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NEED TOILET PAPER
Mar 22, 2013

by XyloJW

Dilber posted:

I love watching these very small upturns. I'm guessing it has to be the gov pumping money in because who else is going "yes, now is the time to buy"

buy low sell high brah

BTW mods (or anyone else in the know): when there's moments like this when a stock market somewhere is collapsing, are we allowed TV/IV-style relaxed posting rules in D&D?

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Goffer
Apr 4, 2007
"..."

Vehementi posted:

How do they physically locate all these stocks to sell? there are lots - is this just everyone, everywhere, invested in everything across the board selling all at the same time? It's such as extreme breadth it's hard to imagine how this could logistically happen.

Someone out there is buying every sold share briefly thinking they got a great deal

Dilber
Mar 27, 2007

TFLC
(Trophy Feline Lifting Crew)


NEED TOILET PAPER posted:

buy low sell high brah

BTW mods (or anyone else in the know): when there's moments like this when a stock market somewhere is collapsing, are we allowed TV/IV-style relaxed posting rules in D&D?

It'll be lower in a couple of days!

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


Nikkei is also down to -4 now.

Tupperwarez
Apr 4, 2004

"phphphphphphpht"? this is what you're going with?

you sure?

Goffer posted:

Someone out there is buying every sold share briefly thinking they got a great deal
I'm imagining a circle of brokers frantically tossing a live grenade between each other while "The Saber Dance" plays in the background.

Ceciltron
Jan 11, 2007

Text BEEP to 43527 for the dancing robot!
Pillbug

gently caress You And Diebold posted:

No they didn't? They closed at -8.49%

Dilber posted:

It was not at 10% yesterday.

NEED TOILET PAPER posted:

Nah, they came really close, but they never broke 9% iirc

drat, in the words of the great Rene Chang, "I am not an economist"

cheesetriangles
Jan 5, 2011





So most of the stocks were probably at the circuit breakers and will continue to freefall tomorrow right?

BCR
Jan 23, 2011

The stock market went up 150% over a year. We've only gone down about 30%. We've still got about another 1200 points / 120% of gains to burn through.

cheesetriangles
Jan 5, 2011





BCR posted:

The stock market went up 150% over a year. We've only gone down about 30%. We've still got about another 1200 points / 120% of gains to burn through.

Would it have been better to let it pop naturally rather than burning trillions on trying to prop up a doomed market and failing?

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

BCR posted:

The stock market went up 150% over a year. We've only gone down about 30%. We've still got about another 1200 points / 120% of gains to burn through.

Not true, yesterday all the years gains were officially gone.

ukle
Nov 28, 2005

Fojar38 posted:

Not true, yesterday all the years gains were officially gone.

No hes right, it was at 2230 a year today.

You are thinking the figure from January, where it was around 3,000.

cheesetriangles
Jan 5, 2011





You are both correct.

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005

cheesetriangles posted:

Would it have been better to let it pop naturally rather than burning trillions on trying to prop up a doomed market and failing?

No one knows what pop means. If it settles down after today and the only gains lost were from 2015 then maybe it'll be okay. I think the worry Beijing has is that margin calls on stocks will open a Pandoras Box of all sorts of unknown financial problems. It's sure looking like the money being poured to slow the crash are just evaporating but maybe no one understands the real financial situation to determine if the cash is helpful.

Goffer
Apr 4, 2007
"..."

BCR posted:

The stock market went up 150% over a year. We've only gone down about 30%. We've still got about another 1200 points / 120% of gains to burn through.

Maths is hard.

If something worth $100 goes up 100% to $200,
If something worth $200 drops 50%, it is worth $100
If something worth $200 drops 100%, it is worth $0

We just dropped 15% in two days.

1 year ago the market was at 2207, now it's at 2964 - an "increase" of only 34% instead of 150%

BCR
Jan 23, 2011

My bad I'm not being clear. Just over 2014-now they made those gains.



First, the build up to now
Second is the 2006/7 bubble when they said buy buy buy and then GFC
Third, is how a classic bubble bursts

Before the BUY BUY BUY FOR THE MOTHERLAND ITS SAFE, the stock exchange was bouncing around the 2000 mark, so we're going to go past that to maybe 1900, 1800 before coming back up and hovering around the 2000 mark. So we've got some more stock falling to come, and I'd say we're at the fear or capitulation stage of the graph.

BCR fucked around with this message at 08:26 on Aug 25, 2015

BCR
Jan 23, 2011

Goffer posted:

Maths is hard.

If something worth $100 goes up 100% to $200,
If something worth $200 drops 50%, it is worth $100
If something worth $200 drops 100%, it is worth $0

We just dropped 15% in two days.

1 year ago the market was at 2207, now it's at 2964 - an "increase" of only 34% instead of 150%

I was thinking of the peak when it hit 5000 ish

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005

BCR posted:

Before the BUY BUY BUY FOR THE MOTHERLAND ITS SAFE, the stock exchange was bouncing around the 2000 mark, so we're going to go past that to maybe 1900, 1800 before coming back up and hovering around the 2000 mark. So we've got some more stock falling to come.

