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steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat

Mokotow posted:

Based on my visit to the border yesterday, and not giving away much due to op sec, I can say I have a pretty good idea how weapons and supplies are coming into Ukraine and can confirm that they in fact do.

How many MANPADS did you manage to hide in that cat? Protip - they go down with less fighting if you hide them in a bit of cream cheese or something.

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Luigi's Discount Porn Bin
Jul 19, 2000


Oven Wrangler
Can't fathom the balls on some of these random Ukrainian civilians.

https://twitter.com/aliostad/status/1497519061554630658

Sekenr
Dec 12, 2013




I'm pretty sure Russians being chill with civilians is due to Russian own propaganda. Their public stance is that all the resistance they encounter are nazi batallions while everybody else are happy to see them and just waiting for a chance to surrender. So when someone approaches them without throwing zig heils and speaks russian, their brains probably seitch to "not an enemy" mode.

Failed Imagineer
Sep 22, 2018

gay picnic defence posted:

To be fair to the Americans there were plenty of suicide bombers who 'just wanted to talk' so I can understand them being pretty edgy when a guy ignores their instructions to stop.

You don't actually have to hand it to them, this is just apologia for US war crimes

Mokotow
Apr 16, 2012

steinrokkan posted:

How many MANPADS did you manage to hide in that cat? Protip - they go down with less fighting if you hide them in a bit of cream cheese or something.

The cat might have been a hidden fifth column operative I inadvertently helped sneak into the EU. I haven’t vetted him har har sorry so tired.

Trump
Jul 16, 2003

Cute

Failed Imagineer posted:

You don't actually have to hand it to them, this is just apologia for US war crimes

Really? Is this really the time and place?

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

Luigi's Discount Porn Bin posted:

Can't fathom the balls on some of these random Ukrainian civilians.


Also quite canny 'do you know where you are going to?' as a casual question dropped in.

Failed Imagineer
Sep 22, 2018

Trump posted:

Really? Is this really the time and place?

Well, I didn't bring it up, but yeah people itt shouldn't be making excuses for violent occupations imo

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

Mokotow posted:

Based on my visit to the border yesterday, and not giving away much due to op sec, I can say I have a pretty good idea how “supplies” are coming into Ukraine and can confirm that they in fact do.

Better late than never I suppose!


Alchenar posted:

I do worry that we are about to enter an extended period of everyone saying loudly that they support exclusion from SWIFT but for mysterious reasons it never happens.

The mysterious reason is that Hungary loving sucks

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

Trump posted:

Really? Is this really the time and place?

Well you ordered the war crimes, Mr. President.

MonkeyLibFront
Feb 26, 2003
Where's the cake?

TulliusCicero posted:

Again, all of this screams a military chain of command and supply lines in complete disarray.

I don't think anyone in their wildest dreams expected this result. Russia is showing to be pathetically weak to the world right now, and again NATO is taking notes on where all the holes are.

As someone deployed to the eFP I'm looking at russian sop's and tactical awareness & feeling pretty good about how we operate and how we'd fair in a fight.

acidx
Sep 24, 2019

right clicking is stealing

mobby_6kl posted:

The mysterious reason is that Hungary loving sucks

Evidently they didn't like this post

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1497544729545920513

cgeq
Jun 5, 2004

nurmie posted:

the compete failure of their "information warfare" is odd too - it seems like they make almost no attempts at actually controlling the narrative anywhere except for the domestic audience


They're saving their budget for the Facebook ad campaigns in the upcoming US elections.

Geisladisk
Sep 15, 2007

Sekenr posted:

I'm pretty sure Russians being chill with civilians is due to Russian own propaganda. Their public stance is that all the resistance they encounter are nazi batallions while everybody else are happy to see them and just waiting for a chance to surrender. So when someone approaches them without throwing zig heils and speaks russian, their brains probably seitch to "not an enemy" mode.

Also these nations are just incredibly close. Hell, they were the same country a generation ago.

Imagine if the US leadership decided to invade Canada for whatever dumb reason and a Canadian civilian rolled up next to a broken down American tank going "how's it goin' buds? Need a ride, haha?".

Randarkman
Jul 18, 2011


Et tu, Orbane?

