. i know russia's military culture is very different from ours, but i think if we sent a few hundred special forces to their death at an airport behind enemy lines, it would result in several ruined careers and maybe a few movies about one of the biggest military blunders in decades.

I don't think there's any independent confirmation they have lost the airport. Given how close it is to Kyiv the Ukrainian government will want to avoid saying it's lost as long as possible if they haven't managed to regain it.

Dirt5o8
Nov 6, 2008

EUGENE? Where's my fuckin' money, Eugene?

Mr. Fall Down Terror posted:

at least, not without a shitload of bombing first, or ensuring that the enemy won't be able to summon a significantly larger defending force

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Northern_Delay

Can confirm the bombing. Was a private on that jump. It's incredibly disorienting to hit the ground at night and have no loving clue what's going on. If the Iraqi Army had been present we would have been slaughtered.

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Maybe I'll go where I can see stars

Deviant posted:

well they just threatened to throw a space station at us so you tell me
but Rogozin is an idiot that spouts drivel about US needing a trampoline to get to ISS after decomissioning shuttles, I would say anything he says is just propaganda or nonsense

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Deviant posted:

well they just threatened to throw a space station at us so you tell me

The best case scenario would for the ISS to Kesslerfuck low earth orbit and render ICBMs and SLBM moot.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




dominoeffect posted:

Just curious, do you have any sources on it being the 31st VDV?

https://twitter.com/kofmanmichael/status/1496850009261813761

This is a very reputable analyst specialising in Russian military.

Powered Descent
Jul 13, 2008

We haven't had that spirit here since 1969.

Zephro posted:

This is wrong. SpaceX are going to launch their 25th cargo resupply mission to the ISS in May, they've been flying them for a decade. They've also flown three sets of crew with the fourth due in April.

Yup, this. And while the SpaceX Dragon isn't set up to reboost the station, the Cygnus (the other US cargo spacecraft, which has also been flying for a decade) can do so if necessary. Granted, those normally go up on a booster with a Ukrainian-made first stage, but that's a longer-range problem since there are existing inventories of them already in the US.

Despera
Jun 6, 2011
I doubt Roscosmos has direct control over the ISS's altitude or the Russians on board want to die in fire. I could be wrong though.

Deviant
Sep 26, 2003

i've forgotten all of your names.


Dwesa posted:

but Rogozin is an idiot that spouts drivel about US needing a trampoline to get to ISS after decomissioning shuttles, I would say anything he says is just propaganda or nonsense

but i found this analyst image of the potential impact!

Shes Not Impressed
Apr 25, 2004


https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1496966612057997319?s=20&t=bPyhxKiw8fAwujTC321aeQ

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Deviant posted:

well they just threatened to throw a space station at us so you tell me

The International Space Station project was our last, best hope for peace. It failed. But in the year of the Ukrainean war, it became something greater, our last best hope for victory. The year is 2022, the place ISS-1.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




chupacabraTERROR posted:

This is... troubling. Brest, Belarus is literally on the Polish border.

https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1496958617945317377

Might be going for Lviv, in case you’re worried they’re about to invade Poland.

Bone Crimes
Mar 7, 2007

What is Belarus' liability here? Will they be sanctioned for hosting operational military strikes?

Deviant
Sep 26, 2003

i've forgotten all of your names.


Despera posted:

I doubt Roscosmos has direct control over the ISS's altitude or the Russians on board want to die in fire. I could be wrong though.

[very "The Lonely Island" voice]

I THREW ME ON THE GROUUUUUND

Kaddish
Feb 7, 2002

Bone Crimes posted:

What is Belarus' liability here? Will they be sanctioned for hosting operational military strikes?

Belarus is fully a puppet state of Russia. (and as such protected by Russia)

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...
I mean it's a dumb talking point created by an idiot but saying "we'll drop the ISS on your heads" is basically saying "we'll drop 400 tons of thin metal tubes randomly across Europe", ie not exactly a chilling threat even by the standards of idiots with dumb talking points

i am a moron
Nov 12, 2020

"I think if there’s one thing we can all agree on it’s that Penn State and Michigan both suck and are garbage and it’s hilarious Michigan fans are freaking out thinking this is their natty window when they can’t even beat a B12 team in the playoffs lmao"

Bone Crimes posted:

What is Belarus' liability here? Will they be sanctioned for hosting operational military strikes?

Not much to sanction

Deteriorata
Feb 6, 2005

Despera posted:

I doubt Roscosmos has direct control over the ISS's altitude or the Russians on board want to die in fire. I could be wrong though.

There's also a couple of docked spacecraft there specifically for use as lifeboats in the event of emergency abandonment. No one is going to go down with it.

Nazzadan
Jun 22, 2016



Man, hard RIP to these guys

https://twitter.com/olex_scherba/status/1496956099517427716

https://twitter.com/BNONews/status/1496966461386072067

Jiro
Jan 13, 2004


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g1Sq1Nr58hM

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




i am a moron posted:

The difference is the US would've obliterated the attack on the airport after the Rangers or some other light infantry unit took it with combined arms. I'm not a military nerd, so if the Russians got their SF/SEAL equivalents killed trying to fight a conventional fight they're stupid as hell. Our special forces wouldn't have been there in the first place.

SEAL equivalent would be Vympel etcetera. 31sf VDV are “just” an elite “normal” infantry brigade, and Russian VDV deployments tend to be quite yolo, simply put. There’s a reason these guys beat up civilians and drunkenly swim in city fountains each August.

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Despera
Jun 6, 2011

Deteriorata posted:

There's also a couple of docked spacecraft there specifically for use as lifeboats in the event of emergency abandonment. No one is going to go down with it.

Forgot about those yeah

And apparenlty the Russian side of the ISS controls the altittude. oops

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