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Mokotow
Apr 16, 2012

fatherboxx posted:

Batka is still the most skilled tactician in this whole clusterfuck.

Shockingly.

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Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.

A Buttery Pastry posted:

To put the discussion of backwardness in various countries to rest, here's a graph. Stats are from 2011 I think?



Well, I'd like to see what those axes are actually measuring and what the source was, but just going from intuition I'd prefer a society somewhere on the upper middle- God dammit, I've inadvertently become goon.txt. :japan:

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Discendo Vox posted:

Well, I'd like to see what those axes are actually measuring and what the source was, but just going from intuition I'd prefer a society somewhere on the upper middle- God dammit, I've inadvertently become goon.txt. :japan:
The stats come from the World Values Survey.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Discendo Vox posted:

Well, I'd like to see what those axes are actually measuring and what the source was, but just going from intuition I'd prefer a society somewhere on the upper middle- God dammit, I've inadvertently become goon.txt. :japan:

I'm guessing that the idea of Survival vs. Self-Expression is how well that country's society overall is on the Maslow's hierarchy of needs, with 0 being something like psychological needs are being met by that society. The high-end, "Self-Expression", coincides with the top of the hierarchy, in which the person becomes self-actualization, while, at the low end of that axis, you'll notice that there's countries where the populace doesn't feel safe (either from crime/warlordism or their own government) or are having issues with getting the most basic biological needs fulfilled.

az
Dec 2, 2005

A Buttery Pastry posted:

The stats come from the World Values Survey.

It's a bad graphic because self reported values across countries are highly subjective.

StashAugustine
Mar 24, 2013

Do not trust in hope- it will betray you! Only faith and hatred sustain.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

az posted:

It's a bad graphic because self reported values across countries are highly subjective.
What do you mean by this?

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.
It's a map of self-report "cultural values." It's basically a fount for unfalsifiable, racialized national identity talking points and little else. Oh look, Sweden is in the far upper right beyond everyone else. Guess where the organization is based, and who funds it?

Young Freud posted:

I'm guessing that the idea of Survival vs. Self-Expression is how well that country's society overall is on the Maslow's hierarchy of needs, with 0 being something like psychological needs are being met by that society. The high-end, "Self-Expression", coincides with the top of the hierarchy, in which the person becomes self-actualization, while, at the low end of that axis, you'll notice that there's countries where the populace doesn't feel safe (either from crime/warlordism or their own government) or are having issues with getting the most basic biological needs fulfilled.

It's how much the society's "values" favor survival or self-expression. The definitions of those axes are as far as I can tell proprietary inventions.

woke wedding drone
Jun 1, 2003

by exmarx
Fun Shoe

A Buttery Pastry posted:

To put the discussion of backwardness in various countries to rest, here's a graph. Stats are from 2011 I think?



Sweden, its soul cleansed, approaches the Ineffable

Warcabbit
Apr 26, 2008

Wedge Regret
http://www.stuff.co.nz/world/europe/64409012/russia-entering-fullfledged-economic-crisis-says-exfinance-minister-alexei-kudrin

quote:

Russia's government has pushed the country into an economic crisis by not tackling its financial problems fast enough, former finance minister Alexei Kudrin said on Monday, as evidence mounted of trouble spreading through the economy.

As he spoke President Vladimir Putin prepared to hold emergency talks with Western leaders to try to resolve the stand-off over Ukraine, the central bank bailed out its first victim of the collapsing currency and authorities announced a tax on grain exports to protect domestic stocks.

A Reuters poll of 11 economists predicted that Russia's gross domestic product would fall 3.6 percent next year, after only 0.5 percent growth this year.

Russia has been hit by what Economy Minister Alexei Ulyukayev recently called a "perfect storm" of plummeting oil prices, sanctions related to its military action in Ukraine, and a flight of investors' capital - made worse by a lack of structural reforms that means the economy is overwhelmingly dependent on oil revenues..