Failed Imagineer
Sep 22, 2018

mobby_6kl posted:

The mysterious reason is that Hungary loving sucks

The lack of an effective mechanism/will to censure or exclude lovely fash like Orban from the EU is probably its worst problem

E: well the point still definitely stands, but at least he's amenable to pressure

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

nurmie posted:

i think part of it is fog of war and opsec and nobody filming tiktoks around the areas where most combat happens. that said, i wouldn't be too optimistic as to how the ukrainian forces are faring, from what i can gather from more pro-russian telegram channels :smith: i think some videos of lost ukrainian armour and logistics convoys have already been posted here. not to mention some (alleged) friendly fire incidents

also, i'm kinda leaning towards the whole "everyone gets an ak" thing being a very bad idea - i've already seen some reports about friendly fire incidents and shootings (again, in pro-russian sources, so grain of salt and all that, but i honestly wouldn't be surprised if at least some of these reports are true)

with all that said though, i'm honestly baffled with the overall russian armed forces' performance on display, and their ops planning in particular. frankly, it all seems tremendously optimistic at best and downright criminally negligent at worst. the compete failure of their "information warfare" is odd too - it seems like they make almost no attempts at actually controlling the narrative anywhere except for the domestic audience

also yeah, wouldn't be surprised if nato siloviki advisors are helping ukrainian forces with intelligence and general planning - this would explain at least some of it (and would also explain how marco rubio knows so much about events on the ground in kiev)

pretty much the primary spin from russian social media stuff has been to just rebrand absolutely everything as friendly fire incidents

eg stuff like this

https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1497481389876338688?s=20&t=QSO4rkTCQWBI_vftC2wj3A

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

nurmie posted:

the compete failure of their "information warfare" is odd too - it seems like they make almost no attempts at actually controlling the narrative anywhere except for the domestic audience

also yeah, wouldn't be surprised if nato siloviki advisors are helping ukrainian forces with intelligence and general planning - this would explain at least some of it (and would also explain how marco rubio knows so much about events on the ground in kiev)

One theory I've seen (not my idea) is that this war is deeply unpopular everywhere, including inside Russia, and that means all the troll farms and posting brigades who normally would be up in arms defending any Russian foreign policy action just . . . . aren't talking. Most people aren't gonna speak out against the war and get themselves disappeared but it's hard to make people create new war propaganda for a war they don't support.

nabo
Oct 23, 2010

Trump posted:

Really? Is this really the time and place?

yes, always

also this is a loving comedy forum not a solemn congress session or something, people are just making poo poo up based on what they get on their twitter feed. chill ffs

nutri_void
Apr 18, 2015

I shall devour your soul.
Grimey Drawer

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

One theory I've seen (not my idea) is that this war is deeply unpopular everywhere, including inside Russia, and that means all the troll farms and posting brigades who normally would be up in arms defending any Russian foreign policy action just . . . . aren't talking. Most people aren't gonna speak out against the war and get themselves disappeared but it's hard to make people create new war propaganda for a war they don't support.

As a Russian I find it hard to gauge how popular the war is here, and in particular whether the anti-war people are a silent majority or a substantial minority. There's just too much of a disconnect between the different parts of the population

Sashimi
Dec 26, 2008


College Slice

Geisladisk posted:

Imagine if the US leadership decided to invade Canada for whatever dumb reason and a Canadian civilian rolled up next to a broken down American tank going "how's it goin' buds? Need a ride, haha?".
They'd all probably start talking about football within seconds too.

Trump
Jul 16, 2003

Cute
Edit: Dumb reply looking for a fight, disregard.

Libluini
May 18, 2012

I gravitated towards the Greens, eventually even joining the party itself.

The Linke is a party I grudgingly accept exists, but I've learned enough about DDR-history I can't bring myself to trust a party that was once the SED, a party leading the corrupt state apparatus ...
Grimey Drawer

I mean, Viktor must have realized that standing alone at this moment wasn't making him any friends, and with "friends" like Russia the alternative, he evidently caved.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Libluini posted:

I mean, Viktor must have realized that standing alone at this moment wasn't making him any friends, and with "friends" like Russia the alternative, he evidently caved.

You know, with the money flow out of Russia cut off, I'm wondering if we're going to see many political parties that had a sure lock on things suddenly start running out of money and collapse?

cgeq
Jun 5, 2004

Libluini posted:

I mean, Viktor must have realized that standing alone at this moment wasn't making him any friends, and with "friends" like Russia the alternative, he evidently caved.

I always wonder how fascists feel when someone they support, like Putin, talks about how evil nazis are. Like, do they just nod along and go "oh ya, I hate "nazis" too!" in an ironic way or do they take it personally?

Kavros
May 18, 2011

sleep sleep sleep
fly fly post post
sleep sleep sleep
We've reached the point of total saturation loathing of the Russian state. Like, if it's strong enough that orban is signing off on the previously unthinkable idea of a SWIFT ban for your country after reading the room and going "uh oh" then nobody loving likes you

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat

Kavros posted:

We've reached the point of total saturation loathing of the Russian state. Like, if it's strong enough that orban is signing off on the previously unthinkable idea of a SWIFT ban for your country after reading the room and going "uh oh" then nobody loving likes you

I think if Putin doesn't meet an end at the the hands of a balcony, China is going to do to Russia what Russia has done to Belarus. A Russian nesting doll of increasingly petty tyrants isoleated from everybody except their immediate overlords.

with a rebel yell she QQd
Jan 18, 2007

Villain


My Russian wife just came to me and said we didn't have a proper date for years. So we are going to a protest in front of the Russian Embassy in Budapest at 4pm local.

