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Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
If polling holds, Rand is at the kiddie table for the next debate, Carly is on the bubble, and Christie goes back to the big boys stage.

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Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Also revealed in the Trump / Jones detente: Roger Stone is back on the Trump payroll.



(He never left :ssh:)

Patter Song
Mar 26, 2010

Hereby it is manifest that during the time men live without a common power to keep them all in awe, they are in that condition which is called war; and such a war as is of every man against every man.
Fun Shoe
Carly is only in serious danger if we get two NH polls between now and next Sunday. PPP is in the field in NH right now, but will they be the only NH poll?

(Fiorina would need either 2% in one NH poll or 3 in two NH polls to drop below the threshold. The latter is more likely.)

fade5
May 31, 2012

by exmarx

Patter Song posted:

2016:



2012:



2008:



This is the height of the Huckabee surge/Giuliani collapse in 2007. Jeb! has fallen so far down that, rather than comparing him to Ron Paul 2012, he's barely ahead of Ron Paul 2008. Gingrich had even further to go up in 2011, but at this point four years ago he was forcing Romney into a pretty harsh retaliation and a soon-to-come massive wave of negativity. This cycle, Rubio and Cruz continue to inch up, Carson goes down, and Trump stays at his perch. There's a decent chance that Cruz overtakes Rubio soon and forces him briefly into fourth place.

Soon to come: Gingrich will peak probably next time we do this in 2011. Huckabee's surge will stop short as well.
Excellent, thank you.

Patter Song posted:

Tennessee and Georgia have had their filing deadlines pass!

All 14 candidates are on the ballot in TN. Bush, Cruz, Rubio, and Trump were the only ones to submit a full slate of delegates, though.

Every candidate but Gilmore made the ballot in Georgia.

This is a good day for George Pataki, he managed to get on the ballot in two states! :downs:
Very interesting. That shows who the main candidates are who have enough on-the-ground support (Cruz, Rubio, Trump) or who have enough of a ground game to compensate (Jeb!).

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Virgil Goode (former R-VA), the Constitution Party's 2012 Presidential candidate has endorsed Donald Trump.


The Constitution Party's platform is essentially to establish a Christian theocracy in the US.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
This man was ejected from a Trump rally tonight.

OAquinas
Jan 27, 2008

Biden has sat immobile on the Iron Throne of America. He is the Master of Malarkey by the will of the gods, and master of a million votes by the might of his inexhaustible calamari.

Joementum posted:

This man was ejected from a Trump rally tonight.



I can see why. Balding, glasses, red hoodie--totally not Trump material.

Darkman Fanpage
Jul 4, 2012
How odd that there would be a mass shooting on the same day as the Trump/Jones interview. :tinfoil:

new kind of cat
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

I really love the color choice for Rick Santorum on this one. Slithering along the bottom of the polls like the turd he is.

Wanamingo
Feb 22, 2008

by FactsAreUseless

Seiken Hiro posted:

I really love the color choice for Rick Santorum on this one. Slithering along the bottom of the polls like the turd he is.

Before finally surging up right at the end

InsanityIsCrazy
Jan 25, 2003

by Lowtax

Darkman Fanpage posted:

How odd that there would be a mass shooting on the same day as the Trump/Jones interview. :tinfoil:

I suspect he will be updated live on the ethnicity of the shooters, and react accordingly.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Darkman Fanpage posted:

How odd that there would be a mass shooting on the same day as the Trump/Jones interview. :tinfoil:

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Trump says he will have a moment of silence for the victims at his rally tonight.

Goatse James Bond
Mar 28, 2010

If you see me posting please remind me that I have Charlie Work in the reports forum to do instead

If Alex Jones is saying it doesn't fit the profile of a typical mass shooting, presumably that would mean that this is the one single authentic one?

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



GreyjoyBastard posted:

If Alex Jones is saying it doesn't fit the profile of a typical mass shooting, presumably that would mean that this is the one single authentic one?

I was thinking about this from the other direction - he's claimed that every single shooting has been a false flag, so what IS a typical mass shooting even like?

A Neurotic Jew
Feb 17, 2012

by exmarx

Joementum posted:

If polling holds, Rand is at the kiddie table for the next debate, Carly is on the bubble, and Christie goes back to the big boys stage.

I hope something changes, I kind of like Rand Paul's whiny and defeated trolling, and I certainly prefer it to Christie's aggro-bluster. Meanwhile Kasich really needs to :getout: of my debate-watching immediately.

A Neurotic Jew
Feb 17, 2012

by exmarx
.

InsanityIsCrazy
Jan 25, 2003

by Lowtax
The madness comes to VA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-5ErVH-Vn3E

InsanityIsCrazy
Jan 25, 2003

by Lowtax
moment of sallence?

StevePerry
Sep 5, 2003

don't stop believin
Trump is here. Time to pay the ferryman.

