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aphid_licker posted:What kind, like traditional ones or new fantasy-themed ones? Traditional. The most popular, by an enormously tall order, is Durak (“Fool”) - https://www.pagat.com/beating/podkidnoy_durak.html
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Apr 30, 2022 22:11
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WRT to railroad vs boat transportation, it's roughly 3 times as expensive to ship a container via rail compared to a container ship. Ukraine also exported like 90% of their bulk goods via black sea ports so resolving the blockade is going to be really important for the long term prospects of Ukraine's economy, the infrastructure just isn't there to handle that kind of volume through trucks or rail
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Apr 30, 2022 22:13
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cinci zoo sniper posted:Traditional. The most popular, by an enormously tall order, is Durak (“Fool”) - https://www.pagat.com/beating/podkidnoy_durak.html quote:This game has no winner - only a loser
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Apr 30, 2022 22:17
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aphid_licker posted:
B&T: Bombshelters and TOS-1
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Apr 30, 2022 22:22
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rscott posted:WRT to railroad vs boat transportation, it's roughly 3 times as expensive to ship a container via rail compared to a container ship. Ukraine also exported like 90% of their bulk goods via black sea ports so resolving the blockade is going to be really important for the long term prospects of Ukraine's economy, the infrastructure just isn't there to handle that kind of volume through trucks or rail I wonder what this calculation is based on? Obviously truck is more costly than train and train is more costly than ship, so you want to minimize the distance from source to tracks and then from tracks to port. But most of the trip from Ukraine to North Africa and Lebanon is by sea, not to mention exports to China. In any case, doubling the distance to port is a problem. Maybe Elon Musk will offer to solve it by boring tunnels from Ukraine to Egypt and China.
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Apr 30, 2022 22:25
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Telsa Cola posted:Yeah man there is a reason why the meme is I want to Believe in regards to the Ghost of Ukraine. The real Ghost of Kyiv were the planes shot down along the way. Alternatively, the gestalt intelligence of the sunflowers have been body-jacking pilots.
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Apr 30, 2022 22:31
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citybeatnik posted:The real Ghost of Kyiv were the planes shot down along the way. we shouldn't be hasty and count this out as a possibility, imo
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Apr 30, 2022 22:40
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Herstory Begins Now posted:we shouldn't be hasty and count this out as a possibility, imo https://theaviationist.com/2022/04/30/ghost-of-kyiv-eventually-debunked/
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Apr 30, 2022 22:42
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Nenonen posted:I wonder what this calculation is based on? Having written about it in several threads. I’m not going to again. But it’s fuel efficiency and economies of scale. Basically consider each mode an order of magnitude more efficient in each step here: ship - train - truck - plane. Doubling a distance by ship is still much better than switching mode to rail. There are also scales quantities of poo poo that is only feasible to move by vessel. Think about one grain ship carrying 66,000 MT, that’s 6-7 hundred car trains. A grain terminal can load that in like 1-3 days. How long does 700 rail cars take to load? Now think about ten ships. loading in 10-25 days. How long to load 60-70 hundred car trains? There is a reason most big cities are near the coast.
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Apr 30, 2022 22:45
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Ukraine without a Black Sea port is a dead country eventually. It’s really really important in the long term.
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Apr 30, 2022 22:47
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d64 posted:This is not unusual, Russian planes have flown, usually fairly momentarily, into Finnish and likely Swedish airspace with some regularity for many years. Happens in Canada a lot too. A Tu-95 or Tu-160 or two will just "randomly" "get lost" and just so happen to wind up a few miles off the coast over Nunavut or the North West Territories and our jets stationed in the north have to scramble and "politely" escort them the gently caress out of our airspace. The last time it happened was in 2020.
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Apr 30, 2022 22:57
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nine-gear crow posted:Happens in Canada a lot too. A Tu-95 or Tu-160 or two will just "randomly" "get lost" and just so happen to wind up a few miles off the coast over Nunavut or the North West Territories and our jets stationed in the north have to scramble and "politely" escort them the gently caress out of our airspace. The last time it happened was in 2020. Given the level of equipment and training on display in Ukraine the "getting lost" theory might actually be the correct one.
