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namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/canadian-forces-major-sues-feds-over-moving-bill-1.2603391

quote:


A Canadian Forces major is taking the federal government to court next week in Halifax for what he says is its refusal to follow its own policy on military family relocation.

Maj. Marcus Brauer has spent the last four years battling the federal government. He moved with his family in May 2010 after he was transferred from Edmonton to CFB Halifax.

He said the relocation has brought his family close to financial ruin.


Major Marcus Brauer lost $73,000 in his relocation from Bon Accord, Atla. to Halifax. (CBC)

Brauer sold his home in Bon Accord, a small town north of Edmonton, for $317,000, losing $88,000 on the sale when the real estate market dropped.

He thought his family would be fully reimbursed since the Treasury Board has a policy to compensate soldiers if the real estate market drops more than 20 per cent.

But in July 2012 the Treasury Board told him he would get just $15,000.

“Absolute fury. I couldn't believe that they would take that money away from people after it's been promised,” said Brauer.

He now carries $73,000 of debt and has resorted to selling furniture and picking bottles. He is also crowdsourcing to raise $20,000 for his legal fees.

The case is being heard next week.

According to court documents, the Treasury Board of Canada Secretariat considers Bon Accord part of the larger metropolitan Edmonton area which did not see the same type of real estate collapse. It said that's why Brauer is not entitled to the money.

“There's going to be two things that are going to happen,” said Brauer. “We're going to win this case or we're going to be declaring bankruptcy.”



hahaha holy poo poo i need to join the loving army


time to cut back on mustache wax major.

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Paper Mac
Mar 2, 2007

lives in a paper shack
Why does the treasury board have that policy? Don't we already provide base housing?

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe

Paper Mac posted:

Why does the treasury board have that policy? Don't we already provide base housing?

The better question is why the gently caress does a house cost 405k in Edmonton.

Lead out in cuffs
Sep 18, 2012

"That's right. We've evolved."

"I can see that. Cool mutations."




Cultural Imperial posted:

The better question is why the gently caress does a house cost 405k in Edmonton a small town 40km north of Edmonton with a population of 1,534 and only 500 dwellings.

ocrumsprug
Sep 23, 2010

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
I think you will find that there are several cows hemming in available land in the area, and since they don't make any more of it, those houses have effectively infinite long term growth potential. Also the bank gave them a 400K mortgage, so like most Canadians they just threw it at a house since there is no price at which real estate isn't a good investment.

If I were to be charitable, there is probably some additional labour costs for construction in Alberta with the tar sands sucking the workforce north.

Idiocy is probably the correct answer though.

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/serial-bad-tenants-leave-b-c-landlords-in-the-lurch-1.2603174

quote:

B.C. landlords are calling for a bad tenant registry after several became unwilling targets of a pair of apparent serially-delinquent renters.

Kim Gouws said she hasn't seen a penny of the $5,000 she's owed from the couple who lived in her Maple Ridge rental unit since the end of January.

The pair pushed to move in early, on January 26th. Gouws only later learned that was likely because they'd just been served with an eviction notice five days earlier.

"We did a lot to allow them to come in when they wanted to," she said. "And then the original rent cheque and the deposit cheque bounced."

Susan and Chris Perret - renters - Kim Gouws
Kim Gouws said she is owed $5,000 from the couple moved into her Maple Ridge rental home at the end of January. (CBC)

Just over two months later, the pair are now gone, but Gouws isn't the first landlord who lost rent money and pushed to evict the pair.

"She's been doing this all in a row." Gouws said. "She just been going from one to the other to the other and I don't know if those people get paid anything."

A CBC News investigation found that the couple, Susan and Chris Perret, have lived nearly rent-free in at least five homes over the past two years. CBC News found records going back to August 2012, when the pair were evicted from one Maple Ridge home.

Susan and Chris Perret - graphic - 5 home evictions
A CBC News investigation found that Susan and Chris Perret have lived nearly rent-free in at least five homes over the past two years. (CBC)

Then, in late 2012 and early 2013, the couple lived in Suman Parasad's rental property in Maple Ridge. Parasad said for four months they ignored her eviction order.

