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Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa
The article says that Ukrainians had modified the missile, which I'm taking to mean that they did the calculations in KSP and then bolted a few extra booster rockets on the S-200 :jeb:

but yes the likelihood of "Russian bombers use predictable routes on their missile runs" sounds very high, and when Ukraine has early warning that Backfires have taken off and are on their way and then wiggle with the missile's parametres a bit, it gives them a chance to surprise an overconfident enemy with some 1970's missile. :boom:

Nenonen fucked around with this message at 19:58 on Apr 19, 2024

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Staluigi
Jun 22, 2021

thermodynamics cheated
i find it simultaneously 100% poetic AND appropriate that bentley's death is left ambiguous between "got micked by ukranian artillery" versus "got shot by suspicious russians"

DTurtle
Apr 10, 2011


spankmeister posted:

It'll pass but I'll still be relieved when it does, and I can't help but think that the past six months have really hurt Ukraine's position on the battlefield, in a way that they may not recover from.
The bill has passed out of committee via four Democrats supporting five Republicans. It also passed a procedural vote in the House via 165 Democrats supporting 151 Republicans.

The bill is expected to pass the House on Saturday and the Senate will probably immediately take up the business of passing it as quickly as possible. Senators have been notified to expect to need to be there this weekend.

Pook Good Mook
Aug 6, 2013


ENFORCE THE UNITED STATES DRESS CODE AT ALL COSTS!

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DTurtle posted:

The bill has passed out of committee via four Democrats supporting five Republicans. It also passed a procedural vote in the House via 165 Democrats supporting 151 Republicans.

The bill is expected to pass the House on Saturday and the Senate will probably immediately take up the business of passing it as quickly as possible. Senators have been notified to expect to need to be there this weekend.

It's going to pass. The holdup was always the lunatic caucus threatening a motion to vacate and the speaker being too cowardly to make a deal with Democrats. Dam's been broken.

Blut
Sep 11, 2009

if someone is in the bottom 10%~ of a guillotine

mlmp08 posted:

Might not have been a combat loss and just a mechanical or other issue.


https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/1c7o2lp/tu22m3_stavropol_krai_russia/

The tail looks pretty on fire for a mechanical issue.

(not very graphic, but a plane on fire falling out of the sky fyi)

spankmeister
Jun 15, 2008






Young Freud posted:

The "Cowboy Patriot" Russell Bentley has died after going missing following an artillery attack on April 8th....
https://x.com/SputnikInt/status/1781360658866446780

...or being kidnapped by a Russian military unit in Donetsk for being a spy.
https://x.com/KyivIndependent/status/1781382037628125409

No one really knows for sure!

Couldn't happen to a nicer guy.

spankmeister
Jun 15, 2008






DTurtle posted:

The bill has passed out of committee via four Democrats supporting five Republicans. It also passed a procedural vote in the House via 165 Democrats supporting 151 Republicans.

The bill is expected to pass the House on Saturday and the Senate will probably immediately take up the business of passing it as quickly as possible. Senators have been notified to expect to need to be there this weekend.

That's fantastic news! I thought the house vote would be Saturday but it looks like it'll pass both houses this weeken? That's awesome.

e: oh I misread, the actual vote is still tomorrow. Still, good news. Now all Schumer has to to is have the Senate vote for the Ukraine bill first then Israel and Taiwan. It'll pass.

spankmeister fucked around with this message at 20:56 on Apr 19, 2024

Pook Good Mook
Aug 6, 2013


ENFORCE THE UNITED STATES DRESS CODE AT ALL COSTS!

This message paid for by the Men's Wearhouse& Jos A Bank Lobbying Group

spankmeister posted:

That's fantastic news! I thought the house vote would be Saturday but it looks like it'll pass both houses this weeken? That's awesome.

e: oh I misread, the actual vote is still tomorrow. Still, good news. Now all Schumer has to to is have the Senate vote for the Ukraine bill first then Israel and Taiwan. It'll pass.

If the House passes all 4 measures (they will), then the Senate probably won't need to pass anything as the language of the House bills is substantially similar enough that they can fix issues in a conference committee.

mutata
Mar 1, 2003

spankmeister posted:

Couldn't happen to a nicer guy.