Unless the crash exposes fundamental problems with the Chinese economy that cause a much deeper recession than would be a proper valuation from two years ago.

cheesetriangles
Jan 5, 2011





Do completely bogus gdp and employment figures count?

BCR
Jan 23, 2011

Yup! I'm ignoring any impact from the real estate bubble popping, export slowdown, factorys idling etc. It could get much much worse. Those numbers are me doing rule of thumb on the classic stock market bubble graph.

pentyne
Nov 7, 2012
Also after this is all said and done, no one is getting pensions anymore are they?

cheesetriangles
Jan 5, 2011





They only nuked 30% of them. Everyone is just getting less pensions until they pump more of it into the market.

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


pentyne posted:

Also after this is all said and done, no one is getting pensions anymore are they?

Did they get pensions to begin with? I would just assume all public money disappears into officials' pockets anyways

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005

icantfindaname posted:

Did they get pensions to begin with? I would just assume all public money disappears into officials' pockets anyways

If Beijing preaches stability then they'll certainly have to do something as the country gets top heavier.

cheesetriangles
Jan 5, 2011





Europe is up Dow futures are up Asia is hosed.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

cheesetriangles posted:

Europe is up Dow futures are up Asia is hosed.

So wait China can't even muster up the economic influence to cause a global market crash?

Junior G-man
Sep 15, 2004

Wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma


cheesetriangles posted:

Europe is up Dow futures are up Asia is hosed.

Time for another day of "guess which EU central banker or finance minister says that everything will be ok and the we have buffers* in place".

*While not mentioning what the actual buffer is.

cheesetriangles
Jan 5, 2011





Junior G-man posted:

Time for another day of "guess which EU central banker or finance minister says that everything will be ok and the we have buffers* in place".

*While not mentioning what the actual buffer is.

*gently caress you got mine

Jack2142
Jul 17, 2014

Shitposting in Seattle

Junior G-man posted:

Time for another day of "guess which EU central banker or finance minister says that everything will be ok and the we have buffers* in place".

*While not mentioning what the actual buffer is.

Eating Greeks

cheesetriangles
Jan 5, 2011





Too stringy and high in salt.

Junior G-man
Sep 15, 2004

Wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma


Jack2142 posted:

Eating Greeks

Even Soylent Souvlaki has its limits I'm afraid.

trucutru
Jul 9, 2003

by Fluffdaddy

NEED TOILET PAPER posted:

buy low sell high brah

BTW mods (or anyone else in the know): when there's moments like this when a stock market somewhere is collapsing, are we allowed TV/IV-style relaxed posting rules in D&D?

If you cannot shitpost while the future of millions of people goes down in flames, sacrificed so that a few could engage into a most depraved orgy of frivolous consumption, then when would be a better time?

trucutru fucked around with this message at 11:43 on Aug 25, 2015

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.
http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=TxCqOw5_4oE
Replace Nixon with Li Keqiang and the protesters with angry shopowners with Monopoly Money stocks.

cheesetriangles
Jan 5, 2011





trucutru posted:

If you cannot shitpost while the future of billions of people goes down in flames, sacrificed so that a few could engage into a most depraved orgy of frivolous consumption, then when would be a better time?

Fixed it.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

Fojar38 posted:

Not true, yesterday all the years gains were officially gone.

Don't know poo poo about the stock market, but the Shanghai Composite was at 2,209 on August 27th of last year. It's now at 2,964. But a week ago, it was at 3,993.

ringu0
Feb 24, 2013


cheesetriangles posted:

Europe is up Dow futures are up Asia is hosed.

Could anyone please do a 101 for me and explain why Dow futures are up?

Krispy Wafer
Jul 26, 2002

I shouted out "Free the exposed 67"
But they stood on my hair and told me I was fat

Grimey Drawer

ringu0 posted:

Could anyone please do a 101 for me and explain why Dow futures are up?

Yesterday there was uncertainty over what China would do and what the U.S. exposure to the meltdown was. Today we are certain China is just going to gently caress things up until there are no more fucks to give, but fortunately we're not as exposed as we thought we were.

Also the Fed is probably not going to raise interest rates this year. Also, much of yesterday's drop was panic selling and now those people are poor and can't sell anything else.

Shifty Pony
Dec 28, 2004

Up ta somethin'


ringu0 posted:

Could anyone please do a 101 for me and explain why Dow futures are up?

You should really be looking at the S&P 500 over the Dow.

Anyway the reason they are up is because people have collectively reconsidered how much damage China will do to the companies listed on the U.S. Exchanges. Or people think that things overshot to being cheap now and here's their chance. The latter often results in a bump after big losses.

Kafka Esq.
Jan 1, 2005

"If you ever even think about calling me anything but 'The Crab' I will go so fucking crab on your ass you won't even see what crab'd your crab" -The Crab(TM)
Thread title?

Murgos
Oct 21, 2010
A better one I saw was "Shanghai Noon"

FTSE 100 is up ~3% and S&P 500 overnight is up ~3.5%.

Nothing to see here, move along.

Really though it will depend on just how far the the Chinese market drops. The further down it goes the more pressure that will put on other markets that have even only tangential relationships (aka The Bezzle).

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fart blood
Sep 13, 2008

by VideoGames
So America's gonna be just fine, right?! :haw:

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