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The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > Sports Argument Stadium > The Football Funhouse > 2014 Moon Poll Thread
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  • Locked thread
Basil Hayden
Oct 9, 2012

1921!

vikingstrike posted:

You going to do a college basketball one this year? I've been playing around with a variation of the above method for one.
I might; it depends on whether I can find the time/motivation to do it and also whether I can properly redo the excel spreadsheet I only half understand at this point.

I guess if more than one person is doing it I could make a thread for it instead of just randomly dumping giant posts in the N/V thread like whenever I did it last.

* # ? Dec 6, 2014 02:54
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# ? May 5, 2024 12:03
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Captain von Trapp
Jan 23, 2006

I don't like it, and I'm sorry I ever had anything to do with it.
Championship week is always a good one for these polls because it much more closely connects the subgraphs of the games involving good teams. There's a lot of movement possible. In my poll it turns out that the top 4 were unaffected, but the rest of the top 25 had quite a bit of movement.

Compared to the committee, it's interesting that it also ranks TCU over Baylor. It also is extremely dismissive of Florida State's undefeated record, and in fact puts them at #11. Some of the more eyebrow-raising anomalies from last week (highly ranked Harvard, for instance) have self-corrected as well.

code:
1 Alabama 67.65
2 Oregon 66.75
3 Mississippi 64.86
4 Mississippi St. 64.21
5 TCU 64.15
6 Ohio State 63.07
7 Baylor 62.82
8 Georgia 62.59
9 Auburn 61.94
10 Michigan State 61.67
11 Florida State 60.58
12 Arkansas 60.08
13 Georgia Tech 59.46
14 LSU 59.45
15 Oklahoma 59.37
16 Kansas State 59.07
17 Missouri 58.81
18 Wisconsin 58.52
19 UCLA 57.36
20 Clemson 57.07
21 Nebraska 57.06
22 Texas A&M 56.99
23 Arizona 56.76
24 Louisville 56.74
25 Arizona State 56.27
26 Florida 56.2
27 Tennessee 56.1
28 Marshall 56.06
29 USC 56.06
30 West Virginia 56.01
31 Stanford 55.97
32 North Dakota St. 55.35
33 Coastal Caro. 55.3
34 Boise State 55.21
35 Illinois State 54.83
36 Minnesota 54.19
37 Notre Dame 53.67
38 Miami (Fla.) 53.63
39 Utah 53.54
40 South Carolina 53.44
41 Duke 53.36
42 Washington 53.33
43 New Hampshire 53.08
44 Boston College 53.0
45 Virginia Tech 52.79
46 Texas 52.76
47 Iowa 52.6
48 Villanova 52.48
49 UNI 52.36
50 Colorado State 51.84
51 Virginia 51.65
52 Memphis 51.63
53 Chattanooga 51.54
54 Louisiana Tech 51.4
55 Maryland 51.29
56 Pittsburgh 51.2
57 Harvard 51.07
58 Utah State 50.41
59 Kentucky 50.33
60 Oklahoma State 50.3
61 BYU 50.16
62 South Dakota St. 49.85
63 Cincinnati 49.72
64 NC State 49.34
65 Jacksonville St. 49.11
66 Sam Houston St. 49.11
67 East Carolina 48.97
68 Northwestern 48.97
69 North Carolina 48.92
70 UCF 48.76
71 Penn State 48.73
72 Eastern Wash. 48.65
73 Rutgers 48.53
74 California 48.5
75 Northern Ill. 48.37
76 Illinois 47.89
77 Michigan 47.78
78 Indiana State 47.7
79 Toledo 47.65
80 Fordham 47.64
81 Air Force 47.61
82 Nevada 47.5
83 Ga. Southern 47.47
84 Western Ky. 47.05
85 Youngstown St. 46.91
86 Southeastern La. 46.82
87 Alcorn State 46.75
88 Texas Tech 46.7
89 Western Mich. 46.6
90 Navy 46.58
91 Rice 46.27
92 Samford 45.92
93 Liberty 45.79
94 N.C. A&T 45.67
95 Oregon State 45.62
96 San Diego State 45.09
97 La.-Lafayette 45.03
98 Houston 44.99
99 Washington St. 44.94
100 Arkansas State 44.92
101 Purdue 44.68
102 William & Mary 44.66
103 Charleston So. 44.65
104 Indiana 44.5
105 Cent. Michigan 44.49
106 Syracuse 44.48
107 Bryant 44.43
108 Dartmouth 44.41
109 Southern Ill. 44.39
110 Richmond 44.3
111 Yale 44.29
112 Iowa State 44.1
113 UAB 44.03
114 Temple 44.02
115 James Madison 44.0
116 UTEP 43.96
117 Jacksonville 43.8
118 N'western St. 43.78
119 Idaho State 43.72
120 Kansas 43.68
121 Fresno State 43.49
122 McNeese State 43.48
123 Western Illinois 43.36
124 Western Caro. 43.27
125 Colorado 43.18
126 Steph. F. Austin 43.14
127 Bucknell 42.89
128 Missouri State 42.89
129 Sacred Heart 42.49
130 Middle Tenn. 42.47
131 Montana State 42.29
132 Ball State 42.07
133 Appalachian St. 41.99
134 FIU 41.98
135 Eastern Illinois 41.49
136 Vanderbilt 41.42
137 Eastern Kentucky 41.37
138 Montana 41.34
139 Bowling Green 41.31
140 S. Carolina St. 41.17
141 Central Ark. 40.94
142 South Alabama 40.93
143 Citadel 40.64
144 Presbyterian 40.64
145 Texas State 40.58
146 Bethune-Cookman 40.44
147 Hawaii 40.42
148 Old Dominion 40.17
149 Wake Forest 40.08
150 Albany 39.86
151 Lamar 39.86
152 Wyoming 39.84
153 Mercer 39.72
154 Buffalo 39.62
155 Stony Brook 39.55
156 Ohio 39.47
157 Army 39.27
158 Akron 39.19
159 UTSA 39.13
160 La.-Monroe 39.06
161 Wofford 38.96
162 New Mexico 38.96
163 Tulane 38.84
164 Duquesne 38.64
165 Florida Atlantic 38.52
166 Delaware 38.39
167 Cal Poly 38.29
168 San Diego 38.29
169 Southern Univ. 38.15
170 Southern Miss 37.91
171 Abilene Christian 37.9
172 Massachusetts 37.86
173 Tennessee-Martin 37.73
174 Charlotte 37.72
175 Holy Cross 37.69
176 San Jose State 37.65
177 St. Francis (Pa.) 37.64
178 Wagner 37.54
179 Alabama State 37.21
180 Monmouth 37.15
181 Lafayette 36.89
182 Maine 36.79
183 South Florida 36.77
184 Drake 36.53
185 Furman 36.53
186 Dayton 36.44
187 Sacramento St. 36.29
188 Grambling 36.28
189 Princeton 36.0
190 N.C. Central 35.99
191 Southeast Mo. St. 35.95
192 Kent State 35.94
193 Northern Ariz. 35.65
194 Miami (Ohio) 35.6
195 Colgate 35.29
196 North Texas 35.28
197 Prairie View A&M 34.95
198 Lehigh 34.86
199 Tennessee State 34.85
200 Morgan State 34.63
201 Troy 34.61
202 Tennessee Tech 34.51
203 Brown 34.33
204 Towson 34.12
205 South Dakota 33.51
206 Gardner-Webb 33.43
207 Tulsa 33.31
208 Connecticut 33.3
209 Elon 32.85
210 Georgetown 32.67
211 UNLV 32.64
212 VMI 32.38
213 Penn 32.12
214 Alabama A&M 31.98
215 UC Davis 31.85
216 Southern Utah 31.6
217 Northern Colo. 31.48
218 Weber State 31.43
219 Marist 31.39
220 Portland State 31.23
221 Hampton 31.18
222 Murray State 31.05
223 New Mexico St. 30.75
224 Butler 30.72
225 North Dakota 30.66
226 Eastern Mich. 30.58
227 Howard 30.26
228 Texas Southern 30.19
229 Norfolk State 30.13
230 Idaho 30.0
231 Campbell 29.89
232 Georgia State 29.87
233 Cent. Conn. St. 29.77
234 Stetson 29.25
235 Valparaiso 28.75
236 Morehead State 28.08
237 SMU 27.86
238 Florida A&M 27.2
239 Jackson State 26.45
240 Incarnate Word 26.05
241 Austin Peay 25.11
242 Ark.-Pine Bluff 24.19
243 Rhode Island 23.11
244 Robert Morris 22.76
245 Delaware State 22.64
246 Cornell 22.06
247 Houston Baptist 21.43
248 Miss. Valley St. 21.17
249 Davidson 20.75
250 Columbia 17.95
251 Savannah State 14.89
252 Virginia-Lynchburg 14.82
253 Nicholls State 13.88
* # ? Dec 7, 2014 17:31
  • Quote
Basil Hayden
Oct 9, 2012

1921!
Hayden Matrix Rankings, Week Fifteen
These are almost the final pre-bowl rankings, but we have eight games to go (Army-Navy plus the seven remaining games in the FCS playoffs). Not that I expect any of those eight games to affect the ordering at the top, which is mostly what anyone cares about anyway.