Or in a muddier place.

Kchama
Jul 25, 2007

spankmeister posted:

That's fantastic news! I thought the house vote would be Saturday but it looks like it'll pass both houses this weeken? That's awesome.

e: oh I misread, the actual vote is still tomorrow. Still, good news. Now all Schumer has to to is have the Senate vote for the Ukraine bill first then Israel and Taiwan. It'll pass.

They're combining it all into one bill before sending it to the Senate, so there'd only need to be one Senate vote.

Young Freud posted:

The "Cowboy Patriot" Russell Bentley has died after going missing following an artillery attack on April 8th....
https://x.com/SputnikInt/status/1781360658866446780

...or being kidnapped by a Russian military unit in Donetsk for being a spy.
https://x.com/KyivIndependent/status/1781382037628125409

No one really knows for sure!

"The Ukranians Got Him!!" is definitely Russia trying for a propaganda boost, considering that his wife was saying he was kidnapped for being a spy until uhh now.

Kchama fucked around with this message at 23:20 on Apr 19, 2024

ShadowHawk
Jun 25, 2000

CERTIFIED PRE OWNED TESLA OWNER
Do we believe bombers or missiles for the bombers Russia's main bottleneck for their attacks on infrastructure?

They seem to do missile attacks in giant waves, but I'm not sure if those are using "all available bombers" simultaneously (and thus a shootdown like this would make said waves smaller) or if the missions are limited by some other factor.

ShadowHawk
Jun 25, 2000

CERTIFIED PRE OWNED TESLA OWNER
Pentagon is saying they can have new Ukraine aid in country in about a week.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/04/19/ukraine-us-weapons-house-aid-bill/

Washington Post posted:

The Pentagon has a massive infusion of military aid for Ukraine “ready to go,” U.S. officials said, once a long-delayed funding measure, which is expected to pass the House this weekend, clears the Senate next week and President Biden signs it into law.

The Defense Department, which has warned that Ukraine would steadily cede more ground to Russian forces and face staggering casualties without urgent action on Capitol Hill, began assembling the assistance package well before the coming votes in a bid to speed the process, these people said.

One official, who like some others spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the Biden administration’s planning, said that once the $95 billion foreign aid bill is finalized, it would take less than a week for some of the weapons to reach the battlefield, depending on where they are stored. The legislation includes about $60 billion for Ukraine, with most of the remainder slated for Israel and U.S. partners in Asia.

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!

Kchama posted:

"The Ukranians Got Him!!" is definitely Russia trying for a propaganda boost, considering that his wife was saying he was kidnapped for being a spy until uhh now.

To be fair, it's not impossible that a Ukrainian strike hit a torture facility where he was held.

small butter
Oct 8, 2011

DTurtle posted:

The bill has passed out of committee via four Democrats supporting five Republicans. It also passed a procedural vote in the House via 165 Democrats supporting 151 Republicans.

Why not all Democrats? Are there Democrats who don't want Ukraine aid specifically?

TheDeadlyShoe
Feb 14, 2014

small butter posted:

Why not all Democrats? Are there Democrats who don't want Ukraine aid specifically?

They oppose israel aid which is also part of the deal.

Volmarias
Dec 31, 2002

EMAIL... THE INTERNET... SEARCH ENGINES...

TheDeadlyShoe posted:

They oppose israel aid which is also part of the deal.

... But isn't the whole thing broken up specifically so that congresspeople can make symbolic votes without affecting anything?

small butter
Oct 8, 2011

Volmarias posted:

... But isn't the whole thing broken up specifically so that congresspeople can make symbolic votes without affecting anything?

This is what I thought as well.

Are these bills getting combined?

Kchama
Jul 25, 2007
It didn't matter, the bills passed comfortably.

PainterofCrap
Oct 17, 2002

hey bebe



small butter posted:

This is what I thought as well.

Are these bills getting combined?

They broke them up for the vote, for the reasons already noted. They’re being re-combined into one bill for the Senate. One vote there. It’ll pass.

