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Velochis
Apr 4, 2002

We go play hope
http://forum.thecontrarianinvestor.com/index.php?threads/gt-advanced-technologies-inc-gtat.69/page-501#post-25008

Link to a thread about stock pickers losing everything from the gt advanced technology bankruptcy yesterday. Some of these guys invested their life savings in a single stock that is now worthless. It is a harrowing read. The start of the thread is around two years ago. The stock went up 400% and then down to virtually zero

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Grouco
Jan 13, 2005
I wouldn't want to belong to any club that would have me as a member.

quote:

I am dead meat. All my money is in GTAT and on my stocks I was doing margin. Since I owe way more than what's in there, I don't know what will happen to margin. Some people were smart, I believed so much in GTAT potential and lost all my savings including my 401K, IRA. At this point, I don't know what to do. I told my wife about this and she was upset and angry at my stupid move. But she still loves me.

quote:

May God look after you and your family. My entire family (wife, son and myself) were totally invested in GTAT. We lost everything and I am retired (my life's savings)!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

quote:

Its so painful...huge losses..all my savings are gone..It was purely management's irresponsibility that made all of us loose money here..I have two little kids and when I see thier face this morning, I can't stop crying...very pathetic...

quote:

Look at daughter, think in my head I'm sorry I just lost your college tuition. Your dads an rear end in a top hat

Grouco fucked around with this message at 06:48 on Oct 8, 2014

Wickerman
Feb 26, 2007

Boom, mothafucka!
At least his wife still loves him. That's got to be worth something, since they can have a dual income from SS during retirement.

See? They're not totally screwed. :gbsmith:

pig slut lisa
Mar 5, 2012

irl is good




:smith:

e: holy poo poo what is wrong with all these people

dietcokefiend
Apr 28, 2004
HEY ILL HAV 2 TXT U L8TR I JUST DROVE IN 2 A DAYCARE AND SCRATCHED MY RAZR

Velochis posted:

http://forum.thecontrarianinvestor.com/index.php?threads/gt-advanced-technologies-inc-gtat.69/page-501#post-25008

Link to a thread about stock pickers losing everything from the gt advanced technology bankruptcy yesterday. Some of these guys invested their life savings in a single stock that is now worthless. It is a harrowing read. The start of the thread is around two years ago. The stock went up 400% and then down to virtually zero

I've almost been in that situation and can understand dumping in huge sums to ride a stock price wave... but gently caress life savings level into one thing that volatile is insane. Is there a certain group that seems to follow that trend? You see it pop up with the bitcoin guys going all in... just weird to get yourself into that situation.

Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Dec 22, 2005

GET LOSE, YOU CAN'T COMPARE WITH MY POWERS
That's...really depressing.

I guess it's similar to the guys who drink their own company's koolaid enough to keep their savings in company stock, then the company goes under and they lose their savings and their job. This is more opportunistic of course, the psychological factors are a little different (more hubris in this case versus denial that your company will ever go under).

pig slut lisa
Mar 5, 2012

irl is good


Multiple people in that thread are saying "I've lost it all. I'm gonna hold on till share price hits $X.00 and then get out." Which is probably bullshit because, hey, once it hits $X.00 it's only a matter of time til it hits double that price, so all in baby, ride the wave!

Mr. Fix It
Oct 26, 2000

💀ayyy💀


From the Yahoo Finance GTAT message board

[quote="
barrettsfairplex
]

if i bought on margin and cannot afford to cover the call? what happens???

do they sell my shares?

i cant afford to deposit $192,000 to cover what i lost on margin
[/quote]

FrozenVent
May 1, 2009

The Boeing 737-200QC is the undisputed workhorse of the skies.
I can't reconcile not knowing what happens in a margin call with having 192k out on margin :psyduck:

The Door Frame
Dec 5, 2011

I don't know man everytime I go to the gym here there are like two huge dudes with raging high and tights snorting Nitro-tech off of each other's rock hard abs.
"Let's all buy internet stocks!"
"Zoidy want to buy stock on margin."

melon cat
Jan 21, 2010

Nap Ghost

Velochis posted:

http://forum.thecontrarianinvestor.com/index.php?threads/gt-advanced-technologies-inc-gtat.69/page-501#post-25008

Link to a thread about stock pickers losing everything from the gt advanced technology bankruptcy yesterday. Some of these guys invested their life savings in a single stock that is now worthless. It is a harrowing read. The start of the thread is around two years ago. The stock went up 400% and then down to virtually zero
Holy hell. I nearly had a panic attack when reading those posts. Especially this one:

quote:

This would be my last post on this forum. I am officially signing off. Thanks for all the contributions. I am still in shock and all the money is gone and I owe $107K in margin accounts. I have prepare my profit and loss for filing a case and here the final numbers. This is a lesson for everybody not to be greedy and stupid. These are just stocks, options of around $140K is not in there.