"They refused, and the last time I went and asked, she said 'I'll go when I want to.' That really made me angry, and so I called the court bailiffs and said, 'evict them right now,'" Parasad said.

Susan and Chris Perret - renters - Suman Parasad
Suman Parasad is getting paid back the $7,900 she is owed in monthly instalments of $450. (CBC)

Parasad says she is out $7,900 from the ordeal.

"It hurt me really badly, financially." Parasad said. "I am not going to let them go. I want my money, simple as that. I work very hard for it and I want my money."

After winning at the residential tenancy hearing, Parasad took her complaint to small claims court. After several hearings, the Perrets have begun to slowly pay her back at the rate of $450 per month.

Records show that the Perrets were then evicted from another Maple Ridge home in October 2013, and then moved into Noel Beaulieu's property in Mission in November.

Susan and Chris Perret - renters - Noel Beaulieu
The Perrets moved into Noel Beaulieu's property in Mission in November. (CBC)

One month's rent cleared, but the other cheques were returned, marked "not sufficient funds." Beaulieu says he is out $1,500.

Beaulieu was able to get an eviction notice in late January, and videotaped the whole thing. He said the Perrets seemed to know it was coming.

"They knew more about the Residential Tenancy Act than we did. They knew all the steps and they were anticipating each step as we took it," he said.

From there, they Perrets moved into Gouws's property.

CBC's Natalie Clancy reached Susan Perret by telephone, and asked why she wasn't paying rent for months at the properties on record.

"Well, there's a whole bunch of issues for everybody, right?" Perret said.

Susan and Chris Perret - renters - Noel Beaulieu - eviction
Noel Beaulieu was able to get an eviction notice in late January, and videotaped the whole thing. (CBC)

On Monday, Perret promised her lawyer would tell her side of the story, but that hasn't happened yet.

Knowing they are the fifth landlord to lose out on rent from the Perrets, Gouws says it's time the Residential Tenancy Branch make available a list of bad tenants.

"The Residential Tenancy Act should have had their names on there so we could call in and say, 'I would like to rent to these people' and what they could say to me would be 'I would not recommend that,'" Gouws said.

As it stands, she says it's too easy for repeat non-payers to keep living rent-free.

"The system doesn't really work for the landlords. I think it works much more for the tenants," Gouws said




being a landlord is hard u guys

Kafka Esq.
Jan 1, 2005

"If you ever even think about calling me anything but 'The Crab' I will go so fucking crab on your ass you won't even see what crab'd your crab" -The Crab(TM)
Being subject to a registry that denies you HOUSING, likely without a trial or any kind of hearing, is so hilariously likely to be abused by scummy and honest landlords, and swinging the power balance so wildly out to one side that it MUST be a Conservative policy plank somewhere.

Lexicon
Jul 29, 2003

I had a beer with Stephen Harper once and now I like him.

Kafka Esq. posted:

Being subject to a registry that denies you HOUSING, likely without a trial or any kind of hearing, is so hilariously likely to be abused by scummy and honest landlords, and swinging the power balance so wildly out to one side that it MUST be a Conservative policy plank somewhere.

Exactly. If party A owes party B money, we already have a mechanism in place to deal with that - it has existed for centuries.

Segue
May 23, 2007

Toronto, Vancouver, and Calgary are the three best cities in the world for real estate investment: http://www.thestar.com/business/real_estate/2014/04/09/toronto_vancouver_calgary_rated_tops_for_real_estate_investment.bb.html

quote:

Their star ranking doesn’t come so much from short-term metrics like return on investment, but their longer term “resilience” — a stellar combination of “low vulnerability and high adaptive capacity,” says the unusual report, more than three years in the making, by the U.K.-based Grosvenor Group.

Adding to that ability to rise above the cyclical ups and downs of the real estate market is the fact all three Canadian cities have a “high level of resource availability” and “are well governed and well planned.”

Yes, once international capital has turned London into a luxurious ghost town, it should definitely come here.

FrozenVent
May 1, 2009

The Boeing 737-200QC is the undisputed workhorse of the skies.

