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Ratoslov
Feb 15, 2012

Now prepare yourselves! You're the guests of honor at the Greatest Kung Fu Cannibal BBQ Ever!

It's back up to merely -2.2%.

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Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
Gee I wonder what happened.

Adventure Pigeon
Nov 8, 2005

I am a master storyteller.

Fojar38 posted:

Gee I wonder what happened.

They must've caught the other guy that was spreading malicious rumors. All is well now.

paragon1
Nov 22, 2010

FULL COMMUNISM NOW
"Oh my god look at all the people they arrested! It must be even worse than we feared! Sell! Sell!"

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-34105238

quote:

China's factory activity contracted at its fastest pace in three years in August, confirming fears that the country's growth is continuing to slow.
The official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) dropped to 49.7 from 50 in July.

A figure below 50 indicates contraction.

The weak data is likely to add to global concerns over China's economy losing steam and could send Asian and global shares down further.
A separate private Caixin/Markit index also released on Tuesday puts the PMI number even weaker, at 47.3, the weakest reading since 2009.

Fuelling market concerns

The fresh economic data is also likely to undermine efforts by Beijing to reassure investors and calm markets.

Chinese mainland stocks have been on a steep downward slope over the past months, shedding almost 40% since June.
Authorities have injected money into the markets, allowed the state pension fund to start buying up shares and lowered lending rates.
So far though, none of those measures have managed to push the markets back into positive territory and analysts have warned that the more Beijing's intervention fails to have an impact, the more likely it is that future ones will be shrugged off by investors.

China has also cracked down on people accused of spreading online "rumours", and who the authorities say have been "destabilising the market".

I would blow Dane Cook
Dec 26, 2008
Why can't they rig the PMI too?

MothraAttack
Apr 28, 2008
The Dow is taking things nicely.

Warcabbit
Apr 26, 2008

Wedge Regret


Man, that is a perfect visual of a dead cat.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

Warcabbit posted:



Man, that is a perfect visual of a dead cat.

Or a skunk about to spray.

MothraAttack
Apr 28, 2008
A bunch of Chinese brokerages are being asked to inject monies into the market, apparently:

https://mobile.twitter.com/george_chen/status/638724678287101953

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

Glad to see that the great fall of china is far, far, far from over. :getin:

The Lord of Hats
Aug 22, 2010

Hello, yes! Is being very good day for posting, no?

MothraAttack posted:

A bunch of Chinese brokerages are being asked to inject monies into the market, apparently:

https://mobile.twitter.com/george_chen/status/638724678287101953

How many more rounds of searching for money in the couch cushions are we going to see? They're so committed to a plan that can't possibly work.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug
100 Billion doesn't seem likes its going to make much of a scratch.

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

CommieGIR posted:

100 Billion doesn't seem likes its going to make much of a scratch.

Yes, well, its not every Sun, Liu, and Cao who has 100 billion capital on hand to be commanded to invest in the Chinese markets.

I do like thinking about all the ways in which greed will prevail, and how much money is flowing back to America as China scares the poo poo out of its institutions with its untargeted purges.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth
It came from the Poltoons thread.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
So economists use the word "correction" in the same way that doctors use the word "discomfort" right?

Adventure Pigeon
Nov 8, 2005

I am a master storyteller.
They're turning their stock market collapse into performance art.

Gum
Mar 9, 2008

oho, a rapist
time to try this puppy out

How are u posted:

It came from the Poltoons thread.



"Draw something related to China. Draw something related to the stock market. Make it look sad. Bam, paycheck earned"

Warcabbit
Apr 26, 2008

Wedge Regret
Can't even use a bear. Geez.

Morrow
Oct 31, 2010

Warcabbit posted:

Can't even use a bear. Geez.

A panda bear market, you could say.

Correction implies the potential for movement in both directions. Understand that there is a normal level for stock prices, which is a reasonable multiplier of their dividend to holders, and a correction in Stock market terms is any movement towards that level.

Malcolm
May 11, 2008

Morrow posted:

A panda bear market, you could say.

That would have made a much better comic.

OwlBot 2000
Jun 1, 2009

Malcolm posted:

That would have made a much better comic.

I'm sure he tried that first before the editor reminded him they already published 30 of them.

Vehementi
Jul 25, 2003

YOSPOS
No I'm pretty sure that this page of this thread will be heralded as the nascence of the panda bear China stock market metaphor.

