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Turkeybone posted:Welp. I'm all for raising cash and taking profits but this is still a pretty hard to ignore run of positive days. It seems like breadth and all that is still going strong, too. I'm like 25% cash today and it's equally prudent and way too much cash. I remember back in 2008 when liquidity dried up and people were unable to sell. That is what I talk about when I say tighten your stops and practice risk management. If you look at all the corrections they were fast and caught many people off guard.
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May 17, 2013 21:10
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nebby posted:Yeah I have an app that lets you send baby postcards to grandparents. I'm targeting recent mothers, CTR is like 2.5% which is absurd.
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May 17, 2013 21:12
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If there is a market pull back in the U.S, will it affect Japan as well? It seems like Japan still has a lot of room to run and Abe is so dead set in lowering the value of the Yen. I've been looking into WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund as a stock choice.
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May 17, 2013 21:31
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nebby posted:(if you're curious it's http://babygra.ms) Son of a bitch Gonna buy babygrams.com cause I'll be damned if senior citizens figure out the dot between a and m.
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May 17, 2013 21:44
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COUNTIN THE BILLIES posted:Son of a bitch I think the point is to send these postcards to grandparents precisely because they don't have a computer or can't figure out how to open those weird paper clip looking things in their email. The user would be a tech-capable younger, baby-having person, fully capable of typing babygra.ms Brilliant.
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May 17, 2013 21:48
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dogpower posted:If there is a market pull back in the U.S, will it affect Japan as well? It seems like Japan still has a lot of room to run and Abe is so dead set in lowering the value of the Yen. The equity in that ETF is up 70% ytd! It's the hottest ETF of the year and second is the iShare Japan Equity fund. So yeah you're a little behind the pack but it's not like things are gonna change in the next month or year.
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May 17, 2013 21:49
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nebby can I use babygra.ms for sending postcards of my apartment? I moved from Arkansas to NYC and I have no way of sending digital photos to my grandparents. My grandmother hasn't used a computer since she worked at a bank in the mid 1990s and I don't think my grandpa has ever used one.
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May 17, 2013 21:53
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Uranium 235 posted:nebby can I use babygra.ms for sending postcards of my apartment? I moved from Arkansas to NYC and I have no way of sending digital photos to my grandparents. My grandmother hasn't used a computer since she worked at a bank in the mid 1990s and I don't think my grandpa has ever used one. So yeah, when that's out, you can, but it's kind of a square peg in a round hole since my app is very heavy on the baby theme. There are a bunch of other apps to do what you want like Postcards on the Run and Postagram. Oh and yeah, babygrams.com is taken anyway, but the web site particularly the domain name is kind of an afterthought since people are going to find the app through direct marketing, etc.
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May 17, 2013 21:58
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Ah okay, cool. Sorry for the derail.
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May 17, 2013 22:01
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evilwaldo posted:I remember back in 2008 when liquidity dried up and people were unable to sell. That is what I talk about when I say tighten your stops and practice risk management. If you look at all the corrections they were fast and caught many people off guard. I lost quite a bit of money in 2008. It had never really occurred to me at the time that something like that could happen (and it may never happen again in my lifetime), so I didn't have any stops out on any investments. I figured SPY and other big cap companies wouldn't go down like that. I ended up making most of it back quickly on some lucky investments like Ford though.
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May 17, 2013 22:03
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Mitt Romney posted:I lost quite a bit of money in 2008. It had never really occurred to me at the time that something like that could happen (and it may never happen again in my lifetime), so I didn't have any stops out on any investments. I figured SPY and other big cap companies wouldn't go down like that. I ended up making most of it back quickly on some lucky investments like Ford though. It happened in 1986 when people were told that the market could never crash due to portfolio insurance, 2000 when people were told that Internet stocks would never crash because they were changing the world, and 2008 when people were told that real estate never goes down. Be safe people, this is the time when risk management is at a premium.
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May 17, 2013 22:56
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evilwaldo posted:It happened in 1986 when people were told that the market could never crash due to portfolio insurance, 2000 when people were told that Internet stocks would never crash because they were changing the world, and 2008 when people were told that real estate never goes down. I guess what I'm saying is the ticker is saying people have no fear but I don't see the same blindness to the downside risk as I think was present in other major run-ups and crashes. In other words, if I had to guess, this rally will keep going until the crazy "this time it's different" talk really starts to come out. Not that I'd bet on it though. nebby fucked around with this message at 23:07 on May 17, 2013 |
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May 17, 2013 23:04
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evilwaldo posted:It happened in 1986 when people were told that the market could never crash due to portfolio insurance, 2000 when people were told that Internet stocks would never crash because they were changing the world, and 2008 when people were told that real estate never goes down. I don't think the market downturns in 86 and 2000 are comparable to 2008 because the 86 one only went down about 20% and the 2000 one took place over almost 3 years. The 2008 took place over just a few months and went down 50%.