Sounds like a bunch of people bought investment properties with no idea of the pitfalls.

"Deadbeat renters are a thing? Really? Why didn't my real estate agent tell me this!"

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe

Segue posted:

Toronto, Vancouver, and Calgary are the three best cities in the world for real estate investment: http://www.thestar.com/business/real_estate/2014/04/09/toronto_vancouver_calgary_rated_tops_for_real_estate_investment.bb.html


Yes, once international capital has turned London into a luxurious ghost town, it should definitely come here.

Quote, "These three cities have a great deal of economic dynamism".

Where did they get their info from? Bob rennie?

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe

FrozenVent posted:

Sounds like a bunch of people bought investment properties with no idea of the pitfalls.

"Deadbeat renters are a thing? Really? Why didn't my real estate agent tell me this!"

We need to protect our property owners from the scourge of renters bro.

apatheticman
May 13, 2003

Wedge Regret

Cultural Imperial posted:

We need to protect our property owners from the scourge of renters bro.

Bring the "Lord" back to landlord.

In the ruling sense not the Jesus sense

Lexicon
Jul 29, 2003

I had a beer with Stephen Harper once and now I like him.

FrozenVent posted:

Sounds like a bunch of people bought investment properties with no idea of the pitfalls.

"Deadbeat renters are a thing? Really? Why didn't my real estate agent tell me this!"

I'm honestly baffled that so many people are so keen to become amateur landlords. First off, all the usual detractor talking points aside (high transaction costs, illiquid, etc) - it's simply a terrible investment generally. Net of all costs, a condo in most places in say, BC, will barely break 4% in annual return, and that's assuming all goes to plan.

But more relevantly - I wouldn't do it irrespective of how good the return was. It could yield 25% and I wouldn't be interested. I could not be loving bothered with the hassle of receiving phone calls to have toilets unplugged, filtering out idiots on Craigslist, etc, etc. That people willingly sign up for this truly mystifies me.

That said - I love that they do :D

LemonDrizzle
Mar 28, 2012

neoliberal shithead

Lexicon posted:

I'm honestly baffled that so many people are so keen to become amateur landlords. First off, all the usual detractor talking points aside (high transaction costs, illiquid, etc) - it's simply a terrible investment generally. Net of all costs, a condo in most places in say, BC, will barely break 4% in annual return, and that's assuming all goes to plan.

But more relevantly - I wouldn't do it irrespective of how good the return was. It could yield 25% and I wouldn't be interested. I could not be loving bothered with the hassle of receiving phone calls to have toilets unplugged, filtering out idiots on Craigslist, etc, etc. That people willingly sign up for this truly mystifies me.

That said - I love that they do :D

You're forgetting the guaranteed 5-10% p.a. capital appreciation there, bub.

:colbert:

Baronjutter
Dec 31, 2007

"Tiny Trains"

If I could make a decent living wage at it I'd love being a landlord. Not for a condo but my own little apartment building. Nothing huge, maybe 20-30 units. Get to know all the tenants, screen well, keep the building in perfect shape, charge a fair rent and treat the tenants well. I'm very social and I like fixing and building things, seems like a pretty good gig if you like that sort of thing.

A lot of landlords seem to loving hate people, hate buildings, and hate dealing with finances. I'm not sure why they do it. I guess anyone who gets into the game without knowing what they're getting into, thinking they just sit on the building and get rent and never factored upkeep or dealing with problem tenants into it are going to get jaded and grumpy fast.

"I did all the math before I went into this! The rent is $1300, the mortgage is $1200, I should be making $100 a month on each of these condos I bought! But this loving tenant clearly broke the sink as some sort of class war related attack on his better but I won't let them sabotage my success! Now the government wants me to pay TAXES?!? Jackles! Vultures!! This society hates entrepreneurs!"

Also someone with a whole apartment building is in it for the rents, most rental condo owners just see the renter as subsidizing their mortgage and the real "investment" is the increasing value of the condo. I sort of know a few tar sand workers and every single one of them puts their money into condos. Buy a condo with a large downpayment, rent it out to break even (or even a slight loss) on the mortgage, repeat. Some of them have 5-6 condos now. They aren't making a cent being a landlord but they brag about how it's basically a "free investment".