BCR
Jan 23, 2011

-4% start to the day, back to the 3000 mark

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

BCR posted:

-4% start to the day, back to the 3000 mark

Don't worry it'll spike from government buying fueled by liquidating treasuries strong Chinese economic fundamentals soon.

I would blow Dane Cook
Dec 26, 2008
Market has opened and has shat itself (before it could get to a sidewalk).

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug
More arrests!

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
Ahahah look at that loving bullshit. Do they think they're fooling anyone?

ocrumsprug
Sep 23, 2010

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
Check out the trade volume.

It is like a third or quarter of volume from last year before the bubble.

The Butcher
Apr 20, 2005

Well, at least we tried.
Nap Ghost

Fojar38 posted:

Ahahah look at that loving bullshit. Do they think they're fooling anyone?

My dipshit internet guy prediction is that the market has been propped up the whole week for the big military dick waving parade day. Probably close over +2% today with a huge EOD injection.

Markets are closed Thurs and Fri for the holiday.

Big dump on Monday. Next week closes out negative 15-10%.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

CommieGIR posted:

More arrests!

stock market is like tinkerbell, you have to believe to make it fly again

Warcabbit
Apr 26, 2008

Wedge Regret

The Butcher posted:

My dipshit internet guy prediction is that the market has been propped up the whole week for the big military dick waving parade day. Probably close over +2% today with a huge EOD injection.

Markets are closed Thurs and Fri for the holiday.

Big dump on Monday. Next week closes out negative 15-10%.

Mmm. And that's going to interact with Labor Day in an interesting way.

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost
At some point the government will have bought all the shares that people are trying to sell and the market will be stabilized! No problemo.

OwlBot 2000
Jun 1, 2009
Deep analysis from Yahoo! Finance(TM).
It's Amateur Hour In China

Rick Newman posted:

This is the next superpower? You've got to be kidding. Anybody expecting China to dominate the world must be wondering how the Keystone Kops managed to take over the Politburo in Beijing. China has embarked on a long odyssey to prove that capitalism can work within the confines of a communist government. There have been many impressive successes. But the failures—including those we’ve seen on display this summer—reveal that China is nowhere near the global powerhouse it imagines itself to be or some western declinists fear it will become.

Then something happened that’s normal in capitalism: Investors began to think stocks were close to a peak, so they sold to lock in profits. Not what the government was expecting. The government tried to stem the selloff by enacting stimulus measures, instituting new rules and even preventing some institutional investors from selling. Authoritarianism displaced capitalism. Yet even then, stocks plunged. Since the June peak, the Shanghai market is down by nearly 40%, and it could have further to fall.

China’s government has now reverted to the ultimate absurdity: Blaming critics of the markets’ performance for the whole fiasco. Authorities have rounded up and punished nearly 200 people whose acts of sedition include suggesting Chinese stocks might go down. They include several bloggers and stock market officials plus at least one journalist. That’s like indicting a weatherman who accurately predicts a storm that’s coming. As if saying the sun will shine will make the sun shine.

Here in the United States, people publish opinions all the time about what’s right or wrong with the stock market. They make predictions of all kinds -- and are often wrong. Instead of getting a prison sentence, they get to deliver their opinions on cable news shows. Western markets also tolerate short sellers and others who bet against stocks because it serves as a check on the system: When there’s money to be made by stocks going down, it forces better diligence among those betting stocks will go up. Abuses? Sure. But unleashing market forces in every direction—not just the one you want prices to go in—generates confidence that prices will gravitate toward an equilibrium based on reality.
...
Many complex factors determine the behavior of stock markets, including unpredictable and irrational human behavior. But stock markets do follow certain fundamental rules, especially the rule of supply and demand. When there’s heavy demand for stocks, prices rise. When demand is weak, prices fall. Over time, this law is immutable. The Chinese seem to think they can subvert the most basic law of economics and compel prices to rise when demand dries up.

Americans worry a lot about China, with more than half mistakenly believing it is the world's top economic power. Only 32% say the U.S. economy is most powerful. But the Potemkin mentality at the very top of China’s communist government suggests other parts of the Chinese state are a lot hollower than they seem. Economic power is the source of other forms of power, especially military and geopolitical strength. It takes a lot of money to build world-class aircraft carriers and submarines, to bully your neighbors into territorial concessions as China is trying to do in the South China Sea, to operate big multinational companies with the smarts and agility to compete with the best in the west. If the economic foundation is flimsy, other pillars will be too.