I ended up having to remake my spreadsheet after breaking it, which may have actually resulted in the correction of some data errors since I put the Massey data in properly this time.

The top three are basically unchanged from last week, but OSU's pasting of Wisconsin earns them enough points to slide up four spots, leapfrogging three SEC teams who did not even win their divisions and also Baylor. Also, FSU finally made it into the top ten!

I don't know what to do about Ole Miss being #5. They have three losses, including a shutout by a 6-6 Arkansas team, but they also have the best win of anybody in college football. With Georgia I can at least feel good about their non-MoV ranking being outside the top ten, but Ole Miss is in basically the same position in both systems. Puzzling.

pre:
+------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+
| Rank | FBS |       Team        |  Wins   | Rk  |   Pts   | Rk  |  Rating  |
+------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+
| 1    | 1   | Alabama           | 59.700  | 2   | 46.796  | 1   | 106.496  |
| 2    | 2   | Oregon            | 60.632  | 1   | 43.428  | 4   | 104.060  |
| 3    | 3   | TCU               | 55.143  | 4   | 46.716  | 2   | 101.858  |
| 4    | 4   | Ohio State        | 54.569  | 5   | 42.693  | 6   | 97.262   |
| 5    | 5   | Ole Miss          | 52.266  | 6   | 43.305  | 5   | 95.570   |
| 6    | 6   | Baylor            | 51.159  | 7   | 42.319  | 7   | 93.479   |
| 7    | 7   | Georgia           | 48.369  | 12  | 43.791  | 3   | 92.160   |
| 8    | 8   | Mississippi St.   | 50.286  | 8   | 41.109  | 8   | 91.395   |
| 9    | 9   | Florida State     | 58.958  | 3   | 31.271  | 19  | 90.229   |
| 10   | 10  | Michigan State    | 49.040  | 11  | 39.977  | 10  | 89.017   |
| 11   | 11  | Auburn            | 47.442  | 14  | 41.021  | 9   | 88.462   |
| 12   | 12  | LSU               | 45.156  | 18  | 38.697  | 11  | 83.853   |
| 13   | 13  | Kansas State      | 45.758  | 16  | 37.051  | 14  | 82.810   |
| 14   | 14  | UCLA              | 50.208  | 9   | 31.041  | 21  | 81.249   |
| 15   | 15  | Oklahoma          | 41.727  | 22  | 38.186  | 13  | 79.913   |
| 16   | 16  | Missouri          | 48.345  | 13  | 30.920  | 22  | 79.265   |
| 17   | 17  | Arizona           | 50.019  | 10  | 28.765  | 28  | 78.783   |
| 18   | 18  | Wisconsin         | 45.333  | 17  | 32.981  | 15  | 78.314   |
| 19   | 19  | USC               | 43.197  | 20  | 32.421  | 16  | 75.618   |
| 20   | 20  | Clemson           | 44.622  | 19  | 30.177  | 25  | 74.799   |
| 21   | 21  | Georgia Tech      | 42.172  | 21  | 31.550  | 18  | 73.722   |
| 22   | 22  | Arkansas          | 35.280  | 31  | 38.371  | 12  | 73.651   |
| 23   | 23  | Boise State       | 46.658  | 15  | 24.952  | 34  | 71.610   |
| 24   | 24  | Arizona State     | 41.433  | 23  | 27.315  | 31  | 68.748   |
| 25   | 25  | Nebraska          | 37.753  | 26  | 29.651  | 26  | 67.404   |
+------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+
| 26   | 26  | Louisville        | 38.119  | 25  | 28.554  | 29  | 66.672   |
| 27   | 27  | Stanford          | 36.479  | 29  | 29.171  | 27  | 65.649   |
| 28   | 28  | West Virginia     | 34.646  | 32  | 30.432  | 24  | 65.078   |
| 29   | 29  | Florida           | 32.716  | 35  | 31.987  | 17  | 64.702   |
| 30   | 30  | Utah              | 39.852  | 24  | 24.627  | 38  | 64.479   |
| 31   | 31  | Texas A&M         | 32.484  | 36  | 31.261  | 20  | 63.745   |
| 32   | 32  | Minnesota         | 36.211  | 30  | 26.352  | 32  | 62.564   |
| 33   | 33  | Marshall          | 34.633  | 33  | 27.809  | 30  | 62.442   |
| 34   | 34  | Notre Dame        | 36.684  | 27  | 24.747  | 37  | 61.430   |
| 35   | 35  | Tennessee         | 28.948  | 42  | 30.854  | 23  | 59.801   |
| 36   | 36  | Washington        | 33.269  | 34  | 23.867  | 40  | 57.136   |
| 37   | 37  | Colorado State    | 36.639  | 28  | 19.360  | 52  | 55.999   |
| 38   | 38  | Texas             | 28.883  | 43  | 24.139  | 39  | 53.022   |
| 39   | 39  | Iowa              | 30.484  | 38  | 22.325  | 43  | 52.809   |
| 40   | 40  | Maryland          | 32.258  | 37  | 20.279  | 49  | 52.536   |
| 41   | 41  | South Carolina    | 26.095  | 49  | 25.141  | 33  | 51.236   |
| 42   | 42  | Boston College    | 28.630  | 44  | 22.273  | 44  | 50.903   |
| 43   | 43  | Louisiana Tech    | 25.203  | 53  | 24.833  | 36  | 50.036   |
| 44   | --  | North Dakota St.  | 30.299  | 39  | 19.347  | 53  | 49.646   |
| 45   | 44  | U. of Miami       | 23.930  | 59  | 24.838  | 35  | 48.769   |
| 46   | 45  | Memphis           | 24.739  | 58  | 23.721  | 41  | 48.460   |
| 47   | 46  | Duke              | 25.172  | 55  | 22.766  | 42  | 47.939   |
| 48   | 47  | Cincinnati        | 28.073  | 47  | 19.530  | 51  | 47.604   |
| 49   | 48  | Virginia Tech     | 25.181  | 54  | 22.204  | 45  | 47.385   |
| 50   | 49  | Utah State        | 29.990  | 40  | 16.070  | 63  | 46.060   |
| 51   | 50  | NC State          | 28.193  | 46  | 17.862  | 58  | 46.056   |
| 52   | 51  | BYU               | 26.041  | 50  | 19.216  | 55  | 45.257   |
| 53   | 52  | Kentucky          | 22.370  | 62  | 21.657  | 46  | 44.027   |
| 54   | --  | Illinois State    | 26.918  | 48  | 16.805  | 61  | 43.723   |
| 55   | 53  | Oklahoma State    | 24.741  | 57  | 18.982  | 57  | 43.723   |
| 56   | 54  | Penn State        | 23.173  | 61  | 19.833  | 50  | 43.006   |
| 57   | 55  | Northern Ill.     | 29.783  | 41  | 12.413  | 80  | 42.196   |
| 58   | 56  | Virginia          | 19.974  | 65  | 21.628  | 47  | 41.601   |
| 59   | 57  | Rutgers           | 28.571  | 45  | 12.978  | 78  | 41.549   |
| 60   | 58  | Pittsburgh        | 19.439  | 67  | 21.562  | 48  | 41.001   |
| 61   | 59  | North Carolina    | 25.389  | 52  | 15.568  | 65  | 40.956   |
| 62   | 60  | Illinois          | 25.620  | 51  | 13.550  | 73  | 39.171   |
| 63   | 61  | Michigan          | 19.792  | 66  | 19.086  | 56  | 38.878   |
| 64   | 62  | California        | 19.363  | 68  | 19.224  | 54  | 38.587   |
| 65   | 63  | UCF               | 22.164  | 63  | 16.242  | 62  | 38.406   |
| 66   | 64  | Nevada            | 25.155  | 56  | 13.122  | 76  | 38.277   |
| 67   | 65  | East Carolina     | 18.452  | 70  | 17.677  | 59  | 36.129   |
| 68   | 66  | Oregon State      | 20.448  | 64  | 13.028  | 77  | 33.477   |
| 69   | 67  | Northwestern      | 16.223  | 77  | 17.002  | 60  | 33.225   |
| 70   | 68  | Air Force         | 23.524  | 60  | 8.966   | 91  | 32.489   |
| 71   | 69  | Navy              | 16.086  | 78  | 15.293  | 66  | 31.379   |
| 72   | 70  | Western Ky.       | 16.636  | 75  | 14.253  | 69  | 30.888   |
| 73   | 71  | Toledo            | 18.855  | 69  | 11.723  | 84  | 30.578   |
| 74   | --  | UNI               | 14.653  | 81  | 15.038  | 67  | 29.691   |
| 75   | 72  | Western Mich.     | 15.933  | 79  | 13.361  | 75  | 29.294   |
| 76   | 73  | Ga. Southern      | 13.135  | 88  | 16.021  | 64  | 29.156   |