Government officials have tried to minimise the impact of sanctions on the country and its rouble currency, which plunged 80 percent against the dollar last week despite a hike in interest rates to 17 percent. Putin has claimed "external factors" like oil were the key culprit behind the country's "tough times".

But Kudrin - a darling of investors who is credited with building Russia's US$170 billion sovereign wealth funds - asserted that sanctions over Ukraine, not falling oil prices, were primarily behind the collapse of the rouble, and warned that Russia risked having its debt downgraded to junk status in 2015.

"Today, I can say that we have entered or are entering a real, full-fledged economic crisis. Next year we will feel it clearly," the former minister told a news conference.

"The government has not been quick enough to address the situation ... I am yet to hear ... its clear assessment of the current situation."

Kudrin, one of few to criticise President Vladimir Putin, quit in 2011 in protest at proposals to increase defence spending, though the two men are still believed to be close.

He has also criticised Putin's response to Western sanctions imposed following Russia's annexation of Ukraine's Crimea region and its subsequent support for loyalist fighters.

The Kremlin's foreign policy adviser said Putin would hold phone talks with the leaders of France, Germany and Ukraine on Monday that would "focus on the current crisis situation and prospects for the next meeting of the contact group."

MOUNTING PROBLEMS

Mounting evidence suggested that Russia's economic pain and isolation were starting to bite.

The country announced plans to impose a heavy tax on grain exports since rouble volatility and high global prices have caused exports to spike: Russian news agencies reported Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev told a meeting with officials that the country needed to hang on to its stocks.

And Russia's central bank said it would have to bail out mid-sized Trust Bank with 30 billion roubles (US$540 million) to stop it going bankrupt. Trust held 145 billion roubles (US$2.63 billion) in private personal deposits as of December 1, according to its accounts

The country's largest lender Sberbank was forced to deny a report from RIA news agency that it had suspended taking new requests for auto loans and mortgages.

Though Russia's biggest oil firm Rosneft partially eased some worries by saying it had made a US$7 billion debt repayment from its own cash reserves - investors had been concerned it could default because the sanctions cut off its access to Western finance - it announced separately that a deal to acquire an oil trading business from Morgan Stanley had been terminated due to a refusal by regulators in the United States to clear it.

The termination of the deal is another blow for Rosneft after its partners including ExxonMobil withdrew from projects to develop Arctic offshore oil deposits after the sanctions were introduced.

Kudrin forecast a series of defaults among both medium and large companies - though he said banks would probably be supported by the state - which was likely to result in rating agencies downgrading Russia's debt to "junk" status.

Most agencies have put Russia this year one notch above junk status.

"Russia will get a downgrade," Kudrin said. "It will enter the 'junk' territory."

MISTRUST

The rouble firmed against the dollar on Monday, with exporters responding to Putin's urge to sell their foreign currency revenues on the market, and Brent crude prices stood close to US$60 a barrel.

While the currency, down some 45 percent against the dollar so far this year, may stabilise in the first quarter of next year, its decline will likely help to push inflation to a rate of 12-15 percent in 2015, Kudrin said.

The central bank envisages next year's inflation at around 8 percent. Economists polled by Reuters see it at 9.2 percent.

Kudrin said he believed that between 25 and 35 percent of the decline in the rouble could be attributed to sanctions. The rest, he said, was down to a stronger dollar and investors' mistrust of Russian authorities and their actions.

His outlook for the economy next year was bleak: Even if the price of oil rose to US$80 per barrel, gross domestic product was still likely to fall by more than 2 percent in 2015, Kudrin said. At US$60 per barrel GDP would decline by 4 percent or more, he added, echoing the central bank's latest assessment, published last week.

- Reuters


So, how accurate is this?

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

The article is right the outlook is dim, but it is obvious that oil prices were the cause in the first place, especially look at the close correlation between oil and the Ruble. Russia almost certainly will be in a deep recession next year.

