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The Vosgian Beast
Aug 13, 2011

Business is slow

Curvature of Earth posted:

This is what Clarkhat and Anarcho-Papist think the future will be like.

I have probably said this before, but I like that the demographics of NRx are such that half of them are going "The problem with social justice and progressivism is that they're RELIGIONS that persecute truth and science and free speech":smugdog: and the other half is going "You know, the Inquisition had the right idea"

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Merdifex
May 13, 2015

by Shine

The Vosgian Beast posted:

I have probably said this before, but I like that the demographics of NRx are such that half of them are going "The problem with social justice and progressivism is that they're RELIGIONS that persecute truth and science and free speech":smugdog: and the other half is going "You know, the Inquisition had the right idea"

Many of them have latched onto the idea of progressivism / communism / liberalism being an off-shoot of Calvinism to the extent that they go on to support Catholicism to support their racism and bigotry, or so they think, don't think they know too much about Catholicism.

Woolie Wool
Jun 2, 2006


I think they should go live in the feudal cyber-papacy future of BattleTech, so they have to pay ComStar for their porn. ComStar's rates are about $1 in 1985 dollars...per byte.

How's that enlightened sci-fi monarchy working out for ya? :smugdog:

The Vosgian Beast
Aug 13, 2011

Business is slow

Merdifex posted:

Many of them have latched onto the idea of progressivism / communism / liberalism being an off-shoot of Calvinism to the extent that they go on to support Catholicism to support their racism and bigotry, or so they think, don't think they know too much about Catholicism.

I like that even if this is true, which is probably not the case because I don't trust NRx historiography as far as I can throw it, it does not prove anything other than the obvious, because genetic fallacy is a thing.

It'd be like saying "Chemistry is descended from alchemy, which was mostly superstitious nonsense and false conceptions, so obviously chemistry is mostly false"

Wales Grey
Jun 20, 2012

Woolie Wool posted:

I think they should go live in the feudal cyber-papacy future of BattleTech, so they have to pay ComStar for their porn. ComStar's rates are about $1 in 1985 dollars...per byte.

How's that enlightened sci-fi monarchy working out for ya? :smugdog:

To be fair, $1 for 1 byte pushed through multiple light-years of space such that you can have near-real time interstellar communication is a steal.

Annointed
Mar 2, 2013

Wales Grey posted:

To be fair, $1 for 1 byte pushed through multiple light-years of space such that you can have near-real time interstellar communication is a steal.

I now can't stop thinking of the possibility of a sci fi story about groups of people desperately trying to invent a near instant interstellar communications network.

Gum
Mar 9, 2008

oho, a rapist
time to try this puppy out

The Vosgian Beast posted:

They refuse to believe this, because any evidence to the contrary is just part of the Cathedral's stranglehold on academia.

It's literally impossible to have a debate with someone who just outright rejects the use of evidence. Best you can hope for is just saying your opinions at each other

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!
LW: Neo-reactionaries, why are you neo-reactionary?

First comment: "Like so many who fancied ourselves prodigies (I got a 1600 on my SAT, I read Calvin and Hobbes, Encyclopedia Brown, etc.) ..." From the LW thread: "It's a good thing these intellectual titans weren't subject to the dysgenic effects of poor people mixing into their bloodlines."

This is an awesome thread.

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

divabot posted:

LW: Neo-reactionaries, why are you neo-reactionary?

First comment: "Like so many who fancied ourselves prodigies (I got a 1600 on my SAT, I read Calvin and Hobbes, Encyclopedia Brown, etc.) ..." From the LW thread: "It's a good thing these intellectual titans weren't subject to the dysgenic effects of poor people mixing into their bloodlines."

This is an awesome thread.
I just want to quote the first line.

quote:

Through LessWrong, I've discovered the no-reactionary movement
If you associate with LessWrong, this should give you pause.

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!

Cingulate posted:

If you associate with LessWrong, this should give you pause.

Only a pause to reassure yourself that since you found it on LW, it must be in the approved collection of ideas for cool people like ourselves!!