| 77   | 74  | Texas Tech        | 14.634  | 83  | 14.292  | 68  | 28.926   |
| 78   | 75  | UL Lafayette      | 16.756  | 73  | 9.621   | 89  | 26.377   |
| 79   | --  | Chattanooga       | 14.653  | 82  | 10.745  | 86  | 25.397   |
| 80   | 76  | Washington St.    | 11.443  | 92  | 13.944  | 71  | 25.386   |
| 81   | 77  | San Diego State   | 14.612  | 84  | 10.513  | 87  | 25.125   |
| 82   | 78  | Rice              | 16.413  | 76  | 8.655   | 92  | 25.068   |
| 83   | 79  | Colorado          | 12.390  | 89  | 12.188  | 83  | 24.578   |
| 84   | 80  | Fresno State      | 17.607  | 72  | 6.725   | 100 | 24.333   |
| 85   | 81  | Houston           | 10.022  | 95  | 14.104  | 70  | 24.126   |
| 86   | 82  | Indiana           | 12.023  | 90  | 11.241  | 85  | 23.264   |
| 87   | --  | South Dakota St.  | 14.827  | 80  | 8.127   | 94  | 22.954   |
| 88   | --  | New Hampshire     | 17.667  | 71  | 4.441   | 110 | 22.108   |
| 89   | 83  | UTEP              | 13.672  | 86  | 7.987   | 96  | 21.659   |
| 90   | --  | Villanova         | 16.663  | 74  | 4.716   | 107 | 21.379   |
| 91   | 84  | UAB               | 6.777   | 101 | 13.538  | 74  | 20.315   |
| 92   | --  | Coastal Caro.     | 14.307  | 85  | 5.464   | 103 | 19.771   |
| 93   | 85  | Purdue            | 7.053   | 99  | 12.364  | 81  | 19.416   |
| 94   | 86  | Central Mich.     | 11.051  | 93  | 7.569   | 97  | 18.620   |
| 95   | 87  | Arkansas State    | 4.104   | 111 | 13.877  | 72  | 17.981   |
| 96   | 88  | Syracuse          | 5.707   | 106 | 12.260  | 82  | 17.966   |
| 97   | 89  | Temple            | 5.239   | 108 | 12.615  | 79  | 17.854   |
| 98   | 90  | Iowa State        | 6.353   | 103 | 10.487  | 88  | 16.840   |
| 99   | --  | Eastern Wash.     | 13.176  | 87  | 2.928   | 115 | 16.104   |
| 100  | 91  | Kansas            | 7.525   | 98  | 8.336   | 93  | 15.862   |
| 101  | --  | Jacksonville St.  | 10.450  | 94  | 5.122   | 105 | 15.572   |
| 102  | --  | Indiana State     | 9.139   | 96  | 5.569   | 102 | 14.708   |
| 103  | 92  | Wyoming           | 11.709  | 91  | 2.377   | 118 | 14.087   |
| 104  | 93  | Appalachian St.   | 4.250   | 110 | 9.182   | 90  | 13.432   |
| 105  | 94  | Vanderbilt        | 5.491   | 107 | 6.768   | 99  | 12.259   |
| 106  | 95  | Middle Tenn.      | 4.056   | 112 | 7.198   | 98  | 11.254   |
| 107  | --  | Youngstown St.    | 8.459   | 97  | 2.743   | 116 | 11.202   |
| 108  | 96  | Bowling Green     | 7.001   | 100 | 1.265   | 124 | 8.266    |
| 109  | 97  | South Alabama     | 3.099   | 115 | 5.114   | 106 | 8.214    |
| 110  | --  | Samford           | 0.750   | 119 | 5.209   | 104 | 5.958    |
| 111  | 98  | Hawaii            | 1.551   | 118 | 4.265   | 111 | 5.816    |
| 112  | 99  | Texas State       | -1.719  | 127 | 6.541   | 101 | 4.822    |
| 113  | --  | Southeastern La.  | -3.286  | 133 | 8.006   | 95  | 4.721    |
| 114  | --  | Sam Houston St.   | 4.939   | 109 | -0.442  | 132 | 4.498    |
| 115  | 100 | Ohio              | 2.374   | 117 | 1.872   | 120 | 4.246    |
| 116  | 101 | New Mexico        | 3.349   | 114 | 0.788   | 127 | 4.138    |
| 117  | 102 | Old Dominion      | 2.818   | 116 | 0.750   | 128 | 3.568    |
| 118  | --  | Liberty           | 6.231   | 104 | -2.713  | 139 | 3.518    |
| 119  | --  | James Madison     | 6.377   | 102 | -3.564  | 145 | 2.813    |
| 120  | --  | Southern Ill.     | -1.006  | 123 | 3.609   | 112 | 2.602    |
| 121  | --  | Harvard           | 6.151   | 105 | -4.506  | 149 | 1.645    |
| 122  | 103 | South Florida     | 0.471   | 120 | 1.100   | 125 | 1.571    |
| 123  | 104 | Wake Forest       | -2.137  | 129 | 3.341   | 114 | 1.204    |
| 124  | 105 | Ball State        | -2.475  | 130 | 3.395   | 113 | 0.920    |
| 125  | 106 | Tulane            | -1.688  | 126 | 2.380   | 117 | 0.692    |
| 126  | 107 | UTSA              | -1.903  | 128 | 1.518   | 122 | -0.385   |
| 127  | --  | Western Ill.      | -1.213  | 124 | 0.498   | 130 | -0.715   |
| 128  | 108 | FIU               | -7.009  | 144 | 4.478   | 108 | -2.531   |
| 129  | --  | Montana           | 0.357   | 121 | -3.421  | 143 | -3.064   |
| 130  | --  | Fordham           | -2.511  | 131 | -0.703  | 134 | -3.214   |
| 131  | 109 | UL Monroe         | -7.870  | 152 | 4.460   | 109 | -3.410   |
| 132  | 110 | Southern Miss     | -3.121  | 132 | -0.961  | 135 | -4.081   |
| 133  | --  | Idaho State       | -0.782  | 122 | -3.587  | 146 | -4.369   |
| 134  | 111 | FAU               | -7.618  | 149 | 1.730   | 121 | -5.888   |
| 135  | 112 | San Jose State    | -5.858  | 140 | -0.315  | 131 | -6.173   |
| 136  | --  | Missouri State    | -7.540  | 146 | 1.039   | 126 | -6.501   |
| 137  | 113 | Army              | -3.624  | 134 | -3.438  | 144 | -7.062   |
| 138  | 114 | Akron             | -8.667  | 155 | 1.424   | 123 | -7.244   |
| 139  | --  | Richmond          | -1.521  | 125 | -5.740  | 154 | -7.262   |
| 140  | --  | Eastern Ill.      | -9.443  | 157 | 1.978   | 119 | -7.466   |
| 141  | 115 | Buffalo           | -8.133  | 153 | -0.443  | 133 | -8.576   |
| 142  | --  | Presbyterian      | 3.532   | 113 | -12.516 | 177 | -8.984   |
| 143  | --  | Montana State     | -4.526  | 136 | -5.043  | 150 | -9.569   |
| 144  | --  | Northwestern St.  | -6.688  | 143 | -3.153  | 141 | -9.841   |
| 145  | --  | Charleston So.    | -3.631  | 135 | -6.818  | 157 | -10.449  |
| 146  | --  | Eastern Ky.       | -4.887  | 138 | -5.719  | 153 | -10.606  |
| 147  | 116 | North Texas       | -11.336 | 161 | 0.606   | 129 | -10.730  |
| 148  | --  | Alcorn State      | -8.482  | 154 | -3.757  | 147 | -12.239  |
| 149  | --  | Cal Poly          | -7.766  | 150 | -6.572  | 156 | -14.338  |
| 150  | --  | Western Caro.     | -5.257  | 139 | -9.373  | 168 | -14.630  |
| 151  | --  | McNeese State     | -11.678 | 162 | -3.016  | 140 | -14.694  |
| 152  | --  | Lamar             | -6.546  | 142 | -8.150  | 161 | -14.696  |
| 153  | --  | Stephen F. Austin | -7.541  | 147 | -7.283  | 159 | -14.824  |
| 154  | --  | Dartmouth         | -4.602  | 137 | -11.692 | 171 | -16.294  |
| 155  | --  | UT Martin         | -11.136 | 160 | -5.264  | 151 | -16.400  |
| 156  | --  | William & Mary    | -7.798  | 151 | -8.812  | 165 | -16.610  |
| 157  | 117 | Tulsa             | -14.533 | 171 | -3.212  | 142 | -17.745  |
| 158  | --  | Central Ark.      | -15.472 | 177 | -2.499  | 138 | -17.972  |
| 159  | --  | Bryant            | -6.512  | 141 | -11.497 | 170 | -18.009  |
| 160  | 118 | Massachusetts     | -17.210 | 181 | -1.089  | 136 | -18.299  |
| 161  | 119 | Connecticut       | -14.775 | 173 | -5.416  | 152 | -20.191  |
| 162  | 120 | Miami U.          | -18.448 | 184 | -1.874  | 137 | -20.322  |
| 163  | --  | SC State          | -7.578  | 148 | -12.906 | 179 | -20.484  |
| 164  | 121 | Kent State        | -16.497 | 179 | -4.297  | 148 | -20.794  |
| 165  | --  | NC A&T            | -12.712 | 165 | -8.430  | 163 | -21.142  |
| 166  | --  | Sacred Heart      | -7.154  | 145 | -14.061 | 182 | -21.215  |