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Apr 30, 2022 23:22
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ISW update and MAPS https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1520528293698670594?s=20&t=zu5X_rpa203MgIB8rE0p9Q https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-30 quote:Further Russian reinforcements to the Izyum axis are unlikely to enable stalled Russian forces to achieve substantial advances. Elements of unspecified Eastern Military District units and several air-defense assets are reportedly deploying from Belgorod to the Izyum front to support likely degraded Russian units attempting to advance south of the city. These forces are unlikely to enable Russian forces to break the current deadlock, as Russian attacks remain confined to two major highways (toward Slovyansk and Barvinkove) and cannot leverage greater numbers. Several successful Ukrainian counterattacks out of Kharkiv city in the last 72 hours have additionally recaptured a ring of suburbs north and east of the city and may additionally force Russian forces to redeploy units intended for the Izyum axis to hold these positions. Russian forces appear increasingly unlikely to achieve any major advances in eastern Ukraine, and Ukrainian forces may be able to conduct wider counterattacks in the coming days.  quote:
Lotta recaptures by Ukraine around Kharkiv, not a lotta substantial gains by Russia anywhere else
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Apr 30, 2022 23:34
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KitConstantine posted:ISW update and MAPS
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Apr 30, 2022 23:49
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Well here is a hot take on WW2, NATO and the war in Ukraine. https://twitter.com/S_Zoppellaro/status/1520466277621456901
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May 1, 2022 00:12
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Atreiden posted:Well here is a hot take on WW2, NATO and the war in Ukraine. Well someone just became persona non grata in Poland and the Baltics.
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May 1, 2022 00:14
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cinci zoo sniper posted:Traditional. The most popular, by an enormously tall order, is Durak (“Fool”) - https://www.pagat.com/beating/podkidnoy_durak.html It can be agreed that the player or team that loses most games has to pay a forfeit, such as crawling under the table and crowing like a cockerel.
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May 1, 2022 00:20
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Atreiden posted:Well here is a hot take on WW2, NATO and the war in Ukraine. Orsini has had a lot of hot takes. He's a go-to Russian apologist that TASS loves to quote. quote:During one of his TV appearances, Orsini claimed that "his grandfather had a happy childhood under the fascist regime" to justify why Ukrainian children should live under a Russian-led dictatorship rather than dying to bombs.
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May 1, 2022 00:23
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Bar Ran Dun posted:Having written about it in several threads. I’m not going to again. But it’s fuel efficiency and economies of scale. Basically consider each mode an order of magnitude more efficient in each step here: ship - train - truck - plane. Just to add something to this, I do work for a company that imports to the UK from China, and over the past couple of years a shipping container has gone from around £2500 to £20,000 to get here
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May 1, 2022 00:53
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https://twitter.com/TheStanislawski/status/1520421209355296768 Pretty good write up of some of cultural history of language in Ukraine. It has a couple of mistakes I feel like pointing out (confusing Yiddish and Hebrew, and Poland with Austria-Hungary), but they are not actually material to the point of the thread. (My own ancestor would have been speaking Yiddish before switching to Russian --- some of my grandparents would know Yiddish fully, my parents some, and I basically none at all).
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May 1, 2022 01:18
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KitConstantine posted:ISW update and MAPS This seems overly rosy by a good amount. Russia is advancing and making moves, faster than this implies. I don't think they have the ability to finish a lot of what their attempting in the near-medium term either but repeatedly stating that the front is stalled doesn't match up with the regular captures by Russia.
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May 1, 2022 01:26
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peter gabriel posted:Just to add something to this, I do work for a company that imports to the UK from China, and over the past couple of years a shipping container has gone from around £2500 to £20,000 to get here The steamship lines were unprofitable for decades . The line handling saying (and pirate motto) is take what you can and give nothing back. They can be counted on to do that until the supply chain crisis ends to prepare for the next multi decade period of carrier unprofitability.
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May 1, 2022 01:32
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aphid_licker posted:Dude looks like he had a collection of old 80s Dungeons and Dragons editions at home. RIP Russian nerd general Not really Soviet but Czechs had "draci doupe" or "dragon's den" in the late 80s/early 90s. Mostly a rip-off of the d&d boxset (the one with master rules etc.) but with some slavic mythology added. The designers continued to refine it into a gurpsy sort of game the last time I cared (which was over 15 years ago). Private Speech fucked around with this message at 14:30 on May 1, 2022 |
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May 1, 2022 01:33
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Had no idea Russia's battle of Donbas losses were already so high. The fact that Russia hasn't already gone for full mobilization is insane. It's likely they are trying to lose. Ukraine has a two month lead on them now. https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1520313948834353152 https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1520313952558895105
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May 1, 2022 01:35
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Bashez posted:This seems overly rosy by a good amount. Russia is advancing and making moves, faster than this implies. I don't think they have the ability to finish a lot of what their attempting in the near-medium term either but repeatedly stating that the front is stalled doesn't match up with the regular captures by Russia. ISW is one of the more accurate sources for on the ground conditions in Ukraine that exists. I would not doubt their “rosy” picture for Ukraine overly much.