Baronjutter fucked around with this message at 16:28 on Apr 9, 2014

Lead out in cuffs
Sep 18, 2012

"That's right. We've evolved."

"I can see that. Cool mutations."




Yeah somebody clearly never heard of checking references. Hell, professional rental companies do credit checks.

Baronjutter posted:

Also someone with a whole apartment building is in it for the rents, most rental condo owners just see the renter as subsidizing their mortgage and the real "investment" is the increasing value of the condo. I sort of know a few tar sand workers and every single one of them puts their money into condos. Buy a condo with a large downpayment, rent it out to break even (or even a slight loss) on the mortgage, repeat. Some of them have 5-6 condos now. They aren't making a cent being a landlord but they brag about how it's basically a "free investment".

What could go wrong?

Other than the tar sands drying up and interest rates rising before they have those paid off, leaving them underwater on not one but six properties.

Rutibex
Sep 9, 2001

by Fluffdaddy

Lexicon posted:

I'm honestly baffled that so many people are so keen to become amateur landlords. First off, all the usual detractor talking points aside (high transaction costs, illiquid, etc) - it's simply a terrible investment generally. Net of all costs, a condo in most places in say, BC, will barely break 4% in annual return, and that's assuming all goes to plan.

People like the feeling of having power over others. It makes them feel smart "Heh this idiot is paying my mortgage for me; I'm such an advanced investment genius!"

Paper Mac
Mar 2, 2007

lives in a paper shack
Get a certified cheque for first and last, bam, problem solved.

LemonDrizzle
Mar 28, 2012

neoliberal shithead

Lead out in cuffs posted:

Other than the tar sands drying up and interest rates rising before they have those paid off, leaving them underwater on not one but six properties.
To be fair, if you're going to make a "get rich or declare bankruptcy" play you may as well make it as big as possible since the downside's the same no matter how much debt you end up discharging.

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

Lexicon posted:

I'm honestly baffled that so many people are so keen to become amateur landlords. First off, all the usual detractor talking points aside (high transaction costs, illiquid, etc) - it's simply a terrible investment generally. Net of all costs, a condo in most places in say, BC, will barely break 4% in annual return, and that's assuming all goes to plan.

But more relevantly - I wouldn't do it irrespective of how good the return was. It could yield 25% and I wouldn't be interested. I could not be loving bothered with the hassle of receiving phone calls to have toilets unplugged, filtering out idiots on Craigslist, etc, etc. That people willingly sign up for this truly mystifies me.

That said - I love that they do :D

Oh God, my last apartment was the main floor of a house in downtown Toronto. I lived there while it was in the process of being sold. The previous owners had contracted a management agency because I guess they didn't live in the city. We figured out in the first week that we couldn't turn on the electric kettle and the toaster without overloading the circuit breaker and calling the basement tenant to flip it. Anyway, we call the management company, they send an electrician, put in a new breaker, done. Well, we also tell the management company that the exterior is basically falling apart because the lawn's never been raked or anything. Instead of a landscaper, our landlord showed up.

"Yeah," he said, "we're gonna have to sell this house."
"Oh, why?"
"Well, we got this management company to maintain it, but they just call a specialist and charge us for it. It's not as lucrative as we thought it'd be."

Um....isn't that what management companies are meant to do? :psyduck:

Anyway, it gets sold to some analyst at CIBC. This guy has a full time job,but his wife doesn't work. It turns out that the top floor isn't up to code because the previous owners just ignored it. I know the house was listed at $675k, because we had thought of buying it. We moved out in November 2012. Dude is still trying to get that top floor up to code. This poor guy. I hope he lowballed that offer, but I'm not optimistic.

Landlording seems awful, but yeah, that's because my experiences with landlord is just that they don't give a poo poo about making apartments habitable. Right before I moved away from Dublin in 2008 the city council had passed new tenancy laws which actually included required on-site laundry. That sure would be awesome :smith:

Baronjutter posted:

They aren't making a cent being a landlord but they brag about how it's basically a "free investment".