The very Correct Contrarian around whom you should all consider clustering, JUST SAYING posted:

But there are also simpler things we could do using the same principle. Let's say we want to know whether the economy will recover, double-dip or crash. So we call up a thousand economists, ask each one "Do you have a strong opinion on whether the many-worlds interpretation is correct?", and see if the economists who have a strong opinion and answer "Yes" have a different average opinion from the average economist and from economists who say "No".

Believing the same thing about physics that is completely outside your expert topic as the evidence-free fanfic AI researcher speaks directly to how trustworthy you are in the thing you're an actual friggin' expert in. And the measure of this is how shared crank ideas are the medium by which that highly transferable commodity, expertise, is transferred.

loving what.

So yeah. EY/LW put forward that you should believe whatever we do because the cool people believe all this poo poo. And NRx inveighles itself into that.

It does flow the other way, of course. I must note again that MICHAEL ANISSIMOV SERIOUSLY BELIEVES IN ROKO'S BASILISK. Which is totally the white speck on top of the chicken poop.

divabot has a new favorite as of 13:04 on Jul 22, 2015

Munin
Nov 14, 2004


So the very correct contrarian is not doing this survey to weed out all the people who will very confidently state what they believe is the truth about something that they have never studied.

I wonder why he might not be considering that approach...

neonnoodle
Mar 20, 2008

by exmarx

Merdifex posted:

Many of them have latched onto the idea of progressivism / communism / liberalism being an off-shoot of Calvinism to the extent that they go on to support Catholicism to support their racism and bigotry, or so they think, don't think they know too much about Catholicism.

Let me make sure I have this right.

The liberal/progressive notion that everyone could have an equal shot at life, were it not for societal prejudices and systemic injustice = CALVINISM

Scientific racism and the theory of an elite class of natural oligarchs = NOT CALVINISM

:dawkins101:

P.S. I wonder what these assholes think of Dorothy Day?

The Vosgian Beast
Aug 13, 2011

Business is slow
I have a friend who is a neuroscience major, and he posts stuff he learns about on his tumblr. He's managed, through no effort of his own, to gain LW followers.

He's noticed that his posts tend to go through a reblog chain of LW person-neo-reactionary-actual loving proud nazi. It makes him really annoyed and uncomfortable.

Merdifex
May 13, 2015

by Shine

The Vosgian Beast posted:

I have a friend who is a neuroscience major, and he posts stuff he learns about on his tumblr. He's managed, through no effort of his own, to gain LW followers.

He's noticed that his posts tend to go through a reblog chain of LW person-neo-reactionary-actual loving proud nazi. It makes him really annoyed and uncomfortable.

The rationalists on tumblr are completely oblivious, or don't care, that actual nazis from /pol/ follow them. In fact, LWers are more than comfortable with such people; talking to them and what not.

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!
Oh boy. Everyone needs to read the article at that link.

Michael Vassar isn't a neoreactionary (though he knows them), but is a Rationalist par excellence. Founder of startup MetaMed, whose business model was to give rich foolish people's medical problems to medically-untrained LessWrong alumni who would then solve your problems by sheer force of optimal rationality! Surprisingly, it failed, and they stiffed a lot of people.

Here's Vassar's mindset. It should be familiar to any reader of this thread:

Aspiring wisest human posted:

It was getting late. I asked him about the rationalist community. Were they really going to save the world? From what?

“Imagine there is a set of skills,” he said. “There is a myth that they are possessed by the whole population, and there is a cynical myth that they’re possessed by 10 percent of the population. They’ve actually been wiped out in all but about one person in three thousand.” It is important, Vassar said, that his people, “the fragments of the world,” lead the way during “the fairly predictable, fairly total cultural transition that will predictably take place between 2020 and 2035 or so.”

THE LESSWRONGERS SHALL, IN FACT, RULE THE EARTH.

These people are just wonderful in every way:

quote:

She told me she had started a fight during a discussion about time management and how mathematicians have a hard time getting laid.

Someone proposed a solution: Employers should hire prostitutes so the mathematicians wouldn’t waste precious hours at bars. That was incredibly sexist, Courtney had said, and a shirtless man had replied, “But the heuristic is that mathematicians are male!” “Aren’t we here to think about radically different futures,” she’d said, “and, um, is it inconceivable that there might be female mathematicians?”

