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Are you a
This poll is closed.
homeowner 39 22.41%
renter 69 39.66%
stupid peace of poo poo 66 37.93%
Total: 174 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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Kathleen
Feb 26, 2013

Grimey Drawer

Displeased Moo Cow posted:

Same but then I had some FUSH AND CHUPS

it's not even friday you degenerate

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Moo Cowabunga
Jun 15, 2009

[Office Worker.




Everyday is Friday in the glorious bay

Moo Cowabunga
Jun 15, 2009

[Office Worker.




Cops no one has jobs :yum:

Moo Cowabunga
Jun 15, 2009

[Office Worker.




drat auto correct piece of poo poo

WarpedNaba
Feb 8, 2012

Being social makes me swell!
The Bay? The Hawkes Bay? I lived in Clive for a good decade, is Napier still a ghost town after 8?

bobbilljim
May 29, 2013

this christmas feels like the very first christmas to me
:shittydog::shittydog::shittydog:

Displeased Moo Cow posted:

Cops no one has jobs :yum:

*cries salty tears into gimblett gravels pinot*

Somfin
Oct 25, 2010

In my🦚 experience🛠️ the big things🌑 don't teach you anything🤷‍♀️.

Nap Ghost

Displeased Moo Cow posted:

Andrew little on the other hand just doesn't like those Asians :chord:

With the poo poo he's been saying and the lovely ways he's been justifying it I get this feeling like he was at a property auction and was this close to winning it and then some Asian guy with a phone put his hand up and just smashed his offer out of the park and he got really huffy about it

Like seriously how do you assemble a chart where the point is "Boy these names sure sound a bit foreign" and think anything other than "Weird that I spent literally any time on this, even if I'm right I look like a massive racist, I should throw it away instead of signing my name to it" unless you're in the kind of mood where you'll seriously consider massive racial conspiracies

I just don't think that "How about y'all gently caress off back to China" is a great policy for Labour to be focusing on right now

exmachina
Mar 12, 2006

Look Closer
Again Labour is tone deaf but if you think that the Auckland property market is not being distorted by non residents in general and mainland Chinese in particular then just lol.

puchu
Sep 20, 2004

hiya~

exmachina posted:

Again Labour is tone deaf but if you think that the Auckland property market is not being distorted by non residents in general and mainland Chinese in particular then just lol.

No one is saying that you retard we're saying that the study doesn't actually prove what is claimed because while you might be able to estimate race from surname the surname doesn't provide an indicator of residency / citizenship so it becomes a stick of fallacy to beat on any Chinese with be they local or from mainland China or any other place in the world

exmachina
Mar 12, 2006

Look Closer
Nobody is for a poll tax or resident or citizens of Chinese descent 'going back to where they came from' but the amount of capital fleeing China at the moment is overwhelming this relatively small market. And somehow I don't think resident and citizen Chinese are buying houses at 3 or 4 times the rate of other ethnicities.

puchu
Sep 20, 2004

hiya~

exmachina posted:

Nobody is for a poll tax or resident or citizens of Chinese descent 'going back to where they came from' but the amount of capital fleeing China at the moment is overwhelming this relatively small market. And somehow I don't think resident and citizen Chinese are buying houses at 3 or 4 times the rate of other ethnicities.

What who said anything about a poll tax or poo poo like that? I'm saying that the study that Labour draws a conclusion that the data doesn't support because of a whole host of reasons that Keith Ng wrote in his public address blog and be it unwitting or not, Labour essentially says that people of Chinese descent are to blame. Labour has doubled and tripled down on this by insisting that it's not racist and that it's a sound study but my god, look at the actual study! how can they say that it's not against citizens of Chinese descent on one hand while on the other hand the study doesn't actually determine residency/citizenship?

exmachina
Mar 12, 2006

Look Closer

puchu posted:

What who said anything about a poll tax or poo poo like that? I'm saying that the study that Labour draws a conclusion that the data doesn't support because of a whole host of reasons that Keith Ng wrote in his public address blog and be it unwitting or not, Labour essentially says that people of Chinese descent are to blame. Labour has doubled and tripled down on this by insisting that it's not racist and that it's a sound study but my god, look at the actual study! how can they say that it's not against citizens of Chinese descent on one hand while on the other hand the study doesn't actually determine residency/citizenship?

