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Clearly the forces that crashed my browser wanted a better rating for Hippo.
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Jan 30, 2013 07:20
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This Owns
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Jan 30, 2013 08:22
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 And so, we reach the home stretch, 4.5 games out and with a significantly tougher schedule than the current Wildcard leaders. It will take a lot. But our spreadsheets are set. Our Twitter feeds are strong. The equations predict that we will win, or die whining about how we should have. This week, we face the under-appreciated Imperialists (8 games under their Pythag!) and the once-powerful Unicorns (4 above theirs); a 4-2 week is practically necessary if we hope to see the playoffs. Changes: - Brooks Robinson has been a hot mess at the hot corner. He will be replaced by Kevin Youkilis. This does not bode well. - Naturally, this entails lineup changes. - Welcome to the rotation, now-94-OVR Hippo Vaughn. I had to go through the fire to get you and improve you; do me proud. Back to a 5-man rotation, with Hippo starting the next game. - To replace Orosco, Dave McNally joins the bullpen as a MR, bumping Rick Aguilera back to SR. - Freehan catches for Radbourn, Bender, & Glavine; Cash for the other two. - Slider changes: H&R -3, Squeeze -4, Xtra Bases -1, Steal -2, PH -2, Short Rest 2, Thru Trouble -1 ----- NotThatSamBeckett: Since Ken Holtzman is under discussion with Pander, what if I kick it up a notch and offer 1919 Phil Douglas for Jackson, Radinsky, either Belisle or Putz, and a couple even-more-lottery-ticket lottery tickets (Bob Wicker & Bob Rhoads)? SmasherDynamo, should this deal be accepted prior to the sim tomorrow, please do the following: - if any reliever rolls 82 OVR or higher, add them at SR, drop McNally to MR, and put Aguilera on the bench - if two relievers roll 82 OVR or higher, add the lefty at SR (or whichever lefty you think is better) and the other at MR, with McNally replacing Lolich at LR - if any starter rolls 93 or higher, replace Lolich/McNally with them I guess ----- e: ^^^ Note that Smasher's first notable act in that game was to shoot at me, despite the fact that I was in last place. 
Mornacale fucked around with this message at 08:44 on Jan 30, 2013 |
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Jan 30, 2013 08:39
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If a generic deadballer with a 7 ERA is "up a notch," I am flabbergasted and gobsmacked to consider the lower notches. But no, I'm not gonna ask Smasher to enter in a bunch of terrible baseballers like Bob Rhoads. Since I am apparently not selling Rex Brothers, would you like Ol' Eddie Guardado from 2004? He's hurt for me, but not for you. 163 ERA+, sub 1 WHIP, 3+ K/BB, etc. Pete Ladd fucked around with this message at 09:10 on Jan 30, 2013 |
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Jan 30, 2013 09:08
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NotThatSamBeckett You're a good man. Everyone else A dispersal draft pick (between third and fourth rounds) to the team that relegates the Web 2.0 Bloggers!
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Jan 30, 2013 09:10
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How can a single team relegate the Bloggers? There would be at least 2 teams knocking them off in the Gauntlet. I don't get a crack at a free pick for doing all I can to get rid of troublemakers like the Bloggers and Bulldogs. 
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Jan 30, 2013 09:18
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UltimoDragonQuest posted:How can a single team relegate the Bloggers? Team with the better record against them, presumably. Unless there was to be a CHALLENGE issued!!
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Jan 30, 2013 09:24
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The Merry Marauder posted:Team with the better record against them, presumably. Unless there was to be a CHALLENGE issued!! Hell, I'll give both teams a pick for their services (also, where the Bloggers are currently slotted, there's a decent chance that whichever teams do kill them, one or both might still be relegated.)
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Jan 30, 2013 09:29
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Smasher Dynamo posted:Everyone else Well drat, I guess I should be rooting to stick in that ninth Gauntlet slot if there may be free poo poo to be gained.  Also, Smasher, am I seeing things or did my Roy Oswalt's rating go down three points between updates?
