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Uranium Phoenix
Jun 20, 2007

Boom.

Gerund posted:

If you think you're in a political party, why do you think so little of the philosophies and people that it is made of that you imagine any future to be ridden with bureaucrats and carpetbaggers? If you don't think you're in a political party, why let your work be leveraged by those who do view it as a leg up into the bureaucrat strata?

You'll anthromorphise mass movements of people into singular entities that make choices as a unit- when, no, labor does not have a singular choice of what party to support, and nor does the SA party itself with regards to positioning themselves as members of government. We already live with an institution that makes choices baldly based on the opinions of a select few oligarchs: but with a strong vetting process and a well-established platform the SA could create a strong anchor to re-fashion legislation. Abdicating all responsibility as a governing party isn't an answer when you can SEE the result of lovely half-baked laws like the current Seattle minwage system: laws that could rather be a dialog between strong positions of a legitimate political party representing the views of the common person (!) rather than two groups of schmucks trading copy from whatever think tank jammed on the concept recently that we have now.

Without Sawant winning an election SA wouldn't even be a figment of an idea. Winning elections is the only way to provoke fast, strong, and lasting change within the institutions that will outlive everyone alive today.
Elections, especially in the US, are a rigged game that favor the two current parties and people with a lot of money. The current first past the post system is especially awful for third parties. You can pour an immense amount of energy into elections and do jack poo poo. That's one reason to not focus solely on elections.

In many cases in history, parties that start out on the left and genuinely are for the workers shift right over time as careerists and people bandwagoning on their success join, and the party becomes more moderate as "winning the election" overrides "do good by getting into office." That's not as much a danger for SA (especially currently), but for any third labor or left unity party that forms, it would be.

To be clear, I'm not against elections or governing, and if we can run people and win, and even get a majority on a legislator, that would be amazing. All I'm saying is that elections should not be the pure end goal of a movement, but a tactic to accomplish the goals of that movement. I hope that SA can become an anchor that strongly affects legislator, or overhauls some of the awful laws out there. You're right that SA owes a ton to Sawant's election. When I say elections are a tactic, I'm not trying to downplay their importance, merely say they're not the only thing that should be on the table. I do disagree that they're the only way to provoke fast, strong, lasting change. First, you need a majority on a legislature, which is no easy task. Well crafted legislation can withstand changes in the legislature (Social Security being a good example), but any gains made that way can always be undermined by future legislatures.

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LGD
Sep 25, 2004

SyHopeful posted:

Emphasis mine. How would you interpret that?

It's a credit against the Federal minimum wage. They're perfectly free to count tips as a credit towards meeting that minimum wage threshold, and won't get in trouble with the Federal government for doing so. It's just entirely irrelevant because that wage is substantially lower than the State of Oregon's minimum, which doesn't allow tip credit. Paying less than the state minimum or applying tip credit towards that minimum is a contravention of State (not Federal) law, and any violation would be prosecuted by the State rather than the Federal government. They're two separate floors that are monitored and enforced by different entities, it's just that one of those floors is so much lower than the other that it should be irrelevant unless you're really intent on violating the law.

Senor P.
Mar 27, 2006
I MUST TELL YOU HOW PEOPLE CARE ABOUT STUFF I DONT AND BE A COMPLETE CUNT ABOUT IT
So is Seattle or Portland doing anything about the elephant in the room of skyrocketing rent and real estate prices?

I could literally buy a new house for 200-300k or pay rent from 400-700 dollars for a decent 1bedroom anywhere outside of Portland or Seattle.

Guess I'll have to wait for the baby boomers to die off before I buy a house.

oxbrain
Aug 18, 2005

Put a glide in your stride and a dip in your hip and come on up to the mothership.
Doing anything to lower real estate values would both cut tax revenue from property tax and piss off all the baby boomers who have their retirement tied up in it.

Where are you finding a decent 1 bedroom outside seattle for <$700? Either your definition of decent is wildly different from mine or you're off by a couple hundred bucks.

FRINGE
May 23, 2003
title stolen for lf posting

Chantilly Say posted:

Answering "here's how you're misusing/misrepresenting the data you've quoted" with "I don't actually care about the issue much" is, strangely, not the most solid retort.
This topic is not going anywhere, which is why I edit-deleted my post. If I am going to effortpost its not going to be to yell at that guy again. Saying someone misread something only seems true if the rest of the audience isnt reading the stuff. Go read the stuff.