...

Basically my net loss is around $750K in stocks and $140K in options. All my earnings for the past 15 years are gone in one night.

:eyepop:

Devian666
Aug 20, 2008

Take some advice Chris.

Fun Shoe

melon cat posted:

Holy hell. I nearly had a panic attack when reading those posts. Especially this one:

:eyepop:

FUUUUCCCCKKK. I'm bad with money and got a margin call once. I liquidated some shares and had a positive balance. I've never had a NET loss $890,000 before. A loving net loss which means he probably lost over $1m in a stupid trade.

Zo
Feb 22, 2005

LIKE A FOX
Can't even feel sorry for those people, since they're just a bunch of greedy motherfuckers. I actually read the GT bankruptcy article on bbc and thought "wow didn't that company get some premium apple deal a while back? I bet a bunch of assholes just lost all their money".

Rick Rickshaw
Feb 21, 2007

I am not disappointed I lost the PGA Championship. Nope, I am not.
I've just started doing my own investing, so I'm far from an investment guru. I just buy index funds.

But since I know very little and still know how important diversification is, it makes it that much harder to understand how anyone could be invested 100% in any single company.

I won't even invest 100% in a single country/market. It's like this was a game to these greedy sons of bitches. It's all a game until you lose your shirt.

Guest2553
Aug 3, 2012


Buy hi sell low

Just like Warren Buffet-san would do

ExtrudeAlongCurve
Oct 21, 2010

Lambert is my Homeboy
This is so much better than car-chat. I had to look up what this company was/why people put all their eggs in this basket and of course it's because of the Apple train.

Remember guys, WWRBD?

Mr. Boggle would buy and hold index funds.

Saros
Dec 29, 2009

Its almost like we're a Bureaucracy, in space!

I set sail for the Planet of Lab Requisitions!!

Velochis posted:

http://forum.thecontrarianinvestor.com/index.php?threads/gt-advanced-technologies-inc-gtat.69/page-501#post-25008

Link to a thread about stock pickers losing everything from the gt advanced technology bankruptcy yesterday. Some of these guys invested their life savings in a single stock that is now worthless. It is a harrowing read. The start of the thread is around two years ago. The stock went up 400% and then down to virtually zero

This is amazing.

quote:

quote:

BANKRUPTSY!!!
That is entirely not possible and irresponsible for you to post


quote:

quote:

gently caress! Bancrputcy!

Sam. Its not possible, the long road to bankruptcy is something investors know about. Lenders issue warnings and suppliers start winding down shipments. We believe that there has been massive shipments of alumina in recent weeks. This is not a company going into bankruptcy. Please, posting like this is not responsible and double please...calm down and think of your heart!

This is all well after the bankruptcy was announced and the press release posted in the thread in question.

SmuglyDismissed
Nov 27, 2007
IGNORE ME!!!
I would love to hear these guys' opinions on 'personal responsibility' before this incident.

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!

SmuglyDismissed posted:

I would love to hear these guys' opinions on 'personal responsibility' before this incident.

I'm sure their opinions both before and after can be summed up with "thanks, Obama!"

ranbo das
Oct 16, 2013


Oh my god that thread is a train wreck. It's so horrifying but i cant look away.

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!

quote:

Plenty of people have plenty of other investments in many stocks.

However, the Enron style catastrophe that has just befallen GTAT is NOT normal. Find me one short who predicted this would happen and I will show you a sociopathic liar who enjoys others misery.

Whilst being overly weighted in any stock is naive, I don't think the people here deserved to or even could have expected to get shafted like this.

Hmmm yes technology companies with big promises and little in the way of established revenue streams could never go tits-up "unexpectedly."

http://www.thebubblebubble.com/historic-crashes/

TOTALLY and COMPLETELY unprecedented, yep.

nickutz
Feb 3, 2004

Put blue and red chicken in mouth plz
GTAT opened up 45% today at $1.75 hope they didn't sell!

