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freeasinbeer posted:Mauripol is probably gonna fall in the next few days, so there will be some Russian victories soon. But that’s really the only one I’m aware of. There's been lots of talk about how gruelling urban warfare will be for the Russian army and Mauripol will be the first time they've attempted it. I assume that it will either take a long time to capture the city now that they've entered it, or all that talk was overblown since surely it's a good example of how bad a fortified city can get for them.
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Mar 19, 2022 13:18
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https://twitter.com/christogrozev/status/1505155921969881103
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Mar 19, 2022 13:26
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I'm going to hold out any judgment on Mariupol until we see what happens with Kherson and Melitopol. If Kherson gets retaken and Melitopol stabilizes under Ukrainian hands, then the Russian western front for Mariupol is going to collapse. BTW, it's definitely looking like all of The Worst People On The Internet are Russian stooges... https://twitter.com/RVAwonk/status/1504932595850698760?s=20&t=MCltepDf3bTj1Sefs8JwDA https://twitter.com/RVAwonk/status/1504937206586265603?s=20&t=MCltepDf3bTj1Sefs8JwDA https://twitter.com/RVAwonk/status/1504940779231395851?s=20&t=MCltepDf3bTj1Sefs8JwDA edit: My dictator buddy saying that "I'm not sick and unhealthy" has people asking a lot of questions already answered by my dictator buddy. Young Freud fucked around with this message at 13:31 on Mar 19, 2022 |
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Mar 19, 2022 13:27
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Oh poo poo this means Putin died and they're choosing the successor in the background
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Mar 19, 2022 13:32
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Totally normal things to say about someone in actually good health.Comstar posted:https://twitter.com/sumlenny/status/1505137845576601603?s=20&t=dEQlEPTRcEVWx7TdX4t_Bw Are they really legit? They look like someone just discovered the emboss filter in photoshop
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Mar 19, 2022 13:33
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Were these comments prompted by a specific question?
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Mar 19, 2022 13:34
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Lukashenka really is the dumbest tinpot dictator. His "Putin definitely isn't sick" shirt is raising a lot of questions already answered by his shirt.
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Mar 19, 2022 13:37
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Chalks posted:There's been lots of talk about how gruelling urban warfare will be for the Russian army and Mauripol will be the first time they've attempted it. I assume that it will either take a long time to capture the city now that they've entered it, or all that talk was overblown since surely it's a good example of how bad a fortified city can get for them. Russia learned in Aleppo how to do urban warfare same lesson the US learned in Raqqa make a desert and call it peace
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Mar 19, 2022 13:41
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Trump posted:Nice. I'll give you more fodder for that theory, Italy shipments of stingers got blocked by the Pisa airport crews protesting for providing weapons against the peaceful Russia https://www.secoloditalia.it/2022/03/la-sinistra-scopre-che-litalia-manda-armi-e-non-farmaci-in-ucraina-e-sinfuria-lo-sciopero-di-pisa/ Anything more substantial than those packages is still in limbo since we cut our military spending to the bone and nobody has any idea if the kit to be sent away works and has a viable replacement. I am not surprised at a state that made their economy and budgets holy to have a empty or unusable weapons stocks.
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Mar 19, 2022 13:43
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The little maps people have been producing have shown some back and forth over the past two/three weeks. However no substantial changes on where the fighting is happening. I've tried to attach a map from the ISW showing Mar 2, and then another from Mar 18.
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Mar 19, 2022 14:05
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When the German army says it can not send weapons, it is not meant in the way of not wanting to - it means there are literally no weapons to send. Take a good look at the last 5 or 6 defense ministers in Germany, which by the way includes walking disasters like Ursula vdL, faildaughter Annegret KK and literal conman "Karl-Theodor Maria Nikolaus Johann Jacob Philipp Franz Joseph Sylvester Buhl-Freiherr von und zu Guttenberg" (real name) - and you'll see it is a position that no one in Germany wants (wanted?), certainly no one with competencies in the area of defense, and which has (had?) zero power and status. The largest defense expense in the past decades were some rounds of McKinsey consultants that led to no change whatsoever. I am not kidding. The only country in the world that Russia could successfully defeat right now is Germany. Haramstufe Rot fucked around with this message at 14:24 on Mar 19, 2022 |
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Mar 19, 2022 14:18
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Young Freud posted:I'm going to hold out any judgment on Mariupol until we see what happens with Kherson and Melitopol. If Kherson gets retaken and Melitopol stabilizes under Ukrainian hands, then the Russian western front for Mariupol is going to collapse. I don't think this is true at all. Russians took the port of Berdyansk intact, and their ships have been spotten entering the port. They can maintain the assault on Mariupol even if they lose both Kherson and Melitopol. Kherson is strategically important because it controls two of the three bridges over the lower 300km of Dniepr. If Ukraine regains control over the bridges, it makes central south Ukraine unassailable, and frees a lot of troops for other fronts. It really has no direct impact on the battle for Mariupol.