| 167  | --  | Yale              | -9.481  | --  | -11.743 | --  | -21.224  |
| 168  | --  | Wofford           | -13.156 | 166 | -8.921  | 166 | -22.077  |
| 169  | 122 | UNLV              | -14.598 | 172 | -8.181  | 162 | -22.779  |
| 170  | --  | Albany            | -11.038 | 159 | -12.368 | 174 | -23.406  |
| 171  | --  | Sacramento St.    | -12.636 | 164 | -12.381 | 175 | -25.017  |
| 172  | 123 | Troy              | -18.589 | 185 | -7.140  | 158 | -25.729  |
| 173  | --  | Southeast Mo.     | -18.244 | 182 | -7.903  | 160 | -26.148  |
| 174  | --  | Citadel           | -18.331 | 183 | -8.679  | 164 | -27.010  |
| 175  | --  | Northern Ariz.    | -13.687 | 168 | -14.364 | 183 | -28.051  |
| 176  | 124 | SMU               | -15.206 | 175 | -13.196 | 180 | -28.401  |
| 177  | --  | Bethune-Cookman   | -11.841 | 163 | -17.113 | 195 | -28.954  |
| 178  | --  | Southern          | -9.186  | 156 | -19.945 | 209 | -29.131  |
| 179  | --  | Maine             | -14.055 | 170 | -15.649 | 187 | -29.704  |
| 180  | --  | Abilene Christian | -19.981 | 191 | -10.061 | 169 | -30.042  |
| 181  | --  | Bucknell          | -13.381 | 167 | -16.671 | 192 | -30.052  |
| 182  | --  | South Dakota      | -19.006 | 187 | -12.410 | 176 | -31.416  |
| 183  | --  | Jacksonville      | -14.846 | 174 | -17.074 | 194 | -31.921  |
| 184  | 125 | Eastern Mich.     | -17.125 | 180 | -17.323 | 197 | -34.448  |
| 185  | 126 | New Mexico St.    | -25.343 | 203 | -9.141  | 167 | -34.484  |
| 186  | --  | Delaware          | -16.150 | 178 | -18.566 | 200 | -34.716  |
| 187  | --  | Furman            | -19.204 | 188 | -15.530 | 186 | -34.734  |
| 188  | --  | Stony Brook       | -21.003 | 194 | -13.786 | 181 | -34.789  |
| 189  | --  | Tennessee State   | -22.900 | 200 | -12.274 | 173 | -35.173  |
| 190  | --  | Grambling State   | -15.443 | 176 | -20.487 | 210 | -35.930  |
| 191  | --  | Charlotte         | -21.923 | 198 | -14.678 | 184 | -36.601  |
| 192  | --  | Monmouth          | -19.575 | 189 | -17.159 | 196 | -36.734  |
| 193  | --  | Southern Utah     | -21.141 | 195 | -15.743 | 188 | -36.884  |
| 194  | --  | Lafayette         | -20.557 | 193 | -16.398 | 190 | -36.956  |
| 195  | 127 | Idaho             | -31.099 | 217 | -6.395  | 155 | -37.494  |
| 196  | --  | NC Central        | -18.793 | 186 | -18.833 | 201 | -37.626  |
| 197  | 128 | Georgia State     | -25.617 | 205 | -12.582 | 178 | -38.198  |
| 198  | --  | Wagner            | -19.850 | 190 | -19.068 | 203 | -38.917  |
| 199  | --  | Saint Francis     | -22.419 | 199 | -16.536 | 191 | -38.955  |
| 200  | --  | Tennessee Tech    | -21.452 | 196 | -18.180 | 199 | -39.632  |
| 201  | --  | Alabama State     | -20.270 | 192 | -19.665 | 207 | -39.935  |
| 202  | --  | Mercer            | -26.704 | 206 | -14.772 | 185 | -41.476  |
| 203  | --  | Morgan State      | -21.590 | 197 | -19.936 | 208 | -41.526  |
| 204  | --  | Duquesne          | -25.236 | 202 | -17.535 | 198 | -42.771  |
| 205  | --  | San Diego         | -13.849 | 169 | -31.732 | 233 | -45.581  |
| 206  | --  | North Dakota      | -23.533 | 201 | -22.694 | 214 | -46.227  |
| 207  | --  | Holy Cross        | -27.013 | 207 | -19.305 | 205 | -46.318  |
| 208  | --  | Colgate           | -28.415 | 209 | -19.054 | 202 | -47.469  |
| 209  | --  | Prairie View      | -25.544 | 204 | -22.199 | 211 | -47.743  |
| 210  | --  | Weber St.         | -32.411 | 219 | -15.801 | 189 | -48.212  |
| 211  | --  | UC Davis          | -30.520 | 213 | -19.154 | 204 | -49.674  |
| 212  | --  | Portland State    | -30.389 | 212 | -19.622 | 206 | -50.010  |
| 213  | --  | Murray State      | -33.213 | 220 | -16.888 | 193 | -50.101  |
| 214  | --  | Gardner-Webb      | -29.558 | 211 | -22.363 | 212 | -51.921  |
| 215  | --  | Northern Colo.    | -31.041 | 215 | -22.988 | 216 | -54.029  |
| 216  | --  | Towson            | -29.036 | 210 | -26.399 | 220 | -55.435  |
| 217  | --  | Dayton            | -27.462 | 208 | -29.183 | 230 | -56.645  |
| 218  | --  | Brown             | -34.126 | 223 | -22.869 | 215 | -56.994  |
| 219  | --  | Lehigh            | -34.975 | 225 | -22.402 | 213 | -57.376  |
| 220  | --  | Princeton         | -30.930 | 214 | -26.627 | 222 | -57.557  |
| 221  | --  | Norfolk State     | -32.279 | 218 | -26.066 | 218 | -58.346  |
| 222  | --  | Elon              | -37.100 | 229 | -23.329 | 217 | -60.430  |
| 223  | --  | Howard            | -33.832 | 222 | -27.628 | 225 | -61.460  |
| 224  | --  | VMI               | -35.391 | 226 | -26.386 | 219 | -61.777  |
| 225  | --  | Florida A&M       | -37.170 | 230 | -27.099 | 223 | -64.270  |
| 226  | --  | Texas Southern    | -34.505 | 224 | -30.308 | 231 | -64.813  |
| 227  | --  | Drake             | -31.075 | 216 | -33.866 | 235 | -64.940  |
| 228  | --  | Alabama A&M       | -37.092 | 228 | -28.833 | 229 | -65.925  |
| 229  | --  | Jackson State     | -38.299 | 232 | -28.101 | 226 | -66.399  |
| 230  | --  | Georgetown        | -39.755 | 233 | -27.588 | 224 | -67.344  |
| 231  | --  | Hampton           | -40.277 | 234 | -28.252 | 228 | -68.529  |
| 232  | --  | Central Conn.     | -42.455 | 238 | -26.474 | 221 | -68.929  |
| 233  | --  | Incarnate Word    | -36.530 | 227 | -33.097 | 234 | -69.627  |
| 234  | --  | Penn              | -41.905 | 237 | -28.122 | 227 | -70.027  |
| 235  | --  | Rhode Island      | -40.622 | 235 | -30.382 | 232 | -71.004  |
| 236  | --  | UAPB              | -33.423 | 221 | -39.116 | 241 | -72.539  |
| 237  | --  | Austin Peay       | -37.979 | 231 | -35.802 | 238 | -73.782  |
| 238  | --  | Campbell          | -41.177 | 236 | -35.204 | 237 | -76.381  |
| 239  | --  | Marist            | -42.907 | 239 | -34.311 | 236 | -77.218  |
| 240  | --  | Butler            | -44.228 | 240 | -38.151 | 239 | -82.379  |
| 241  | --  | Miss. Valley St.  | -47.059 | 242 | -41.761 | 243 | -88.820  |
| 242  | --  | Morehead State    | -45.398 | 241 | -44.607 | 246 | -90.005  |
| 243  | --  | Stetson           | -47.081 | 243 | -46.237 | 249 | -93.317  |
| 244  | --  | Valparaiso        | -52.416 | 247 | -40.973 | 242 | -93.390  |
| 245  | --  | Robert Morris     | -51.429 | 246 | -42.211 | 244 | -93.640  |
| 246  | --  | Cornell           | -55.812 | 249 | -38.673 | 240 | -94.485  |
| 247  | --  | Nicholls State    | -50.339 | 245 | -44.688 | 247 | -95.027  |
| 248  | --  | Delaware State    | -54.330 | 248 | -42.544 | 245 | -96.874  |
| 249  | --  | Houston Baptist   | -49.207 | 244 | -48.248 | 250 | -97.454  |
+------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+
| --   | --  | Non-Division I    | -53.152 | 247 | -47.763 | 249 | -100.915 |
+------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+
| 250  | --  | Columbia          | -58.836 | 251 | -46.046 | 248 | -104.882 |
| 251  | --  | Savannah State    | -56.657 | 250 | -50.496 | 251 | -107.153 |
| 252  | --  | Davidson          | -68.422 | 252 | -51.833 | 252 | -120.255 |
+------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+