Because everyone is refusing to actually collect the data that would prove the issue one way or the other.

Like I said Labour did this wrong but only because the data we want is not being collected.

puchu
Sep 20, 2004

hiya~

exmachina posted:

Because everyone is refusing to actually collect the data that would prove the issue one way or the other.

Like I said Labour did this wrong but only because the data we want is not being collected.

And because the data is wrong, that gives them an excuse to go out and gently caress up? Bullshit.

Ghostlight
Sep 25, 2009

maybe for one second you can pause; try to step into another person's perspective, and understand that a watermelon is cursing me



Labour did it wrong because they're loving idiots. They don't need data to prove the prevailing narrative - virtually nobody disputes that foreign investors are distorting Auckland's house prices due to our (when compared to other developed nations) extremely permissive foreign investment laws.

They only "needed" that data to tie that narrative to the Yellow Menace of Crafar and beat Winston's drums of xenophobia: Foolishly thinking it could somehow lead to an outburst of popular support for needed law changes that they've been complicit in the absence of for decades.

Ghostlight fucked around with this message at 14:41 on Jul 15, 2015

El Pollo Blanco
Jun 12, 2013

by sebmojo

A human heart posted:

National aren't even vaguely in the same ballpark as any kind of fascist party, and it's stupid to call them that.

That's the joke, dude.

puchu posted:

I dunno I guess it depends if you prefer constructive (lol) political dialogue or yelling in to the endless cyber nether. I prefer pornography myself.

You're never going to get constructive political dialogue with someone who's in the youth branch of whatever party they support, but I think everyone has to agree the YoungNats are particularly insufferable, more so than ACT on campus or the young Green people who never bothered to work out how representative democracy is meant to function.

El Pollo Blanco fucked around with this message at 19:08 on Jul 15, 2015

voiceless anal fricative
May 6, 2007

fwiw this bullshit came from Phil Twyford. The caucus and membership were pretty divided over it. Not that it makes much difference

NZAmoeba
Feb 14, 2005

It turns out it's MAN!
Hair Elf

exmachina posted:

Because everyone is refusing to actually collect the data that would prove the issue one way or the other.

Like I said Labour did this wrong but only because the data we want is not being collected.

What Labour did was to remind every Asian New Zealander that they're not a real New Zealander. It makes people bitter.

exmachina posted:

And somehow I don't think resident and citizen Chinese are buying houses at 3 or 4 times the rate of other ethnicities.

Why not? Maori and Pacific Islanders are buying at rates far lower than their population, you could probably determine from that that race based house buying data isn't going to be identical to population figures?


Also Labour is referring to the estate agent that leaked the data as a "Whistle Blower". As if something was deeply wrong about people with Asian names buying houses and the public needed to know. It totally wasn't just a case of someone leaking private data (the names of all their customers!) to a 3rd party without permission, completely breaching existing privacy laws?

NZAmoeba fucked around with this message at 23:24 on Jul 15, 2015

Slavvy
Dec 11, 2012

NZ politics is like the world's worst sports team winning every match because they're up against the special olympics under-sixteens squad.

National 'earn' popularity simply by being less blatantly inept and self-defeating than labour, not by actually being good at anything as far as I can tell.

dusty
Nov 30, 2004

NZAmoeba posted:

. It totally wasn't just a case of someone leaking private data (the names of all their customers!) to a 3rd party without permission, completely breaching existing privacy laws?

It's not private data, that data is/will be available through local government via QV.