Great, even better, was the response. They could be the prostitutes, and the bedrooms could be mic’d with
baby monitors, in case of productive pillow talk. “So I said, ‘You think a great thing about women’s increased presence in math and science is that they can be fluffers to genius?’

I would say "these people are building your future! Doesn't that make you happy?" except these are the ones who failed to get the Google job so talk about their SATs and how the dysgenic masses are holding the white male genius down.

But don't think these natural noblemen won't reach out and help their lessers. Here's Vassar again:

quote:

I walked outside for air. Michael Vassar, in a clinging red sweater, was talking to an actuary from Florida. They discussed timeless decision theory (approximately: intelligent agents should make decisions on the basis of the futures, or possible worlds, that they predict their decisions will create) and the simulation argument (essentially: we’re living in one), which Vassar traced to Schopenhauer.

(If I were super-generous I'd call this a ridiculously cherry-picked reading of The World as Will and Representation through nerd-rapture-coloured glasses. I'd have to strain even for that, though.)

quote:

He recited lines from Kipling’s “If—” in no particular order and advised the actuary on how to change his life: Become a pro poker player with the $100k he had in the bank, then hit the Magic: The Gathering pro circuit; make more money; develop more rationality skills; launch the first Costco in Northern Europe.

(Costco's been around in the UK for years, perhaps that's not northern or European enough.)

Munin
Nov 14, 2004


lol @ "tracing to Schopenhauer"

What a beautiful rational appeal to authority; not to mention mock intellectualism at its finest.

Curvature of Earth
Sep 9, 2011

Projected cost of
invading Canada:
$900

divabot posted:

Oh boy. Everyone needs to read the article at that link.

Dingbat posted:

He recited lines from Kipling’s “If—” in no particular order and advised the actuary on how to change his life: Become a pro poker player with the $100k he had in the bank, then hit the Magic: The Gathering pro circuit; make more money; develop more rationality skills; launch the first Costco in Northern Europe.

(Costco's been around in the UK for years, perhaps that's not northern or European enough.)

You know I didn't flunk out of business school just so I could stand by and let someone even less qualified than me give business advice.

You can't "open" a Costco store because Costco is not a loving franchise. All Costco stores are directly owned and operated by Costco Wholesale Corporation.

He's welcome to apply for the role of general store manager alongside everyone else. The salary looks pretty drat good ($110,000+). But of course, Costco prefers to promote from within, so in addition to pissing away years in poker and Magic tournaments, be prepared to piss away even more staffing cash registors for a while.

Or the actuary could just keep their drat job. A decade of experience and certification can net an ambitious actuary $200,000 a year or more.* Do you know how many small children I'd strangle to get a job that paid me that much? A lot. Every daycare in the state would be empty by the time I finished.

It boggles my mind that someone who's solidly upper-middle-class would ask a career moron for job advice.

*Granted, these are American salaries and not European, but hopefully they're in the ballpark.

Curvature of Earth has a new favorite as of 03:54 on Jul 23, 2015

eschaton
Mar 7, 2007

Don't you just hate when you wind up in a store with people who are in a socioeconomic class that is pretty obviously about two levels lower than your own?

Gum posted:

It's literally impossible to have a debate with someone who just outright rejects the use of evidence. Best you can hope for is just saying your opinions at each other

See also "Austrian economics" and "praxeology," which is the economic equivalent of Lysenkoism and its political adherence to Lamarck's theories of heritability.

Curvature of Earth
Sep 9, 2011

Projected cost of
invading Canada:
$900

eschaton posted:

See also "Austrian economics" and "praxeology," which is the economic equivalent of Lysenkoism and its political adherence to Lamarck's theories of heritability.

To be fair, Lamarck's theory was actually legitimate at some point. Austrian economics has relied on sleight-of-hand and willful misinterpretation since its birth.

Tiggum
Oct 24, 2007

Your life and your quest end here.


Sam Frank posted:

He recited lines from Kipling’s “If—” in no particular order and advised the actuary on how to change his life: Become a pro poker player with the $100k he had in the bank, then hit the Magic: The Gathering pro circuit; make more money; develop more rationality skills; launch the first Costco in Northern Europe.

Unless something's changed dramatically since I played M:tG, pro Magic players quit to play poker when they want to start making better money, not the other way around.

