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Wax Dynasty
Jan 1, 2013

This postseason, I've really enjoyed bringing back the three-inning save.


Hell Gem

VikingofRock posted:

The reasons Gore lost were (in descending order of severity):
  1. His terrible campaign decisions (especially throwing off Clinton and picking Lieberman)
  2. Massive, massive disenfranchisement of black people, especially in Florida
  3. A nakedly biased Supreme Court decision
  4. Nader

As far as Florida-specific causes go, I'd argue it was:
  1. Minority disenfranchisement via not allowing felons to vote and biased efforts by state officials to purge voter rolls
  2. The 10s of thousands of votes state-wide that were invalidated because people voted for more than one candidate
  3. Palm Beach County's "butterfly ballot" design that turned 2,800 Gore votes into Buchanan votes
  4. Hanging chad ballots that defeated any attempt at discerning voter intent
  5. Nader - all Gore needed was 0.5% of Nader's votes to win (but to be fair, eachof the third party candidates got enough votes to cover the difference)

vvv We'll never know for sure (one county destroyed all its ballots prior to recounting, others refused to recount completely and others were stopped by the Supreme Court), but there are studies that show that if each county had done a complete recount using their usual standards (and not a centralized statewide standard), Gore would have won by a couple of hundred votes. However, all that really shows is how statistical ties operate.

Wax Dynasty fucked around with this message at 20:34 on Oct 29, 2015

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Mitt Romney
Nov 9, 2005
dumb and bad

VikingofRock posted:

Gore was a stiff, unlikable candidate who ran a very centrist campaign (see: Lieberman). This centrism alienated a lot of the left-leaning people, who were already upset by things like NAFTA and the gutting of welfare under Clinton. So those people went to Nader. But it's a fallacy to think that they would have voted for Gore if Nader wasn't there. Exit polls show that a plurality of Nader voters would have stayed home had he not run, and the rest of the Nader voters are split between Bush and Gore (You'll find a bunch of different numbers from different exit polls if you google around, including some that say that more Nader voters would have gone to Bush than to Gore. I find that hard to believe, but they were definitely not all going to Gore).

The point is, in the case that Nader doesn't run, it's still probably close enough in Florida to warrant a recount, and you still get the nakedly biased Supreme Court decision. So it's pretty dubious to claim that if Nader hadn't won Gore would have won the election.

If Gore had initially called for a complete recount of all of Florida, including those military ballots, wouldn't he have won by like ~400 votes? Instead he tried to be a dick and do selective recounts and not count certain military ballots.

Senf
Nov 12, 2006

seiferguy posted:

"I would say, I could find just as many people who say his demeanor and his intellect will allow him to make Hillary look like who she is," said Carson.

wait what

edit: I get what he means, but what a weird way to say it.

Okonner
Dec 11, 2008

by exmarx

Senf posted:

wait what

He means others are saying that about him.

sudo rm -rf
Aug 2, 2011


$ mv fullcommunism.sh
/america
$ cd /america
$ ./fullcommunism.sh


Senf posted:

wait what

He's used third-person to refer to himself before and it's really weird.

Thump!
Nov 25, 2007

Look, fat, here's the fact, Kulak!



NNick posted:

I'm going to miss Jim Webb.

Luckily for you, he didn't miss.

nachos
Jun 27, 2004

Wario Chalmers! WAAAAAAAAAAAAA!
Sarah Palin's enduring legacy is going to be the idea of gotcha questions and I hate her even more for it

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

Mitt Romney posted:

If Gore had initially called for a complete recount of all of Florida, including those military ballots, wouldn't he have won by like ~400 votes? Instead he tried to be a dick and do selective recounts and not count certain military ballots.

I'm pretty sure this is right. The selective recount issue also came up in the supreme court case didn't it?

Raenir Salazar
Nov 5, 2010

College Slice

BI NOW GAY LATER posted:

that's fairly standard (and the house speaker almost never votes on legislation)

Didn't the Speaker vote for the amendment to abolish slavery (according to the movie?)?

Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.

Raskolnikov38 posted:

Well if we follow your ascending order then: No Gore running a bad campaign, no Nader.

Nader ran because Gore's a bad campaigner? That's news to me.

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib

Nintendo Kid posted:

I'm pretty sure this is right. The selective recount issue also came up in the supreme court case didn't it?

There was a media narrative that Gore's selective recount would have had him still lose while a full recount would have had him win, but it's just that: a media narrative. I read someplace that the media narrative was based on the idea that there'd be no way to count undervotes with butterfly ballots, whereas they totally could come up with a system to recount those.

The fact of the matter is Gore probably won Florida no matter what but we'll never find out for sure.

JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver

Raenir Salazar posted:

Didn't the Speaker vote for the amendment to abolish slavery (according to the movie?)?
Schulyer Colfax was the Speaker at the time. He was a strong opponent of slavery and during his term as Speaker, he announced the passage of the Thirteenth Amendment in 1865. Though it is unusual for a Speaker to vote, Colfax, perhaps with an eye towards posterity, directed the clerk to call his name after the roll call had been taken. He then cast the final vote in favor of the amendment, to much applause from the supporters in the House.

Luigi Thirty
Apr 30, 2006

Emergency confection port.

Also running wild on Conservatwitter and Conservabook: A black man posted on Facebook about how "certain social movements" say he should be dead because a cop stopped him in Arizona when he was legally concealed carrying and he's still alive, thus their complaints are invalid and blue lives do in fact matter.

RPZip
Feb 6, 2009

WORDS IN THE HEART
CANNOT BE TAKEN

A Bag of Milk posted:

Their race are no angels.

Should have taken the half-celestial template at character creation.

delfin
Dec 5, 2003

SNATTER'S ALIVE?!?!

Evil Fluffy posted:

Nader ran because Gore's a bad campaigner? That's news to me.

Nader ran because he was Nader. Some people gave a poo poo about Nader running because Gore distanced himself from Clinton and picked Droopy Dog as his Veep, among other reasons. Nader got 0.71% in 1996, for instance.

Eschers Basement
Sep 13, 2007

by exmarx

pathetic little tramp posted:

The fact of the matter is Gore probably won Florida no matter what but we'll never find out for sure.

FactCheck rates this statement as "partially untrue."

FactCheck.org posted:

According to a massive months-long study commissioned by eight news organizations in 2001, George W. Bush probably still would have won even if the U.S. Supreme Court had allowed a limited statewide recount to go forward as ordered by Florida’s highest court.

Bush also probably would have won had the state conducted the limited recount of only four heavily Democratic counties that Al Gore asked for, the study found.

On the other hand, the study also found that Gore probably would have won, by a range of 42 to 171 votes out of 6 million cast, had there been a broad recount of all disputed ballots statewide. However, Gore never asked for such a recount. The Florida Supreme Court ordered only a recount of so-called "undervotes," about 62,000 ballots where voting machines didn’t detect any vote for a presidential candidate.

None of these findings are certain.

http://www.factcheck.org/2008/01/the-florida-recount-of-2000/

Zeroisanumber
Oct 23, 2010

Nap Ghost
The most hosed-up thing about Gore picking that shitbag Lieberman as his VP was that he was supposed to secure Florida by bringing in the Jewish vote. He managed that very well, but it wasn't enough.

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

Zeroisanumber posted:

The most hosed-up thing about Gore picking that shitbag Lieberman as his VP was that he was supposed to secure Florida by bringing in the Jewish vote. He managed that very well, but it wasn't enough.

Hey man, Florida Jews love them some Pat Buchanan what can you do.

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

The third-party narrative operating in 2000 was that Gore and Bush were indistinguishable from one another. Turns out there were a couple of key differences.

