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Warbadger
Jun 17, 2006

Lum_ posted:

left side - evil Nazi druggie gay Europeans
right side - noble Soviet Russian sons of the earth that won WW2 and discovered space
Shrek in the middle - Ukrainian asked to choose between the two

This pic was circulated back during Maidan, before the narrative turned Ukraine into an irredeemable land of gay Nazis that helpless ethnic Russians had to be rescued from.

(In case you ever think any of this is an exaggeration, just do a quick Google for Dmitri Kiselyov, he's basically Putin's Goebbels and is responsible for this particular line of insanity.)

Yes I understand the intention of the propaganda, it just seems like Hitler got lost and ended up on the wrong side of the picture.

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Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy
Ukrainian guy definitely looks like he belongs on the homonazi side, with that haircut.

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Warbadger posted:

Yes I understand the intention of the propaganda, it just seems like Hitler got lost and ended up on the wrong side of the picture.
Yes, for some reason militarism ended up on one side and Hitler on the other.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Cingulate posted:

Okay, what's up with this "Homonazi" thing? I giggle like a child whenever I read that term. Is this simply an invoke about the combination of reactionary policies and antifascist rhetoric in Russia, and painting the West as (fascist) invaders trying to impose their western values (including homosexuality)? Or does the term have an external origin?

At least in googling the term, I came across such wonderful lines as "Starbucks’ HomoNazi Marriage Holocaust is a Holocaust of the Family" and I now understand there are some people who think the Nazis were militarist because they were secret gays.
It's at least 5 years old, first appeared in such "debates" as "eliminate homosexuals - and fascism will disappear", at least as far as I am aware.

Cingulate posted:

Ukrainian guy definitely looks like he belongs on the homonazi side, with that haircut.
It's traditional haircut.

Lum_
Jun 5, 2006

Warbadger posted:

Yes I understand the intention of the propaganda, it just seems like Hitler got lost and ended up on the wrong side of the picture.

You're overcomplicating. Russian propaganda doesn't rail about Nazis because of their ideology, but because they are Bad Guys that invaded the motherland before the Good Guys kicked their rear end.

It's one of the funniest (in a very dark way) features of Russian turbo-nationalist propaganda. "We hate Nazis! And to prove it, we're going to make the strongest army in the world, invade our neighbors, and throw all the Jews and gays and liberals in camps."

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

kalstrams posted:

It's traditional haircut.
He's still welcome in the homonazi camp. We welcome everyone.

kalstrams posted:

"eliminate homosexuals - and fascism will disappear"
I don't understand why fascists, and totalitarians in general, have such a massive hate-boner for specifically gay men.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Phlegmish posted:

In Russian propaganda, Westerners are simultaneously neo-nazis and degenerate drug-addicted homosexuals.



In all fairness, a lot of the NSDAP bosses were degenerates, drug addicts and homosexuals!

my dad
Oct 17, 2012

this shall be humorous

Phlegmish posted:

In Russian propaganda, Westerners are simultaneously neo-nazis and degenerate drug-addicted homosexuals.



I still find that random 50 Serbian Dinar bill in the lower left hilarious. :allears:

fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013

Nenonen posted:

In all fairness, a lot of the NSDAP bosses were degenerates, drug addicts and homosexuals!

Same with Stalin's guard :mrgw:

Phlegmish
Jul 2, 2011



my dad posted:

I still find that random 50 Serbian Dinar bill in the lower left hilarious. :allears:

If that's what it is I'm surprised, since I thought Serbians were supposed to be their Orthodox Slav brothers.

woodenchicken
Aug 19, 2007

Nap Ghost
Serbia sold out :v:

SaltyJesus
Jun 2, 2011

Arf!

my dad posted:

I still find that random 50 Serbian Dinar bill in the lower left hilarious. :allears:

HAHA, HOLY poo poo! How have I never noticed this before. :D

SaltyJesus fucked around with this message at 17:41 on Dec 21, 2014

fuck off Batman
Oct 14, 2013

Yeah Yeah Yeah Yeah!


my dad posted:

I still find that random 50 Serbian Dinar bill in the lower left hilarious. :allears:

:lol: You are right. I always thought it was 50 euros so never bothered to check.


I always thought cocaine was snorted with more valuable notes, 50 RSD is like half a buck.

Warbadger
Jun 17, 2006

Well, compared to the ruble...

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Phlegmish
Jul 2, 2011



Amazingly, the Serbian dinar is actually worth less than the rouble. But the Russians are cheating since I'm pretty sure they regularly lop off a few zeros.

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!
I know it's hard to tell nowadays, but this particular picture is (good) satire. :ssh:

Cat Mattress
Jul 14, 2012

by Cyrano4747

Cingulate posted:

I don't understand why fascists, and totalitarians in general, have such a massive hate-boner for specifically gay men.

Why would people who extoll the virtues of masculinity -- strength, determination, aggressiveness, etc. --, want the entire society to be based on the military model where strong, fit men in uniforms bunk together, get dirty together, etc. as "brothers in arms" and also are fascinated with the phallic imagery of weapons -- swords, rifles, cannons, missiles, etc. -- would be obsessed by male homosexuality?

