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crabcakes66
May 24, 2012

by exmarx
The great fall of China.

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I would blow Dane Cook
Dec 26, 2008
Looks like the government has arrived -6.66%.

BCR
Jan 23, 2011

Jumpingmanjim posted:

Looks like the government has arrived -6.66%.

This. -6.10%

Xerxes17
Feb 17, 2011

BCR posted:

This. -6.10%

So they're throwing the pension funds on the Sacrificial altar now then?

BCR
Jan 23, 2011

They're probably throwing everything at it.

Rorac
Aug 19, 2011

Dropped back to about -7 now, and falling.. I think we've hit and passed a bull trap?

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
This is all so wonderful.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth
I don't entirely understand all of the economic technobabble , but holy poo poo is this probably the most interesting thing happening in the world right now.

loving on the edge of my seat :stonklol:

hooman
Oct 11, 2007

This guy seems legit.
Fun Shoe
So uhh.. forgive my financial illiteracy but if China craters how hosed is the rest of the globe financially?

Daduzi
Nov 22, 2005

You can't hide from the Grim Reaper. Especially when he's got a gun.

hooman posted:

So uhh.. forgive my financial illiteracy but if China craters how hosed is the rest of the globe financially?

Very hosed.

AllanGordon
Jan 26, 2010

by Shine

hooman posted:

So uhh.. forgive my financial illiteracy but if China craters how hosed is the rest of the globe financially?

There isn't a lot of foreign exposure to the Chinese financial markets if that's what you're talking about.

If this pops the housing bubble though who knows. A lot of manufacturing has been moving away from China so how that will play out will also be a question.

ocrumsprug
Sep 23, 2010

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

hooman posted:

So uhh.. forgive my financial illiteracy but if China craters how hosed is the rest of the globe financially?

If you are banking your future sales on the burgeoning Chinese middle class. hosed.
If you sell commodities to China. Super hosed.
If you are a destination of fleeing Chinese capital. Pretty good, then hosed.


VVV: Canada and Australia might be that hosed.

ocrumsprug fucked around with this message at 07:16 on Aug 24, 2015

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Daduzi posted:

Very hosed.

Not 2008-9 hosed though.

I would blow Dane Cook
Dec 26, 2008

Rorac posted:

Dropped back to about -7 now, and falling.. I think we've hit and passed a bull trap?

Was going to be a dead cat bounce but the Chinese ate it.

Pistol_Pete
Sep 15, 2007

Oven Wrangler

hooman posted:

So uhh.. forgive my financial illiteracy but if China craters how hosed is the rest of the globe financially?

We're looking at a new global downturn. China's such a big market that it hurts everyone if it crashes. Also, stock market panic has a tendency to spread and become a self-fulfilling prophecy (it's called financial contagion for a reason).

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
US economic data is actually pretty good right now so maybe that will mitigate some of the global fallout.

BCR
Jan 23, 2011

Yeah this is basically GFC2: Wheres your god reserves now?

Back to -8%

AllanGordon
Jan 26, 2010

by Shine
NYtimes article with a nice quote

quote:

Leung Chung, a 62-year-old retiree and day trader in a T-shirt and with a toothpick in his mouth, looked sourly at the monitors at his local brokerage in late morning. “I just purchased some stocks earlier this morning, but have already lost money,” Mr. Leung said. “I am not too concerned as I only bought stocks with solid financial strength.”

Desiderata
May 25, 2005
Go placidly amid the noise and haste...

Fojar38 posted:

Not 2008-9 hosed though.

This is where we discover that several major financial institutions have placed a complex series of bets on China's future, and now the western central banks all need to cough up to make it good again.

cheesetriangles
Jan 5, 2011





Do they dumped another hundred billion onto the market today and it still tanked right.

Mercury_Storm
Jun 12, 2003

*chomp chomp chomp*
How many stocks are suspended from trading long term now? When the crash first started and stocks dropped 10% multiple days in a row, I know a bunch those were pulled completely, but with the market continuing to free-fall how many more have been pulled?