SmuglyDismissed
Nov 27, 2007
IGNORE ME!!!
Aparently forum users StrayTrader and wisconsincheese claim to to own 0.5-1.% of the company.



wisconsincheese on on 9/9 posted:

Don't hate the player, hate the game. Anyway, I earned those shares, I bought most of them at around 3 before anybody even heard of sapphire screens, because I did my DD and understood their R&D efforts and that 2014-15 would likely lead to huge things and their technology would have value over time even if solar was in the tank. To invest basically all your net worth in GTAT at 3 when the stock is cratering and people are talking bankruptcies took some serious cojones but I knew this was a once in a lifetime opportunity and I would kick myself forever if I didn't go all in. Might have been slightly reckless and against all known investment strategies but with big risks, comes big rewards.

Anyway, it is not me you should be jealous of but my mom whose account I manage and has around 415k shares and probably doesn't know GTAT is on the Nasdaq. I have to set up separate accounts for her GTAT holdings so she doesn't see all her positions at once as she has been telling me to sell for it for more than a year and I have to keep telling her to wait and hide exactly how much of her portfolio is GTAT so she doesn't flip out about it.

wisconsincheese on 9/9 posted:

Yes, you only have to be right a couple of times and then you are good for life if you can stomach the risks. I find that it is hard to change your mindset, as to me the money is really just numbers and it is more about this game we all play, and seeing your research efforts and bets pay off and be rewarded and the high you get from that is what it is about for me. I am pretty cheap in general and will never spend the money I have right now, so I probably shouldn't bother to take any more risk and should sell all my GTAT but that is not who I am and will never be. When I buy a bond fund or a blue chip, it is like somebody punched me in the gut, as I feel any idiot can do that. I recently bought a boatload of HIMX at 6, and that is totally unnecessary and probably should play it safe, but it is hard to change who you are and what has got you to this point.

Anyway, I find the potential risk and downside of GTAT to be not that great. To me, if Hyperion is what they claim, the applications are nearly endless and it would be nearly impossible for them not to make billions of it in the next 5 years. I make no price targets predictions with GTAT because there are so many factors, it would not surprise me to see the stock either at 30 or 200 in 4-5 years based on possible outcomes. I am hoping their technologies take off and they eventually sell out to a larger company like GE as otherwise I will likely have a hell of a time selling all my shares and have a really nasty tax bill. I have a hard enough time getting 50K shares out at a time without impacting the stock movement, I don't want to imagine the process of selling all of it.

StrayTrader on 10/2 posted:

Yeah, TG sold 700K shares this year, while I and my related entities bought close to 700K shares this year. I drat well have a right to expect timely and transparent business updates from the company. (P.S. Welcome to capitalism.)

StrayTrader on 10/2 posted:

I give up. Many of you are being sheep, who believe you have no right to a voice in governance. I profoundly disagree. I will continue accumulating shares in accordance with my own investment convictions. But I will direct my voice to the company, and no longer here.

I think we have found our winners!...


Runner up admin, who was all in on GTAT:

sleepyhead on 9/9 posted:

Not really. Investing in index funds would be a dangerous game for me:

If I put all of my money in index funds, I might be able to retire around 60 years old. But if I do focused investing then I might be able to retire when I am 40 years old.

On the other hand if my "focused" investing blows up and GTAT goes bankrupt and I lose all of my money, I can start from scratch and retire when I am 65 years old.

So to me, the "game" that I am playing has two options:

1. Play it safe and retire at age 60.
2. Play it "risky" and heads retire at 40, tails retire at 65.

IMO, option number 1 is a lot more "dangerous" game to be playing than option number 2...

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!
If he thinks the difference is 5 years, either he has like no assets right now anyway or he doesn't understand compounding interest properly.

Also EVEN if that was the case, at age 60 when you're looking at having 15-25 years of life left, is 5 years more of working really "not a big deal?"

Nail Rat fucked around with this message at 15:10 on Oct 8, 2014

pig slut lisa
Mar 5, 2012

irl is good


SmuglyDismissed posted:

Runner up admin, who was all in on GTAT:

quote:

Not really. Investing in index funds would be a dangerous game for me:

If I put all of my money in index funds, I might be able to retire around 60 years old. But if I focus on counting roulette patterns then I might be able to retire when I am 40 years old.