Senor P. posted:

So is Seattle or Portland doing anything about the elephant in the room of skyrocketing rent and real estate prices?

I could literally buy a new house for 200-300k or pay rent from 400-700 dollars for a decent 1bedroom anywhere outside of Portland or Seattle.

Guess I'll have to wait for the baby boomers to die off before I buy a house.
Amazon seems to be the master of housing costs, and arbiter of development. (In Seattle.)

So not anytime soon?

(Also that is not accounting for the bigger game ... see the end of the post.)

http://seattletimes.com/html/businesstechnology/2019996116_amazonrealestate27.html

quote:

Amazon's influence also extends beyond the office sector. Owners and developers of apartment buildings, condo towers, hotels and retail space are cashing in on the company's growth as well.

...

Amazon won't say how many people it employs in Seattle. But the Downtown Seattle Association's Joncas estimates the count tops 10,000 now, and could reach 30,000.

While there's no data, the conventional wisdom is that the typical Amazonian is young and well-paid. Many come from out of state.

Amazon buys thousands of downtown hotel rooms every year to house those recruits, Joncas says. A California developer recently proposed a 15-story hotel right in the middle of the company's South Lake Union campus.

Once they're hired, Amazon's employees seem inclined to city living.

"Amazon uses their urban campus and the in-city lifestyle as an effective recruiting tool," says Dean Jones of brokerage Realogics Sotheby's International Realty, "and that's good for downtown housing."

"They're driving urbanization," Sperling adds. "These kids are all urban dwellers."

...

Developer Harbor Urban leased all 184 apartments in its 17-story Alto complex in Belltown in just three months after the tower opened this spring. Marketing director Emi McKittrick says more than 70 percent of Alto's tenants work in South Lake Union, where Amazon is by far the largest employer.

Pillar Properties estimates 15 to 20 percent of the tenants moving into its brand-new Lyric complex on Capitol Hill work for Amazon.

Smaller landlords are benefiting, too: Amazon employees account for 25 to 30 percent of the condo and house leases Seattle Rental Group has negotiated in close-in neighborhoods over the past five or six months, broker Ashley Hayes says.
http://www.costar.com/News/Article/Amazon-Remaking-Seattle-in-Its-Own-Image/158886

quote:

Amazon has been at the center of the region’s tech boom and its growth has drawn migration to the urban core. From 2000 to 2012, the population of downtown Seattle grew by more than 26%(1), compared to 17% for all of Seattle and only 14% nationally.
http://www.geekwire.com/2013/amazoncom-continues-expand-office-footprint-seattle/

quote:

Amazon.com continues to gobble up office space in its hometown, expanding with a new 10-year lease for about 140,000 square feet at the Metropolitan Park North building.

The lease, which was signed last month, was reported today by The Seattle Times.

The new space is located at 1220 Howell Street, and brokers tell the Times that Amazon has taken over about 2.7 million square feet in the South Lake Union and Denny Triangle neighborhoods in the past two years.

The deal also comes a few months after Amazon.com purchased its South Lake Union headquarters from Paul Allen’s Vulcan Inc. for more than $1.1 billion.

The company also is moving forward with plans for 3.3 million square feet of space in the Denny Triangle area of Seattle, part of a plan for a new campus that borders downtown.
http://seattletimes.com/html/businesstechnology/2023296419_homesalesxml.html

quote:

Home price rising more slowly, but for-sale signs remain scarce

The median price of single-family homes in King County rose in March to $414,950, an increase of 6 percent from a year ago, while prices climbed even more in Snohomish and Pierce counties.

...

The Eastside, the most expensive market in King County, saw the median price of homes sold jump 9 percent to $599,950. There were 529 homes sold in March, down 14 percent from a year ago.

Meanwhile in Seattle, the median price dipped 3 percent to $450,000. There were 576 homes sold last month, about 12 percent more than a year ago.

In Southwest King County, the county’s lowest priced market, the median jumped 16 percent to $255,500.


... and of course:

quote:

Wall Street investors have been scooping up single-family homes at the lower end of the market and turning them into rentals, particularly in South King County and Pierce County.