Luigi Thirty
Apr 30, 2006

Emergency confection port.

zoux posted:

The third-party narrative operating in 2000 was that Gore and Bush were indistinguishable from one another. Turns out there were a couple of key differences.

They're just like a douche and a turd sandwich!

Gynocentric Regime
Jun 9, 2010

by Cyrano4747

Luigi Thirty posted:

They're just like a douche and a turd sandwich!

You have to admit that no one could force the hard right turn the country was going to take in the aftermath of 9/11. If not for that Pres. Bush would have probably been a one termer.

greatn
Nov 15, 2006

by Lowtax

JT Jag posted:

Schulyer Colfax was the Speaker at the time. He was a strong opponent of slavery and during his term as Speaker, he announced the passage of the Thirteenth Amendment in 1865. Though it is unusual for a Speaker to vote, Colfax, perhaps with an eye towards posterity, directed the clerk to call his name after the roll call had been taken. He then cast the final vote in favor of the amendment, to much applause from the supporters in the House.

Did he have any relations to the Schuyler/Hamilton clan?

fade5
May 31, 2012

by exmarx

zoux posted:

The third-party narrative operating in 2000 was that Gore and Bush were indistinguishable from one another. Turns out there were a couple of key differences.
I'm sure Iraq could tell us what those differences are very well.

Well, what's left of it at least.

Lessail
Apr 1, 2011

:cry::cry:
tell me how vgk aren't playing like shit again
:cry::cry:
p.s. help my grapes are so sour!

zoux posted:

The third-party narrative operating in 2000 was that Gore and Bush were indistinguishable from one another. Turns out there were a couple of key differences.

Jet Li's The One told me a Gore Presidency would be an authoritarian hell hole :downs:

Crain
Jun 27, 2007

I had a beer once with Stephen Miller and now I like him.

I also tried to ban someone from a Discord for pointing out what an unrelenting shithead I am! I'm even dumb enough to think it worked!

Luigi Thirty posted:

Also running wild on Conservatwitter and Conservabook: A black man posted on Facebook about how "certain social movements" say he should be dead because a cop stopped him in Arizona when he was legally concealed carrying and he's still alive, thus their complaints are invalid and blue lives do in fact matter.

So this is the racial equivalent of "We didn't have car seats, helmets and ate lead paint AND I MANAGED TO LIVE! WHAT NOW LOSERS!?"?

im a ski bum
Feb 17, 2011
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QbCDQVLRlRc

Watch Mitch Daniels get out of a speeding ticket. I'd almost forgotten about that little guy.

Kaal
May 22, 2002

through thousands of posts in D&D over a decade, I now believe I know what I'm talking about. if I post forcefully and confidently, I can convince others that is true. no one sees through my facade.

zoux posted:

The third-party narrative operating in 2000 was that Gore and Bush were indistinguishable from one another. Turns out there were a couple of key differences.

Pretty much. The Green Party campaign was essentially two-parted: Gore and Bush are exactly the same so who cares, and Gore is going to win anyway so we should register our support for progressivism and potentially get the Green Party access to the Presidential Election Campaign Fund had they received 5% of the vote. But it turned out that Bush was a disastrous corporatist warmonger, while Gore explored his lifelong love of environmentalism, the Green Party never even got close to that money, and Nader's fruitless ego campaign threatened liberal politics for another two election cycles while everyone begged him to not run - until thankfully he got too old to keep actively stabbing Democrats in the back.

Eschers Basement
Sep 13, 2007

by exmarx

Kaal posted:

Pretty much. The Green Party campaign was essentially two-parted: Gore and Bush are exactly the same so who cares, and Gore is going to win anyway so we should register our support for progressivism and potentially get the Green Party access to the Presidential Election Campaign Fund had they received 5% of the vote. But it turned out that Bush was a disastrous corporatist warmonger, while Gore explored his lifelong love of environmentalism, the Green Party never even got close to that money, and Nader's fruitless ego campaign threatened liberal politics for another two election cycles while everyone begged him to not run - until thankfully he got too old to keep actively stabbing Democrats in the back.