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Mar 19, 2022 14:19
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Haramstufe Rot posted:When the German army says it can not send weapons, it is not meant in the way of not wanting to - it means there are literally no weapons to send. I think vDL was well respected (I mean obviously she was a rising star) but it's a big ship to try and turn around. e: I have no idea why anyone is saying that Melitopol is in any risk at all
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Mar 19, 2022 14:21
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Any Syrian troops would be combat veterans, probably moreso than any other soldiers Russia has access to.
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Mar 19, 2022 14:23
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Alchenar posted:I think vDL was well respected (I mean obviously she was a rising star) but it's a big ship to try and turn around. she was literally rotated from failure to failure as a minister (including in defense) before getting shipped off to Europe. So no.
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Mar 19, 2022 14:25
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Haramstufe Rot posted:The only country in the world that Russia could successfully defeat right now is Germany. I am not sure about that, a lot of euro countries had to sacrifice their armies to fit in their eurozone budgets. The Italian MBTs are currently at the original production tech level, compared to the various leo2 modernization programs. European countries have pretty much wasted their limited budgets to follow the US lead and fill theirselves with kit that will do poo poo against a near peer adversary.
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Mar 19, 2022 14:28
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:Any Syrian troops would be combat veterans, probably moreso than any other soldiers Russia has access to. Haven't "The Chechens" been brutalising their region and others for some time now?
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Mar 19, 2022 14:34
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Haramstufe Rot posted:When the German army says it can not send weapons, it is not meant in the way of not wanting to - it means there are literally no weapons to send. That's bullshit and you know it.
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Mar 19, 2022 14:35
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Haramstufe Rot posted:... and literal conman "Karl-Theodor Maria Nikolaus Johann Jacob Philipp Franz Joseph Sylvester Buhl-Freiherr von und zu Guttenberg" (real name) Are you sure it wasn't Ostap Suleyman Berta Maria Bender Bey?
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Mar 19, 2022 14:36
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Igq2fqa7RY4&ab_channel=Task%26Purpose I think this is an interesting video on the difficulties in talking about this war in the west considering that a lot of the info we are getting is skewed in favour of Ukraine.
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Mar 19, 2022 14:42
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https://mobile.twitter.com/AFP/status/1505170089498267655 Even on fronts where things seem to be improving, prices are still being paid 
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Mar 19, 2022 14:43
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Collateral posted:Haven't "The Chechens" been brutalising their region and others for some time now? Yeah but that's not combat that's just slaughter.
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Mar 19, 2022 14:44
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Hello friends, here's some Finnish guy talking about potential defence methods against Russia: https://twitter.com/jmkorhonen/status/1504016326976843780 And here's a column by a Finnish author with Estonian background: Sofi Oksanen: Putin ei ole hullu (in Finnish; also paywall) Sofi Oksanen: Putin is not crazy (English, translated with Google + some corrections by me)
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Mar 19, 2022 14:49
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jaete posted:Hello friends, here's some Finnish guy talking about potential defence methods against Russia: There was that one prominent video a couple days ago of a tank getting absolutely shredded by a mine, and there's been some reporting from Ukrainian forces around Kyiv where they've directly talked about it. I think maybe we haven't seen a ton because a lot are being laid around front lines that Russia has not actually breached as its offensive around there has stagnated.
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Mar 19, 2022 14:52
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sniper4625 posted:https://mobile.twitter.com/AFP/status/1505170089498267655 Some Hungarian journalists were there yesterday. Initially reporting at least 100 dead. Today morning I think 40 dead was confirmed. Hungarian article with some photos and video, in Hungarian  bodybags https://telex.hu/kulfold/2022/03/18/mikolajiv-ukrajna-laktanya-elleni-raketatamadas
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Mar 19, 2022 14:57
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Alchenar posted:I think vDL was well respected (I mean obviously she was a rising star) but it's a big ship to try and turn around. Woefully undermined German security to the point where its soldiers trained with wooden guns, and woefully undermined Europe's vaccination campaigns in their early stages. AstraZeneca had a legitimately effective vaccine whose credibility was needlessly undermined by vDL's antics, and potentially cost thousands of lives. I don't know where you got this 'well respected' thing from. As far as I'm concerned she's a loving clown.
