If the train was travelling at speed, it probably wouldn't take much more than pushing a single car up toward the front off the track and let the kinetic force of all the mass trying to follow it do the rest of the work.
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# ? May 14, 2024 14:35 |
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# ? Jun 9, 2024 02:32 |
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More good stuff from Jack Watling: https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/ukraine-russia-beginning-compound-advantages
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# ? May 14, 2024 16:58 |
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PurpleXVI posted:Content: Contains video of the damage, does not appear to contain any video of injured people as a result. Holy poo poo though that looks like a mess, I wonder how long it'll take to clean I'm not sold on this being a deliberate attack. It's a pretty gnarly derailment, but a faulty set of points will make that kind of mess just fine. Though I will admit it's convenient that it happened at a rail yard where a spur line to an ammo depot branches off the main line.
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# ? May 14, 2024 22:13 |
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Jasper Tin Neck posted:I'm not sold on this being a deliberate attack. It's a pretty gnarly derailment, but a faulty set of points will make that kind of mess just fine. It would have to be a hell of an explosion to actually derail the train, but overworked people are great at getting overladen and improperly distributed trains to come off the rails. If nothing else, explosions happening anywhere remotely near the engine could scare a civilian train engineer enough to try changing speed too quickly for the load
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# ? May 14, 2024 23:09 |
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The Door Frame posted:It would have to be a hell of an explosion to actually derail the train, but overworked people are great at getting overladen and improperly distributed trains to come off the rails. If nothing else, explosions happening anywhere remotely near the engine could scare a civilian train engineer enough to try changing speed too quickly for the load I should call her...
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# ? May 15, 2024 00:50 |
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The Door Frame posted:It would have to be a hell of an explosion to actually derail the train, but overworked people are great at getting overladen and improperly distributed trains to come off the rails. If nothing else, explosions happening anywhere remotely near the engine could scare a civilian train engineer enough to try changing speed too quickly for the load Someone do the needful and post the train derailment quote (scenario) from BT4com or whatever his name was.
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# ? May 15, 2024 01:24 |
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B4Ctom1 posted:Pretty much this. It is hard to explain not just the physics, but the amounts of forces involved.
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# ? May 15, 2024 03:30 |
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Oh my, that one is worthy.
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# ? May 15, 2024 05:33 |
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Adjacent and possibly related news. Last elections, the Slovakians elected Fico as their new PM. He was about as pro Russian as Orban, but more ideologically than "they are paying my bills and also hate gay people." More in the sense that he sang mournful ballads about how "peace could only come from the east, war can only come from the west," etc., refused to supply arms to Ukraine and such. Generally gave a vibe of tons of Soviet nostalgia. Today someone attempted to assassinate him. https://twitter.com/KyivPost/status/1790749480691601841 quote:On Robert #Fico's Facebook page, it was officially announced that he is "in a life-threatening condition" and "sustained multiple injuries". No details on who or motivations behind it. I could see it as equally likely that someone loathed his pro-Russian tone as the Russians wanting to murder one of their "allies" and blame it on the West to get some brownie points. https://twitter.com/KyivPost/status/1790742800885071999 quote:The shooter targeting Robert #Fico turned out to be a 71-year-old native of the Slovak town of Levice. Of course, it could also just be some insane jackass. https://twitter.com/den_kazansky/status/1790744153665536162 quote:Prime Minister Robert Fico was shot in Slovakia. Looks like the Kremlin is already on trying to milk it. PurpleXVI fucked around with this message at 16:02 on May 15, 2024 |
# ? May 15, 2024 16:00 |
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PurpleXVI posted:https://twitter.com/KyivPost/status/1790742800885071999 or it could be someone who has a full memory of the Iron Curtain and has a burning hatred of the memory of the Soviet Union that would make any Pole proud.
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# ? May 15, 2024 16:07 |
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A.o.D. posted:or it could be someone who has a full memory of the Iron Curtain and has a burning hatred of the memory of the Soviet Union that would make any Pole proud. Definitely plausible. I could imagine someone whose lifetime started behind the Iron Curtain and eventually progressed to being a member of the EU seeing someone jeopardize that and not having good memories of the old days.
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# ? May 15, 2024 16:08 |
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curious what they bought 100 tons of those lovely L1A1 knockoffs?
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# ? May 15, 2024 16:26 |
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Alan Smithee posted:
It seems more likely that they'd buy artillery shells and rockets, I think small arms are one of the things the Russians do not have supply problems with.
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# ? May 15, 2024 16:34 |
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Idk I thought they were handing out Mosins to rear guard and those separatist assholes in the beginning of the war, weren't they?