This is part of a big national story though. (Wall street stripping homes off the market to create a more permanent renter-class, then packaging the rental profits into some kind of new derivatives. Have we heard this before?)


http://seattletimes.com/html/businesstechnology/2023084679_institutionalinvestorsxml.html

quote:

Wall Street buyers snap up thousands of local homes for rentals

...

Last April, amid the region’s tightest housing supply in a decade, a Wall Street-backed company stormed into the Seattle metro area and bought, on average, 10 homes a day.

Invitation Homes, a subsidiary of investment giant The Blackstone Group, purchased the homes from banks, foreclosure auctions or individual sellers, and turned them into rentals. Often buying entry-level homes under $300,000, it almost always paid cash.

“Cash is king,” said Bob Papke, a RE/MAX real-estate agent in Sammamish. “Your first-time buyer who’s scrambling to get their down payment together is going to get trumped by the investor.”

By year’s end, Blackstone’s Invitation Homes had hoovered up at least 1,585 single-family homes here, according to market researcher RealtyTrac . Nationwide, Blackstone says it has spent $8 billion amassing a portfolio of 43,000 single-family homes.

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2014/01/blackstone-rental-homes-bundled-derivatives

quote:

Wall Street's Hot New Financial Product: Your Rent Check

...

Over the last two years, private equity firms and hedge funds have amassed an unprecedented real estate empire, snapping up Spanish revivals in Phoenix, adobes in Los Angeles, Queen Anne Victorians in Atlanta, and brick-faced bungalows in Chicago. In total, Wall Street investors have bought more than 200,000 cheap, mostly foreclosed houses in some of the cities hardest hit by the economic meltdown. But they're not simply flipping these houses. Instead, they've started bundling some of them into a new kind of financial product that could blow up the housing market all over again.

...

Gerund
Sep 12, 2007

He push a man


Yeah, once I saw Berkshire Hathaway: the realtor signs popping up throughout the neighborhood I knew that the market was only going to get worse for new housing.

Thankfully this literal rent-seeking is a few strong legislators away from being sucked dry as tax revenue. Just a minority of two of solid, well-vetted wonks would wield power to alter the landscape!

Which is why, again, I think that you're over-representing grand sweeps of history by easy-to-describe blocs rather than the reality that governments are made of people that have to shake hands, kiss babies, and actually face the music from a party that has a soul. Its better to put a second and third and fourth good legislator into the body rather than promote fatalist whocareism if you don't see a route to the full lock stock and barrel control of a local government.

edit: the thesis being if you're going to counter by saying that elections aren't the only method of fast, lasting and large change in society its on you to suggest something realistic and better.

Gerund fucked around with this message at 06:30 on May 7, 2014

TheDeadlyShoe
Feb 14, 2014

Honestly I think the biggest problem with third parties is that most people talking about them don't get how the current parties work. They're essentially coalitions of parties to begin with.

A theoretical alliance of 35% centrist dems and 20% lefty socialists would be wrangling with eachother about who to run and what to prioritize completely regardless of whether they formally were the Democrats/Greens or just the Democrats. They'd be wrangling coalitions no matter how the parliamentary process works. That's why/how the Tea Party ideology overtook the Republican party: they dominated the coalition process within the party. 2010 was huge for them not because the (R)s won but because that win gave them dominance within the party. Just like how the DLC overtook the leftish Democrats back in the day.

Everyone interested in pushing leftist third parties should get involved in Democrat-ic politics, full stop. No matter how Socialist Seattle might go, it will always work best on the national stage by working with/within the dominant left coalition.

FRINGE
May 23, 2003
title stolen for lf posting

Gerund posted:

Thankfully this literal rent-seeking is a few strong legislators away from being sucked dry as tax revenue. Just a minority of two of solid, well-vetted wonks would wield power to alter the landscape!
I know more about CA than WA, and I am no where near knowing all the names, connections, favors, and bribes yet. (It will take a while!)

It definitely seems more hopeful here though. The only thing I can say about (S)CA is ... its all the OC in the end. :suicide:

Ham Equity
Apr 16, 2013

The first thing we do, let's kill all the cars.
Grimey Drawer

Senor P. posted:

So is Seattle or Portland doing anything about the elephant in the room of skyrocketing rent and real estate prices?

