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manyak
Jan 26, 2006

Skip My Posts posted:

Gambling is cool

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Le Saboteur
Dec 5, 2007

I hear you wish to ball, adventurer..
Gambling on Cathal Pendred is not cool though.

CRISPYBABY
Dec 15, 2007

by Reene
I agree.

I spent half an hour today trying to write a tutorial on probability for a class I'm TAing trying to come up with non-gambling questions before going "gently caress it" and just deciding to teach them how to play and analyze the odds of craps.

Le Saboteur
Dec 5, 2007

I hear you wish to ball, adventurer..

attackmole posted:

I agree.

I spent half an hour today trying to write a tutorial on probability for a class I'm TAing trying to come up with non-gambling questions before going "gently caress it" and just deciding to teach them how to play and analyze the odds of craps.

Alright kids now whats the probability of your sketchy bookie getting back in touch with you on this +700 action you took and won.

CRISPYBABY
Dec 15, 2007

by Reene
Well I mean I am supposed to to teach these guys some conditional probability so that's pretty good actually.

fatherdog
Feb 16, 2005

attackmole posted:

I agree.

I spent half an hour today trying to write a tutorial on probability for a class I'm TAing trying to come up with non-gambling questions before going "gently caress it" and just deciding to teach them how to play and analyze the odds of craps.

canoshiz
Nov 6, 2005

THANK GOD FOR THE SMOKE MACHINE!

Le Saboteur posted:

Gambling on Cathal Pendred is not cool though.

Wait what the gently caress, Cathal is a favorite? I put Howard in my aforementioned dumb parlay but I don't think he was an underdog at the time...]

God Cathal Pendred sucks, he's already become r/mma top meme for being so lovely. That's how lovely he is.

CRISPYBABY
Dec 15, 2007

by Reene
I also bet on Cathal (at even odds) despite never watching him fight because John Howard is on a bad losing streak and he seemed hot. Whoops. Classic fightfinder analysis.

Marching Powder
Mar 8, 2008



stop the fucking fight, cornerman, your dude is fucking done and is about to be killed.
almeida is a sick striker but brad pickett is technically very good and pickett's an obscene underdog for his level of experience so i'm putting a fiver on ol one punch and that just might pay for my drinks

Seltzer
Oct 11, 2012

Ask me about Game Pass: the Best Deal in Gaming!
I got my bet placed

$25 to win $135 on a Lawler Mendes parlay and $25 to win $40 on Mendes

I'm in

Le Saboteur
Dec 5, 2007

I hear you wish to ball, adventurer..
Welcome to the Money Mendes train we're either derailing tomorrow or rolling over a potato.

el B
Jan 30, 2004
holler.
I only have a basic understanding on how betting works in mma. I've never looked in to doing it for real because I know that if I ever won big, I'd end up losing all my savings. Plus I have no idea how it works in my state.

But I like to make silly bets with my casual watching friends. I put $50 on Mendes. Happy to be a part of something silly with you guys.

Memento
Aug 25, 2009


Bleak Gremlin
Yeah I'm super OK with losing what I've put on, I'm going to spend more on beer and chicken tomorrow anyway.

Choo Choo motherfuckers!

Skip My Posts
Aug 15, 2005

by FactsAreUseless
Connor has all of us who bet on Mendes to thank for his title tomorrow night

manyak
Jan 26, 2006

Skip My Posts posted:

Connor has all of us who bet on Mendes to thank for his title tomorrow night

pretty much

Ty1990
Apr 22, 2011

Marching Powder posted:

almeida is a sick striker but brad pickett is technically very good and pickett's an obscene underdog for his level of experience so i'm putting a fiver on ol one punch and that just might pay for my drinks

nah you just gambled away a drink

Marching Powder
Mar 8, 2008



stop the fucking fight, cornerman, your dude is fucking done and is about to be killed.

Ty1990 posted:

nah you just gambled away a drink

Half a drink where I'm from

SquirrelGrip
Jul 4, 2012
manyak derailed the thread train

brutal

CRISPYBABY
Dec 15, 2007

by Reene
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1d5Q0vXbODs

mewse
May 2, 2006

First time betting on MMA, I put $100 CAD on Mendes winning.

So when Conor wins we can all just imagine goon bank accounts evaporating money??

MycroftXXX
May 10, 2006

A Liquor Never Brewed
I went through the last couple pages and added up all the money people have either directly on mendes or as a parley that includes mendes.

1,530 on Mendes not counting the sign up bonuses people got.

Biafraid was the only soul to bet on Conor. He put down 20 bucks.

Also I did this in like 5 minutes, so I may have missed some bets.

Fozzy The Bear
Dec 11, 1999

Nothing much, watching the game, drinking a bud
Chad "Money" Mendes $100 to win $135
Dennis "The Menace" Bermudez $20 to win $8.89
Brandon "Rukus" Thatch $20 to win $12.12

Chad "Money" Mendes wins by submission $1 to win $5.50

Chad vs Conor ending in a draw is 66/1, can't bet that though.