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# ? May 15, 2024 16:44 |
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https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1790766589962310075quote:Russian authorities detained Russian Deputy Defense Minister and Russian MoD Main Personnel Directorate Head Lieutenant General Yuri Kuznetsov on May 13 on charges of accepting large-scale bribes. I wonder if some Russians have realized corruption is hamstringing them and trying to clean house, or whether this is just internal power struggles hitting down on the corruption of people who are no longer in the government's good graces and protected by having powerful allies.
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# ? May 15, 2024 17:02 |
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Bored As gently caress posted:Idk I thought they were handing out Mosins to rear guard and those separatist assholes in the beginning of the war, weren't they? That could have just been motivated by trust or the lack thereof. They didn't want the separatists to actually form their own nation, just perpetuate a frozen conflict and be completely beholden to Russian support.
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# ? May 15, 2024 18:11 |
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Bored As gently caress posted:Idk I thought they were handing out Mosins to rear guard and those separatist assholes in the beginning of the war, weren't they? While there were some pictures of rear town guard types carrying mosins and ancient AKs in early 2022, that hasn’t been the observation of frontline units. Even the poorly trained and equipped storm-z units might not have a standardized perfect infantryman loadout, but they tend to have AKs, some mags, hand grenades.
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# ? May 15, 2024 19:04 |
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Also the Mosins pretty universally seemed to have scopes and likely be for the designated marksmen in a formation. It wasn't platoons of guys all with bolt action rifles older than their grandfathers.
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# ? May 15, 2024 19:10 |
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Kaiser Schnitzel posted:Also the Mosins pretty universally seemed to have scopes and likely be for the designated marksmen in a formation. It wasn't platoons of guys all with bolt action rifles older than their grandfathers. I think that is reading into it too much. They were scoped mosins because those were the ones they kept around, not because they gave DNR conscripts marksman training.
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# ? May 15, 2024 19:14 |
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https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1790832018978214272quote:The Estonian Parliament has adopted a law allowing to return Russian assets to compensate for damages caused to Ukraine, Estonian Foreign Minister Tahkna reports. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/estonia-parliament-backs-using-frozen-russian-assets-ukraine-reparations-2024-05-15/ quote:The Estonian law would allow frozen assets of individuals and companies which contributed to Russian illegal actions to be used as "an advance payment for the damages Russia owes Ukraine", the parliament said. It'd be lovely if this became the norm in the entire Eurozone and the US as well.
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# ? May 15, 2024 21:37 |
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PurpleXVI posted:https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1790832018978214272 "Sufficiently proven to connect the owner to illegal acts" could be a bit of an issue. Depending on how serious lawmakers are about it this could be significant or it could just be meaningless posturing because nothing can ever be truly "sufficiently" proven. Plus of course you know the Russians will be arguing each case to the death in court either way so there'll be a fair bit of delay between the request and any actual transfer. Still a net positive, just need to temper expectations.
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# ? May 15, 2024 22:59 |
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Tomn posted:"Sufficiently proven to connect the owner to illegal acts" could be a bit of an issue. Depending on how serious lawmakers are about it this could be significant or it could just be meaningless posturing because nothing can ever be truly "sufficiently" proven. Plus of course you know the Russians will be arguing each case to the death in court either way so there'll be a fair bit of delay between the request and any actual transfer. Still a net positive, just need to temper expectations. If they require that the person whose assets are being expropriated defend their property in person, I'm willing to bet that any Russian who can be tied to war crimes will be a no show.
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# ? May 16, 2024 00:56 |
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Tomn posted:"Sufficiently proven to connect the owner to illegal acts" could be a bit of an issue. Yeah, that’s load-bearing. I think that if a documented financial connection is considered to be enough then it won’t be too hard. If it’s about command and instruction, much more difficult.
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# ? May 16, 2024 01:28 |
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PurpleXVI posted:https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1790832018978214272 Too much of Europe is selling Russia poo poo under the table and or buying their oil to do it and half of the US Congress are Kremlin dupes if not on the payroll, there's no way this will become normalized.
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# ? May 16, 2024 03:46 |
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Midjack posted:Too much of Europe is selling Russia poo poo under the table and or buying their oil to do it and half of the US Congress are Kremlin dupes if not on the payroll, there's no way this will become normalized. Probably not everywhere, but I could absolutely imagine that the Baltics and Scandinavian countries would do it. The EU as a whole is still handwringing about how it would be against the rule of law, and I realize that the EU is a big bureaucratic creature, so it probably won't get done on that level, especially with creatures like Orban and Fico(sadly, seems like we might not be rid of him this time around, according to current reporting) around. But at the same time, public opinion is largely pro-Ukraine, so I could see some embattled politicians like, say, Macron, doing it to score domestic brownie points.
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# ? May 16, 2024 12:28 |
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https://twitter.com/KyivPost/status/1791070732543283588quote:Ukrainian military intelligence drones reportedly attacked the Bazalt weapons manufacturing plant in #Tula, Russia, according to Kyiv Post’s intelligence (#HUR) sources. Content: Is accompanied by a picture of the resulting inferno. Considering the flames I wonder if they were also producing and storing the warheads in the same place or whether weapons manufacturing even for small arms just happens to involve a lot of volatiles.