I could literally buy a new house for 200-300k or pay rent from 400-700 dollars for a decent 1bedroom anywhere outside of Portland or Seattle.

Guess I'll have to wait for the baby boomers to die off before I buy a house.
I wasn't even aware that was an issue in Portland (not that it surprises me), but they're doing a metric fuckton of development in Seattle. Mostly high-density, mixed-use places.

FRINGE posted:

This topic is not going anywhere, which is why I edit-deleted my post. If I am going to effortpost its not going to be to yell at that guy again. Saying someone misread something only seems true if the rest of the audience isnt reading the stuff. Go read the stuff.

Amazon seems to be the master of housing costs, and arbiter of development. (In Seattle.)

So not anytime soon?

(Also that is not accounting for the bigger game ... see the end of the post.)

http://seattletimes.com/html/businesstechnology/2023296419_homesalesxml.html

quote:

...The median price of single-family homes in King County rose in March to $414,950, an increase of 6 percent from a year ago, while prices climbed even more in Snohomish and Pierce counties.
I'm not saying that there isn't an issue with housing and rent prices (because there is), but the fact that prices are climbing more quickly in Snohomish and Pierce counties (which have significantly slower growth rates) shows that there is at least some mitigation of rising housing costs going on.

Cicero
Dec 17, 2003

Jumpjet, melta, jumpjet. Repeat for ten minutes or until victory is assured.

FRINGE posted:

Amazon seems to be the master of housing costs, and arbiter of development. (In Seattle.)

So not anytime soon?
Eh? It's in Amazon's best interest to have lots and lots of housing near its offices, since having lower housing prices effectively increases their compensation to employees relative to their competition (Silicon Valley) without having to actually spend more money.

Martin Random
Jul 18, 2003

by FactsAreUseless

Uranium Phoenix posted:

Just to add to this and plug these awesome organizations, 15 Now is trying to start up pushes for a higher minimum wage everywhere they can, not just in Seattle. If you're interested in starting a local 15 Now branch or joining one in your area, check them out. Or, if you're in Seattle, the petition drive to get the stronger $15/hour without all the lovely loopholes and phase-in is starting in a few weeks. They could use all the help they can get. Also, if you don't have time to spare, even small donations help because they don't have a ton of resources.

If you're interested in getting more people like Sawant elected to push these kind of progressive issues, try Socialist Alternative. Full disclosure, I joined them a few years back. They're a solid group doing good stuff.

Ideally, the 15/hour minimum wage is just a starting point for a larger social and economic justice movement that starts advancing other progressive goals. How far it gets and how successful it is depends completely on the support they can get and the amount of people they can mobilize.

We've been following the minimum wage movement in Seattle down here in California. I started a $15 hr minimum wage initiative campaign in my hometown of Davis. Two weeks ago, I attended a meeting in Oakland where several different regional movements to raise the minimum wage were present. Saru Jayaraman chaired the meeting, along with folks from the Berkeley Labor Center. Inspired by the efforts in Seattle, Socialist Alternative chapters have started in Oakland and San Francisco, as well as Sacramento.

As soon as the Mayor's proposal in Seattle happened, I started getting contacted by folks from across the country interested in starting their own minimum wage movements in their local jurisdictions.

We couldn't make the big convention in Seattle because our campaign is running pretty hot, but the national head of SA flew in from New York and met with us. I was just talking to the national director of 15 now and the SA guy yesterday on a conference call. My sense is that they're so busy with the initiative up in seattle that they're not equipped to really start fostering the activities of other chapters. So I've started putting together a spreadsheet of activists in small towns from across the country... I've been making calls all day, advising these folks on organizational tactics, and doing research into the initiative campaign laws of various jurisdictions.

I'm pretty tempted to start a thread on this, both to inform people and to encourage folks to start their own chapters, since it's really taking off in a lot of locations across the country.

FRINGE
May 23, 2003
title stolen for lf posting
When people start in on the "ALL THE PRICES WILL DOUBLE!" fears, theres a few short videos that get the general point across without taking too much time:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAcaeLmybCY

CaptainSarcastic
Jul 6, 2013



Here are a couple examples of local street signs I mentioned. They are for Portland alley, a half-block up from Portland street (yes, Eugene has a Portland street),

Old style sign:



New style sign:



The newer signs are much easier to read at a glance in general.