Ellie Crabcakes
Feb 1, 2008

Stop emailing my boyfriend Gay Crungus

Tiggum posted:

Unless something's changed dramatically since I played M:tG, pro Magic players quit to play poker when they want to start making better money, not the other way around.
This is like a chicken and egg sort of thing.

eschaton
Mar 7, 2007

Don't you just hate when you wind up in a store with people who are in a socioeconomic class that is pretty obviously about two levels lower than your own?

Curvature of Earth posted:

To be fair, Lamarck's theory was actually legitimate at some point. Austrian economics has relied on sleight-of-hand and willful misinterpretation since its birth.

Both theories when first proposed were not unreasonable, but both Lysenko in the Soviet Union and Austrian economists rejected any evidence that didn't fit their theory for political reasons.

Unfortunately Austrian economics still has plenty of powerful supporters still arguing for it primarily for political reasons, while Lysenko's promotion of Lamarck was finally discarded half a century ago.

Phobophilia
Apr 26, 2008

by Hand Knit

Annointed posted:

I now can't stop thinking of the possibility of a sci fi story about groups of people desperately trying to invent a near instant interstellar communications network.

It's been done.

GIANT OUIJA BOARD
Aug 22, 2011

177 Years of Your Dick
All
Night
Non
Stop

Tiggum posted:

Unless something's changed dramatically since I played M:tG, pro Magic players quit to play poker when they want to start making better money, not the other way around.

But Magic is nerdier, therefor it is the game of the intellectual elite :smug:

Also lol at reading Calvin & Hobbes and Encyclopedia Brown as a kid being a sign of genius.

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!
Konkvistador loved this WSJ piece and took time to emphasise the bit where it called liberals a bunch of girls. Comments a rich seam as always.

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

divabot posted:

Konkvistador loved this WSJ piece
That's ... interesting. Jonathan Haidt is in many ways very similar to Scott Alexander - somebody who in principle should be, and argues like, a liberal, but has opinions that in many ways are much more at home with reactionaries, including great disdain for liberals, especially for what he perceives as a monoculture that likes to silent justified right-wing arguments.

Tiberius Thyben
Feb 7, 2013

Gone Phishing


GIANT OUIJA BOARD posted:

But Magic is nerdier, therefor it is the game of the intellectual elite :smug:

Also lol at reading Calvin & Hobbes and Encyclopedia Brown as a kid being a sign of genius.

Now if he said The Magic School Bus, I might have agreed with him.

Night10194
Feb 13, 2012

We'll start,
like many good things,
with a bear.

GIANT OUIJA BOARD posted:

Also lol at reading Calvin & Hobbes and Encyclopedia Brown as a kid being a sign of genius.

When I was in first grade I tried to convince the school library to buy Calvin and Hobbes books because 'Calvin uses lots of big words!'

It was a lovely comic strip that still holds up as a good work of humor and visual art, it's certainly a good thing for a kid or adult to enjoy, but it's certainly no sign of genius.

neonnoodle
Mar 20, 2008

by exmarx
It's a sign of the genius of Bill Watterson. And if the LW clowns read it more carefully, they might notice the irreverent, satirical tone that Watterson took toward Calvin's despotic personality.

Night10194
Feb 13, 2012

We'll start,
like many good things,
with a bear.

neonnoodle posted:

It's a sign of the genius of Bill Watterson. And if the LW clowns read it more carefully, they might notice the irreverent, satirical tone that Watterson took toward Calvin's despotic personality.

Oh, yes. I meant in the reader. Bill Watterson had a great deal of integrity as an artist and reading his writing about his work, was basically always striving to find new ways to grow and keep making his creative output more interesting.

GIANT OUIJA BOARD
Aug 22, 2011

177 Years of Your Dick
All
Night
Non
Stop
Excuse me, but I read the funny papers as a child, therefore I am a genius.

darthbob88
Oct 13, 2011

YOSPOS

GIANT OUIJA BOARD posted:

Excuse me, but I read the funny papers as a child, therefore I am a genius.

And I read Encyclopedia Brown, which frankly may have made me stupider. I still recall one case that hinged on "no real hot dog enthusiast would spread those condiments that way", and apparently I'm not the only one with fond memories of Encyclopedia.