How do they define "free" and "investment"? Also are they aware of any other investments? Like, at all?

PT6A
Jan 5, 2006

Public school teachers are callous dictators who won't lift a finger to stop children from peeing in my plane
It's amusing. All the really rich people I know avoid being [residential] landlords like the plague, and none of them made any substantial part of their fortune through owning residential properties. I don't know where people are getting the idea that "investment properties" are such a good idea, because it certainly can't be by looking at how rich people actually made their money.

Baronjutter
Dec 31, 2007

"Tiny Trains"

There's this real idea out there that LAND and realestate are the safest and most real investments. Stocks and mutual funds and all that can just vanish at the drop of a hat and are confusing. But owning land, owning a building, that's a real investment, that's something you can touch and see. Also being a land LORD is like nobility, you get to make huge profits via rent-seeking and don't have to do any work, you just need the capital to buy and you're the boss! I used to think like this as a kid/teen. Most all the rich people I knew were immigrants who bought up tons of property since coming over here with nothing, but the market and world is very different now vs the 50's. People have these ideas of either flipping house after house for massive profit each time, or buying up a whole rental empire. I mean a 10 unit apartment building would be giving you 10,000 a MONTH, 10,000 a month of free money just for owning the building.

Also even if you're starting small with a single condo, it's still great money. The tenant covers the mortgage for you so that makes it basically free, but you get to keep that 5% value increase a year. By the time your mortgage is paid off it will be worth double and you'll not have paid a cent towards it due to idiot renters paying your mortgage for you. Renters are just idiots too short-sighted and lazy to INVEST.

Transaction costs? What ever it's peanuts compared to what you'll make when you sell. Gotta spend money to make money.
Upkeep? What ever, replace a faucet or something every few years? That's easy enough, or hell I'll just hire a management firm. Isn't that mostly the tenants job anyways?
Market not giving me 5% a year? lol sure every realtor I talk to says we're going to be at least doubling again in the next 10-20 years.

PT6A
Jan 5, 2006

Public school teachers are callous dictators who won't lift a finger to stop children from peeing in my plane

Baronjutter posted:

Renters are just idiots too short-sighted and lazy to INVEST.

Most of the affluent/rich people I know indeed on their own homes, and possibly vacation properties, and consider it good inasmuch as it's a fairly reliable hedge if you don't buy in the middle of a bubble, so it can't be said that they're opposed to ownership completely. Owning a residential property that you yourself are not living in, though, is a completely different matter, and I don't see many people I would consider "successful" doing it. If you want to be a full-time landlord, that's a different matter, but you require a lot more capital to get that started.

The Dipshit
Dec 21, 2005

by FactsAreUseless

Baronjutter posted:

If I could make a decent living wage at it I'd love being a landlord. Not for a condo but my own little apartment building. Nothing huge, maybe 20-30 units. Get to know all the tenants, screen well, keep the building in perfect shape, charge a fair rent and treat the tenants well. I'm very social and I like fixing and building things, seems like a pretty good gig if you like that sort of thing.

A lot of landlords seem to loving hate people, hate buildings, and hate dealing with finances. I'm not sure why they do it. I guess anyone who gets into the game without knowing what they're getting into, thinking they just sit on the building and get rent and never factored upkeep or dealing with problem tenants into it are going to get jaded and grumpy fast.

"I did all the math before I went into this! The rent is $1300, the mortgage is $1200, I should be making $100 a month on each of these condos I bought! But this loving tenant clearly broke the sink as some sort of class war related attack on his better but I won't let them sabotage my success! Now the government wants me to pay TAXES?!? Jackles! Vultures!! This society hates entrepreneurs!"

Also someone with a whole apartment building is in it for the rents, most rental condo owners just see the renter as subsidizing their mortgage and the real "investment" is the increasing value of the condo. I sort of know a few tar sand workers and every single one of them puts their money into condos. Buy a condo with a large downpayment, rent it out to break even (or even a slight loss) on the mortgage, repeat. Some of them have 5-6 condos now. They aren't making a cent being a landlord but they brag about how it's basically a "free investment".