Ham Equity
Apr 16, 2013

The first thing we do, let's kill all the cars.
Grimey Drawer
Those don't look anything like Portland street signs; they're not at all obscured by a tree, and nobody has turned them 90 degrees so they're facing the wrong direction.

SyHopeful
Jun 24, 2007
May an IDF soldier mistakenly gun down my own parents and face no repercussions i'd totally be cool with it cuz accidents are unavoidable in a low-intensity conflict, man

Thanatosian posted:

Those don't look anything like Portland street signs; they're not at all obscured by a tree, and nobody has turned them 90 degrees so they're facing the wrong direction.

Also, they're present.

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>
In Eugene, you know you're on High Street because all the signs have been stolen.

withak
Jan 15, 2003


Fun Shoe
That mixed-case case font for street signs is currently the official design standard. The old, all-caps font is technically discernable from further away, but the preponderance of vertical lines involved makes it harder to read fast if you are elderly, don't see well, and don't think as fast as you used to, which on average you are and don't and don't. Mixed-case signs make the road safer for all of us.

FRINGE
May 23, 2003
title stolen for lf posting

Thanatosian posted:

nobody has turned them 90 degrees so they're facing the wrong direction.
I hated that in Portland.

woke wedding drone
Jun 1, 2003

by exmarx
Fun Shoe

The-Mole posted:

In Eugene, you know you're on High Street because all the signs have been stolen.

Seattle:

CaptainSarcastic
Jul 6, 2013



The-Mole posted:

In Eugene, you know you're on High Street because all the signs have been stolen.

There are also:

Baker Boulevard
Stoney Ridge Drive
Leisure Lane (although I'm not sure it's technically a marked street anymore)

and

Nixon Street

Hedera Helix
Sep 2, 2011

The laws of the fiesta mean nothing!

They didn't.

Please tell me they named it after a different Nixon than you-know-who.

LGD
Sep 25, 2004

Hedera Helix posted:

They didn't.

Please tell me they named it after a different Nixon than you-know-who.

If it's any consolation it isn't in with the rest of the Presidents so Jackson and Polk won't have their names sullied by the association.

:kheldragar:

CaptainSarcastic
Jul 6, 2013



I'm honestly not sure if Nixon street is named after the ex-President or not, but it is still an oddity. I'm pretty sure it is the street I lost my virginity on, too, although that is really neither here nor there.

glowing-fish
Feb 18, 2013

Keep grinding,
I hope you level up! :)
http://www.seattlepi.com/news/us/article/Campaign-to-turn-away-same-sex-couples-suspended-5466970.php

So apparently a group put a measure on the ballot in Oregon to protect "religious freedom" in the way of not serving gays, but the day afterwards, decided it was going to lose and has decided to not actively support it?

woke wedding drone
Jun 1, 2003

by exmarx
Fun Shoe

Hedera Helix posted:

They didn't.

Please tell me they named it after a different Nixon than you-know-who.

There's a Nixon Street in Lakewood, across from Steilacoom Park. It looks like a little slice of white senior citizen suburb paradise; they're right to invoke the protective totem of Tricky Dick.

Die Sexmonster!
Nov 30, 2005

SedanChair posted:

There's a Nixon Street in Lakewood, across from Steilacoom Park. It looks like a little slice of white senior citizen suburb paradise; they're right to invoke the protective totem of Tricky Dick.

That explains the militant police here. I want to move desperately.

SALT CURES HAM
Jan 4, 2011
Is moving to the PNW from Texas worth it? More specifically, is it worth it if I don't have a college degree?

woke wedding drone
Jun 1, 2003

by exmarx
Fun Shoe

SALT CURES HAM posted:

Is moving to the PNW from Texas worth it? More specifically, is it worth it if I don't have a college degree?

What do you want to do with your life? What are your thoughts on dampness and grayness?

got any sevens
Feb 9, 2013

by Cyrano4747

SALT CURES HAM posted:

Is moving to the PNW from Texas worth it? More specifically, is it worth it if I don't have a college degree?