* # ? Dec 7, 2014 18:30
  • Quote
Basil Hayden
Oct 9, 2012

1921!

Basil Hayden posted:

I might; it depends on whether I can find the time/motivation to do it and also whether I can properly redo the excel spreadsheet I only half understand at this point.

I guess if more than one person is doing it I could make a thread for it instead of just randomly dumping giant posts in the N/V thread like whenever I did it last.
Following up on this: it was a lot easier to redo the spreadsheet than I thought. I need a bit to finish cleaning everything up but I should have a thread up in SAS sometime in the near future if people are interested.

E: So the first #1 on the first day the matrix actually gave a numerical result was UTPA. :unsmigghh:

EE: Okay, everything is set up and up to date. Anyone want me to make a thread?

Basil Hayden fucked around with this message at 03:21 on Dec 8, 2014

* # ? Dec 7, 2014 21:55
  • Quote
vikingstrike
Sep 23, 2007

whats happening, captain
Seems like Ohio State's blow out of Wisconsin made the biggest impact this weekend. Otherwise, the top 4 didn't change. Still no love for FSU since they are winning close games against competition that's not super great (by the poll's thinking).

code:
+----+------------------------+
|    |        Week 15         |
+----+------------------------+
|  1 | Alabama (2.131)        |
|  2 | TCU (2.114)            |
|  3 | Oregon (2.021)         |
|  4 | Baylor (1.920)         |
|  5 | Ohio_St (1.906)        |
|  6 | Mississippi (1.879)    |
|  7 | Georgia (1.879)        |
|  8 | Auburn (1.821)         |
|  9 | Mississippi_St (1.805) |
| 10 | Michigan_St (1.795)    |
| 11 | Oklahoma (1.667)       |
| 12 | LSU (1.663)            |
| 13 | Arkansas (1.632)       |
| 14 | Kansas_St (1.625)      |
| 15 | Georgia_Tech (1.479)   |
| 16 | USC (1.476)            |
| 17 | Florida_St (1.398)     |
| 18 | UCLA (1.398)           |
| 19 | Wisconsin (1.387)      |
| 20 | Texas_A&M (1.352)      |
| 21 | Florida (1.350)        |
| 22 | Stanford (1.324)       |
| 23 | Tennessee (1.318)      |
| 24 | Missouri (1.317)       |
| 25 | West_Virginia (1.309)  |
+----+------------------------+
SEC West is still considered the best division with the Pac-12 South coming in a 2. This has been consistent for the last 6 or so weeks of the season with Big 12 and SEC East bouncing around a bit over the last 3 or 4.
code:
+----+-------------------------+
|    |         Week 15         |
+----+-------------------------+
|  1 |  SEC (West) (1.748)     |
|  2 |  Pac-12 (South) (1.174) |
|  3 |  Big 12 (1.138)         |
|  4 |  SEC (East) (1.107)     |
|  5 |  Pac-12 (North) (1.049) |
|  6 |  ACC (Coastal) (0.980)  |
|  7 |  Big Ten (East) (0.972) |
|  8 |  ACC (Atlantic) (0.871) |
|  9 |  Big Ten (West) (0.864) |
| 10 |  Ind (0.559)            |
| 11 |  MWC (Mountain) (0.529) |
| 12 |  CUSA (West) (0.454)    |
| 13 |  CUSA (East) (0.403)    |
| 14 |  American (0.229)       |
| 15 |  MAC (West) (0.210)     |
| 16 |  MWC (West) (0.169)     |
| 17 |  Sun Belt (0.079)       |
| 18 |  MAC (East) (-0.108)    |
+----+-------------------------+

* # ? Dec 8, 2014 15:32
  • Quote
vikingstrike
Sep 23, 2007

whats happening, captain

Basil Hayden posted:

Following up on this: it was a lot easier to redo the spreadsheet than I thought. I need a bit to finish cleaning everything up but I should have a thread up in SAS sometime in the near future if people are interested.

E: So the first #1 on the first day the matrix actually gave a numerical result was UTPA. :unsmigghh:

EE: Okay, everything is set up and up to date. Anyone want me to make a thread?

I would be up for doing a college basketball poll, but I'm not sure if there would be anyone else join in. Right now, Incarnate Word is like number 4 in mine (they've only played 1 game and won).

* # ? Dec 8, 2014 15:34
  • Quote
dirty shrimp money
Jan 8, 2001

 Florida State finally caught up to the top four with the conference championship. My poll guessed the correct political playoff top four, and did a very drat good job of putting the access bowl teams on top.

pre:
LW	Rank	Team			Record	Final Score	Strength of Schedule:
1	1	Alabama**		12-1	3.1217		1. Arkansas
3	2	Ohio State**		12-1	3.0378		2. Auburn
2	3	Oregon**		12-1	2.9561		3. Ole Miss*
6	4	Florida State**		13-0	2.5187		4. UCLA
4	5	TCU*			11-1	2.4842		5. Colorado
5	6	Ole Miss*		9-3	2.2707		6. Tennessee
13	7	Baylor*			11-1	2.2529		7. Miami (FL)
7	8	Michigan State*		10-2	2.2192		8. Washington State
8	9	Mississippi State*	10-2	2.0786		9. Texas A&M
14	10	Boise State*		11-2	1.9965		10. LSU
9	11	Georgia			9-3	1.9490		11. Arizona*
11	12	Georgia Tech*		10-3	1.9035		12. Alabama**
15	13	Marshall		12-1	1.8781		13. Michigan
10	14	Arizona*		10-3	1.8002		14. Texas
16	15	Missouri		10-3	1.6280		15. Notre Dame
12	16	Wisconsin		10-3	1.6025		16. Virginia
18	17	UCLA			9-3	1.5216		17. Georgia Tech*
19	18	Arizona State		9-3	1.4502		18. SMU
17	19	Kansas State		9-3	1.4394		19. USC
20	20	Clemson			9-3	1.4255		20. Florida
NR	21	Northern Illinois	11-2	1.4056		21. West Virginia
21	22	LSU			8-4	1.3950		22. Syracuse
24	23	Auburn			8-4	1.3568		23. Illinois
22	24	Memphis			9-3	1.3512		24. North Carolina
23	25	USC			8-4	1.3436		25. Iowa State
								