The parents of a good friend of mine did exactly that. The immigrated from BC to Texas when he was in highschool (where the rent laws skew wildly in favor of the landlord) and leveraged themselves into a 30 unit building in a good school district with 5% down on a 2 million dollar purchase. Apparently his dad makes ~150k net p/a doing it, though the first few years were pretty drat lean.

ocrumsprug
Sep 23, 2010

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Claverjoe posted:

The parents of a good friend of mine did exactly that. The immigrated from BC to Texas when he was in highschool (where the rent laws skew wildly in favor of the landlord) and leveraged themselves into a 30 unit building in a good school district with 5% down on a 2 million dollar purchase. Apparently his dad makes ~150k net p/a doing it, though the first few years were pretty drat lean.

Buying apartment buildings with appropriate CAP rates and working as a landlord can be completely worthwhile, otherwise you wouldn't see REITs and property management companies doing it and making super consistent profits.

What you don't see are REITs set up owning random condos in various buildings and houses as rental units.

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
http://politicsrespun.org/2014/04/resistance-is-futile-steveston-developers-pr-flacks-and-the-borg/

Onni are rear end in a top hat developers. They bought Steveston land zoned for mixed maritime use. Built a condo project for mixed residential and commercial use. Richmond won't rezone. Onni hires some rear end in a top hat named Bob Ransford to conduct social media pr campaign to get Richmond to rezone.

quote:


“Empty?” You might ask. Why would valuable retail space alongside a waterfront in Vancouver be empty? A very good question.

It turns out that Richmond’s City Council wanted to preserve the character of the property that was up for development when BC Packers – the fishing and canning company – sold the land. So they zoned it “Mixed Maritime Use” – a land-use decision that intended to preserve the character of the area by restricting it to maritime-related uses, like fish markets, boat supplies and services, offices, and the like. They did this a long time ago.

But Onni didn’t like this. According to documents before the Richmond City Council’s Planning Committee, Onni has been, for some time, trying hard to convince Richmond to re-zone their land so that they can do more than just maritime related uses.

Richmond has so far said no – they have wanted to preserve the land for maritime uses. It’s a valid choice that the Council – democratically elected – has made. And in our society, that’s generally something to be respected.

But again, Onni won’t take no for an answer. Resistance is futile.

Onni went and built their Imperial Landing in the mixed maritime use land zone. They’re relatively pretty buildings, all new and shiny. And despite Onni arguing since at least 2007 that the mixed maritime use zone was economically unfeasible – they built them anyways.

And now that Onni claims that because they haven’t been able to find tenants to fill their mixed maritime retail spaces, they should be allowed to rezone them for broader retail uses. In effect, Onni wants to do an end-run around the planning process after they’ve been denied so many times.

Someone named Bob Ransford is leading a PR campaign on social media to support their desires to do just that. He’s a local Steveston resident, PR person who works for real estate developers amongst other clients, and principal of Counterpoint Communications. He’s tweeting doomsday messages about the upcoming decision  - in his words, surely only a sadistic City Council would allow such beautiful buildings to go unfilled. If you read his tweets, you’d think that Steveston were facing economic collapse if these buildings weren’t immediately rezoned and leased out to the highest bidder.

Bob Ransford insists that he’s doing this out of the goodness of his own heart. Which is probably a good thing, because if he were being paid by Onni to do this work, they might want to revisit his instructions.



Baronjutter
Dec 31, 2007

"Tiny Trains"

I know people in Victoria that want to do what this guy does, professionally. They work close with developers to try to get "grass roots" support for developments and blast ads for projects on social media. Sort of marketing/proponents for hire. They started out just caring about density in the city and fighting against a rather nimby and height-phobic council, something I participated in, but by doing it so much they've basically drank way too much developer/realtor kool-aid.

FrozenVent
May 1, 2009

The Boeing 737-200QC is the undisputed workhorse of the skies.

ocrumsprug posted:

Buying apartment buildings with appropriate CAP rates and working as a landlord can be completely worthwhile, otherwise you wouldn't see REITs and property management companies doing it and making super consistent profits.

What you don't see are REITs set up owning random condos in various buildings and houses as rental units.