Yeah, whatever forgiveness people were willing to extend to Nader after the 2000 elections pretty much evaporated in 2004 when he started talking up running again, because obviously the Democrats and Republicans were still the same.

greatn
Nov 15, 2006

by Lowtax
Even independent socialist hero Bernie Sanders hasn't spoken to Nader since 2000, at least according to Nader.

Jack's Flow
Jun 6, 2003

Life, friends, is boring
As a European following all of this, I am still utterly amazed (and, I admit it, horrified) that persons like Trump, Carson and Rubio are even serious candidates. Isn't there anyone better or at least less vile/repulsive who could run for the job? And did people really believe Jeb! would simply cruise through all of this because of his name? There are dishwashers with more charisma than Jeb!.

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

Jack's Flow posted:

As a European following all of this, I am still utterly amazed (and, I admit it, horrified) that persons like Trump, Carson and Rubio are even serious candidates. Isn't there anyone better or at least less vile/repulsive who could run for the job? And did people really believe Jeb! would simply cruise through all of this because of his name? There are dishwashers with more charisma than Jeb!.

Yes, and she is already running.

Unless
Jul 24, 2005

I art



zoux posted:

The third-party narrative operating in 2000 was that Gore and Bush were indistinguishable from one another. Turns out there were a couple of key differences.

This is why Excitement is the new Jaded.

god drat gen x

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

zoux posted:

Yes, and she is already running.

I wouldn't say running HP makes her much better :v:

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Jack's Flow posted:

There are dishwashers with more charisma than Jeb!.

Keep in mind, this is the party that nominated noted charismatic candidates Mitt Romney, John McCain, Bob Dole, and George H.W. Bush.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

Jack's Flow posted:

As a European following all of this, I am still utterly amazed (and, I admit it, horrified) that persons like Trump, Carson and Rubio are even serious candidates. Isn't there anyone better or at least less vile/repulsive who could run for the job? And did people really believe Jeb! would simply cruise through all of this because of his name? There are dishwashers with more charisma than Jeb!.

Let me put it in terms you understand: all of the Republican candidates are currently holding national support on par with the joke fringe parties you have in your parliament, probably. The best performing one has like, under 11% national all-population support at best at the moment.

Dr. Arbitrary
Mar 15, 2006

Bleak Gremlin

Luigi Thirty posted:

Also running wild on Conservatwitter and Conservabook: A black man posted on Facebook about how "certain social movements" say he should be dead because a cop stopped him in Arizona when he was legally concealed carrying and he's still alive, thus their complaints are invalid and blue lives do in fact matter.

Despite claims that it's an irresponsible and dangerous "game," I tried playing Russian Roulette and despite all the fear mongering, I somehow survived.

Maybe there's something going on that the mainstream media doesn't want you to know: That Russian Roulette is actually a safe and inexpensive form of entertainment.

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib
Yeah Huckabee is kind of like that purple party that insists on getting sovereignty for like every independence movement in Europe.

Hollismason
Jun 30, 2007
FEEL FREE TO DISREGARD THIS POST

It is guaranteed to be lazy, ignorant, and/or uninformed.
I found George W. Bush to be the most charismatic out of Republican Candidates since Reagan, but that was only because of his bumbling idiocy.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Hollismason posted:

I found George W. Bush to be the most charismatic out of Republican Candidates since Reagan, but that was only because of his bumbling idiocy.

He had a sort of "aw shucks" quality going for him and the good fortune to run against two of the least charismatic Democrats ever.

Also, his Vice President is literally a Lich, so anyone's going to look good standing next to that guy.

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seiferguy
Jun 9, 2005

FLAWED
INTUITION



Toilet Rascal

Lessail posted:

Jet Li's The One told me a Gore Presidency would be an authoritarian hell hole :downs:

And Family Guy taught us that Al Gore would have implemented true UHC and killed Bin Laden with his bare hands.

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