Moving to Somalia from Texas is worth it. PNW is even better than that. I have a college degree but couldn't find a job to use it so I just have a grunt job with union benefits, it's pretty good actually.

Hedera Helix
Sep 2, 2011

The laws of the fiesta mean nothing!

SALT CURES HAM posted:

Is moving to the PNW from Texas worth it? More specifically, is it worth it if I don't have a college degree?

If nothing else, it would be beneficial to visit during winter before you make the decision to move to Oregon or Washington. The weather during those months isn't quite constant rain, so much as it is gloomy and gray, and it would be best if you knew ahead of time whether you could stand it being like that for half the year.

Beowulfs_Ghost
Nov 6, 2009

Hedera Helix posted:

If nothing else, it would be beneficial to visit during winter before you make the decision to move to Oregon or Washington. The weather during those months isn't quite constant rain, so much as it is gloomy and gray, and it would be best if you knew ahead of time whether you could stand it being like that for half the year.

This is good advice.

People who grew up in the PNW take the clouds and wet for granted. But I've met many people who have moved here from sunny states that just couldn't get use to the weather here. It is almost like it causes a kind of claustrophobia.

Also, while the rain isn't constant, the clouds and cool temperature means that things will stay wet all day long.

Gerund
Sep 12, 2007

He push a man


Beowulfs_Ghost posted:

This is good advice.

People who grew up in the PNW take the clouds and wet for granted. But I've met many people who have moved here from sunny states that just couldn't get use to the weather here. It is almost like it causes a kind of claustrophobia.

Also, while the rain isn't constant, the clouds and cool temperature means that things will stay wet all day long.

The weather is quite nice for light-sensitive eyes. Hardly anyone wears sunglasses other than on sunny days, and I see more tuques with sport decals than ballcaps.

Beowulfs_Ghost
Nov 6, 2009

Gerund posted:

The weather is quite nice for light-sensitive eyes. Hardly anyone wears sunglasses other than on sunny days, and I see more tuques with sport decals than ballcaps.

I wear a ballcap more to keep the rain of my glasses than to keep the sun out of my eyes.

woke wedding drone
Jun 1, 2003

by exmarx
Fun Shoe
When it's overcast, sustain yourself by plunging into the rainforest and smelling the damp earth and moss :getin:

Beowulfs_Ghost
Nov 6, 2009
And if you go in September, you mind find a treat popping up out of the moss.

FRINGE
May 23, 2003
title stolen for lf posting

SedanChair posted:

When it's overcast, sustain yourself by plunging into the rainforest and smelling the damp earth and moss :getin:
I here its "the best idea" to smack every mushroom you see and inhale all the spores. Confirm/deny?

Dont do this!

glowing-fish
Feb 18, 2013

Keep grinding,
I hope you level up! :)

SALT CURES HAM posted:

Is moving to the PNW from Texas worth it? More specifically, is it worth it if I don't have a college degree?

On the pro side, there are very few cockroaches in the Pacific Northwest. That might be a positive.

Because I want to keep this thread relevant to bigger issues, are you thinking of moving to the Pacific Northwest out of some type of social/political motivation? Do you want to live in a city that is a city and not just an endless suburb? Are you interested in a variety of artistic and cultural activities? Do you like to bicycle? And, are all of those things worth the fact that things might be more expensive and that jobs might be harder to come by?

TheDeadlyShoe
Feb 14, 2014

I moved from Dallas to Seattle when I was younger and I love it here.

I've never found the rain any kind of issue compared to the blistering heat/tornado/hailstorm cycle.

I always have ended up wearing thicker jackets than everyone though :(

The biggest culture-shock temperature wise is actually moving from an air conditioning culture to a uh..not air conditioning culture. I don't miss it one bit. I do miss pools though.

seiferguy
Jun 9, 2005

FLAWED
INTUITION



Toilet Rascal
If it weren't for the dampness and the rain, the PNW wouldn't be as green as it is. It's what makes hiking around the are so amazing.

Also I hope no one's commute was affected by the fiery crash on I-5 near the I-90 interchange. Surprised there were only minor injuries from that.

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computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

seiferguy posted:

If it weren't for the dampness and the rain, the PNW wouldn't be as green as it is. It's what makes hiking around the are so amazing.

I've hiked in the rain-shadow (and farther east) and it's just as amazing.

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