Maybe Sigmund could help us solve this riddle.

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Cat Mattress posted:

Maybe Sigmund could help us solve this riddle.
Probably not, he was completely wrong about what motivates people in hilarious ways.

The question remains, why do all these militarists hate gay men?

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Soviet and Russian military has history of personnel in the closet, and respective abuses.

Disinterested
Jun 29, 2011

You look like you're still raking it in. Still killing 'em?

Cingulate posted:

Probably not, he was completely wrong about what motivates people in hilarious ways.

The question remains, why do all these militarists hate gay men?

It probably has something to do with Christianity.

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat

Cingulate posted:

Probably not, he was completely wrong about what motivates people in hilarious ways.

The question remains, why do all these militarists hate gay men?

Fascism loves family and tradition. Connected to that is a belief in strictly separated male and female roles. Gays break all of these preconceptions.

Disinterested
Jun 29, 2011

You look like you're still raking it in. Still killing 'em?

steinrokkan posted:

Fascism loves family and tradition. Connected to that is a belief in strictly separated male and female roles. Gays break all of these preconceptions.

"War is to man is what maternity is to a woman" - Mussolini :italy:

Best Friends
Nov 4, 2011

Traditionalists idolize heterosexual patriarchal societies, pretty much everywhere, regardless of religion.

Edit: what everyone else said.

Horns of Hattin
Dec 21, 2011

Typo posted:

When did Russian media become this virulently anti-west (again) post-cold war?

Free media in Russia ended sometime between 1996-2000 but was Russian state media always pushing this narrative?
I should have just posted this last night:



And since we're here, let's look at some other surveys by Levada Center:
code:
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE STATEMENT: "WHAT IS HAPPENING IN RUSSIA RIGHT NOW MAKES ME FEEL ASHAMED"?

                                Jun.96       Jul.03        Oct.12      Oct.14
Completely agree                41           41            16           5
Mostly agree                    40           39            36          15
Do not agree or disagree         7           10            26          23
Mostly disagree                  4            5            14          28
Completely disagree              3            2             5          24
It is difficult to say           6            5             4           5

Cuntpunch posted:

On the topic of Russia: I think it's been brought up before. As much as you can say that Russians *believe* the national media story(brave separatists fighting homonazis, etc) isn't it pretty much defined by expectations there that they know it's all bullshit but they'll buy into because "our country is the laughing stock of the modern world and is largely a shithole with no redeeming qualities" is a much worse thing to believe?
code:
IN RECENT MONTHS, MANY ARE SAYING THAT RUSSIAN FEDERAL MEDIA ARE CONDUCTING AN INFORMATION WAR AGAINST UKRAINE. 
DO YOU AGREE WITH THIS, AND IF SO, WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARD THIS?

                                                                                 Jul.14       Aug.14        Oct.14
I agree and think it is right and justified given the situation in Ukraine       15           17            13
I agree and think that the media's policy is dangerous and harmful               10           12            11
I disagree, Russian media give an objective picture of events in Ukraine         58           54            59
It is difficult to say                                                           17           18            17

Telsa Cola
Aug 19, 2011

No... this is all wrong... this whole operation has just gone completely sidewaysface
So how is the ruble situation looking? Is it still dropping or has it stabilized? If it has stabilized will it stay stable for any significant length of time or will it just start dropping again?

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.
I'm curious what the sampling procedure is for those Levada polls. N=1600 is OK, but a lot depends on how that N is obtained.

Telsa Cola posted:

So how is the ruble situation looking? Is it still dropping or has it stabilized? If it has stabilized will it stay stable for any significant length of time or will it just start dropping again?

A lot depends on whether or not the government is still spending its reserves to prop up the exchange rate. I can't find the day-to-day change that someone had posted (help?), but in the new year, and assuming accuracy, this assessment, particularly changes in the leftmost column, will indicate whether or not ongoing expenditures have occurred.

I believe that the foreign reserves most available to Russia are actually under the heading "foreign exchange", meaning the pertinent value for 11/2014 is $361,409 million.

ninja edit: you can see a weekly change on the linked site as well, but it hasn't been updated for the 19th.

Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 00:22 on Dec 22, 2014

Phlegmish
Jul 2, 2011



Telsa Cola posted:

So how is the ruble situation looking? Is it still dropping or has it stabilized? If it has stabilized will it stay stable for any significant length of time or will it just start dropping again?

It rebounded slightly, but it's hard to tell what the long-term trend will be.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Discendo Vox posted:

I'm curious what the sampling procedure is for those Levada polls. N=1600 is OK, but a lot depends on how that N is obtained.
They pick their sample so that they, to simplify things a bit, have people of various backgrounds across all age ranges across all distinct regions of Russia. As far as I know, Levada Center is regarded as a professional statistics agency. All their polls are usually complemented with a noted towards not only the sample size, but also statistical inaccuracy of the sampled data, which is something eigenstate (or his source) excluded from that post. As far as I remember (not much time to look up detailed numbers now), it tends to be something like <5%.