China undoubtedly has a huge economy that will eventually become the world’s largest, due to its enormous population. But it will be a long time—think decades—before China can truly match U.S. economic power. If ever. GDP per capita is still less than $8,000 in China, according to the World Bank. In the United States, it’s more than $54,000—7 times the level in China. That gap might widen rather than narrow if China keeps trying to force-feed economic growth while American capitalism continues to rely on market forces and innovation. We’ve got plenty of problems here—including our own variety of political ineptitude—but at least we let supply and demand determine most prices. When China’s leaders let that happen, maybe it will be time to worry.

Crashrat
Apr 2, 2012

Mozi posted:

At some point the government will have bought all the shares that people are trying to sell and the market will be stabilized! No problemo.

And then China can just admit it's practicing State Capitalism...lol who am I kidding.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

OwlBot 2000 posted:

Deep analysis from Yahoo! Finance(TM).
It's Amateur Hour In China

Pretty spot on.

Crashrat
Apr 2, 2012

OwlBot 2000 posted:

Deep analysis from Yahoo! Finance(TM).
It's Amateur Hour In China

And this guy's analysis is pretty amateur hour too. To quote from Harcort's "Illusion of Free Markets"

Bernard Harcourt at page 151 posted:

The entire history of the Chicago Board of Trade is, in truth, a series of government interventions and regulatory adjustments that have facilitated a state-sanctioned monopoly and empowered the private practices of a small association of brokers and dealers. Even a cursory glance at the legal framework that surrounds exchanges today reveals a web of intricate rules and oversight that is far from anything that could possibly be described as “free.” The fact is, shifts in regulatory mechanisms over the past two centuries have not reduced the amount of regulation, but simply changed its form and style. As John Campbell and Ove Pedersen suggest, “neoliberalism does not so much involve deregulation as re-regulation of economic activity.”

And separetely from the CBOT example

Bernard Harcourt at page 187 posted:

There are regulations and liberties on both sides of the equation. The dispute involves, in essence, a clearly anticompetitive practice of collusion by brokers to “manipulate” or “stabilize”—pick your term—the price of stocks initially offered in a way that benefits the large institutions and affects the markets. Distributionally, the practice favors the larger investors and facilitates the efforts of companies seeking capital. It represents, at the end of the day, a form of market regulation that is accomplished by the joint actions of brokerdealers: actions that are expressly not regulated by the SEC, nor by the individual exchanges, but that in fact are constantly supervised, studied, and potentially regulated by all of these entities. It is, in effect, a regulatory web—an intricate nest of rules. And its resolution has a tremendous effect on the distribution of wealth.

So the example of the United States as the paragon of true price discovery is a pretty big stretch. What the United States has is a regulatory system that allows massive market actors to collude and work inside the market to their benefit, and the government largely works with them to achieve the same goals. When you have major events like HSBC engaging in huge amounts of drug money laundering, or the *huge* scandal with Libor rate setting...we never do anything more than fine those actors. Because if we actually charged them with the criminal activities they're engaged in they'd lose their licenses, and in the process you'd take down most of the well established actors in the market that the government works with to make sure the market does what they want it to do.

China isn't doing this.

China is just trying to act like they have State Capitalism and can control their markets wholly by state policy, but to do that they'd have to unwind a fair amount of "liberalized" markets. They're pissing off the major market actors instead of working with them, and in so doing their markets are getting wrecked. They have huge capital reserves they can bring to bear along with the ability to apparently list and de-list at will...and that'd make for a fake market if they wanted that - but they're trying to have their cake and eat it too so to speak.

Those major actors are used to the western way of doing things, which China has made very apparent they're not going to do.

America doesn't have some magical way of making capitalism work - it's not a free market in any sense of the word whatsoever - but rather has a system that makes a small cadre of people extremely rich, and in the process most of the rest of the country more or less gets by. If China wants that they'll either have to play the game the same way the west does or invent their own way. If this is their own way then it's clearly not working.

OwlBot 2000
Jun 1, 2009

Crashrat posted:

And this guy's analysis is pretty amateur hour too. To quote from Harcort's "Illusion of Free Markets"

I wasn't serious about "deep analysis." Supply and demand doesn't operate like that real economies.

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

Is the economy still tumbling down?

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namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
You'll find out in approximately 7 hours.

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