** Playoff semifinalist
*  Access bowl berth						86. TCU
								93. Baylor
								128. Appalachian State
pre:
26	Colorado State		10-2	1.3386
27	Louisville		9-3	1.3282
28	Nebraska		9-3	1.1278
29	Duke			9-3	1.1009
30	Georgia Southern	9-3	1.0770
31	Cincinnati		9-3	1.0413
32	UCF			9-3	0.9965
33	Minnesota		8-4	0.9921
34	Oklahoma		8-4	0.9899
35	Utah State		9-4	0.9776
36	Air Force		9-3	0.9318
37	Utah			8-4	0.8966
38	Louisiana Tech		8-5	0.7837
39	BYU			8-4	0.7407
40	East Carolina		8-4	0.7363
41	Western Michigan	8-4	0.7045
42	Florida			6-5	0.6814
43	Stanford		7-5	0.6812
44	Washington		8-5	0.6707
45	Louisiana-Lafayette	8-4	0.5959
46	Toledo			8-4	0.5811
47	Arkansas		6-6	0.5656
48	Houston			7-5	0.5645
49	Boston College		7-5	0.5343
50	Western Kentucky	7-5	0.4862
51	NC State		7-5	0.4801
52	Nevada			7-5	0.4759
53	Arkansas State		7-5	0.4592
54	Texas A&M		7-5	0.4449
55	Notre Dame		7-5	0.4390
56	San Diego State		7-5	0.4173
57	Texas State		7-5	0.3776
58	UTEP			7-5	0.3561
59	Rice			7-5	0.3426
60	Iowa			7-5	0.3027
61	West Virginia		7-5	0.2896
62	Appalachian State	7-5	0.2815
63	Miami (FL)		6-6	0.2238
64	Central Michigan	7-5	0.2196
65	Maryland		7-5	0.2054
66	Navy			6-5	0.1691
67	Temple			6-6	0.1415
68	Rutgers			7-5	0.1247
69	Bowling Green		7-6	0.1120
70	Virginia Tech		6-6	0.0925
71	Tennessee		6-6	0.0556
72	Pittsburgh		6-6	0.0543
73	Penn State		6-6	0.0457
74	Texas			6-6	0.0359
75	South Carolina		6-6	-0.0018
76	UAB - RIP		6-6	-0.0035
77	North Carolina		6-6	-0.0626
78	Old Dominion		6-6	-0.0815
79	Virginia		5-7	-0.0838
80	Middle Tennessee	6-6	-0.0930
81	South Alabama		6-6	-0.1225
82	Illinois		6-6	-0.1327
83	Oklahoma State		6-6	-0.1374
84	Ohio U			6-6	-0.1398
85	Kentucky		5-7	-0.1539
86	Northwestern		5-7	-0.1554
87	Buffalo			5-6	-0.1883
88	Oregon State		5-7	-0.2032
89	California		5-7	-0.2644
90	Fresno State		6-7	-0.2870
91	Michigan		5-7	-0.3244
92	Ball State		5-7	-0.3362
93	Akron			5-7	-0.3646
94	Indiana			4-8	-0.5124
95	Wyoming			4-8	-0.5599
96	Texas Tech		4-8	-0.5942
97	Florida International	4-8	-0.6128
98	New Mexico		4-8	-0.6167
99	Syracuse		3-9	-0.6230
100	Washington State	3-9	-0.6419
101	Army			4-7	-0.6909
102	South Florida		4-8	-0.6914
103	Louisiana-Monroe	4-8	-0.6998
104	Kansas			3-9	-0.7042
105	UTSA			4-8	-0.7092
106	North Texas		4-8	-0.7215
107	Purdue			3-9	-0.7425
108	Tulane			3-9	-0.7681
109	Colorado		2-10	-0.7929
110	Wake Forest		3-9	-0.8354
111	Southern Miss		3-9	-0.8568
112	Vanderbilt		3-9	-0.8733
113	Florida Atlantic	3-9	-0.9115
114	Hawaii			4-9	-0.9458
115	Iowa State		2-10	-0.9790
116	San Jose State		3-9	-1.0020
117	Troy			3-9	-1.1003
118	Massachusetts		3-9	-1.1265

119	Tulsa			2-10	-1.1985
120	Kent State		2-9	-1.2081
121	SMU			1-11	-1.2499
122	Miami (OH)		2-10	-1.2564
123	UNLV			2-11	-1.3784
124	Connecticut		2-10	-1.3842
125	Eastern Michigan	2-10	-1.5386
126	New Mexico State	2-10	-1.5555
127	Idaho			1-10	-1.6217
128	Georgia State		1-11	-1.8010

* # ? Dec 8, 2014 15:36
  • Quote
Captain von Trapp
Jan 23, 2006

I don't like it, and I'm sorry I ever had anything to do with it.
What the heck, why not a post-bowl pre-NCG poll? Next week I can add that one remaining game to the list of 1702 games the algorithm currently considers. And it'll probably make a difference to some degree.

Apparently the poll doesn't dislike Bama as much as its author, and still thinks they're better than Ohio State. On the other hand, I'm pleased that its top 4 contains 3/4 of what the committee actually picked and TCU to boot.

code:
1 Oregon 68.54
2 Alabama 65.97
3 TCU 65.5
4 Ohio State 64.51
5 Georgia 63.84
6 Mississippi 62.9
7 Baylor 62.35
8 Michigan State 62.34
9 Mississippi St. 61.77
10 Georgia Tech 61.04
11 Auburn 60.87
12 Florida State 60.25
13 Arkansas 60.08
14 Missouri 59.62
15 Wisconsin 58.89
16 Clemson 58.86
17 UCLA 58.25
18 LSU 58.15
19 Kansas State 58.11
20 Oklahoma 57.83
21 North Dakota St. 57.47
22 Marshall 57.46
23 Stanford 57.42
24 Texas A&M 57.06
25 Arizona State 56.96
26 USC 56.85
27 Tennessee 56.65
28 Nebraska 56.6
29 Arizona 56.43
30 Florida 56.32
31 Louisville 56.25
32 Illinois State 55.96
33 Boise State 55.74
34 Utah 55.07
35 West Virginia 54.98
36 Notre Dame 54.55
37 Coastal Caro. 54.3
38 South Carolina 53.99
39 Minnesota 53.54
40 New Hampshire 53.42
41 Virginia Tech 53.35
42 Duke 53.16
43 Miami (Fla.) 53.16
44 UNI 52.92
45 Washington 52.66
46 Boston College 52.62
47 Louisiana Tech 52.34
48 Memphis 52.15
49 Texas 51.89
50 Iowa 51.7
51 Virginia 51.52
52 Villanova 51.43
53 Chattanooga 51.29
54 Harvard 51.03
55 Oklahoma State 50.94
56 Utah State 50.75
57 Maryland 50.71
58 South Dakota St. 50.6
59 Colorado State 50.6
60 Pittsburgh 50.5
61 Kentucky 50.32
62 NC State 49.97
63 Rutgers 49.9
64 BYU 49.57
65 Penn State 49.26
66 Jacksonville St. 49.1
67 Cincinnati 49.0
68 Northwestern 48.89
69 Sam Houston St. 48.86
70 East Carolina 48.76
71 California 48.71
72 Toledo 48.4
73 Air Force 48.35
74 UCF 48.23
75 Michigan 48.15
76 Indiana State 48.11
77 North Carolina 48.1
78 Eastern Wash. 48.06
79 Northern Ill. 47.8
80 Ga. Southern 47.54
81 Fordham 47.52
82 Rice 47.5
83 Youngstown St. 47.21
84 Illinois 47.1
85 Western Ky. 47.09
86 Alcorn State 46.82
87 Southeastern La. 46.78
88 Navy 46.76
89 Texas Tech 46.41
90 Nevada 46.18
91 La.-Lafayette 46.16
92 Oregon State 45.96
93 Samford 45.84
94 Western Mich. 45.77
95 Liberty 45.56
96 Houston 45.48
97 N.C. A&T 45.46
98 Washington St. 45.27
99 San Diego State 44.91
100 Southern Ill. 44.79
101 Indiana 44.76
102 Charleston So. 44.53
103 William & Mary 44.52
104 Purdue 44.52
105 Cent. Michigan 44.51
106 Syracuse 44.41
107 Dartmouth 44.4
108 Bryant 44.33
109 Yale 44.28
110 UAB 44.2
111 Arkansas State 44.08
112 Temple 44.03
113 Richmond 44.02
114 Iowa State 43.99
115 N'western St. 43.89
116 Western Illinois 43.85
117 Jacksonville 43.8
118 Idaho State 43.79
119 James Madison 43.74
120 UTEP 43.69
121 Kansas 43.44
122 McNeese State 43.41
123 Missouri State 43.37
124 Colorado 43.31
125 Western Caro. 43.15
126 Steph. F. Austin 43.1
127 Bucknell 42.82
128 Middle Tenn. 42.55
129 Fresno State 42.49
130 Sacred Heart 42.42
131 Montana State 42.21
132 FIU 42.15
133 Ball State 42.06
134 Appalachian St. 41.98
135 Bowling Green 41.64
136 Eastern Illinois 41.57
137 Vanderbilt 41.51
138 Eastern Kentucky 41.43
139 Montana 41.31
140 S. Carolina St. 41.1
141 Central Ark. 40.95
142 South Alabama 40.53
143 Citadel 40.49
144 Texas State 40.48
145 Presbyterian 40.46
146 Old Dominion 40.43
147 Bethune-Cookman 40.37
148 Hawaii 40.22
149 Wake Forest 40.19
150 Lamar 39.84
151 Wyoming 39.7
152 Buffalo 39.69
153 Albany 39.65
154 Mercer 39.65
155 Army 39.51
156 Ohio 39.45
157 Stony Brook 39.42
158 UTSA 39.36
159 Akron 39.27
160 La.-Monroe 39.03
161 Wofford 38.92
162 Tulane 38.89
163 New Mexico 38.84
164 Florida Atlantic 38.62
165 Duquesne 38.62
166 Cal Poly 38.29
167 San Diego 38.29
168 Southern Univ. 38.28
169 Delaware 38.21
170 Southern Miss 38.12
171 Massachusetts 37.99
172 Abilene Christian 37.88
173 Tennessee-Martin 37.71
174 St. Francis (Pa.) 37.6
175 Holy Cross 37.6
176 Charlotte 37.56
177 Wagner 37.51
178 San Jose State 37.26
179 Alabama State 37.24
180 Monmouth 37.02
181 Lafayette 36.82
182 South Florida 36.69
183 Drake 36.59
184 Maine 36.56
185 Dayton 36.45
186 Furman 36.45
187 Grambling 36.34
188 Sacramento St. 36.28
189 Kent State 36.0
190 Southeast Mo. St. 35.97
191 Princeton 35.95
192 N.C. Central 35.88
193 Northern Ariz. 35.62
194 Miami (Ohio) 35.56
195 North Texas 35.45
196 Colgate 35.21
197 Prairie View A&M 34.99
198 Tennessee State 34.86
199 Lehigh 34.78
200 Troy 34.62
201 Tennessee Tech 34.56
202 Morgan State 34.51
203 Brown 34.27
204 Towson 33.91
205 South Dakota 33.88
206 Gardner-Webb 33.33
207 Tulsa 33.21
208 Connecticut 33.2
209 Elon 32.65
210 Georgetown 32.62
211 UNLV 32.39
212 VMI 32.36
213 Penn 32.03
214 Alabama A&M 32.01
215 UC Davis 31.77
216 Southern Utah 31.43
217 Weber State 31.42
218 Northern Colo. 31.41
219 Marist 31.38
220 Portland State 31.25
221 Hampton 31.11
222 Murray State 31.0
223 Butler 30.75
224 New Mexico St. 30.67
225 Eastern Mich. 30.59
226 North Dakota 30.58
227 Howard 30.24
228 Texas Southern 30.23
229 Norfolk State 30.03
230 Campbell 29.88
231 Georgia State 29.85
232 Idaho 29.83
233 Cent. Conn. St. 29.68
234 Stetson 29.24
235 Valparaiso 28.78
236 Morehead State 28.08
237 SMU 27.78
238 Florida A&M 27.13
239 Jackson State 26.47
240 Incarnate Word 26.06
241 Austin Peay 25.13
242 Ark.-Pine Bluff 24.22
243 Rhode Island 22.99
244 Robert Morris 22.71
245 Delaware State 22.55
246 Cornell 22.01
247 Houston Baptist 21.42
248 Miss. Valley St. 21.21
249 Davidson 20.74
250 Columbia 17.89
251 Savannah State 14.82
252 Virginia-Lynchburg 14.8
253 Nicholls State 13.91
* # ? Jan 9, 2015 04:39
  • Quote
dirty shrimp money
Jan 8, 2001