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Mar 19, 2022 15:01
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Haramstufe Rot posted:Karl-Theodor Maria Nikolaus Johann Jacob Philipp Franz Joseph Sylvester Buhl-Freiherr von und zu Guttenberg Too long for the thread title. Alchenar posted:I think vDL was well respected (I mean obviously she was a rising star) but it's a big ship to try and turn around. I have passing familiarity with German politics, but afaik she was loathed, but too expensive to get nuked proper, due to having an influential dad - and so she got to the defence minister, which is the fall guy seat of German government. The real story was that she’s been shrewd enough to propel herself upwards after that. eke out posted:I think maybe we haven't seen a ton because a lot are being laid around front lines that Russia has not actually breached as its offensive around there has stagnated. I think this is the case, plus general fog of war. For instance, we know that Odessa beaches are full of anti-vehicle mines.
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Mar 19, 2022 15:12
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Happy Saturday. Fire up the IL76s we're going on putins wild ride
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Mar 19, 2022 15:13
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Trump posted:That's bullshit and you know it. Stop making GBS threads up the thread with your dumb refusal to face reality. If multiple people tell you you know poo poo, the correct response is to shut up, not to double down on stupid. We had multiple posts explaining things to you, loving learn from it. Yes, the Bundeswehr is in a lovely position and further help for Ukraine will have to come by buying new weapons to ship first. That's reality after multiple decades of mismanagement and corruption. Deal with it. (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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Mar 19, 2022 15:14
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Libluini posted:Stop making GBS threads up the thread with your dumb refusal to face reality. If multiple people tell you you know poo poo, the correct response is to shut up, not to double down on stupid. Multiple people can't be wrong, gotcha. I don't give a gently caress about your hurt feelings because I'm calling out the bullshit of Germanys lackluster support. (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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Mar 19, 2022 15:18
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eke out posted:There was that one prominent video a couple days ago of a tank getting absolutely shredded by a mine, and there's been some reporting from Ukrainian forces around Kyiv where they've directly talked about it. The Ukrainians probably expected that the actual "holding of the line" to happen far deeper into the country than it ended up.
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Mar 19, 2022 15:18
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Haramstufe Rot posted:"Karl-Theodor Maria Nikolaus Johann Jacob Philipp Franz Joseph Sylvester Buhl-Freiherr von und zu Guttenberg" (real name) - That name sounds like something preceding a ridiculous military disaster in WW1
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Mar 19, 2022 15:20
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FishBulbia posted:Russia learned in Aleppo how to do urban warfare Homs and Hama are probably better examples of that pattern of urban warfare. Aleppo was generally a lot less succesful, albeit probably substantially more russians experienced the latter than the previous two.
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Mar 19, 2022 15:21
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fatherboxx posted:That name sounds like something preceding a ridiculous military disaster in WW1 luckily he fell to a scandal before he could lead us into disaster (he bought his degree, it turned out)
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Mar 19, 2022 15:22
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Feliday Melody posted:The Ukrainians probably expected that the actual "holding of the line" to happen far deeper into the country than it ended up. It's been observed by multiple analysts that the Russians have generally penetrated no deeper than a truck can go on a single tank of fuel. They have been unable to establish any sort of forward supply bases to go any further.
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Mar 19, 2022 15:23
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mobby_6kl posted:Totally normal things to say about someone in actually good health. No, they are very clearly not legit. Yanina Sokolova never was a great example of journalistic integrity, she's more of a politically themed entertainer.
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Mar 19, 2022 15:26
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Son of Rodney posted:This is more about literally having nothing to deliver that is not needed for our pathetic troop. She's saying other kinds of weapon exports need to be done over other channels as the army can't (or is unwilling) to take care of it, essentially making someone else responsible for it. Antigravitas posted:...you can't load McKinsey contractors into Javelin tubes (as great as that would be).
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Mar 19, 2022 15:26
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Comstar posted:https://twitter.com/sumlenny/status/1505137845576601603?s=20&t=dEQlEPTRcEVWx7TdX4t_Bw This has the same energy as someone getting a tattoo commemorating their team's league victory before the season's end only to have them do a massive fumble over the last few matches
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Mar 19, 2022 15:27
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Deteriorata posted:It's been observed by multiple analysts that the Russians have generally penetrated no deeper than a truck can go on a single tank of fuel. They have been unable to establish any sort of forward supply bases to go any further. The problem is if they just keep doing that ad infinitum... need to blow up more supply trucks. 
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Mar 19, 2022 15:29
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Haramstufe Rot posted:Karl-Theodor Maria Nikolaus Johann Jacob Philipp Franz Joseph Sylvester Buhl-Freiherr von und zu Guttenberg To top it off he's married to a Bismarck.
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