Daduzi
Nov 22, 2005

You can't hide from the Grim Reaper. Especially when he's got a gun.

AllanGordon posted:

There isn't a lot of foreign exposure to the Chinese financial markets if that's what you're talking about.

Not to the financial markets, no, but there is to the wider Chinese market. If confidence in China's economy evaporates, expect to see the stock of a whole swathe of businesses that are leveraged on Chinese growth (GM or Apple for example) and even whole sectors (for example steel) take a beating. That will inevitaly have knock-on effects.

Daduzi fucked around with this message at 07:34 on Aug 24, 2015

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth
5000 year history of bullshit and lies, thanks China! :byewhore:

Pistol_Pete
Sep 15, 2007

Oven Wrangler

Desiderata posted:

This is where we discover that several major financial institutions have placed a complex series of bets on China's future, and now the western central banks all need to cough up to make it good again.

More than likely.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Daduzi posted:

Not to the financial markets, no, but there is to the wider Chinese market. If confidence in China's economy evaporates, expect to see the stock of a whole swathe of businesses that are leveraged on Chinese growth (GM or Apple for example) and even whole sectors (for example steel) take a beating. That will inevitaly have knock-on effects.

Good, maybe they'll have to invest in a non-authoritarian shithole.

hooman
Oct 11, 2007

This guy seems legit.
Fun Shoe
So I guess we get to find out how strong those financial regulations about investment are....

GFC3: Well, that was loving inevitable.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
It's back down below 8% by the way.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
I still think that it's a bit too early to declare GFC2 though. What we're seeing is more the demise of the BRICS.

BCR
Jan 23, 2011

After lunch, CCP drops the cash
After 2pm, everyone goes yeah i'm gonna take -6% then -9%, cashes out.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth
The Guardian has a liveblog going right now that has some lovely photos of very sad Chinese investors.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
As of about 15 minutes ago all of the gains in the Chinese stock market this year have been erased.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
If any goons also happen to be high ranking members of the Chinese Communist Party now would be a very good time to initiate your escape plan.

Lucy Heartfilia
May 31, 2012


A couple weeks more and it's time to buy some emerging markets index funds.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
The FTSE right now (The UK was particularly exposed to China contagion)

DEEP STATE PLOT
Aug 13, 2008

Yes...Ha ha ha...YES!



Fojar38 posted:

If any goons also happen to be high ranking members of the Chinese Communist Party now would be a very good time to initiate your escape plan.

It'd be rad if this lead to the ousting of the commies, but I'm also kinda afraid of it.

az
Dec 2, 2005

Cubey posted:

It'd be rad if this lead to the ousting of the commies, but I'm also kinda afraid of it.

Chinese Donald Trump is gonna sweep the nation.

Grand Fromage
Jan 30, 2006

L-l-look at you bar-bartender, a-a pa-pathetic creature of meat and bone, un-underestimating my l-l-liver's ability to metab-meTABolize t-toxins. How can you p-poison a perfect, immortal alcohOLIC?


It's a stock bubble. Prices are dropping back toward what they were in February before the bubble started. It's not good but unless a whole lot of other poo poo happens it's not going to be the end of the world.

Bro Dad
Mar 26, 2010


az posted:

Chinese Donald Trump is gonna sweep the nation.

Chen Guangbiao 2016

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Grand Fromage posted:

It's a stock bubble. Prices are dropping back toward what they were in February before the bubble started. It's not good but unless a whole lot of other poo poo happens it's not going to be the end of the world.

Just the end of China and the aura of Chinese invincibility they've been projecting for the past decade.

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coffeetable
Feb 5, 2006

TELL ME AGAIN HOW GREAT BRITAIN WOULD BE IF IT WAS RULED BY THE MERCILESS JACKBOOT OF PRINCE CHARLES

YES I DO TALK TO PLANTS ACTUALLY

Grand Fromage posted:

It's a stock bubble. Prices are dropping back toward what they were in February before the bubble started.
Aug 2014 more likely. Takeoff was around then and there's usually some overshoot in the correction.

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