I'll be fascinated at how the next poll looks. Up or down people - is this going to boost or sink em?

bobbilljim
May 29, 2013

this christmas feels like the very first christmas to me
:shittydog::shittydog::shittydog:
Thought popped into my head this morning... if Chinese investors in particular were such a big deal, shouldn't we be seeing a bunch of extra houses going for sale due to the Chinese stock market correction?

oohhboy
Jun 8, 2013

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
No, since that is already safe money. They went to a lot of trouble getting that money out, why would they bring it back in. Besides, the real damage in the stocks over there is being done to the small retail "Investors" who were ploughing money into the system since it doesn't have anywhere else to go especially for such relatively same amounts individually although a fortune for the individual.

Ghostlight
Sep 25, 2009

maybe for one second you can pause; try to step into another person's perspective, and understand that a watermelon is cursing me



The whole point of investing in another country is that it keeps your money out of your own economy.

dusty posted:

It's not private data, that data is/will be available through local government via QV.


I'll be fascinated at how the next poll looks. Up or down people - is this going to boost or sink em?
It's private data in that it was identifying sales data for a specific company. I don't think QV actually does record information like how Chinese-sounding a buyer is, just the values of the houses and possibly the owner, which may or may not be an actual person, but identifying stuff like that is probably still protected under privacy laws unless you have a reason for wanting it beyond demagoguery.

It will end much like every attempt that Labour makes to move Right and get the voters that the Herald is constantly promising are right there for them to take if only they were more centrist - they will pick up zero or a negligible amount of voters from the center while bleeding from the left-side of their constituents.

xiw
Sep 25, 2011

i wake up at night
night action madness nightmares
maybe i am scum

Cpig Haiku contest 2020 winner
Remember how last week Labour won the debate on rental housing fitness? And instead of taking advantage of that, it took them TWO DAYS to gently caress up again?

exmarx
Feb 18, 2012


The experience over the years
of nothing getting better
only worse.
Don't worry, the milk oversupply will sort itself out because the global population is growing
https://twitter.com/FrancesCook/status/621481674535112704

exmarx
Feb 18, 2012


The experience over the years
of nothing getting better
only worse.
The person who leaked the housing data didn't leak it to Labour.

And he's a racist:

Ghostlight
Sep 25, 2009

maybe for one second you can pause; try to step into another person's perspective, and understand that a watermelon is cursing me



I hope someone rakes Phil Twyford over the loving coals about him trying to claim protection of his source considering he doesn't have the same legal immunities granted to journalists and wouldn't even qualify for them if he were due to the purpose for which he used the information.

puchu
Sep 20, 2004

hiya~
I like the bit about confidential information at the bottom of the email

puchu
Sep 20, 2004

hiya~

Ghostlight posted:

I hope someone rakes Phil Twyford over the loving coals about him trying to claim protection of his source considering he doesn't have the same legal immunities granted to journalists and wouldn't even qualify for them if he were due to the purpose for which he used the information.

He should set up a political blog

Ghostlight
Sep 25, 2009

maybe for one second you can pause; try to step into another person's perspective, and understand that a watermelon is cursing me



It didn't work for WhaleOil :getin:

exmachina
Mar 12, 2006

Look Closer
http://publicaddress.net/speaker/house-buying-patterns-in-auckland/

Rob Salmond from PA, same site as Keith Ng made his original critique of the Twyford data, has made my point much better than I could have.

quote:

House-buying patterns in Auckland

by Rob Salmond

As people will have seen, Labour has obtained real estate data, scrutinized and published by the New Zealand Herald, showing 39.5% of the Auckland houses sold went to people who appear to be ethnically Chinese. This is a large discrepancy from the 9% of the Auckland population who are ethnically Chinese.

Labour believes this analysis illustrates the large scale of foreign investment in the Auckland real estate market, particularly from China, pushing up prices and denying New Zealand families of any ethnicity the opportunity to own the roof over their heads.

Critics – including PA’s own Keith Ng – believe the data show nothing at all and argue Labour is showing racism or xenophobia.

I did the quantitative analysis for Labour on this, and I think critics are operating under some misconceptions.

quote:

Do Chinese Aucklanders just like buying houses?

Of course that is possible that 126,000 Chinese Aucklanders bought the 1500 or so houses in this data set. But it is plausible given these data?