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Jan 30, 2013 09:36
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I guess the upside of going to the gauntlet is a chance to win a PRIZE.
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Jan 30, 2013 09:43
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UZworm posted:Also, Smasher, am I seeing things or did my Roy Oswalt's rating go down three points between updates? Here are some facts about ratings in Mogul, exactly one of which is not true: -Ratings can go up and down over the course of the season -Older and younger players are more prone to see wider shifts in ratings over a season -Injuries, even minor ones, can permanently lower the ratings of a player -Ratings can change a bit across save files/seasons -Ratings may not accurately represent a player's competence in the Super-League for any number of reasons -Every time a rating changes, it is because I am intentionally editing players as part of a grand design to punish owners I hate and reward my loyal stooges
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Jan 30, 2013 09:47
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Smasher Dynamo posted:-Every time a rating changes, it is because I am intentionally editing players as part of a grand design to punish owners I hate and reward my loyal stooges Well I don't see any other way my Santo could've gotten an 80 rating Monicro fucked around with this message at 10:46 on Jan 30, 2013 |
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Jan 30, 2013 09:52
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NotThatSamBeckett posted:If a generic deadballer with a 7 ERA is "up a notch," I am flabbergasted and gobsmacked to consider the lower notches. But no, I'm not gonna ask Smasher to enter in a bunch of terrible baseballers like Bob Rhoads. I think Douglas is better than Holtzman myself, but if you feel otherwise then so much the better. I'm not averse to a flyer on Guardado, put him into the trade I offered instead of Putz/Belisle? (I don't know your valuation of those guys, but I think Guardado is worse than them).
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Jan 30, 2013 10:00
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Smasher Dynamo posted:Here are some facts about ratings in Mogul, exactly one of which is not true: Sorry if that came off badly, I'm not insinuating that you're messing with me or issuing ratings challenges or anything. I was just unaware that random ratings changes could happen even when Oswalt wasn't injured. (Or that he was injured for a short time and I never knew.)
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Jan 30, 2013 10:12
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UZworm posted:Sorry if that came off badly, I'm not insinuating that you're messing with me or issuing ratings challenges or anything. I was just unaware that random ratings changes could happen even when Oswalt wasn't injured. (Or that he was injured for a short time and I never knew.) Yeah, I was freaking out about ratings decay for a few weeks, but I bet every team's average rating is at least a couple points lower than when the season started. Actually, anybody in the other league want to conspire with me to trade our entire teams to each other? Everyone should get a re-roll back to beginning-of-season form, and we'll run roughshod over these other losers in the last month. 
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Jan 30, 2013 10:18
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UZworm posted:Sorry if that came off badly, I'm not insinuating that you're messing with me or issuing ratings challenges or anything. I was just unaware that random ratings changes could happen even when Oswalt wasn't injured. (Or that he was injured for a short time and I never knew.) Look at my Stan Musial who's dropped 8 points while remaining uninjured for example. It happens much more in old players.
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Jan 30, 2013 11:17
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Mornacale posted:Pander, just to be clear, is Bill Lohrman intentionally excluded from that proposal?
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Jan 30, 2013 16:49
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 Please replace the injured Rollie with setup Rollie, and move Kerry Wood in to set up. Put Lajoie back in at second, and Bonds in for Ted Williams. Thank you. Choice is obviously B.
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Jan 30, 2013 17:03
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quote:-Warm Sarsaparilla was wrong about Sonny Siebert. Dead wrong. That's '66 Siebert, Monathin. It's not too late for yooouuuu...  Look like I can't survive pitching injuries. Seaver in for Siebert. Put Assenmacher back in for Goose, pull Ott for Klein and Posada for Don Slaught, give Posada the personal work for Hershiser. I reckon I'll have to condescend to replacing George Brett with Mike Schmidt. drat shame, that. B.