On the other hand if my "focused" roulette tracking blows up and my bankroll busts and I lose all of my money, I can start from scratch and retire when I am 65 years old.

So to me, the "game" that I am playing has two options:

1. Play it safe and retire at age 60.
2. Play it "risky" and red retire at 40, black retire at 65.

IMO, option number 1 is a lot more "dangerous" game to be playing than option number 2...

Zo
Feb 22, 2005

LIKE A FOX
They're really dumb but holy poo poo they got played enron-style lmao:

quote:

Tom Gutierrez - President and CEO
As our guidance for the year suggests I mean we are expecting to end the year with approximately $400 million of cash on the balance sheet. And as you know from prior history, this business really starts to generate the cash once the order flow and the revenue flow starts to move. So at the moment, okay, we don’t expect need to go out into the marketplace to raise additional capital.

this was in august apparently

BonerGhost
Mar 9, 2007

This could be a stupid question, but...is $400mil a lot for a whole company over the year? The only thing I have to go on really is the profit for the store I work in, which last I knew was around $2.5mil.

I started skimming after the one from the guy who lost his mother's savings by defrauding her. That one made me sick to my stomach.

E: also that idiot who thinks roulette has a pattern. Maybe he'll buy this bridge from me?

BonerGhost fucked around with this message at 15:32 on Oct 8, 2014

Renegret
May 26, 2007

THANK YOU FOR CALLING HELP DOG, INC.

YOUR POSITION IN THE QUEUE IS *pbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbt*


Cat Army Sworn Enemy

gently caress

I AM SO ANGRY AT THIS

ANGRY I SAY!

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!

NancyPants posted:

This could be a stupid question, but...is $400mil a lot for a whole company over the year? The only thing I have to go on really is the profit for the store I work in, which last I knew was around $2.5mil.


It's a lot of cash to have on hand when you really have no revenue streams yet. Which kind of made it a dubious claim IMO.

To clarify: they're saying that they were expecting after paying employees, bonuses, all the bills, creditors, and other expenses, they were going to have $400 million cash in their accounts at the end of the year.

Nail Rat fucked around with this message at 15:37 on Oct 8, 2014

BonerGhost
Mar 9, 2007

Nail Rat posted:

It's a lot of cash to have on hand when you really have no revenue streams yet. Which kind of made it a dubious claim IMO.

To clarify: they're saying that they were expecting after paying employees, bonuses, all the bills, creditors, and other expenses, they were going to have $400 million cash in their accounts at the end of the year.

I guess what I'm really wondering is $400mil profit enough--in the land of make-believe where CEOs talk like your bum friend who owes you money and actually DO make good on their promises--to make such a stupid investment strategy look attractive despite the risk.

Like, had it gone the way the CEO said it would, would these people be rolling in/on fat stacks (I am unsure of the proper preposition to use w/stacks tia)?

Cheeze Kuyeh
Jul 5, 2008

i am monocle
^^^ There was pretty much no chance that they would hit $400 mill by year end and there wouldn't be much left over after all the debt they owed to Apple. From what I'm reading, it looks like a small tech firm who negotiated a big deal at the expense of their IP and brutal funding conditions and then didn't make their ridiculous targets.

How does the sort of loving moron who plunges everything they own into a single debt ridden manufacturer manage to wrangle together 6 figures worth of capital in the first place?

What sort of moronic brokerage allows that much margin to be traded on a single stock by a single investor?

Why the hell were these idiots thinking that GTAT would suddenly be a gold mine?

Oh look, it's a ridiculously unstable company posted:

The filing also says that GTAT had entered into a Prepayment Agreement where it would receive $578 million in four installments as advance payments for sapphire goods. GTAT would be required to repay the amount over a five year period by January 2020 as a credit to sapphire goods or a cash payment.

Three other critical provisions were:

GTAT’s obligation to repay the Prepayment Amount may be accelerated under certain circumstances.
GTAT’s obligations under the Prepayment Agreement are secured by certain of its assets.
While the MDSA specifies GTAT’s minimum and maximum supply commitments, there are no minimum purchase requirements under the terms of the MDSA.
MDSA: Master Development and Supply Agreement

Everything was set up in Apple’s favor but that comes from a position of strength in negotiations.

:psyduck:

Hot drat that thread is entertaining

Cheeze Kuyeh fucked around with this message at 16:16 on Oct 8, 2014

RaspberrySea
Nov 29, 2004
I have no idea what buying on margin means. Someone smart here explain it as you would to a child.

wintermuteCF
Dec 9, 2006

LIEK HAI2U!