Tuna-Fish
Sep 13, 2017

cstang posted:

The sabotage groups wearing Ukraine uniforms.

Just to be clear, the "sabotage groups" are almost certainly not Russian soldiers wearing Ukrainian uniforms, but pro-Russian Ukrainian citizens. They do exist, and initially there were severe fears about the extent to which they had infiltrated the Ukrainian military and leadership. Only seeing a handful of saboteurs is honestly a relief -- I certainly expected worse.

nurmie posted:

the compete failure of their "information warfare" is odd too - it seems like they make almost no attempts at actually controlling the narrative anywhere except for the domestic audience

There was tons of controlling the narrative stuff globally before the declaration of war, and there were tons of people in the west regurgitating literal Kremlin talking points -- even on a certain dead gay comedy forum. It's just that those talking points really don't mesh well with Russian actions since, and so now it's kind of hard to say anything.

Trump
Jul 16, 2003

Cute
If anyone is curious about what the TOS-1 artillery the Russians are bringing is capable of:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q91yFP9E9Yg

Sekenr
Dec 12, 2013




I read up a bit on ban airplane exports part of EU sanctions and its a pretty big deal. 39 % of Russian civil airliners are Airbus. Sanction makes them unusable due to either canelled lease contracts or lack of spare parts which are also banned. If the US doesn't suck and supports this they will lose ANOTHER 36 % which are Boeing. In a month they will have almost no civil aviation.

Haramstufe Rot
Jun 24, 2016

Many people itt take the (already) speculative conclusions from Twitter and add their own stuff on top of them. We now literally have pages of post-mortem analyses of why Putin failed the invasion, after only two days of fighting. Sure, it's not going ideal but some posters itt have genuinely transcended into a fantasy world.

This website gives numbers based on visual evidence:
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html
and I have also seen all videos we have so far. Based on that, and compared to Azerbaijan-Armenia (for example), where Azeris where truly wiping the floor with the opposition, all we have really seen are singular cases of stuff happening.

And yet, many posters are very happy to extrapolate entire scenarios ("The Russian army has no fuel!") from like one video and the similar twitter discussion, and then ending up in an evaluation of the Russian military commanders or whatever. We don't even really know what happened so far. Sure, it may be possible that the entire Russian army is stuck without fuel and the Ghost of Kyiv has destroyed the Russian airforce. However, it may also very well be that Russia has failed one or two minor operations and Kyiv will be falling in a week, rather than in three days.


Am I the only one who finds this really weird?


Edit: Just to be entirely clear - I hope with all my heart the invasion fails quickly.

Haramstufe Rot fucked around with this message at 13:40 on Feb 26, 2022

raverrn
Apr 5, 2005

Unidentified spacecraft inbound from delta line.

All Silpheed squadrons scramble now!


https://twitter.com/RihoTerras/status/1497537193346220038?t=Wa-4YVEhX9Krs3e5TldzEg&s=19

Who here dares to hope?

Mystic Mongol
Jan 5, 2007

Your life's been thrown in disarray already--I wouldn't want you to feel pressured.


College Slice

with a rebel yell she QQd posted:

My Russian wife just came to me and said we didn't have a proper date for years. So we are going to a protest in front of the Russian Embassy in Budapest at 4pm local.

Aww! :shobon:

You know what they say. The couple that fights tyranny together, stays together.

lagidnam
Nov 8, 2010
Hungary had Poland to back them up in the past, now they don't even need to ask what there position is on this one.

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat

Libluini posted:

I mean, Viktor must have realized that standing alone at this moment wasn't making him any friends, and with "friends" like Russia the alternative, he evidently caved.

IMO the fundamental thing is that these fascists just aren't loyal at all.They are always looking out for opportunities to gently caress others over for their own short term gain, including their current allies. This goes for every country with insurgent fascist movements.

MonkeyLibFront
Feb 26, 2003
Where's the cake?

Trump posted:

If anyone is curious about what the TOS-1 artillery the Russians are bringing is capable of:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q91yFP9E9Yg

Needs to be fairly close to the front line, range of 2.7km or the upgraded one is around 6km.

EvilHawk
Sep 15, 2009

LIVARPOOL!

Klopp's 13pts clear thanks to video ref

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1497547030885019651

Interesting if true, because the word this morning was that Russia was moving it's heavy armour columns up (with siege artillery). It seems to early to say that's already failed.

Zhanism
Apr 1, 2005
Death by Zhanism. So Judged.

This is where ppl tend to double down.

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TulliusCicero
Jul 29, 2017




If this is true that's fuckin insane

:lol:

gently caress that would explain the Russian situation as well as the lack of full assault: they don't have the money or resources

BIG :lol: if true

...Why would you invade a country when you have no resources to do so? What the actual gently caress :psyduck:

It says this guy is a politician from Estonia?

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