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equal bets put on barnett against nelson by decision (+345) and by finish (-110). better than a straight bet (-220) imo
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Aug 11, 2015 00:25
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I like those bets and will probably copy them. Although I do think Barnett is more likely to get the stoppage. I put down $25 on Rumble because I just can't see him losing to Jimi Manuwa. There aren't any props yet on a KO finish but I'll probably double up on that too. Nothing really jumps out at me about next week's card other than I think the odds are too close in Story vs Silva cause as much as I like Erick Silva he really only does have 1 good round in him and Rick Story is the perfect sort of dude to weather that storm and take rounds 2 and 3.
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Aug 11, 2015 01:32
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2 fat 4 my lambo posted:equal bets put on barnett against nelson by decision (+345) and by finish (-110). better than a straight bet (-220) imo Whoaaah, dude, I was about to say that was a pretty good hedge because I assumed that fight was a 3-rounder, but that's a 5-rounder. Good loving luck on that one going to a decision. On top of that, Barnett's been out for drat near two years so I'm not entirely sold on him as a lock in the first place. But everyone here loses money on 'smart' bets so gently caress it, go for it.
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Aug 11, 2015 01:36
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Last week I hit Green Valley Ranch sports book and was told I couldn't bet on the fight night card due to the Freitas owning both the ufc and station casinos. Is that a NV law or just company policy?
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Aug 11, 2015 04:48
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Probably just policy? Pretty standard stuff though. Don't poo poo where you eat, etc.
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Aug 11, 2015 05:44
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attackmole posted:Whoaaah, dude, I was about to say that was a pretty good hedge because I assumed that fight was a 3-rounder, but that's a 5-rounder. Good loving luck on that one going to a decision. quote:On top of that, Barnett's been out for drat near two years so I'm not entirely sold on him as a lock in the first place.
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Aug 11, 2015 05:54
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I'd still pick him over Browne.
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Aug 11, 2015 06:02
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Conor opened as a 2 to 1 favorite over Aldo. Are we going to do this again or what
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Aug 11, 2015 22:33
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I liked Mendes's chances better.
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Aug 11, 2015 23:48
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mewse posted:I liked Mendes's chances better. Mendes is much worse at cheating. Sweaty IT Nerd fucked around with this message at 02:34 on Aug 12, 2015 |
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Aug 12, 2015 02:16
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I'm pretty shocked that Aldo is a underdog. That seems like a way for the bookies to win a good deal of money. Look, I want Conor to win but gently caress...I think an Aldo bet might be smart here.
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Aug 12, 2015 02:32
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Captain Log posted:I'm pretty shocked that Aldo is a underdog. That seems like a way for the bookies to win a good deal of money. If Aldo is a decent underdog I will bet him.
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Aug 12, 2015 03:01
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jase1 posted:If Aldo is a decent underdog I will bet him. yep. If McGregor is under -200 by the time the fight rolls around I'm going to bet on him but if Aldo climbs pass 2:1 though then I'm going to jump on those odds. Also why in the hell did Story have to pull out of the Erick Silva fight cause now I don't have anybody to bet on next weekend. Magny could theoretically do the same thing Story was going to do except Magny will be coming off an 11 week fight camp or whatever and the last three opponents who have fought Erick Silva on short notice got finished in under a round.
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Aug 12, 2015 03:21
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Everybody bet on Aldo in December big money to be had let's get some winners in here
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Aug 12, 2015 05:51
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Ty1990 posted:Everybody bet on Aldo in December big money to be had let's get some winners in here Done, I want my Mendes money back
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Aug 12, 2015 08:06
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Yeah if Aldo's 2:1 I'll help make conor champion
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Aug 12, 2015 08:25
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Marching Powder posted:Yeah if Aldo's 2:1 I'll help make conor champion He's already close to 2-1 which really is sorta nuts.
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Aug 12, 2015 16:23
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2 fat 4 my lambo posted:equal bets put on barnett against nelson by decision (+345) and by finish (-110). better than a straight bet (-220) imo Barnett by submission is at +480. In a five-rounder, I think it might be the most likely result.
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Aug 13, 2015 00:32
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So centrebet has emailed me an offer where if I deposit $20 dollars they will give me 4 x $20 bonus bets. I assume they have somehow linked my post history here to my account there. So thinking of betting all dogs on the next main card without even looking at them really. Thoughts? Edit - actually I just looked at the card and goddamn some of those fights are mismatches. turntabler fucked around with this message at 04:47 on Aug 28, 2015 |
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Aug 28, 2015 04:44
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eh, if you're gonna bet on dogs stick to just Mir and Dodson. Those ones you can make a case for how they could win and Dodson especially should be given more respect than 4:1 dog.