Exactly - rental income makes sense in multi-unit building; single family homes and condos (Especially condos) are a stupid choice. Of course if you own an apartment block, it's going to be more work than owning a single condo, so the lazy landlord "Free money" types don't get involved in that.

A few years back I considered buying a triplex, renting one unit to my father for cheap (He's handy with maintenance), living in one and renting out the other. I think that would have worked out ok; if I'd needed to move out of town I'd have let my father handle the building and rented the last unit out.

Then I realized that triplexes in my area were up to $450 000 each, and even my real estate agent friend went :stare:.

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe

Baronjutter posted:

I know people in Victoria that want to do what this guy does, professionally. They work close with developers to try to get "grass roots" support for developments and blast ads for projects on social media. Sort of marketing/proponents for hire. They started out just caring about density in the city and fighting against a rather nimby and height-phobic council, something I participated in, but by doing it so much they've basically drank way too much developer/realtor kool-aid.

I knew of friends of friends who did the same thing for bodog. Professional astroturfing is a good source of economic growth in BC it seems.

krooj
Dec 2, 2006
Just popping in to say that I live in Toronto and really, really don't understand where people are getting the kind of money required for these $300k+ 500 sq. ft. shoeboxes that are popping up, literally, everywhere. The whole thing is like some unholy time-bomb of people living beyond their means, discovering that all these high-rises that went up in the last 8-10 years are built like poo poo and will have heinous maintenance fees, and gen-x/y-ers that are going to get baby-crazy and push back into the burbs for more space.

e: want some fun? Try to convince someone that currently lives in Liberty Village that it is an impending slum.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

krooj posted:

Just popping in to say that I live in Toronto and really, really don't understand where people are getting the kind of money required for these $300k+ 500 sq. ft. shoeboxes that are popping up, literally, everywhere. The whole thing is like some unholy time-bomb of people living beyond their means, discovering that all these high-rises that went up in the last 8-10 years are built like poo poo and will have heinous maintenance fees, and gen-x/y-ers that are going to get baby-crazy and push back into the burbs for more space.

e: want some fun? Try to convince someone that currently lives in Liberty Village that it is an impending slum.

It's basically the perfect storm of cheap easy credit and also the government underwriting people's irrational home ownership dreams.

The only bright side in whole mess is Canadian banks have bit better rainy day fund than the US banks but really doesn't matter when you have a big bubble bursting.

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
Baronjutter, due to your job I assume you get to see a lot of old and new buildings, yes? Based upon what you've seen, what do you think about the quality of construction, of old vs. new buildings in victoria?

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

This is the best article on the new condos:
http://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2014/02/19/degrading_condo_windows_expected_to_trigger_major_wave_of_replacements.html

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
Vancity is offering 2.5% downpayment mortgages, up to a maximum of 500k.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XBl5MfA3QiU

Canada has no subprime. Canada is a shining example of how to regulate the banks. We survived the great recession and our banking industry is the envy of the world u guyz

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

Cultural Imperial posted:

Vancity is offering 2.5% downpayment mortgages, up to a maximum of 500k.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XBl5MfA3QiU

Canada has no subprime. Canada is a shining example of how to regulate the banks. We survived the great recession and our banking industry is the envy of the world u guyz

It's nothing like the US real estate bubble.

krooj
Dec 2, 2006

Cultural Imperial posted:

Vancity is offering 2.5% downpayment mortgages, up to a maximum of 500k.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XBl5MfA3QiU

Canada has no subprime. Canada is a shining example of how to regulate the banks. We survived the great recession and our banking industry is the envy of the world u guyz

... :cry:

I wish I still lived in Kitchener-Waterloo, tbh. After BlackBerry poo poo the bed it was no longer the trendy place to be and it looks like home prices are starting to go back to normal. MLS shows a bunch of free hold post-war brick homes for mid-high 200s, which seems fair.

krooj fucked around with this message at 15:26 on Apr 10, 2014

tagesschau
Sep 1, 2006
Guten Abend, meine Damen und Herren.

krooj posted:

Just popping in to say that I live in Toronto and really, really don't understand where people are getting the kind of money required for these $300k+ 500 sq. ft. shoeboxes that are popping up, literally, everywhere. The whole thing is like some unholy time-bomb of people living beyond their means, discovering that all these high-rises that went up in the last 8-10 years are built like poo poo and will have heinous maintenance fees, and gen-x/y-ers that are going to get baby-crazy and push back into the burbs for more space.

e: want some fun? Try to convince someone that currently lives in Liberty Village that it is an impending slum.