InsanityIsCrazy
Jan 25, 2003

by Lowtax
There're beheadings at Medieval Times? That was not included in the commercial

StevePerry
Sep 5, 2003

don't stop believin
First wave of protesters are being cattlechuted.

Mr Ice Cream Glove
Apr 22, 2007

This crowd sounds bloodthirsty

Montasque
Jul 18, 2003

Living in a hateful world sending me straight to Heaven

Joementum posted:

Also revealed in the Trump / Jones detente: Roger Stone is back on the Trump payroll.



(He never left :ssh:)

You don't say!

sharkbomb
Feb 9, 2005
Trump regarding a recent poll:

"I looked at the TV and one of these guys had a zero with a left-arrow next to it. And I thought 'must be a typographical error, how can you have less than zero?'"

:laffo:

Corsair Pool Boy
Dec 17, 2004
College Slice

Joementum posted:

I've actually watched Jones' The Obama Deception all the way through.

Turns out, Obama is not a Bilderberger, but just one of their puppets, controlled through the Queen of England.

I had no idea that Lyndon LaRouche worked for infowars!

OAquinas
Jan 27, 2008

Biden has sat immobile on the Iron Throne of America. He is the Master of Malarkey by the will of the gods, and master of a million votes by the might of his inexhaustible calamari.

sharkbomb posted:

Trump regarding a recent poll:

"I looked at the TV and one of these guys had a zero with a left-arrow next to it. And I thought 'must be a typographical error, how can you have less than zero?'"

:laffo:

Wait, is that JEB!'s strategy? Win by going below 0 and then getting 255% of the vote?

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Feral_Shofixti posted:

I had no idea that Lyndon LaRouche worked for infowars!

They spot the Queen at 19:30

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAaQNACwaLw&t=1005s

sharkbomb
Feb 9, 2005
"Bernie just had hernia surgery... I think he got it from carrying around the new tax code he wants to create."

Mr Ice Cream Glove
Apr 22, 2007

Jobs from Vietnam?

The Lord of Hats
Aug 22, 2010

Hello, yes! Is being very good day for posting, no?

sharkbomb posted:

Trump regarding a recent poll:

"I looked at the TV and one of these guys had a zero with a left-arrow next to it. And I thought 'must be a typographical error, how can you have less than zero?'"

:laffo:

The GOP are going to have such a narrow opportunity to unseat Trump; his overall strategy seems insane when you look at it without results associated, but it's been ludicrously effective. He came into the race and everyone thought that it was a complete joke, and couldn't possibly go anywhere. When he opened up on a line of "IMMIGRANTS ARE RAPISTS" everyone thought he was going to sink like a rock. But that tapped right into a rich vein of angry supporters, and that rocketed him straight to the top. Not a majority by any means, but he pulled off a lead. And once he did that, he transcended human existence and became one with the media narrative. He absolutely thrives off of poll numbers, because he is so incredibly eager to punch downwards--just look at the first two debates where he went off on Rand Paul who was polling close to the bottom, just because he could. It reinforces the sentiment that he's in a position of dominance, and because other candidates are so incapable of dealing with that kind of attack, it makes them look weak and insignificant. And the better he does, the more he gets asked about polls, playing right back into that strength.

Jeb Bush, while a complete blunder of a candidate, was at least in a decent, competitive position early on. All Trump needed was two words, "low energy", and Jeb was branded forever. He'll never shake that. Rand Paul was already kinda whiny, but he looks even more that way after getting Trumped. Carson managed to climb up on Trump, but Trump was constantly triangulating, poking and prodding to find a weak point to help along the collapse, and now Carson is having a fall from grace. And it's barely cost Trump a thing. Has he bought a single ad?

I think it has to be the early states. If they were going to be able to out-debate him, I think that would have happened already. If he displays an ability to actually win primaries, I don't see how they possibly come back from that.

-Zydeco-
Nov 12, 2007


Bomb the oil?

A Neurotic Jew
Feb 17, 2012

by exmarx
this is like some surrealist free association exercise.

StevePerry
Sep 5, 2003

don't stop believin
A child in the audience asks Trump what The Wall shall be made of!

StevePerry
Sep 5, 2003

don't stop believin
Trump holds the child up like the Christkind and makes him speak!

Mr Ice Cream Glove
Apr 22, 2007

The bones of your ancestors

A Neurotic Jew
Feb 17, 2012

by exmarx
wow Macaulay Culkin hasn't aged a day.

Mr. Pumroy
May 20, 2001

oh dang manassas? that's like 20 minutes from where i live. oh well i guess i'll just have to not go to a nearby intensely insane place tonight.

i used to work there. very high concentrations of poor angry old white folk there living alongside immigrant laborers who are literally living paycheck to paycheck. a payday loan at every strip mall

Mr Ice Cream Glove
Apr 22, 2007

Trump is meeting Bibi

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Mr. Pumroy
May 20, 2001

that's good, trump is on the record saying he likes jews especially when they count his money.

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