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Jan 30, 2013 17:18
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 poo poo. OK, Dihigo's looking to miss two starts, so replace him with Sudden Sam. DL JD Drew, play Tartabull full time, I guess. Rest Rickey with a Lankford/Hisle platoon. Sic itur ad chirotheca, what? Rance is with Ahura Mazda now.
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Jan 30, 2013 17:37
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Warm Sarsaparilla posted:That's '66 Siebert, Monathin. It's not too late for yooouuuu... drat you, Sonny Seibert! drat YOU!
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Jan 30, 2013 17:50
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Smasher Dynamo posted:Here are some facts about ratings in Mogul, exactly one of which is not true: Huh, I could've sworn this one was true but by process of elimination I guess it's just a coincidence 
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Jan 30, 2013 19:06
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Thanks to a half foot of snow and a nearly empty office giving me plenty of time to make fantasy fantasy baseball spreadsheets, it's time for... PLAYOFF NUMBERS CHAT Playoff numbers chat time was something former owner and SL scribe Koop would take on near the end of each regular season. Playoff numbers chat takes form of what's called magic or tragic numbers. For the division and wild card leaders, your magic number describes the number of wins by you and losses by your opponents needed to mathematically clinch the division or wild card. Conversely, for those trailing the leaders, your tragic number is the number of wins by the leader and losses by you before you are mathematically out of contention. These numbers are calculated using the formula: 163 - WinsByLeader - LossesByTrailer. As an example, let's use the Sic Transit Vir division. Fukoka is currently 87-51, Cleveland is 71-66, and Oneida is 71-67. So, Marauder's magic number is currently 10; because he has 81 wins and Cleveland has 66 losses and 163-81-66=10. As the second place team, Cleveland's tragic number is 10. So over the course of the last month, each win by Fukoka and each loss by Cleveland will decrease that magic/tragic number by one. After ten, Fukoka officially clinches the division title. Now as the third place team, Oneida's tragic number is 9, as they have one more loss than Cleveland. After 9 Fukoka wins/Oneida losses, the Spooners are eliminated from contention for the division title. As a general rule, without head-to-head matchups, the best teams can expect to gain over the course of a week is about a game on the leaders. So with 4 (Dynamo League) or 5 (Smasher) weeks left in the season, you better be within about 5 or 6 games of the leader to have a realistic shot of winning the division or earning a wild card spot. Dynamo League Officially eliminated from playoffs: None Momento Mori pre:W L Magic/Tragic Cancun 82 55 19 Antarctica 75 62 19 Web 2.0 70 67 14 Portland 65 72 9 Vae Victis pre:W L Magic/Tragic Rockford 82 56 18 Coburns 75 63 18 Dubai 65 72 9 Dickshots 64 74 7 Oranges 59 77 4 Sic Transit Vir pre:W L Magic/Tragic Fukoka 87 51 10 Cleveland 71 66 10 Oneida 71 67 9 San Juan 64 73 3 Wild Card pre:W L Magic/Tragic Antarctica 75 62 25 Coburns 75 63 25 Cleveland 71 66 22 Oneida 71 67 21 Web 2.0 70 67 21 Dubai 65 72 16 Portland 65 72 16 San Juan 64 73 15 Dickshots 64 74 14 Oranges 59 77 11 Albany 60 78 10 Burma 57 81 7 Rochester 52 85 3 Smasher League Officially eliminated from playoffs: Spokane Mark Bellhorn pre:W L Magic/Tragic Finger Lakes 72 58 28 Barons 68 63 28 Hartford 64 67 24 Cleveland 55 76 15 New England 52 78 13 Senor Goodtimes pre:W L Magic/Tragic Lombard St 83 49 29 Luna 80 51 29 New Orleans 74 57 23 Philadelphia 63 68 12 Cuba 59 71 9 Saturn 60 72 8 Norris-Smythe pre:W L Magic/Tragic South Bolton 82 50 17 Ryleh 67 64 17 Oxbridge 65 67 14 Seattle 57 75 6 Wild Card pre:W L Magic/Tragic Luna 80 51 26 New Orleans 74 57 26 Barons 68 63 20 Ryleh 67 64 19 Oxbridge 65 67 16 Hartford 64 67 16 Philadelphia 63 68 15 Cuba 59 71 12 Saturn 60 72 11 Seattle 57 75 8 Cleveland 55 76 7 New England 52 78 5
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Jan 30, 2013 19:12
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 Goddamn, internet is finally back. Right then, time to move some shits. Let's move Strawberry to the bench and put Hrbek at DH.
