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Shear Modulus posted:Screw it, I'm buying more Nvidia and I'll ride it all the way to the market cap of Apple.  bad snipe, here's a dog instead 
skooma512 fucked around with this message at 06:22 on Jan 25, 2024 |
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Jan 25, 2024 06:18
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NG is gonna NG:  By close today, I could be insanely green. LMAO this trade is such a gas
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Jan 25, 2024 20:18
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Can you please explain what that is? Is that some kind of condor/butterfly?
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Jan 25, 2024 20:40
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Two naked 90c and a bunch of credit spreads.
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Jan 25, 2024 21:08
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Pastrami posted:Two naked 90c and a bunch of credit spreads. Short two nakeds makes me sweaty
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Jan 25, 2024 21:19
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The spreads are usually "undefendable" via a roll, but if NG decides to not dump it's butt off tomorrow, I'm going to roll them but change the long calls to a higher strike. Consumes BP, but at a very slow clip. Could do that for a long time.
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Jan 25, 2024 21:37
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Baddog posted:Short two nakeds makes me sweaty You don't want to see my open positions then, that's for sure.
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Jan 25, 2024 22:18
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Stock Picking and Trading: Short two nakeds makes me sweaty
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Jan 25, 2024 22:24
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Leperflesh posted:Stock Picking and Trading: Short two nakeds makes me sweaty 
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Jan 25, 2024 22:52
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 chuckle. i need to defend these positions no later than ~1PM EST today. Will post outcomes!
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Jan 26, 2024 14:59
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Zephyris posted:
See, this is why nobody likes kold-callers. 
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Jan 26, 2024 16:07
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Sundae posted:See, this is why nobody likes kold-callers. lmao. As promised, here are my moves. It was pumping a bunch and I have a short day.  The short calls were rolled, same strike. Too ITM to roll up, could only do out. The 110/115s were closed for six cents each. The 95/100s were moved to 95/103s for next week. I also considered moving to a 100/107 but it consumed more BP and this poo poo can just as easily dump to the 80s next week.
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Jan 26, 2024 16:43
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Zephyris posted:this poo poo can just as easily dump to the 80s next week. From your lips to god's ears!
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Jan 26, 2024 18:08
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Shear Modulus posted:Screw it, I'm buying more Nvidia and I'll ride it all the way to the market cap of Apple. Same. I had a fair bit of stuff that I'd done OK on but was kinda underperforming, and closed all that to dump into Nvidia. Still staying in fat drugs and luxury goods though. That stuff has been very good to me.
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Jan 27, 2024 08:48
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Where is GE going to be at the end of March It's just been ripping. GE Power is supposed to spin off in like 30 days
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Jan 27, 2024 15:03
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Shear Modulus posted:Screw it, I'm buying more Nvidia and I'll ride it all the way to the market cap of Apple. ReidRansom posted:Same. I had a fair bit of stuff that I'd done OK on but was kinda underperforming, and closed all that to dump into Nvidia. Is Nvidia just a meme play at this point? Apple had >10x the revenue and >20x the profits as Nvidia last year, so Nvidia would need some pretty insane valuation multiples to catch up to Apple in market cap
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Jan 27, 2024 20:42
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drk posted:Is Nvidia just a meme play at this point? NVDA has twice the Price:Earnings of APPL though. Apple has a lot of cash. what I'm saying is market doesn't really give too much of a poo poo about fundamentals.
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Jan 27, 2024 23:21
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Huge tech company that already seems overvalued but is connected to AI? Presumably it'll double in price over the next year.
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Jan 27, 2024 23:27
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Subvisual Haze posted:Huge tech company that already seems overvalued but is connected to AI? Presumably it'll double in price over the next year. Exactly
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Jan 27, 2024 23:41
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It does seem to be specifically the mega-cap tech companies though. INTC for example just had a nasty earnings report with >10% drop in one day, and several other smaller/mid companies that might be AI adjacent have been more modest in their gains than the big players. Something about the AI hype bubble combined with the too big to fail perceived safety of the non-TSLA Magnificent 7 mega-caps is translating into seemingly unstoppable growth. Probably the growth is long term unsustainable, but you'd very likely lose your shirt trying to short this hype currently.
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Jan 28, 2024 04:57
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My dumb company has just chosen to embrace AI. Short it all
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Jan 28, 2024 14:56
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Update: I ended up fully hedging and legging my 90C into a super wide spread to buy back BP and let me sleep soundly. Also, with NG nearing $2, I decided to get fully tits deep into the trade.   Short vol is more stable than this trade lmao EDIT: That mark is WRONG on the spread due to the options being very illiquid
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Jan 29, 2024 20:05
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meta's R&D spend has been basically flat for a year: https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/META/meta-platforms/income-statement?freq=Q zuck has been saying they're gonna get like 350,000 H100's by end of '24 and tons of other supporting stuff too. how does meta's R&D expenditures line not explode and kill their margins? their margins have inflected up recently: https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/META/meta-platforms/profit-margins seems like a reversal of that would be viewed not so well by wall st until their AI profits started rolling in?
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Jan 30, 2024 01:28
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This is all by end of year, so enter some 180DTE spreads in August?