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May 17, 2013 23:22
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nebby posted:The thing is I don't see a real misplaced bull thesis around this rally, even the (smart) bulls acknowledge it's due to money printing and they are riding the wave. I haven't read anyone who genuinely believes there is some "new economy" forming that can sustain the rally. I wasn't active in the financial markets in the previous big crashes, was there still a vocal minority of bears yelling of the coming crash like there is now? (I know there were a few, but a lot of savvy and respectable people have been saying a crash is due for the last 6-9 months.) I am seeing it prices being paid for real estate and other assets. Money is flowing into stuff like farmland and apartment buildings where the yields are ridiculously low. Remember in 2008 everything started to break down in 2007 when the Bear Stearns bond funds fell apart and 18 months later everything fell apart. Paulson got up in front of everyone and told us that things were going to be ok. I was working for a startup hedge fund at the time (early 2007) and we had a mortgage broker on our floor in a small office building in NJ. Within the space of a month they went from working 12 hours a day to one employee coming in twice a week to check voice mails. That told me that something bad was going to happen. They were literally out of business in the space of a month. I was stunned at how fast they dropped off the map. What worries me is that the market continues to go up when I look at some really bad GDP numbers from around the world. People are excited over Japan getting 0.9% GDP growth in the first quarter and the US is changing the GDP calculation to include art, movie, and television work. Then I read this article today and it gives me pause. http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2013/may/15/eurozone-crisis-france-germany-recession-gdp I am not sure where it starts but I can see the rot around the edges and that concerns me because we are not making enough traction to get the economy going and have not for years. These last two articles relate to the change in the computation for US GDP. http://www.marketplace.org/topics/economy/us-economy-grow-3-under-new-gdp-calculation http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2013/apr/23/recalculating-gross-national-product-hollywood evilwaldo fucked around with this message at 17:53 on May 18, 2013 |
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May 18, 2013 01:50
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As far as stock screeners go, what options are out there that give more screening options than what Finviz offers? The stuff in the OP seems to be mostly trading platforms and more focused on technicals and charting tools, but I cant really tell if any of them offer a robust screener. What do you all use when you run screens?
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May 18, 2013 06:47
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So even though RSOL is textbook pump 'n dump I'm gonna toss some throwaway money into it on a dip (which should happen on Monday from everyone selling off Friday's explosion) and see if it keeps rising through the week. Edit: My only reason to buy is that after FSLR, SPWR, and SCTY all had huge recent gains, this might be the next/last stock to get on the solar bandwagon. Acquilae fucked around with this message at 18:02 on May 18, 2013 |
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May 18, 2013 17:39
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Dogo posted:As far as stock screeners go, what options are out there that give more screening options than what Finviz offers? The stuff in the OP seems to be mostly trading platforms and more focused on technicals and charting tools, but I cant really tell if any of them offer a robust screener. What do you all use when you run screens?
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May 18, 2013 19:02
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Acquilae posted:So even though RSOL is textbook pump 'n dump I'm gonna toss some throwaway money into it on a dip (which should happen on Monday from everyone selling off Friday's explosion) and see if it keeps rising through the week. FSLR traded as high as 250 in 08 and 150 for the past few years. Any thoughts to a continued run (at 50 currently)? I'm not too savvy on the solar industry and am trying to understand the difference between the competitive position and hype of today vs a few years ago.
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May 18, 2013 22:15
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JibbaJabbaJimmy posted:Any thoughts to a continued run (at 50 currently)? I'm not too savvy on the solar industry and am trying to understand the difference between the competitive position and hype of today vs a few years ago. I can see an announcement like that pushing SCTY to $50 but who knows with they way they've been moving. I thought SCTY's earnings miss would end their run up but nope, they just fell one day and shot up the next. Acquilae fucked around with this message at 22:27 on May 18, 2013 |
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May 18, 2013 22:23
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Sorry, want very clear - I meant a continued long-term run for FSLR. I read about the modular idea, which doesn't sound like much of a game changer but pretty much anything he says at this point could send the stock up. I also looked at STP. Its benefitted from the industry explosion in stock price but can't pay its debts and delayed payments for a couple of months. Unless the Chinese government takes an interest it doesn't appear that they have a way out of the hole. JibbaJabbaJimmy fucked around with this message at 22:45 on May 18, 2013 |
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May 18, 2013 22:43
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Oh sorry; kinda skimmed over and mixed the companies up.