MorgaineDax posted:

I have no idea what buying on margin means. Someone smart here explain it as you would to a child.

Someone essentially loans you money that you use to purchase more stock. The margin refers to the collateral (your holdings of the stock).

in a well actually
Jan 26, 2011

dude, you gotta end it on the rhyme

MorgaineDax posted:

I have no idea what buying on margin means. Someone smart here explain it as you would to a child.

Your stock broker lends you money to buy stocks, usually with the stock you buy and your other assets as collateral for the loan. The margin is the difference between the value of the stock you bought and the value of the loan, usually expressed as a percentage of the total value of the stock. If the percentage decreases (ex. the value of the stock falls below the value of what was loaned,) the broker can demand that you reduce the value of the loan (by repaying some or all of the loan) until that margin is restored (a margin call.) You have a short period of time to repay the broker before they liquidate whatever collateral secured the loan.

edit: fixed.

in a well actually fucked around with this message at 17:08 on Oct 8, 2014

ilovepy
Oct 10, 2007
mmm... py
That thread is an incredible find. I guess some people can just latch on to something and can believe in it without a tinge of doubt. Or maybe they were just blinded by greed.

moana
Jun 18, 2005

one of the more intellectual satire communities on the web

quote:

So I'm thinking of selling my wife's cat (all we we have left haha) and buying one share of each, and shorting them.

I'm guessing he means car, but wow. Daytrade with fun money, kids, not your life savings!

Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Dec 22, 2005

GET LOSE, YOU CAN'T COMPARE WITH MY POWERS
Starting a forum thread about a single stock on a forum full of idiots seems like market manipulation to me. It would be a pretty good scam if the OP of that thread was secretly short the whole time.

pig slut lisa
Mar 5, 2012

irl is good


NancyPants posted:

E: also that idiot who thinks roulette has a pattern. Maybe he'll buy this bridge from me?

Renegret posted:

gently caress

I AM SO ANGRY AT THIS

ANGRY I SAY!

The roulette thing was my reworking of the dumb post that Smugly Dismissed quoted about picking hot stocks. Nobody actually said that thing about roulette.

That said, it's absolutely the case that (a) dumping all your money into one hot stock is pretty equivalent to betting it all on black, and (b) if you go to Las Vegas you will absolutely see people recording roulette outcomes in little notebooks where they store thousands of events and try to find patterns. :eng99:

Rick Rickshaw
Feb 21, 2007

I am not disappointed I lost the PGA Championship. Nope, I am not.
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-10-06/apple-sapphire-supplier-breaks

BloombergView posted:

That's from a risk factor in GT Advanced Technologies's annual report. Basically the story is that Apple loaned GTAT a bunch of money -- call it $439 million1 -- so that GTAT could get to work producing sapphire to put into Apple products,2 and GTAT planned to pay that money back in the form of discounts on the sapphire over five years starting in 2015. But there was one tiny flaw in GTAT's plan, which was that Apple could demand all the money back, in cash, at any time, including right now, "under certain circumstances." And GTAT didn't have the money.

Those "certain circumstances" are not, let us say, spelled out with crystal clarity. Here is the heavily redacted agreement that GTAT filed publicly; you'll notice that most of the circumstances have been replaced with "[***]."3

Today [***] seems to have occurred. GTAT filed for bankruptcy this morning, for reasons that are a little mysterious but that everyone assumes came down to Apple being displeased with GTAT.

So Apple loans GTAT half a billion dollars. Contract of loan states Apple can call them on this debt at any point given unpublicized circumstances. Apple calls. GTAT declares bankruptcy. Apple buys GTAT at a bargain price, apparently:

http://seekingalpha.com/article/2545295-apple-announcing-apples-newest-acquisition-gt-advanced-technologies

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Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!

moana posted:

I'm guessing he means car

I hope not because it's funnier if he actually means "cat."

edit: Also, some guy posted at the end of page 530 that the admin and his supporters were hypocritical to be bashing people who say "told you so" because apparently for months they've been banning and deriding anyone who recommended caution instead of going all-in on the stock, and that had those dissenting voices been given a chance, some people may not have lost so much money to the echo chamber. What happened? That post got deleted :tinfoil:

Nail Rat fucked around with this message at 18:19 on Oct 8, 2014

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