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Jan 30, 2013 19:28
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Sort of a good news, bad news thing here. Granted, it's mainly good news for me. I hosed up the Dynamo League save file. That's the bad news. The good news is that, and let's be honest here, none of the playoff races this year were very good anyway. So, instead of the final month of the season, I propose that we just finish this off as quickly as possible in the following way: Dynamo League The following teams were theoretically capable of getting the wildcard with four weeks to go: -Unspecifieds -Coburns -Bloggers -Unicorns -Spooners -Dervishes (barely) So, we'll create a sort of mini-Gauntlet, with ToiletofSadness's magic numbers for the wildcard race determining who will win those two wildcards. Smasher League The save isn't corrupted, but we all know how the races are going to turn out. So, thoughts?
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Jan 30, 2013 19:49
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Voting C.
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Jan 30, 2013 20:13
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As a team that directly benefits from this, I'll abstain from the Smasher League vote, but am in favour of a DL Wildcard Mini-Gauntlet!
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Jan 30, 2013 20:27
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Smasher Dynamo posted:Sort of a good news, bad news thing here. Granted, it's mainly good news for me. Mini-Gauntlet sounds fun, at least this means less time anticipating the gauntlet for teams like mine!
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Jan 30, 2013 20:33
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Seeing as my motley band of misfits, plus Ted Williams and Mantle and Clemens, are already facing the thrills and spills of The Gauntlet, we are all in favour of more hot and spicy gauntlet action.
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Jan 30, 2013 20:36
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I'm fine with a wild card gauntlet, it seems like a fitting end to a season where there were a lot of middling teams. And hey, apparently this is the closest thing I've had to a shot at a wild card since the end of June or so... I'm curious how the results of this will impact the real Gauntlet later on, or indeed how it would be structured if we're calling this a strike-shortenend season. Just using records at the end of recorded time?
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Jan 30, 2013 20:48
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Smasher Dynamo posted:Sort of a good news, bad news thing here. Granted, it's mainly good news for me. I'm not really unbiased, since I probably have more to gain from this than anyone, but I'd like a little more information: - How will the sims go? 40 games all at once? (Or will it be only 28 games?) I've got some fragile players and the idea of my destiny riding on the AI manager frightens me. - As Beet asked, I'd like to know how this effects Gauntlet placement, particularly with respect to fitting us amongst similarly-placed teams in the Smasher League. - Just throwing this out there in case you like it better (I imagine it's more work, so you won't, but hey): instead of a mini-Gauntlet we could have a round robin of best-of-7 series between each team (with some adjustment to give the Unspecified and Coburns an advantage)
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Jan 30, 2013 21:12
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Mornacale posted:I'm not really unbiased, since I probably have more to gain from this than anyone, but I'd like a little more information: This probably isn't going to be surprising to anybody, but what actually happened to the save file was that I was really tired when I was edited Hippo Vaughn's stats, and accidentally overwrote the save data. Anyway, I'll leave the Smasher League teams where they are in the Gauntlet, as well as the Dynamo League teams that aren't going to the wildcard playoff. The remaining six teams would slot into the following slots: -Round 6 of the Gauntlet -Round 8 of the Gauntlet -Round 9 of the Gauntlet -Round 9 of the Gauntlet -Playoff Spot -Playoff Spot So, we'll have the team that does worst in the Wildcard Gauntlet take the Round 6 slot, the next worst take the Round 8 slot and so on. In terms of the mechanics, I'll start each team off with the number of wins they had at the end of the last week I simmed, so... Unspecifieds: 75 wins Coburns: 75 wins Cleveland: 71 wins Oneida: 71 wins Web 2.0: 70 wins Dubai: 65 wins First two teams to 90 wins get the playoff spots. In terms of durability and injuries, let's just say that everyone is healthy for this playoff, and given the number of off days in the Gauntlet, you don't need to worry about players needing days off.