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May 1, 2022 01:48
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Mobilization would shatter the illusion of a peacekeeping special operation that internal propaganda keeps pushing AND judging by the state of Russian army organisation is not likely to be successful. Add to that the fact that getting reserves to be ready (good loving luck making my buddy Kirill who served ten years ago to remember how to drive a tank) would take about the same time that would need for good American lend lease poo poo to arrive at the frontlines. I have always believed that Putin is very jealous of american military "adventures". He imitated W's anti-terrorist rhethoric while pacifying Chechnya, Syria has been a very American-like support of a client state with flexing of airpower and LDNR are basically a mockery of Kosovo. Project military might with professional army while not bothering population at home about it. Except of course, he and his cronies are incapable of perceiving reality anymore. fatherboxx fucked around with this message at 02:10 on May 1, 2022 |
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May 1, 2022 01:52
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Bashez posted:This seems overly rosy by a good amount. Russia is advancing and making moves, faster than this implies. I don't think they have the ability to finish a lot of what their attempting in the near-medium term either but repeatedly stating that the front is stalled doesn't match up with the regular captures by Russia. ISW have been mostly on the money with their reporting so far. The thing they've been most wrong about is Mariupol falling "any day now" for like a month. A lot of stuff passed around as a 'capture' seems to often be in reality just some recon units getting into a town rather than the actual front moving past the town. The US and UK intelligence would have access to some pretty top notch satellite imagery of the fighting and they're saying pretty much the same thing. The consensus seems to be that Russia is making gains but very slowly (a kilometer or two a day - less than the range of an ATGM), at huge cost, while Ukrainian artillery sets about orc plinking. edit Charlz Guybon posted:Had no idea Russia's battle of Donbas losses were already so high. The fact that Russia hasn't already gone for full mobilization is insane. It's likely they are trying to lose. Ukraine has a two month lead on them now. It's notable that the 20% losses are typically seen as a near total loss of offensive capability in a unit. Given not all BTGs would be involved in the front line fighting the units that are on the front are likely getting mauled. gay picnic defence fucked around with this message at 02:03 on May 1, 2022 |
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May 1, 2022 01:59
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Charlz Guybon posted:Had no idea Russia's battle of Donbas losses were already so high. The fact that Russia hasn't already gone for full mobilization is insane. It's likely they are trying to lose. Ukraine has a two month lead on them now.  second ka52 getting hit by a stugna ATGMhttps://mobile.twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1520533369230086155 E: https://mobile.twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1520534490321457152 Risky Bisquick fucked around with this message at 03:05 on May 1, 2022 |
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May 1, 2022 02:04
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Risky Bisquick posted:
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May 1, 2022 02:51
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Mr. Apollo posted:I guess the helicopter’s sensors picked up the guiding laser as it starts to descend as soon as the missile is launched but it obviously wasn’t fast enough. It looks like it only starts descending after the missile hits, you can see panels getting blown off it. I don't know if the laser from those beam riding missiles can be picked up by the sensors, isn't one of the advantages of that system that it is unjammable and undetectable? There's a bit of tankie cope going around that it's fake too lol
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May 1, 2022 02:59
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UA Counter artillery fire destroys RU artillery https://mobile.twitter.com/pmakela1/status/1520448583685844993 Rumour is Putin is going for cancer surgery soon, war could end if he ‘mysteriously’ dies.
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May 1, 2022 03:17
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Risky Bisquick posted:
Hello counter battery radar. It’s like the Russians have not heard of the concept of counter battery fire. Also, is it cancer, Parkinson’s, or space herpes? I’ve heard so many different stories, and I place faith in none of them.
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May 1, 2022 03:21
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gay picnic defence posted:It looks like it only starts descending after the missile hits, you can see panels getting blown off it.
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May 1, 2022 03:25
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ZombieLenin posted:Hello counter battery radar. It’s like the Russians have not heard of the concept of counter battery fire. From what I have read from Ukrainian artillerymen the Russians are quite good at counter battery work and say that they need to move on very quickly from their firing positions because Russian return fire is rapid. It would be very Russian though to assume that the Ukrainians are incapable of dishing out counter battery fire of their own and doing no drills on how to avoid it. Or maybe they just had no idea it was coming because some Ukrainian was screaming into a captured Baofeng on the counter battery channel.
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May 1, 2022 03:37
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ZombieLenin posted:Also, is it cancer, Parkinson’s, or space herpes? I’ve heard so many different stories, and I place faith in none of them. It's Ed Zachary Syndrome.
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May 1, 2022 03:46
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How do we know Putins going for surgery and is sick again?
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May 1, 2022 03:53
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Monglo posted:How do we know Putins going for surgery and is sick again? Some twitter rando said so
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May 1, 2022 03:53
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Another dawn is breaking in Kyiv, and it's still Ukrainian.   
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May 1, 2022 03:56
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Uk tabloids picked it up, it’s not just a Twitter thread. Not worth linking because sources are weak, but who knows.
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May 1, 2022 03:57
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He's got brain hemorrhoids
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May 1, 2022 03:58
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