First, Chinese Aucklanders tend to be young, and tend to have low incomes. While the ethnically Chinese population makes up 9% of Aucklanders, it makes up only 5% of Aucklanders on high incomes.

Second, the leaked data show that the ethnically Chinese house buyers tended to purchase flash houses. While ethnically Chinese buyers made up 39.5% of all sales, they made up over 49% of all sales worth over $1 million. That is another striking discrepancy.

This explanation now requires a small, relatively low income percentage of the population to be buying a very large percentage of the most expensive houses. At face value, that sounds unlikely.

Critics, however, believe this discrepancy can be explained because the Chinese population is growing strongly through immigration, meaning lots of people coming in with cash in hand due to the migration rules, and with the need to find somewhere to live, explaining disproportionate house buying.

Well, we have a good comparison case to test this idea: the ethnically Indian population in Auckland. It has 8% of the population, 6% of the high-earning population, and it is growing even more quickly than the ethnic Chinese population, including through immigration at similar rates. That means the Indian population is subject to similar dynamics of incoming capital for new residents, and has the same need to find new places to live.

So what proportion of Auckland homes are being bought by the ethnically Indian population? The data show they are buying 8.6% of the houses, more or less in line with their population share. Again, the discrepancy between ethnic Indians and ethnic Chinese is striking.

The “resident Chinese Aucklanders on a real estate bender” theory now additionally requires that population to buy homes at about four times the rate of another ethnic group in broadly the same socioeconomic and immigration position.

I think you have to string a pretty long bow to believe all those things at once. The explanation, while possible, is implausible.

exmachina fucked around with this message at 06:44 on Jul 16, 2015

Moongrave
Jun 19, 2004

Finally Living Rent Free
My question is who gives a gently caress who is buying houses in Auckland? Or anywhere?

Ghostlight
Sep 25, 2009

maybe for one second you can pause; try to step into another person's perspective, and understand that a watermelon is cursing me



People who want to shift the blame for house prices from long-term mismanagement of the market by the central government to "ethnically Chinese", and those who want to leverage racist responses to "ethnically Chinese" in order to push central government into actually managing a market for once.

Moongrave
Jun 19, 2004

Finally Living Rent Free
I like Chinese people, they make good westernised Chinese food and good fish and chips.

imagine life without being able to get buffet sweet and sour pork.

Moo Cowabunga
Jun 15, 2009

[Office Worker.




Our FUSH and chup shop is run by a lovely Indian family. The head of the family is called Raj and he drinks in the local pub sometimes and plays darts.

Ghostlight
Sep 25, 2009

maybe for one second you can pause; try to step into another person's perspective, and understand that a watermelon is cursing me



Everyone loves the Chinese, it's just that if they want to buy AR HOUSES then they should have good "ethnically European" names like Rommel or Hitler.

Moongrave
Jun 19, 2004

Finally Living Rent Free
Xi Hitler is a pretty good name, tbh

Butt Wizard
Nov 3, 2005

It was a pornography store. I was buying pornography.
I like how Salmond conflates income with wealth, access to capital and the fact that it's pretty hard to settle here unless you have stacks of cash to begin with or a skillset that's massively in demand.

Seriously ask yourself if you would be giving National this much benefit of the doubt if they'd tried to float this horseshit.

Kathleen
Feb 26, 2013

Grimey Drawer
what made labour stop banging the "well-enforced capital gains tax" drum and start banging the "loving chinese" drum?

Somfin
Oct 25, 2010

In my🦚 experience🛠️ the big things🌑 don't teach you anything🤷‍♀️.

Nap Ghost

focal ischemia posted:

what made labour stop banging the "well-enforced capital gains tax" drum and start banging the "loving chinese" drum?

My hypothesis: Labour got a new backer who's really into property investment.

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bobbilljim
May 29, 2013

this christmas feels like the very first christmas to me
:shittydog::shittydog::shittydog:

focal ischemia posted:

what made labour stop banging the "well-enforced capital gains tax" drum and start banging the "loving chinese" drum?

well capital gains tax is political suicide, but nzers are mostly racist and xenophobic so I guess they tried it on

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