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Jan 30, 2024 01:38
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pixaal posted:This is all by end of year, so enter some 180DTE spreads in August? yeah idk maybe? suppose I should read their prior earnings call before they report this week in other news, I had been getting spammed recently with invoices from a big S&P 500 company. some dumb case where they were not validating email addresses before associating them with a bill. could not find any good contact info to make it stop other than a phone line (and gently caress that), and some dumb generic web contact form. the sender was a do-not-reply address. so I mailed the company's investor relations. this is the second time I've gotten investor relations to take care of a fuckup from elsewhere in the company not validating emails before sending customer stuff. the other time was a big company sending me people's test results from a doctor 
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Jan 30, 2024 02:25
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pmchem posted:so I mailed the company's investor relations. this is the second time I've gotten investor relations to take care of a fuckup from elsewhere in the company not validating emails before sending customer stuff. the other time was a big company sending me people's test results from a doctor
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Jan 30, 2024 02:52
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Subvisual Haze posted:HIPAA is a joke. Mostly just a ritual to certify that your company pretends to care about healthcare privacy. Look we have a privacy officer and written procedures and make all our employees do a computer based training on HIPAA every year. Boxes checked, done. And I'm sure all relevant protections against data sharing is waived by virtue of receiving services. All vendors negate your rights but you have the choice to simply not receive medical care.
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Jan 30, 2024 02:57
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Subvisual Haze posted:HIPAA is a joke. Mostly just a ritual to certify that your company pretends to care about healthcare privacy. Look we have a privacy officer and written procedures and make all our employees do a computer based training on HIPAA every year. Boxes checked, done. You can pursue someone legally for damages, but the burden is on you to take on a giant corporation with more money than you. There's no HIPAA avenger out there to help you. Unless you want to hope a rich angry person sues them, and a group settlement nets everyone a nice $5. Maybe.
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Jan 30, 2024 06:57
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I was on a team attached to data privacy for medical records. We had to do thorough audits annually and it definitely factored into how we designed our data systems. HIPAA defines PHI (personal health info) and at least on the data nerd side of things we took it seriously. If HIPAA didn't exist your test results would probably be on a nosql database open to the internet with the password disabled so that developers could work on it more easily. It's pretty much the only thing keeping medical records even a quarter secure
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Jan 30, 2024 08:57
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HIPAA is also taken seriously by EMS for radio communications (and everything else obviously) because there absolutely are weirdos out there that will listen on their home radio labs and journal their community's EMS chatter.
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Jan 30, 2024 13:37
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I feel like psychedelic therapies are on the verge of a breakout, but I’m not sure where I can invest to support that. J&J is the only public company I’ve seen with a ketamine drug that’s been approved, but their overall outlook seems pretty meh? And I don’t want to tie myself into the larger portfolio just for one drug. I was thinking maybe the therapeutic space associated with administering psychedelic therapy, but those are probably all private . . . loving PE, I need someone to get me in
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Jan 30, 2024 18:52
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Ketamine clinics have popped up everywhere, with nurses and doctors at the clinic signing off on prescriptions not that different than how you can get viagra with a phone visit with a doctor whose entire job is prescribing boner pills, or how you can get medical marijuana in any state that only allows medical marijuana by visiting a clinic and mentioning you sometimes feel anxious. The result is that yes J&J is selling shitloads of the ketamine drug, but I don't think there's a way to invest in this proliferation of clinics because there's different rules in every state, not much in the way of a clear front-runner company, most of them are private, and there's absolutely zero moat.
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Jan 30, 2024 18:59
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Rip a million bucks
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Jan 30, 2024 23:48
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Garfu posted:Rip a million bucks I feel secondhand anxiety for you every time I see that ticker. It's much more fun to watch when it's going up!
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Jan 31, 2024 01:40
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had an oil trade on for a bit over a week with $XOP, closed it today because I am a coward who apparently abandons tickers that do nothing but go up (no, I mean, I "take profits") maybe I'll re-enter on a pullback
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Jan 31, 2024 01:42
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Yay fat drugs!
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Jan 31, 2024 10:43
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I saw ads for ozampic or however you spell it, at my local run of the mill, middle, not upper tier mall. They seem to have figured out everyone who can afford it will end up taking it
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Jan 31, 2024 18:20
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Hadlock posted:I saw ads for ozampic or however you spell it, at my local run of the mill, middle, not upper tier mall. They seem to have figured out everyone who can afford it will end up taking it You can tell ours is a low-end mall because it has ads for dental reconstruction / "full jaw replacement" surgery instead of Ozempic. $14,990, financing available!
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Jan 31, 2024 18:28
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I just realized that since most insurance plans have decided on "lmao lol gently caress no" when it comes to paying for ozempic, there's a whole untapped market for predatory GLP-1 financing. If you can finance a car at 30% interest why not finance 2 years of ozempic?
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Jan 31, 2024 19:06
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Hadlock posted:I saw ads for ozampic or however you spell it, at my local run of the mill, middle, not upper tier mall. They seem to have figured out everyone who can afford it will end up taking it I'd bet that the ad isn't actually from Novo Nordisk (who are still running at absolute max capacity and experiencing shortages many of doses of Wegovy & Ozempic), but from a some local clinic. Getting a patient on a GLP-1 treatment means big money for local providers, as you get to order a bunch of tests, bill their insurance for a higher-tier of visit, and will have to see the patient on a much more frequent basis as you monitor their progress.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:08
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