It's even true in the older inner suburbs. It's disconcerting to look at the median household income for our area, compare it to our household income, and then look at (mostly single-family) home prices and realize that most people buying these homes can't really afford them.

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
Stop shorting Canada you guys. You don't have the same access to information that I have!

http://business.financialpost.com/2014/04/10/canada-housing-market-correction-us/

quote:


Benjamin Tal never imagined himself the defender of the Canadian housing market, but the deputy chief economist at CIBC is doing exactly that as he squares off against a U.S. commentator calling out what he sees as a bloated real estate market.

The Thursday morning debate, closed to the public, is part of a global investor conference, held in conjunction with the International Monetary Fund spring meetings in Washington D.C. The conference will also include a presentation from Alan Greenspan, the former chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Mr. Tal is facing Seth Daniels, managing Partner of JKD Capital, who believes Canada is set for a significant housing correction followed by a recession — something driving the “short Canada” philosophy that evolved in the U.S. and globally.

“Everything is relative because I’m not exactly the most bullish guy [on housing],” said Mr. Tal, who has called for a 10% to 15% correction in prices. “The only issue is the magnitude.”

The difference is important because investors abroad shorting the Canadian market have the ability to impact the economy by creating enough negative sentiment to impact consumers in the country, said Mr. Tal.

He’ll be presenting his argument to a virtual who’s who of leading U.S. head fund managers and some leading economists. Among the audience will be Paul Leff, managing director of Perry Capital and Myron Samuel Scholes, a Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences famed for the Black-Scholes model which provided a framework for valuing options.

The theory among those who want to short Canada is that a credit bubble is forming here and that could lead to an economic collapse that is much bigger than the actual bubble. The critics will point to debt levels which are still almost at all time-highs with household debt about 164% of disposable income.

Mr. Tal says part of the problem for people shorting Canada is they don’t have access to the same information he has about the market because the government is not providing enough publicly accessible information.

“It’s not just good enough to look at the credit you have to see what kind of credit we are talking about,” said Mr. Tal, who made headlines this month with his calls for more data on the housing market and jobs. As a CIBC economist, he can get a pretty good read on the credit of Canadians because his bank as a sizable chunk of the market across the country.

While the home prices continue to reach all-time highs month after month, Mr. Tal says that, in itself, is not a reason to believe a collapse is imminent.

He says the whole issue of overbuilding is based on simplistic reports of people seeing cranes everywhere and adds new home construction was only 10% above household formation over the past 10 years while in the U.S. it was 170% before the market collapsed there.

In Mr. Daniels, he will be facing someone who firmly believes the Bank of Canada and the federal government are responsible in part for a collapse he says is coming.

“The role of government sponsored credit insurance in exacerbating the artificial credit boom is unique to Canada – I’m not aware of any other economy in the world that has been distorted to such a degree by credit insurance. So a large part of the Canadian credit bubble can be traced to the existence of the [Canada] Mortgage and Housing Corporation,” he said, in a recent interview.

Consumers with less than a 20% down payment in Canada must get mortgage default insurance — a market that CMHC retains majority control of. That insurance is backed by the federal government with a potential liability of up to $1-trillion.

Mr. Tal will point to defaults in Canada being well under 0.2% and even in the United States defaults at their worst reached only 6% to 7% of all mortgages.

“All these managers, I can tell you at sometime in 2006, somebody told them ‘don’t worry about sub-prime’. So they’ve been burned,” said Mr. Tal, adding the key is the Canadian market is much different than its U.S. counterpart.




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cowofwar
Jul 30, 2002

by Athanatos
Defaults happen at the end of a bubble just before poo poo hits the fan. It's not a useful metric because once they start happening it's too late.

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