 Alright, poll for 2014 is finished. Winner plays TCU.
pre:
Rank	Team			Record	SOS	Final Score	Strength of Schedule:		Conferences:
1	Ohio State		14-1	7	3.6357		1. Ole Miss			1. SEC
2	Oregon			13-2	10	3.4189		2. Auburn			2. Pac 12
3	Alabama			12-2	8	2.7866		3. UCLA				3. Big 10
4	TCU			12-1	82	2.7663		4. Arkansas			4. ACC
5	Michigan State		11-2	55	2.4854		5. Colorado			5. Big 12
6	Florida State		13-1	20	2.4203		6. Arizona			
7	Georgia			10-3	25	2.3928		7. Ohio State			6. Mountain West
	(North Dakota State 	15-1	--	2.2596)						7. Conference USA
8	Boise State		12-2	47	2.1478		8. Alabama			8. American
9	Baylor			11-2	83	2.1427		9. Washington State		9. MAC
10	Georgia Tech		11-3	19	2.1356		10. Oregon			10. Sun Belt
11	Marshall		13-1	104	2.0728		11. Tennessee
12	Missouri		11-3	24	1.9596		12. Michigan
13	Ole Miss		9-4	1	1.8111		13. LSU
14	Mississippi State	10-3	31	1.8061		14. Notre Dame
15	UCLA			10-3	3	1.8001		15. Texas A&M
16	Clemson			10-3	57	1.7169		16. Miami (FL)
17	Wisconsin		11-3	58	1.7130		17. Texas
18	Arizona State		10-3	54	1.6852		18. USC
19	Arizona			10-4	6	1.5948		19. Georgia Tech
20	USC			9-4	18	1.4859		20. Florida State
21	Memphis			10-3	107	1.3811		21. Florida
22	Northern Illinois	11-3	108	1.2908		22. Utah
23	Utah			9-4	22	1.2105		23. Illinois
24	Kansas State		9-4	53	1.1996		24. Missouri
25	Auburn			8-5	2	1.1595		25. Georgia

								29. SMU (Best G5)
								102. Duke (Worst P5)
								129. Appalachian State
pre:
26	Colorado State		10-3	1.1283
27	Louisville		9-4	1.0952
28	Utah State		10-4	1.0933
29	LSU			8-5	1.0819
30	Georgia Southern	9-3	1.0770
31	Air Force		10-3	1.0647
32	Nebraska		9-4	0.9261
33	Duke			9-4	0.9214
34	Louisiana Tech		9-5	0.9085
35	Stanford		8-5	0.8796
36	Cincinnati		9-4	0.8475
37	Arkansas		7-6	0.8444
38	Florida			7-5	0.8235
39	UCF			9-4	0.8019
40	Minnesota		8-5	0.7950
41	Louisiana-Lafayette	9-4	0.7417
42	Toledo			9-4	0.7188
43	Notre Dame		8-5	0.7012
44	NC State		8-5	0.6389
45	Oklahoma		8-5	0.6370
46	Houston			8-5	0.6349
47	Western Kentucky	8-5	0.6169
48	Texas A&M		8-5	0.6119
49	East Carolina		8-5	0.5820
50	BYU			8-5	0.5506
51	Western Michigan	8-5	0.5497
52	Rice			8-5	0.5378
53	Washington		8-6	0.4918
54	Navy			8-5	0.4414
55	Texas State		7-5	0.3776
56	Boston College		7-6	0.3485
57	Rutgers			8-5	0.3437
58	Bowling Green		8-6	0.2968
59	Virginia Tech		7-6	0.2862
60	San Diego State		7-6	0.2830
61	Appalachian State	7-5	0.2815
62	Nevada			7-6	0.2728
63	Arkansas State		7-6	0.2702
64	Tennessee		7-6	0.2689
65	UTEP			7-6	0.2179
66	South Carolina		7-6	0.1984
67	Penn State		7-6	0.1629
68	Temple			6-6	0.1390
69	Iowa			7-6	0.0994
70	Central Michigan	7-6	0.0842
71	West Virginia		7-6	0.0393
72	Maryland		7-6	-0.0012
73	UAB 			6-6	-0.0035	RIP UAB
74	Miami (FL)		6-7	-0.0221
75	Oklahoma State		7-6	-0.0348
76	Old Dominion		6-6	-0.0804
77	Virginia		5-7	-0.0911
78	Middle Tennessee	6-6	-0.0945
79	Pittsburgh		6-7	-0.1125
80	Texas			6-7	-0.1245
81	Ohio U			6-6	-0.1405
82	Kentucky		5-7	-0.1573
83	Northwestern		5-7	-0.1606
84	Buffalo			5-6	-0.1883
85	North Carolina		6-7	-0.1929
86	Oregon State		5-7	-0.2032
87	Illinois		6-7	-0.2352
88	California		5-7	-0.2697
89	South Alabama		6-7	-0.3152
90	Michigan		5-7	-0.3220
91	Ball State		5-7	-0.3447
92	Akron			5-7	-0.3660
93	Fresno State		6-8	-0.4543
94	Indiana			4-8	-0.4832
95	Wyoming			4-8	-0.5532
96	Florida International	4-8	-0.6209
97	New Mexico		4-8	-0.6234
98	Washington State	3-9	-0.6469
99	Texas Tech		4-8	-0.6595
100	Syracuse		3-9	-0.6919
101	UTSA			4-8	-0.6953
102	South Florida		4-8	-0.7016
103	Louisiana-Monroe	4-8	-0.7119
104	North Texas		4-8	-0.7274
105	Purdue			3-9	-0.7811
106	Tulane			3-9	-0.7851
107	Colorado		2-10	-0.7929
108	Kansas			3-9	-0.8116
109	Army			4-8	-0.8422
110	Southern Miss		3-9	-0.8674
111	Vanderbilt		3-9	-0.8795
112	Wake Forest		3-9	-0.8813
113	Florida Atlantic	3-9	-0.9212
114	Hawaii			4-9	-0.9714
115	San Jose State		3-9	-1.0263
116	Troy			3-9	-1.1147
117	Massachusetts		3-9	-1.1311
118	Iowa State		2-10	-1.1325
pre:
Rank	Team			W-L	Score
119	Kent State		2-9	-1.1958
120	Tulsa			2-10	-1.2370
121	Miami (OH)		2-10	-1.2805
122	SMU			1-11	-1.3483
123	UNLV			2-11	-1.4222
124	Connecticut		2-10	-1.4257
125	Eastern Michigan	2-10	-1.5464
126	New Mexico State	2-10	-1.5958
127	Idaho			1-10	-1.6678
128	Georgia State		1-11	-1.8100