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat

Discendo Vox posted:

I believe that the foreign reserves most available to Russia are actually under the heading "foreign exchange", meaning the pertinent value for 11/2014 is $361,409 million.

ninja edit: you can see a weekly change on the linked site as well, but it hasn't been updated for the 19th.

I think you wrote million instead of billion. (Edit: disregard, I got confused by the decimal point vs decimal comma difference)

Anyway, even if they had to spend the maximum recorded daily amount (cca 2 billion) on a regular basis they coul prop up the ruble for a rather long time. The question is what has longer legs - the Russian National Bank, or OPEC and gas prices.

Phlegmish
Jul 2, 2011



Agreed that they have enough foreign currency reserves to prop the ruble up for a long time, but even if it stays at the current exchange rate or improves slightly, they will still be faced with high import costs. The Central Bank's 17% interest rate is also going to wreak havoc on the economy.

Phlegmish fucked around with this message at 07:21 on Dec 22, 2014

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.

steinrokkan posted:

I think you wrote million instead of billion. (Edit: disregard, I got confused by the decimal point vs decimal comma difference)

Anyway, even if they had to spend the maximum recorded daily amount (cca 2 billion) on a regular basis they coul prop up the ruble for a rather long time. The question is what has longer legs - the Russian National Bank, or OPEC and gas prices.

Yeah, the key was that seeing changes in that value would tell us (assuming no bookkeeping skulduggery) how much they had to pour in to keep the currency on an even keel.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

Phlegmish posted:

Agreed that they have enough foreign currency reserves to prop the ruble up for a long time, but even if it stays at the current exchange rate or improves slightly, they will still be faced with high import costs. The Central Bank's 17% interest rate is also going to wreak hacov on the economy.


The damage has already been done, but the question is if oil has hit bottom or not and right now it seems to be hovering a little under $60, if Chinese statistics start to look less troublesome then the exchange rate will stabilize. It is a massive devaluation though and even if the current rates hold it will be devastating to average Russians. It will, one thing is that it will sap up any domestic investment, but to fair Russia is risking it flee abroad anyway.

Almost certainly Russia will go into a recession, possibly a severe one. The question is if the country will hit the skids, run out of reserves to prop up the currency and then face accelerated devaluation at a even higher rate. Russia will be hard pressed to sell bonds in that scenario which puts them into a familiar crunch.

Ardennes fucked around with this message at 00:52 on Dec 22, 2014

Horns of Hattin
Dec 21, 2011

Discendo Vox posted:

I'm curious what the sampling procedure is for those Levada polls. N=1600 is OK, but a lot depends on how that N is obtained.

Sorry I forgot the link, it's all in english on their website: http://www.levada.ru/eng/international-relations

Telsa Cola
Aug 19, 2011

No... this is all wrong... this whole operation has just gone completely sidewaysface
Thank you for responding. Is there a set time frame in which we will see how badly this effects Russia or is this more of a slow burn?

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.

eigenstate posted:

Sorry I forgot the link, it's all in english on their website: http://www.levada.ru/eng/international-relations

Reviewing their methods, I now have even more questions. Why are they listing results from Nov 14th based on a survey conducted on the 21st through 24th? Where are they getting that 3.4% from? It's less than the sampling error alone in their methods writeup.

Is "random route" sampling really what it sounds like? Looking at it in the literature, it seems laughably problematic as an approach. Drawing a spatial line through a residential sample to choose collection points is basically reintroducing error.

Horns of Hattin
Dec 21, 2011

Discendo Vox posted:

Reviewing their methods, I now have even more questions. Why are they listing results from Nov 14th based on a survey conducted on the 21st through 24th? Where are they getting that 3.4% from? It's less than the sampling error alone in their methods writeup.

Is "random route" sampling really what it sounds like? Looking at it in the literature, it seems laughably problematic as an approach. Drawing a spatial line through a residential sample to choose collection points is basically reintroducing error.

"14" means "2014" because note that they don't list the day except to differentiate the two surveys in March. As for the rest, you're better off contacting them directly because I'm not an expert in survey methodology.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Phlegmish posted:

In Russian propaganda, Westerners are simultaneously neo-nazis and degenerate drug-addicted homosexuals.



On the left one can see medicine, money, and love for one's fellow man.

On the right one can see rampant militiarism, the middle ages, and 1960's technology.

Seems about right to me.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Fojar38 posted:

On the left one can see medicine, money, and love for one's fellow man.

On the right one can see rampant militiarism, the middle ages, and 1960's technology.

Seems about right to me.

Yeah, when I see Yuri Gagarin, I don't think that "we were first in space", it's "remember when we were the first in space". No one gives a poo poo if you're the first anymore, it's how far you go and if you stay there.

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Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
Not to mention it was technically the literal Nazis who were first in space. The Soviets were the first to orbit.

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