DTurtle
Apr 10, 2011


small butter posted:

Why not all Democrats? Are there Democrats who don't want Ukraine aid specifically?
It was a single procedural vote about voting for four bills being moved forward:

quote:

APR 19, 2024, 11:01 AM | 118TH CONGRESS, 2ND SESSION

Vote Question: On Agreeing to the Resolution

Providing for consideration of the bills (H.R. 8034) Israel Security Supplemental Appropriations Act; (H.R. 8035) Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act; (H.R. 8036) Indo-Pacific Security Supplemental Appropriations Act; and (H.R. 8038) 21st Century Peace through Strength Act;

Vote Type: Yea-And-Nay
Status: Passed
Most of the opposition on the Democratic side was by the progressive faction against the inclusion of the bill with aid for Israel without any prerequisites.

DTurtle fucked around with this message at 07:00 on Apr 20, 2024

CatHorse
Jan 5, 2008

DTurtle posted:

It was a single procedural vote about voting for four bills being moved forward:

Most of the opposition on the Democratic side was by the progressive faction against the inclusion of the bill with aid for Israel without any prerequisites.

That the progressive faction also signed the letter calling for ukraine to surrender and refused to sign the call for emergency vote is just a coincidence

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!

CatHorse posted:

That the progressive faction also signed the letter calling for ukraine to surrender and refused to sign the call for emergency vote is just a coincidence

Can you link to an article about it?

Enjoy
Apr 18, 2009

Paladinus posted:

Can you link to an article about it?

Probably this letter

https://progressives.house.gov/_cac...ne-conflict.pdf

Which there is nothing objectionable about. Besides Kherson in November 2022, the battle lines haven't moved since that letter was sent and they probably won't in the future. This war will end with the current borders. A ceasefire in October 2022 would have saved a lot of lives.

spankmeister
Jun 15, 2008






Enjoy posted:

Probably this letter

https://progressives.house.gov/_cac...ne-conflict.pdf

Which there is nothing objectionable about. Besides Kherson in November 2022, the battle lines haven't moved since that letter was sent and they probably won't in the future. This war will end with the current borders. A ceasefire in October 2022 would have saved a lot of lives.



It won't end. There may be a ceasefire, but Russia is not going to stop. Thinking that Russia isn't going to rebuild their offensive capability and retry in Ukraine, or somewhere else like the Baltics, is just incredibly naive.

Kchama
Jul 25, 2007

spankmeister posted:

It won't end. There may be a ceasefire, but Russia is not going to stop. Thinking that Russia isn't going to rebuild their offensive capability and retry in Ukraine, or somewhere else like the Baltics, is just incredibly naive.

Agreed. It's not like they haven't made it a secret that that is their desire if they do get a ceasefire. Their requirements have always been "Ukraine gets no more help and are helpless when we return". I think 'naive' isn't a strong enough word.

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009

Enjoy posted:

Probably this letter

https://progressives.house.gov/_cac...ne-conflict.pdf

Which there is nothing objectionable about. Besides Kherson in November 2022, the battle lines haven't moved since that letter was sent and they probably won't in the future. This war will end with the current borders. A ceasefire in October 2022 would have saved a lot of lives.


There was only nothing objectionable about if you don't think torture, rape, and ethnic cleansing aren't objectionable, and are completely ignorant of broad circumstances.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

Enjoy posted:


Which there is nothing objectionable about. Besides Kherson in November 2022, the battle lines haven't moved since that letter was sent and they probably won't in the future. This war will end with the current borders. A ceasefire in October 2022 would have saved a lot of lives.


That letter can possibly be excused when it was written, but pretty much everything that's happened since then have amply demonstrated the stupidity of trusting Putin to keep his word. It's been massively obvious the Russians will use any ceasefire to rearm before attacking again. The Russians from Putin on down have made it quite clear that Ukraine's ultimate fate is to be wiped out as an independent nation and people (and language). The Russian crimes against humanity in population transfer and kidnapping Ukrainian children should make it clear your position is simply wishful thinking at this point, frankly bordering on delusional based on the events since October 2022.