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Jan 30, 2013 21:27
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Doing the wild-card gauntlet is perfectly fine by me, especially since it does give some of those on the bubble teams an outside shot at making the playoffs as opposed to being locked into the Gauntlet. As a team going to the playoffs, it does scare me because now all my players get re-rolled and I lose the useful information I gained about their performance over the course of the regular season (okay, mainly I'm just scared because about every third roll of Satchel Paige turns out to be the cursed Brony version). But given the situation, I guess there's not much to be done about it. I guess what I'm saying is that any faltering of my team in the playoffs is directly Mornacle's fault.
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Jan 30, 2013 21:45
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What horrible fate has befallen our EC friend Grinnblade? 
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Jan 30, 2013 21:45
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Hippo Vaughn helped kill the Failures, and killed the Dynamo League. I'd be OK with the playoffs/gauntlet going as the way you mentioned them, although I say you should sim the rest of the Smasher League season. Post the stats for the next update tonight, then sim and post the entire rest of the season tomorrow, and go from there with it. I personally want to see how my team will do with Hamilton in the lineup before it's too late, and I think we all want to see just how far the Cultists can fall.
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Jan 30, 2013 21:49
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theacox posted:What horrible fate has befallen our EC friend Grinnblade? Is Little League back on?
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Jan 30, 2013 21:49
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Oh god, now I actually have killed the league. Anyway, I'm fully on board with this. Can I make sure I'm not mistaken on the following: 1) since there are only 18 EC teams, "Round 9 of the Gauntlet" actually means "safe into next season" 2) we get to see our rolls before the sim (trust me, you do not want to see the conditionals I will write if we have to go in blind) 3) half-games in the current standings will be used as the first tiebreakers In fact, it might clean things up a bit if we just set a 30-game schedule (each team has a home-and-away against each other team) and then set a handicap such that: Burma: +0 wins Web 2.0: +5 Oneida: +5.5 Cleveland: +6 Coburns: +9.5 Antarctica: +10 Then no need to worry about "first to 90" or keeping track of half-game tiebreakers. Sorry if this is already the plan. (I swear I'm trying to make your life easier, not harder.) ----- e: Also, Pander, Lohrman isn't the sticking point, but I think I like the deal on the table with NotThatSamBeckett better even with Lohrman, so I wanted to make sure what you were offering. Mornacale fucked around with this message at 21:56 on Jan 30, 2013 |
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Jan 30, 2013 21:51
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theacox posted:What horrible fate has befallen our EC friend Grinnblade? I was asked to slow up for a bit, so I did, and then promptly had Stuff and Things happen in Real Life. But I am back, and the August results will be up before February rolls around. ForeverBWFC posted:Is Little League back on? uhhh what
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Jan 30, 2013 21:59
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Mini-Gauntlet sounds like fun, though obviously the fact that we're going to need to re-roll all of this means that I'm probably going to lose any of that in-season momentum the Spooners had.
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Jan 30, 2013 22:02
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I'm all in favor of whatever gets the most funny-laughs and hilarious pratfalls possible. So I guess that means yeah, mini-gauntlet. 
Monathin fucked around with this message at 22:23 on Jan 30, 2013 |
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Jan 30, 2013 22:19
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