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Aug 28, 2015 04:54
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Bubba Smith posted:eh, if you're gonna bet on dogs stick to just Mir and Dodson. Those ones you can make a case for how they could win and Dodson especially should be given more respect than 4:1 dog. Mir is the best bet ever because he's the underdog in almost every match and still wins like 60% of the time
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Aug 28, 2015 05:01
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Bubba Smith posted:eh, if you're gonna bet on dogs stick to just Mir and Dodson. Those ones you can make a case for how they could win and Dodson especially should be given more respect than 4:1 dog. 4:1 is about right for me to throw a few bucks down but not by much. i fully expect mm to own dodson convincingly
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Aug 28, 2015 06:47
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I expect MMDJ to win but I'm not sure where Dodson is at. He could have lost a step since the ACL injury and then Mighty Mouse will mop the floor with him, or that was just a ring rust type fight and isn't indicative of how he'll show up next weekend. If he comes out like he did in the 1st match then DJ is going to have another 25 minutes of a tough, game opponent in front of him. That's more than you get out of most underdogs that big.
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Aug 28, 2015 07:12
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that 4:1 assumes dodson comes out as good as he did last time. i honestly think mm has gotten a shitload better than where he was at in his first match. if dodson really has lost a step like his last match would indicate, then, poo poo. no chance at all.
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Aug 28, 2015 07:16
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mewse posted:I liked Mendes's chances better. Even with the abbreviated camp? That's crazy. I kind of wish Aldo didn't get comfortable when he competes because people weirdly underestimate how good he is because of the performances against like Hominick and Lamas
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Aug 28, 2015 07:59
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-Atom- posted:Even with the abbreviated camp? That's crazy. He didn't have a bad performance against Hominick because he "got comfortable", he had a bad performance because he had a lovely weight cut.
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Aug 28, 2015 15:32
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Hominick also made him work a lot more in the stand up than he was used to and Aldo used more offensive wrestling than usual which probably contributed.
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Aug 29, 2015 00:07
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let me resurrect this thread by saying I think I'm going to bet on Ryan Bader this Saturday. lol, but not joking.
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Sep 28, 2015 22:17
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10 bucks on Struve at -135 (Rosholt is trash and I'm not sure why this fight has near even odds) 1 buck on Letourneau at +950 (Joanna loving owns but I don't think she deserves Rousey odds yet) 1 buck on Uriah Hall at -140 because I want to piss away my loonies. Big money, folks.
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Nov 11, 2015 20:12
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I've got Joanna to win by KO at -200. Considered Rousey by sub in the first at even money, but RR is probably due a freak injury so I'll stay away.
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Nov 11, 2015 20:45
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my betting site has a parlay special - do a four-leg parlay and if you only get three you get your money back. with ronda and joanna on the card, that means only one of my actual picks has to come off to at least not lose. haven't decided what i'm doing yet though.
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Nov 11, 2015 21:12
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I could see Holm pulling a Greg Jackson strategy and tepidly losing a round or two before getting finished by trying to fight from the outside/blatantly running away, but it's pretty hard to bet on anything except Ronda by first round sub.
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Nov 11, 2015 21:13
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I feel like we're about due some divine jase1 intervention
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Nov 11, 2015 21:24
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Triticum Guzzler posted:I feel like we're about due some divine jase1 intervention time to pay the piper folks, post your big bets and unreal parlays that rousey's death messed up for you and now you can't make rent
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Nov 15, 2015 12:51
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Triticum Guzzler posted:time to pay the piper folks, post your big bets and unreal parlays that rousey's death messed up for you and now you can't make rent I got hosed out of about 120 dollars
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Nov 15, 2015 13:05
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The dude that won 2.5 million on the royals just won 125k because of holm. He put 10k on here at +1250
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Nov 15, 2015 14:35
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Triticum Guzzler posted:I feel like we're about due some divine jase1 intervention that UFC 200 honorary Mark Coleman bet we're gonna have is coming up. Although I genuinely hope that jase1 fades whatever the thread ends up choosing so he makes money.
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Nov 16, 2015 08:45
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Mr. Nice! posted:The dude that won 2.5 million on the royals just won 125k because of holm. He put 10k on here at +1250 It's going to be another seven or eight years before the odds have someone as such an underdog. I remember Serra broke sports books and there weren't any good handicaps for a while.
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Nov 17, 2015 01:46
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$25 on a Cejuda-Lamas-Magny multibet that pays out $115. I am hyper aware that the last time I tried to make bank on the M A G N Y streak he got drowned by Maia so this money is already down the toilet. Also $5 on four upsets combined to pay out $725; Alejandro Perez, Formiga, Diego Sanchez & Magny.
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Nov 21, 2015 05:54
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Magny isn't going to beat Kelvin. probably. That's a scary fight to bet on.
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Nov 21, 2015 05:55
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