Bubba Smith
Sep 27, 2004

Is tonight the greatest moment in Dominick Cruz's life?

No.

The greatest moment in my life was realizing that I didn't need a belt to be happy.

MycroftXXX posted:

1,530 on Mendes not counting the sign up bonuses people got.

:stare: that's rivaling the Coleman pot I'm pretty sure.

Eh why not let me add to the retarded goon train choo choo

iLikeMidgets
Jan 3, 2005
insert witty title here
Matt Brown and Bermudez parlay - $15 to win $17.94
Mendes and Lawler parlay - $15 to win $76.80

This is my first MMA bet since Bonnar to win against Anderson Silva - $1 to win $1,230,999

jase1
Aug 11, 2004

Flankensttein: A name given to a FPS gamer who constantly flanks to get kills.

"So I was playing COD yesterday, and some flankenstein came up from behind and shot me."

Le Saboteur posted:

Alright kids now whats the probability of your sketchy bookie getting back in touch with you on this +700 action you took and won.

Most bookies including mine lay off their big bets so there isn't that big of a risk. His profit comes mostly from the vigs and payment plans. My bookie has a guy who probably owes him close to or just over 6 figures and he is on what seems like a permanent payment plan because I know he is still making bets with him. Also find a bookie that is connected to a circle of people like a poker group or pool hall or even a regular at a casino or horse track. They will most likely be old school guys who wouldn't risk getting black balled at these places for not paying up.

It's going to be a crazy night for me I finally have a reason to drink my Glenlivit 21 I got for my birthday a couple of years ago. I figure it's already an expensive night might as well get wasted on a $150 bottle of scotch to either celebrate or watch my money burn. Good luck everyone.!

Lloyd Boner
Oct 11, 2009

Yes officer, my name is Victoria Sonnen...berg
So will this be the greatest night in the gambling thread's history or the greatest night in the gambling thread's history?

Grandmaster.flv
Jun 24, 2011
Genuinely hoping for the funniest outcome here

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



Either way we're all winners.

JuanGoat
Nov 6, 2009
There's a lot of good underdog bets in this card. Stephens is a live dog, I think. Bermudez is good, but I think he's only about the level of A Stephens caliber fighter. He relies pretty heavily on his wrestling to win fights, but I think he's going to have a pretty hard time grappling with Stephens. I've also got Seery, Lawler, and Mendes.

CRISPYBABY
Dec 15, 2007

by Reene
I'm not sold at Stephens as a live dog at all. Came in heavy and tends to look like poo poo against good competition. I mean Stephens can knock anyone out at any point in a fight so he's got that going for him, but I'm not interested at the current odds.

canoshiz
Nov 6, 2005

THANK GOD FOR THE SMOKE MACHINE!
Remember when Stephens got wrestled by Anthony Pettis?

SquirrelGrip
Jul 4, 2012

attackmole posted:

I'm not sold at Stephens as a live dog at all. Came in heavy and tends to look like poo poo against good competition. I mean Stephens can knock anyone out at any point in a fight so he's got that going for him, but I'm not interested at the current odds.

Adding Stephens and Sick picks on a whole card parlay shot my odds up to $1 to win $1,814.00

willie_dee
Jun 21, 2010
I obtain sexual gratification from observing people being inflicted with violent head injuries
I've got $20 on Mendes and my boss heard me talking about it and put down $150

Bubba Smith
Sep 27, 2004

Is tonight the greatest moment in Dominick Cruz's life?

No.

The greatest moment in my life was realizing that I didn't need a belt to be happy.
do we count the money from the boss in the Mendes pool by proxy? He took the advice from a goon. I think it counts.

Anyways I put another $10 on Robbie Lawler.

Queering Wheel
Jun 18, 2011


I put $90 on Thatch to win $50. If I win that bet I might reinvest it into a Mendes bet.

manyak
Jan 26, 2006
Just bet $1000 on Conor.

just kidding, i would probably bet on him if he was at even money though but no way at the current odds. Good luck to all the mendes goons

Marching Powder
Mar 8, 2008



stop the fucking fight, cornerman, your dude is fucking done and is about to be killed.
crownbet gave me a $150 free bet for joining their site so i put the 150 on lawler / mendes parlay taking my total to 170 to win $800

Belle Isle Tech
Aug 28, 2009
Got a parlay on Lawler/Mendes for 200 to win 1050, plus with the bonus money I was given I put 100 straight bet on Lawler to win 150.

MycroftXXX
May 10, 2006

A Liquor Never Brewed
We're up to 1,866 on Mendes.

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Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



MycroftXXX posted:

We're up to 1,866 on Mendes.

:laffo:

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