As for being degraded to junk status, it might happen but theoretically it shouldn't until their reserves are about dry which is going to take longer than a year.

jonnypeh
Nov 5, 2006
President of Estonia had some criticism towards Hungary's Jobbik in Estonian media, saying how a party such as that would never get any support in Estonia.

Some of those comments by readers:

quote:

If national socialism had won we would have no unemployment, no debt slavery to banks. Absolutely everything would be better. Everything.
:shepicide:

By far the dumbest thing I've read though is that France, UK and USSR made a secret pact in 1938 to lure Germany into war to destroy them again. You see it was all everyone else's fault but Germany's! Only sources to that are some articles in Finnish that refer to Finnish agents finding out about the plot before or during the war. But you see it's classified because those countries are making Finland cover it up.

I can never get a meaningful reply out of them when I call them out on those claims. Therefore I win.

az
Dec 2, 2005

A Buttery Pastry posted:

What do you mean by this?

Different nationalities, societies, cultures have completly different views on values, such as what constitutes survival or self expression. It's bad science to plot all these nations together on the same graphic without thorough adjustment.

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

quote:

If national socialism had won we would have no unemployment, no debt slavery to banks Jews. Absolutely everything would be better. Everything.

What the comment actually meant

Radio Prune
Feb 19, 2010
Someone should tell that guy about Generalplan Ost.

SaltyJesus
Jun 2, 2011

Arf!
Estonians aren't Slavic though. Were Estonians targeted for enslavement and extermination?

E: I'm an idiot. I checked the wiki page.

E2: Interesting, the wiki for Generalplan Ost says 50% of Latvians were to be targeted for elimination but 100% of Latgalians (a kind of cultural minority in Latvia). Any ideas as to why?

SaltyJesus fucked around with this message at 23:48 on Dec 22, 2014

spacetoaster
Feb 10, 2014

Paladinus posted:

Is there a source for that? ROC may have claims on some Greek Catholic churches, but apart from that there is no reason to do that.

Just me. My family is in Crimea and I own a home there. I'm speaking from personal observation and what family is telling me over the phone and skype.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

az posted:

Different nationalities, societies, cultures have completly different views on values, such as what constitutes survival or self expression. It's bad science to plot all these nations together on the same graphic without thorough adjustment.
It's not like they just asked people "How rational are you?" The numbers are supposedly based on more in-depth questionnaires adjusted for local conditions to increase the chance that people in different cultures will perceive the questions similarly. At its core there is obviously a bias at work, since someone had to determine what counts as what, and to what degree, but that seems sort of unavoidable. Just look at it as a graph of degrees of Homo Nazism.

SaltyJesus
Jun 2, 2011

Arf!
I found a pretty funny, if somewhat unrelated, thing to share regarding my "icon selfie" post earlier. I didn't want to pull any pics from Facebook because that's creepy as poo poo so I tried looking elsewhere. This site called Svet Zena (Women's World) has a story abou Seka Aleksić, a popular Serbian/Bosnian pop singer.



that website posted:

A fashion revue of designer Zvonko Marković's work held on Tuesday evening was attended by Seka Aleksić. Seka chose to wear a model from the "Dolce & Gabbana" collection inspired by Byzantium, mosaics, and icons for this special occasion.

Guildencrantz
May 1, 2012

IM ONE OF THE GOOD ONES

az posted:

It's a bad graphic because self reported values across countries are highly subjective.

Yeah, this. I have a feeling the survey is affected severely by what people in various countries think they're "supposed" to value over what they actually value. That, and plotting "tradition vs self-expression" on one axis is an absurd oversimplification given the complex ways in which these factors interact. Looking at two societies I'm familiar with:

Swedes tend to be - according to most sociologists - set in their ways and conformist, but at the same time the conformity they uphold is their legacy of liberalism and egalitarianism. Even a very closed-minded Swede will often answer that he or she values self-expression and equality because those are dominant values in that society and you're expected to at least pay lip service to them - but paradoxically, you're actually likely to suffer social consequences if you don't adhere to the "Swedish way of life". These things are not actually contradictory, as the chart would suggest. You can have secular-rationalist traditions, even if you don't actually call them that.