You don't surrender to fascists, you fight them until they're beaten.

Enjoy
Apr 18, 2009

OddObserver posted:

torture, rape, and ethnic cleansing

The things which will stop happening once the war ends

Libluini
May 18, 2012

I gravitated towards the Greens, eventually even joining the party itself.

The Linke is a party I grudgingly accept exists, but I've learned enough about DDR-history I can't bring myself to trust a party that was once the SED, a party leading the corrupt state apparatus ...
Grimey Drawer
As an aside, "the battle lines haven't move since 2022" is completely wrong. There is and has been constant movement on the battlefield, just not in huge, sweeping advances.

You can only utter a sentence like that if you're ignorant as gently caress

Enjoy
Apr 18, 2009

Libluini posted:

As an aside, "the battle lines haven't move since 2022" is completely wrong. There is and has been constant movement on the battlefield, just not in huge, sweeping advances.

You can only utter a sentence like that if you're ignorant as gently caress

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZT-wVnFn60

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009

Enjoy posted:

The things which will stop happening once the war ends

Yes, eventually they'll run out of people to do it to and have Russian settlers in place instead.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

Enjoy posted:

The things which will stop happening once the war ends

Oh, okay, so you're just here to troll, then.

Tuna-Fish
Sep 13, 2017

Enjoy posted:

The things which will stop happening once the war ends

What could possibly cause you to believe something that loving dumb.

Nitrox
Jul 5, 2002
Check their rap sheet before trying to engage in a discussion with an obvious troll

Kchama
Jul 25, 2007

Enjoy posted:

The things which will stop happening once the war ends

Ah, so when Russia has finished torturing, raping, and ethnically cleansing everyone?

Dick Ripple
May 19, 2021

spankmeister posted:

It won't end. There may be a ceasefire, but Russia is not going to stop. Thinking that Russia isn't going to rebuild their offensive capability and retry in Ukraine, or somewhere else like the Baltics, is just incredibly naive.

I still think Ukraine has the time, and Russia the watch. The West is currently matching (possibly exceeding) in aid what Russia is spending on their military, Russia cannot keep this up for long. The Ukrainian situation is not great, but if they can hold on for a year or two (considering the intensity stays the same), and continued aid from the West, they could get a actual ceasefire and peace on at least favorable terms.

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!

Enjoy posted:

The things which will stop happening once the war ends

If the war ends with Russia leaving currently occupied territories? Sure. If Russia stays in charge, all of that will continue until remaining 'unpatriotic' Ukrainians and Tartars leave/jailed/tortured to death. Just like all of it continued throughout the quiet years between Minsk 2 and 2022. Putin's plan is blatantly settler colonialism, which is not known for stopping ongoing ethnic cleansing.

DTurtle
Apr 10, 2011


CatHorse posted:

That the progressive faction also signed the letter calling for ukraine to surrender and refused to sign the call for emergency vote is just a coincidence
Since the Republicans have forced separate votes for aid to Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan and border stuff, we will get to see exactly who supports what.

In addition, members of the progressive faction in the House have so far always approved and supported any and all miltary aid for Ukraine - unlike the Republicans.

Raenir Salazar
Nov 5, 2010

College Slice

Enjoy posted:

The things which will stop happening once the war ends

But there was no war before Russia material supported and astroturfed a separatist movement, and invaded and took over Crimea and those regions; what value would such a cease fire have when the actor in question acted unilaterally in the first place? Isn't that just agreeing to give them a pause to reorganize their forces and strike again when Ukraine lets their guard down?

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the holy poopacy
May 16, 2009

hey! check this out
Fun Shoe

Enjoy posted:

Probably this letter

https://progressives.house.gov/_cac...ne-conflict.pdf

Which there is nothing objectionable about. Besides Kherson in November 2022, the battle lines haven't moved since that letter was sent and they probably won't in the future. This war will end with the current borders. A ceasefire in October 2022 would have saved a lot of lives.



You're not wrong, but as long as we're wishing for Russia to behave differently than they have we might as well wish they had never launched a full scale invasion to begin with.

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