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!
I'm sorry, I'm still looking through LW's Greatest Hits. When Science Can't Help is brilliant.

Yudkowsky doesn't understand science (dig this post in which he recommends how to fix the process of science such that it would become literally how science works already), so thinks it doesn't work because it doesn't support his ideas. What example does he pick?

sparkly elite-aster posted:

Evolutionary psychology is another example of a case where rationality has to take over from science. While theories of evolutionary psychology form a connected whole, only some of those theories are readily testable experimentally. But you still need the other parts of the theory, because they form a connected web that helps you to form the hypotheses that are actually testable—and then the helper hypotheses are supported in a Bayesian sense, but not supported experimentally. Science would render a verdict of "not proven" on individual parts of a connected theoretical mesh that is experimentally productive as a whole. We'd need a new kind of verdict for that, something like "indirectly supported".

So you see, :biotruths: is beyond mere tawdry "science", we need rationality to connect our cherry-picked studies and demonstrate the ineffable truth that Bay Area transhumanists are heuristically superior to the blacks and poors.

divabot has a new favorite as of 22:31 on Jul 24, 2015

The Vosgian Beast
Aug 13, 2011

Business is slow
I will never stop being amused that Eliezer thinks the problem with science is that the consensus is too quick to change.

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!

The Vosgian Beast posted:

I will never stop being amused that Eliezer thinks the problem with science is that the consensus is too quick to change.

If I were bending over backwards to be fair, I'd get a copy of the book version of the sequences, Rationality: From AI To Zombies, and quote those versions. Of course, he left out the quantum physics sequence (because, despite years of correction of his basic errors, he refused to fix it and wasn't going to for the book version - way to Bayesian update) and, more importantly, it'd leave out the comments. But this would also involve reading it all again.

I also suspect it isn't very neoreactionary. HEY EVERYONE ELSE! POST STUFF!

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

divabot posted:

So you see, :biotruths: is beyond mere tawdry "science", we need rationality to connect our cherry-picked studies and demonstrate the ineffable truth that Bay Area transhumanists are heuristically superior to the blacks and poors.
FWIW evolutionary psychology is mostly about sexism I think. Psychometrics is where the racists are. (With many exceptions, that is, sexists who're psyshometricians, or racists who're evo psych.)

divabot posted:

Yudkowsky doesn't understand science (dig this post in which he recommends how to fix the process of science such that it would become literally how it works already), so thinks it doesn't work because it doesn't support his ideas. What example does he pick?
For proud self-proclaimed Bayesians, it's a bit surprising to find a rough and naive discussion of priors, without using the term at all.

divabot posted:

Evolutionary psychology is another example of a case where rationality has to take over from science. While theories of evolutionary psychology form a connected whole, only some of those theories are readily testable experimentally. But you still need the other parts of the theory, because they form a connected web that helps you to form the hypotheses that are actually testable—and then the helper hypotheses are supported in a Bayesian sense, but not supported experimentally. Science would render a verdict of "not proven" on individual parts of a connected theoretical mesh that is experimentally productive as a whole. We'd need a new kind of verdict for that, something like "indirectly supported".
"I have literally never even heard the name Popper."

Peel
Dec 3, 2007

We can use experiment to establish things that aren't directly measurable but which are implied by measurements via a successful theory? That's pretty mindblowing stuff, my mate Francis Bacon will amazed when he hears about this revolutionary new development.

The Vosgian Beast
Aug 13, 2011

Business is slow
Hey everyone, wanna see the number one Dark Enlightenment comedian?

https://twitter.com/jokeocracy

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Peel posted:

We can use experiment to establish things that aren't directly measurable but which are implied by measurements via a successful theory? That's pretty mindblowing stuff, my mate Francis Bacon will amazed when he hears about this revolutionary new development.
Yeah he's just super confused about the relationship between theory, model, statistical hypothesis, research hypothesis.

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MizPiz
May 29, 2013

by Athanatos

The Vosgian Beast posted:

Hey everyone, wanna see the number one Dark Enlightenment comedian?

https://twitter.com/jokeocracy

#1 Dark Enlightenment Comedian posted:

the Anti-Cuckservative Uprising is the GOP's #Gamergate

So he comes from the GBS school of comedy.

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