On the other end of the spectrum, I'm pretty sure Poland is not a society with similar attitudes to Ethiopia, which we apparently neighbor on this chart. But even very liberal-minded, secular Poles are likely to say they value tradition (whether it's true or not) because there's a strong social norm that says you ought to. Basically, actual values vs professed values is a minefield in which quantitative analysis is mostly useless, as the same words stand for very different ideas in different places.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.

Guildencrantz posted:

Yeah, this. I have a feeling the survey is affected severely by what people in various countries think they're "supposed" to value over what they actually value. That, and plotting "tradition vs self-expression" on one axis is an absurd oversimplification given the complex ways in which these factors interact. Looking at two societies I'm familiar with:

It's not even that, it's "survival" versus "self-expression". The other axis is "traditional" versus "secular-rational".

HUGE PUBES A PLUS
Apr 30, 2005

Fabulous Knight posted:

http://rt.com/politics/216679-belarus-america-russia-warning/


I am unable to provide a comment here really. Let us never forget Milosevic, Gaddafi and Hussein who perished in the struggle against imperialism.

What is the point of making an obtuse statement like that? Like Russia, the opposition in Belarus is non-existent and Lukashenko will win every election he wants to win until he's dead. Batka is noted for being very good at pandering to whichever side he thinks will give him what he wants, but he knows Russia is his bread and butter and without them he won't stay president for very long. Russia is never going to pull their support from Lukashenko ever.

Case in point, more peace talks are coming up this week in Minsk.

http://www.ibtimes.com/ukraine-peace-talks-may-be-held-minsk-dec-24-26-poroshenko-1765188

Guildencrantz
May 1, 2012

IM ONE OF THE GOOD ONES

Discendo Vox posted:

It's not even that, it's "survival" versus "self-expression". The other axis is "traditional" versus "secular-rational".

Durr, I meant to write the latter and messed up. :downs:

HUGE PUBES A PLUS
Apr 30, 2005

From Bloomberg's "A pessimists guide to the world in 2015"

http://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2015-flash-points/img/baltics-big.png?v=11

quote:

Potential Flashpoint:
Vladimir Putin undermines NATO members by stirring up trouble with Russian minorities in Estonia and Latvia, and with Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave between Poland and Lithuania. Recent airspace encounters show Russia’s willingness to test NATO’s capabilities.

Potential Flashpoint:
Putin-backed rebels, supported by Russian forces, drive further west in Ukraine to create a land corridor to join up with Crimea. That triggers deeper economic sanctions from the U.S. and the European Union and forces them to accelerate military support to the government.



That Putin needs to be someone's avatar.

bearic
Apr 14, 2004

john brown split this heart
Today, the Dutch news network RTL Nieuws released a ridiculously in-depth report that confirms that a projectile was launched from a field just south of Snizhne on July 17. They also confirmed the authenticity of the photo that was supposedly taken immediately before the MH17 crash that shows a contrail from a field just south of Snizhne. The reported uses infrared imaging to detect a burn pattern consistent with a Buk missile launch in the field, which did not appear in June 2014. This field happens to be in the direct path of where the Buk was last seen headed around 1:30-2PM on July 17. Additionally, it was in range of hitting MH17 (35km range) from this spot.
Check out the original tweet and photo here: https://twitter.com/wowihay/status/489807649509478400
Additionally, this new report confirms two additional photographs that were taken after the infamous photo, along with an interview with the photographer (who is anonymous, fearing for his life in Snizhne).
Report here, in Dutch (but understandable with photos):
http://www.rtlnieuws.nl/sites/default/files/content/documents/2014/12/22/Rapport_Rookpluim_analyse_v1.0.pdf