* # ? Jan 13, 2015 15:02
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# ? May 5, 2024 12:03
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Captain von Trapp
Jan 23, 2006

I don't like it, and I'm sorry I ever had anything to do with it.
Forgot to finish out my poll! There's literally only the NCG added to the list of over 1700 games, but it actually does change the ordering significantly. It brings OSU to the top, the other two teams in the playoffs to the top 3, and left-out TCY to #4. (It hates FSU, as appropriate.) I'm pretty pleased with the result, given that the algorithm doesn't know about playoffs, conferences, or even the order of the games in the season:

code:
1 Ohio State 66.64
2 Alabama 66.26
3 Oregon 66.17
4 TCU 65.52
5 Georgia 63.88
6 Mississippi 62.97
7 Michigan State 62.38
8 Baylor 62.35
9 Mississippi St. 61.85
10 Georgia Tech 61.04
11 Auburn 60.96
12 Arkansas 60.15
13 Florida State 60.06
14 Missouri 59.69
15 Wisconsin 59.17
16 Clemson 58.84
17 LSU 58.22
18 Kansas State 58.09
19 UCLA 57.93
20 Oklahoma 57.83
21 North Dakota St. 57.48
22 Marshall 57.48
23 Texas A&M 57.13
24 Stanford 57.09
25 Arizona State 56.73
26 Tennessee 56.7
27 Nebraska 56.66
28 USC 56.64
29 Florida 56.36
30 Louisville 56.23
31 Arizona 55.98
32 Illinois State 55.96
33 Boise State 55.65
34 West Virginia 55.01
35 Utah 54.76
36 Notre Dame 54.5
37 Coastal Caro. 54.31
38 South Carolina 54.03
39 Minnesota 53.73
40 Virginia Tech 53.47
41 New Hampshire 53.43
42 Miami (Fla.) 53.18
43 Duke 53.16
44 UNI 52.94
45 Boston College 52.61
46 Washington 52.39
47 Louisiana Tech 52.36
48 Memphis 52.14
49 Texas 51.87
50 Iowa 51.79
51 Virginia 51.5
52 Villanova 51.44
53 Chattanooga 51.31
54 Harvard 51.03
55 Oklahoma State 50.9
56 Maryland 50.85
57 Utah State 50.72
58 South Dakota St. 50.62
59 Pittsburgh 50.52
60 Colorado State 50.51
61 Kentucky 50.36
62 Rutgers 50.04
63 NC State 49.96
64 BYU 49.53
65 Penn State 49.4
66 Cincinnati 49.11
67 Jacksonville St. 49.11
68 Northwestern 48.95
69 Sam Houston St. 48.87
70 East Carolina 48.81
71 California 48.45
72 Toledo 48.43
73 Air Force 48.32
74 Michigan 48.27
75 UCF 48.26
76 Indiana State 48.13
77 North Carolina 48.12
78 Eastern Wash. 48.01
79 Northern Ill. 47.83
80 Ga. Southern 47.56
81 Fordham 47.53
82 Rice 47.5
83 Youngstown St. 47.23
84 Illinois 47.2
85 Western Ky. 47.12
86 Alcorn State 46.83
87 Navy 46.82
88 Southeastern La. 46.79
89 Texas Tech 46.41
90 La.-Lafayette 46.16
91 Nevada 46.09
92 Samford 45.86
93 Western Mich. 45.81
94 Oregon State 45.72
95 Liberty 45.58
96 Houston 45.5
97 N.C. A&T 45.47
98 Washington St. 45.05
99 Indiana 44.89
100 San Diego State 44.87
101 Southern Ill. 44.81
102 Purdue 44.59
103 Charleston So. 44.54
104 Cent. Michigan 44.53
105 William & Mary 44.53
106 Syracuse 44.42
107 Dartmouth 44.4
108 Bryant 44.34
109 Yale 44.28
110 UAB 44.22
111 Arkansas State 44.09
112 Temple 44.08
113 Richmond 44.02
114 Iowa State 44.0
115 N'western St. 43.89
116 Western Illinois 43.88
117 Jacksonville 43.8
118 James Madison 43.76
119 Idaho State 43.74
120 UTEP 43.69
121 Kansas 43.44
122 McNeese State 43.42
123 Missouri State 43.38
124 Western Caro. 43.17
125 Steph. F. Austin 43.1
126 Colorado 43.09
127 Bucknell 42.83
128 Middle Tenn. 42.56
129 Sacred Heart 42.43
130 Fresno State 42.42
131 Montana State 42.18
132 FIU 42.16
133 Ball State 42.08
134 Appalachian St. 42.0
135 Bowling Green 41.69
136 Eastern Illinois 41.6
137 Vanderbilt 41.54
138 Eastern Kentucky 41.44
139 Montana 41.28
140 S. Carolina St. 41.11
141 Central Ark. 40.95
142 South Alabama 40.55
143 Texas State 40.5
144 Citadel 40.49
145 Presbyterian 40.47
146 Old Dominion 40.44
147 Bethune-Cookman 40.38
148 Wake Forest 40.2
149 Hawaii 40.13
150 Lamar 39.85
151 Buffalo 39.71
152 Albany 39.66
153 Mercer 39.66
154 Wyoming 39.64
155 Army 39.51
156 Ohio 39.48
157 Stony Brook 39.42
158 UTSA 39.35
159 Akron 39.31
160 La.-Monroe 39.05
161 Tulane 38.93
162 Wofford 38.93
163 New Mexico 38.79
164 Duquesne 38.63
165 Florida Atlantic 38.62
166 San Diego 38.29
167 Southern Univ. 38.29
168 Cal Poly 38.26
169 Delaware 38.23
170 Southern Miss 38.13
171 Massachusetts 38.0
172 Abilene Christian 37.88
173 Tennessee-Martin 37.72
174 St. Francis (Pa.) 37.61
175 Holy Cross 37.61
176 Charlotte 37.57
177 Wagner 37.51
178 Alabama State 37.24
179 San Jose State 37.22
180 Monmouth 37.02
181 Lafayette 36.83
182 South Florida 36.73
183 Drake 36.6
184 Maine 36.57
185 Furman 36.46
186 Dayton 36.45
187 Grambling 36.34
188 Sacramento St. 36.24
189 Kent State 36.04
190 Southeast Mo. St. 35.99
191 Princeton 35.95
192 N.C. Central 35.89
193 Miami (Ohio) 35.6
194 Northern Ariz. 35.59
195 North Texas 35.47
196 Colgate 35.22
197 Prairie View A&M 34.99
198 Tennessee State 34.87
199 Lehigh 34.79
200 Troy 34.64
201 Tennessee Tech 34.58
202 Morgan State 34.52
203 Brown 34.28
204 Towson 33.92
205 South Dakota 33.85
206 Gardner-Webb 33.34
207 Tulsa 33.24
208 Connecticut 33.23
209 Elon 32.66
210 Georgetown 32.63
211 VMI 32.38
212 UNLV 32.35
213 Penn 32.03
214 Alabama A&M 32.02
215 UC Davis 31.73
216 Southern Utah 31.4
217 Weber State 31.39
218 Marist 31.38
219 Northern Colo. 31.38
220 Portland State 31.19
221 Hampton 31.12
222 Murray State 31.01
223 Butler 30.75
224 New Mexico St. 30.68
225 Eastern Mich. 30.62
226 North Dakota 30.56
227 Howard 30.25
228 Texas Southern 30.23
229 Norfolk State 30.04
230 Campbell 29.88
231 Georgia State 29.85
232 Idaho 29.84
233 Cent. Conn. St. 29.69
234 Stetson 29.25
235 Valparaiso 28.79
236 Morehead State 28.08
237 SMU 27.81
238 Florida A&M 27.14
239 Jackson State 26.48
240 Incarnate Word 26.06
241 Austin Peay 25.14
242 Ark.-Pine Bluff 24.23
243 Rhode Island 22.99
244 Robert Morris 22.71
245 Delaware State 22.56
246 Cornell 22.01
247 Houston Baptist 21.42
248 Miss. Valley St. 21.22
249 Davidson 20.75
250 Columbia 17.89
251 Savannah State 14.83
252 Virginia-Lynchburg 14.8
253 Nicholls State 13.91
* # ? Jan 22, 2015 04:52
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The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > Sports Argument Stadium > The Football Funhouse > 2014 Moon Poll Thread
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