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May 18, 2013 22:55
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Doubled my investment in the Powerball last night 
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May 19, 2013 14:08
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Did you invest $175 million into it?
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May 19, 2013 16:23
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Harry posted:Did you invest $175 million into it? Invested 203.23 yen to be exact
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May 19, 2013 19:09
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JOSH LYMAN, HD is reporting tomorrow morning, don't forget. Love, your gambling partner. e: I was weak on AAPL, I am sad. I was watching the stock action and thought that 425 wouldn't hold, when in fact that is precisely what it did (for now anyway). My thought processes were correct when I was in a "cold" state looking at the stock, but in the heat of the moment I hosed it up.  But really, if you've sold anything since Jan 1st 2013, you've been "wrong," which is pretty nuts. Also, the demand for TSLA is nuts. Even after the big jump, the stock offering, people are eating it up at $90. There is the ever-present threat of pullback, but every day the bulls test the waters and receive no resistance (why it's been flat mornings and big finishes day after day). I think if/when TSLA breaks 95, it'll really fly even more. There's all these articles now about how dealerships are fighting to stop them from selling direct in their state. They seem genuinely scared for their money and business model, which makes me want to invest even more into tsla. I should do so now, but I'll probably wait until 2pm when it goes flying anyway. Ugh. Turkeybone fucked around with this message at 17:12 on May 20, 2013 |
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May 20, 2013 17:03
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The market melt-up 
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May 20, 2013 17:57
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Turkeybone posted:was weak on AAPL, I am sad. I was watching the stock action and thought that 425 wouldn't hold, when in fact that is precisely what it did (for now anyway).
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May 20, 2013 18:51
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nebby posted:If it makes you feel better I sold at my basis which was about 425 thinking for sure the bots would keep selling for at least another day. Welp. So have you guys bought back in yet or are you going to hope for another fall to 430 or so? Edit: VVVVVV Once again my lack of options access and the spare cash to take on that much risk prevents me from making a smart trade  . Graduation and a real job can't come soon enough.
Shear Modulus fucked around with this message at 19:18 on May 20, 2013 |
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May 20, 2013 18:59
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Shear Modulus posted:So have you guys bought back in yet or are you going to hope for another fall to 430 or so?
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May 20, 2013 19:10
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Turkeybone posted:JOSH LYMAN, HD is reporting tomorrow morning, don't forget.
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May 20, 2013 19:13
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I think this will be the first day since earnings that TSLA will be under average volume. I'm hoping it goes down to $60-$70 and I'll buy it again.
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May 20, 2013 20:46
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ALK is down almost 9% today, and I can't find a reason why.
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May 20, 2013 20:55
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quote:
Some shitfuck analyst's twitter. I'm really saddened to see the abuse of statistics like this. Is this person going to mortgage their home and put their entire lives on a quintuple short of the spy? Where do you even pull this number from, does it matter? Ugh. e: Oh unless of course they're trolling.. trolling is the new excuse for "uhh I said something obviously dumb." Turkeybone fucked around with this message at 21:13 on May 20, 2013 |
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May 20, 2013 21:09
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Bought June 20 SCTY puts. IPO Lockup ends on the 10th. I know that I'm gambling, but the current valuation seems crazy for a company that doesn't seem to have any technical competitive advantage. Of course, I may get wrecked later this week by any kind of TSLA SCTY supercharger announcement.
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May 20, 2013 22:50
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HLF up another 10%. I'm assuming he's hedged at least a little, but Bill Ackman must be hating life around now.
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May 21, 2013 02:01
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really hoping this tax story gives AAPL some downward pressure so I can get back on the train (sorry Turkeybone) whenever I feel bad about my bad trades I just tell myself at least I am not Bill Ackman
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May 21, 2013 02:40
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Do you really think it would create a nice buying opportunity? Everybody who works with stocks, or has any information about finance knows that companies avoid poo poo tons of taxes, by working with crazy tax loopholes. They're going to get some negative news articles that call them out specifically- but they already pay way more than other companies in the US something like $1 out of every $40 of taxes paid by every business in the US is paid by Apple. I'd expect it to move down a bit because every time Tim and Peter open their mouths the stock dives- but not a huge down ward move.
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May 21, 2013 02:53
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The hearings won't have any effect, its nothing more than an opportunity for elected officials to express fake outrage. Edit: On a side note, the testimony (which you can read online now), is a pretty great "gently caress you for making us come here" R.A. Dickey fucked around with this message at 03:13 on May 21, 2013 |
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May 21, 2013 03:00
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AAPL has lost 10% market cap for far stupider reasons
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May 21, 2013 03:03
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Bill Ackman is so overrated. The fact that he still gets airtime is amazing.
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May 21, 2013 11:41
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