Russian media countered with an anonymous source who was supposedly in the Ukrainian air force and knows a pilot named Vladislav Voloshin, who "shot down" MH17 with an air-to-air missile from an SU-25. Conveniently, it turns out that this Voloshin received an award from Poroshenko on July 19. My goodness, the scandal! You can read about it here in Komsomolskaya Pravda. It must be true, it has pravda in the name.
http://www.kp.ru/daily/26323.5/3204312/

I think that I know which to believe.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

A Buttery Pastry posted:

To put the discussion of backwardness in various countries to rest, here's a graph. Stats are from 2011 I think?



There is no way Japan doesn't have "traditional values" unless you don't care about women at all.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

Lichtenstein posted:

It's a tank put on a pedestal as a war memorial. Not really a particular one, there's a lot of these in Eastern Europe, especially in smaller towns that ain't keen on blowing their budgets on actual statues.

They're also pretty common in the US, surplus tanks and fighter planes put on cheap concrete around your town hall or a municipal park.

Paladinus posted:

So, when asked 'Do you believe that the world was created by God less than ten thousand years ago' 40% of American actually hear 'Are you a republican?' and answer 'yes' to that?

If so, I'm not sure if it's better than if the stats were correct.



And yes, do note that hyping up Creationism as being important to believe was a part of the Republicans' strategy to get all Christian conservatives actively voting for them in the 70s and 80s, at the same time they started really chasing the racist vote.

This is how regional the beliefs were back in 1996 or 2000 (source is unclear):


Now, why 60% of an area will claim the Bible is literally true but only 45% of that same area will claim God created everything... that's a hell of a question.

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009

vegaji posted:



I think that I know which to believe.

It's kinda amazing they keep pushing the Su-25 thing, what with the plane being incapable of doing it and all...

bearic
Apr 14, 2004

john brown split this heart

OddObserver posted:

It's kinda amazing they keep pushing the Su-25 thing, what with the plane being incapable of doing it and all...
Yeah, I know. If I were Russia, I'd push the Ukrainian Buk theory real hard, even though it makes no sense, as Russia wasn't flying any aircrafts anywhere near Snizhne/Torez. And obviously the separatists didn't control any aircraft. But still, it'll stand a bit firmer than defying the laws of physics with the SU-25 theory. Yet again, the goal obviously is not to convince anyone--it is just to obfuscate the facts and try to cast doubt on the "NATO NARRATIVE."

I saw a new theory on Friday as well: Komsomolskaya Pravda (same outlet pushing this SU-25 exclusive!) published a story from a guy who wrote a 109-page report--you can download it--I have, and read a chunk of it, and I wish I hadn't--that concludes tat the US planted a bomb on MH17. And he explicitly says that the SU-25 idea is stupid, as it's clearly obvious that the explosion came from inside the plane.

Oh, and the US conspired to have the plane change routes a bit so that it goes over separatist territory. And the US planted this bomb in Amsterdam. I don't even know.

Read it here, if you can stomach the tinfoil: http://www.kp.ru/daily/26322/3200809/

HUGE PUBES A PLUS
Apr 30, 2005

vegaji posted:

Read it here, if you can stomach the tinfoil: http://www.kp.ru/daily/26322/3200809/

"America did it" has worked as justification for everything the Russians do so far.

bearic
Apr 14, 2004

john brown split this heart

HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:

"America did it" has worked as justification for everything the Russians do so far.
Were there ever any "America did it" conspiracies for Beslan? Legit curious if that conspiracy exists, even to the right of Dugin. I'm scared to Google it.

of loving course: http://globalresearch.ca/articles/LAU409A.html

quote:

Although the White House issued a condemnation of the Beslan hostage-takers, its official view remains that the Chechen conflict must be solved politically. According to ACPC member Charles Fairbanks of Johns Hopkins University, US pressure will now increase on Moscow to achieve a political, rather than military, solution - in other words to negotiate with terrorists, a policy the US resolutely rejects elsewhere.