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# ? May 16, 2024 14:08 |
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And we've got an ID on Fico's assassin: https://www.kyivpost.com/post/32742 quote:Gunman Who Shot Slovak PM Linked to Pro-Russian Extremist Group Seems a bit of an own goal to me, but fascists ARE known for shooting each other at the first opportunity. Lmao, I guess. https://www.kyivpost.com/post/32720 quote:At a press conference following the shooting, MP Lubos Blaha from Fico's party lashed out against the prime minister's critics. I gotta say I'm not exactly shedding a lot of tears if Fico ends up kicking the bucket over this.
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# ? May 16, 2024 14:30 |
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But I just got a good credit score!
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# ? May 16, 2024 15:42 |
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Stravag posted:But I just got a good credit score! Boooooo
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# ? May 16, 2024 17:50 |
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https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1791122103476875441quote:One of the largest ammunition plants in Russia has been nationalized in the Moscow region. On the one hand, nationalizing key enterprises can theoretically remove a lot of graft, corruption and profiteering, allowing for more competent and streamlined management, practices, etc. On the other hand, after a shakeup in the Russian centers of power, it's also equally likely that someone just wants their corrupt profiteers in.
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# ? May 16, 2024 18:29 |
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PurpleXVI posted:https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1791122103476875441 If the Russian military is anything to go by, it's just going to make Dacha money for a government officer instead of a business owner.
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# ? May 16, 2024 22:20 |
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Stravag posted:But I just got a good credit score! Dude.... hahaha
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# ? May 17, 2024 00:33 |
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psydude posted:If the Russian military is anything to go by, it's just going to make Dacha money for a government officer instead of a business owner. Yes, a sudden change in the post of the minister of defence suddenly changing the whole massively corrupt system is something Tom Clancy would write, not something that would actually be likely. Everyone that close to Putin has been doing nothing but kissing rear end and stealing everything that isn't nailed down.
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# ? May 17, 2024 07:46 |
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I doubt anyone thinks a sudden change will occur. But Belusov is reported to be a intillegent and capable individual, how that plays out with the rest of the Russian command and defence industry remains to be seen. But Putin knows the problems corruption has caused him, and we have seen some evidence of that with high ranking executives and other individuals who cannot bare the shame of their corruption jumping out of windows. I think Putin has to get the corruption under control if he wants to win this war, and thus preserve his own life and legacy. And unfortunately Russia has a playbook on how to get individuals in line.
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# ? May 17, 2024 09:15 |
Dick Ripple posted:I doubt anyone thinks a sudden change will occur. But Belusov is reported to be a intillegent and capable individual, how that plays out with the rest of the Russian command and defence industry remains to be seen. But Putin knows the problems corruption has caused him, and we have seen some evidence of that with high ranking executives and other individuals who cannot bare the shame of their corruption jumping out of windows. I think Putin has to get the corruption under control if he wants to win this war, and thus preserve his own life and legacy. And unfortunately Russia has a playbook on how to get individuals in line.
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# ? May 17, 2024 11:07 |
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As Galleoti put it recently when talking about the Kremlin moves, while corruption is a fact of life in Russia there is control over the scale of 'acceptable graft'. Everyone being a bit corrupt is good for Putin because it gives him control over them. And when he needs to signal everyone to rein it in a bit he can take someone out and shoot them pour encourager les autres.
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# ? May 17, 2024 11:22 |
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Exactly, I am not expecting Russia to work its way up the Corruption Perceptions Index. But I do expect Putin to do whatever he can to win this thing.
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# ? May 17, 2024 11:48 |
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https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1791449962758250734quote:As said by some Russian sources: “at least 2 UAVs attacked the Tuapse Oil Refinery, where a retification column and an area of 200 square meters caught fire.” Russian refinery gets shut down by Ukrainian drone attack, spends three months getting repaired, and then is more or less immediately hit by another drone attack. That's just trolling. And it's hilarious.
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# ? May 17, 2024 14:55 |
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One of the best ways to get rich in Russia is to get government construction contracts and skim them all the way down. I’m sure someone there has figured out an M&M style enterprise that would bomb their own factory repeatedly to keep the money flowing.
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# ? May 17, 2024 17:10 |
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# ? Jun 9, 2024 02:32 |
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Curious what folks think about the recent Russian territorial advances? Here’s a random article: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2024/05/17/ukraine-war-live-updates-latest-news-on-russia-and-the-war-in-ukraine.html E: sorry nm I was completely blinded by the train physics post and missed the whole discussion in the page before lol Lackmaster fucked around with this message at 04:42 on May 18, 2024 |
# ? May 18, 2024 04:33 |