Allegations are even being made in Russia that the west itself is somehow behind the Chechen rebellion, and that the purpose of such support is to weaken Russia, and to drive her out of the Caucasus. The fact that the Chechens are believed to use as a base the Pankisi gorge in neighbouring Georgia - a country which aspires to join Nato, has an extremely pro-American government, and where the US already has a significant military presence - only encourages such speculation. Putin himself even seemed to lend credence to the idea in his interview with foreign journalists on Monday.

Proof of any such western involvement would be difficult to obtain, but is it any wonder Russians are asking themselves such questions when the same people in Washington who demand the deployment of overwhelming military force against the US's so-called terrorist enemies also insist that Russia capitulate to hers?

bearic fucked around with this message at 05:04 on Dec 23, 2014

Swan Oat
Oct 9, 2012

I was selected for my skill.
Why couldn't an Su-25 have shot down MH17? I am asking this out of curiosity only, not because I think Ukraine shot the plane down.

StandardVC10
Feb 6, 2007

This avatar now 50% more dark mode compliant

Swan Oat posted:

Why couldn't an Su-25 have shot down MH17? I am asking this out of curiosity only, not because I think Ukraine shot the plane down.

The Su-25 is a low-altitude ground attack airplane that is barely even capable of reaching MH17's cruise altitude. For this reason it's also unlikely that any of Ukraine's would have been carrying air-to-air missiles (what with the separatists not having any airplanes.)

Mr Luxury Yacht
Apr 16, 2012


Swan Oat posted:

Why couldn't an Su-25 have shot down MH17? I am asking this out of curiosity only, not because I think Ukraine shot the plane down.

The Su-25 is a ground attack plane. Kind of like a Russian A-10.

It can in theory carry AA missiles, but only small heat seekers (Russian sidewinder equivalents) IIRC.

I'm pretty sure the blast that destroyed MH 17 was much larger than a R-60.

An R-60 AA missile like an Su-25 would carry has a 6.6 lbs warhead. A Buk has an 154 pound warhead. The damage would look entirely different.

Also as I think someone pointed out, a Boeing 777 typically cruises at 35,000 ft. The SU-25 maxes out at 23,000 ft. So it's doubtful it could have got a shot off.

Mr Luxury Yacht fucked around with this message at 07:17 on Dec 23, 2014

MaxxBot
Oct 6, 2003

you could have clapped

you should have clapped!!

computer parts posted:

There is no way Japan doesn't have "traditional values" unless you don't care about women at all.

They're not particularly good on LGBT rights either, that chart is dumb.

Best Friends
Nov 4, 2011

MaxxBot posted:

They're not particularly good on LGBT rights either, that chart is dumb.

It's a chart of what countries do white people on the internet like.

They like Sweden and Japan a lot.

Dusty Baker 2
Jul 8, 2011

Keyboard Inghimasi

HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:

From Bloomberg's "A pessimists guide to the world in 2015"

http://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2015-flash-points/img/baltics-big.png?v=11




That Putin needs to be someone's avatar.

Who should I piss off to make it happen?

Dolash
Oct 23, 2008

aNYWAY,
tHAT'S REALLY ALL THERE IS,
tO REPORT ON THE SUBJECT,
oF ME GETTING HURT,


Dusty Baker 2 posted:

Who should I piss off to make it happen?

Putin, presumably, although I suppose you might have more success baiting the separatist commanders to overextend themselves toward Mariupol and Odessa and hope Russia decides to go all-in to save their offensive.

fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013


Vova has already lost his queen and both bishops, things are not going well for him.

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blainestereo
Jan 16, 2013

Guildencrantz posted:

On the other end of the spectrum, I'm pretty sure Poland is not a society with similar attitudes to Ethiopia, which we apparently neighbor on this chart.

Admit it, you only criticize this graph because it puts your country next to Ethiopia :smuggo:

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