Fantasy Football 2015: Value Based Guessing

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Gobias Ind.: Apr 5, 2007; If your girlfriend says hey to me that's our girlfriend now idc

The Zack posted:

Sproles or Mathews v. ARI? 0 PPR

Or pick up Riddick @NO

Don't laugh at me

Grab Riddick.

Tied 114.7-114.7 in my semifinal. Thought I had it wrapped up and then Antonio Brown went off. Opponent is done and I've got Catanzaro. Please don't blow out your knee on the opening kickoff Chandler.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 02:31

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# ? Jun 1, 2024 03:47

Diqnol: May 10, 2010

I'm winning by 5 with Fitz and Campbell vs his Sproles and Mathiau in ppr with standard IDP. I'm scared :ohdear:

On the other hand the league where I stand to win 2.5k I'm winning by 50 with Snead to go to his Megatron and Castanzaro.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 02:41

the_american_dream: Apr 12, 2008; GAHDAMN

ZIGfried posted:

You know your day is going poorly when loving James White puts up over 15 against you.

Yuuuuuuuuuuuup

# ? Dec 21, 2015 02:45

Combo: Aug 19, 2003

I'm up 160-79 but my opponent still has Palmer, Calvin, Hightower, Riddick, and Ben Watson left, and all I have is Cantazaro. making GBS threads bricks.

I have Cam, Antonio Brown, and the KC defense carrying the gently caress out of me right now. Nobody else scored double digits this week for me.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 02:54

xbilkis: Apr 11, 2005; god qb
me
jay hova

Made the finals in a money league. My first move this season was this:

I'm playing the guy that picked up Freeman in the finals. Surely there's no way this comes back to haunt me

# ? Dec 21, 2015 03:30

cheese: Jan 7, 2004; Shop around for doctors! Always fucking shop for doctors. Doctors are stupid assholes. And they get by because people are cowed by their mystical bullshit quality of being able to maintain a 3.0 GPA at some Guatemalan medical college for 3 semesters. Find one that makes sense.

Ask me about starting Buck "-0.2 points" Allen instead of Danny Woodhead and losing by 5 points :commissar:

# ? Dec 21, 2015 03:43

Brownhat: Jan 25, 2012; One cannot be a good person and enforce unjust laws.

cheese posted:

Ask me about starting Buck "-0.2 points" Allen instead of Danny Woodhead and losing by 5 points

Antonio Brown and Julio Jones saved me from Buck Allen this week. Now Carson Palmer is spending this whole loving game handing off and it might cost me my playoff matchup.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 04:22

Teemu Pokemon: Jun 19, 2004; To sign them is my real test

With full no movement clause

KelceWatch

Dandy Kaiser posted:

Kelce is going to have a nice mediocre 60-600-5 season and I'm going to loving laugh and laugh and laugh.

Short on the yards, almost nailed TDs, and not too far off on catches

Dandy Kaiser posted:

I still doubt he sees over 100 targets, honestly. And of those, I doubt that more than 75 are legitimately catchable. I'm willing to bet he doesn't clear 70 catches.

65 catches on 93 targets for a 69.9% catch rate, needs 5 catches to hit 70.

Dandy Kaiser posted:

Suave Fedora posted:
He was 3 catches short of 70 last year. I'd ask if you're sure about making that bet but you're already and your toxx falls under 1ppr by the way as you didnt specify.

Also, no QB last year threw for more than a 70% completion rating.

I did the math assuming 1 PPR. 70 catches for 700 yards and 5 TDs would be 175 points and I lowballed a bit because I HATE TIGHT ENDS

e: if you want to call it 180, I'll make it a 2,500 word essay and I will donate money to the WWF and adopt a walrus.

Pretty much nailed catches and TDs again, short on yards.

Kelce is at 175.2 with one game to go :ohdear:

I'm going to lose this toxx by like 3 points and his two TPCs are going to gently caress me. Should've said 185

If he stays under 190 I'm claiming moral victory :colbert:

e: I'm swamped at work right now, so that essay is probably going to be a chore and don't know how long that'll take, but either way I think I'm going to adopt that walrus :shobon:

Teemu Pokemon fucked around with this message at 05:27 on Dec 21, 2015

# ? Dec 21, 2015 05:24

Sweeper: Nov 29, 2007; The Joe Buck of Posting; Dinosaur Gum

If the Eagles held that last first down I would have tied with the field goal they would kick... Instead I lost with david Johnson scoring 40 fffffffuck me

# ? Dec 21, 2015 05:32

ZIGfried: Nov 4, 2005; I can hardly contain myself!

I need 25 points from Megatron tomorrow night in 0.5 ppr.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 05:33

Brownhat: Jan 25, 2012; One cannot be a good person and enforce unjust laws.

I need Tate and Hightower to combine for less than 28 to make the finals.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 05:39

Pops Mgee: Aug 20, 2009; People all over the world,
Join Hands,
Start the Love Train!

There's no way David Johnson puts up another 50 points when I play him in the championship next week right?

# ? Dec 21, 2015 05:53

Diqnol: May 10, 2010

I just lost because of that last second honey badger pick. By 3 points. SON OF A

# ? Dec 21, 2015 05:56

Intruder: Mar 5, 2003; I got a taste for blown saves

David Johnson holy mother of god

I was down by 16 with Johnson and Catanzaro to go and was concerned, well so much for that

# ? Dec 21, 2015 06:12

bows1: May 16, 2004; Chill, whale, chill

Every single player on my roster over performed their projected score this week, including everyone on my bench. Not so bad

# ? Dec 21, 2015 06:19

Freezer: Apr 20, 2001; The Earth is the cradle of the mind, but one cannot stay in the cradle forever.

Got Lacy'd again. Ah well, the story of my season.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 06:25

Leperflesh: May 17, 2007

I need Tim Hightower and Stephone Anthony to combine for at least 37 points, for me to advance to the championship match. Anthony's best score in our IDP scoring this year is 27.5, two weeks ago at carolina, so it's not impossible by any means.

But the much more likely scenario is that I miss by a lot, and I blame the Miami coaching staff for benching Lamar Miller, Randall Cobb for being so frustratingly inconsistent, Andy Dalton for getting injured, and Matt Ryan for being completely poo poo despite having Julio Jones to throw to.

:argh:

fantasy football is stupid

# ? Dec 21, 2015 06:27

yeah I eat ass: Mar 14, 2005; only people who enjoy my posting can replace this avatar

All I needed was David Johnson to not outscore Carson Palmer by much. Opponent's points last week: 67. This week against me putting up 125: 149. I do have Ezekiel Ansah left to go, maybe they'll put him in at RB and he'll score 25...if not, first round playoff exit for me.

Fantasy football can gently caress off.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 06:27

coronaball: Feb 6, 2005; You're finished, pork-o-nazi!

My finals opponent added Christine Michael while I added Bryce Brown, and she has no logical flex to use next week other than Michael.

This isn't going to really happen, is it?

# ? Dec 21, 2015 06:30

Teemu Pokemon: Jun 19, 2004; To sign them is my real test

With full no movement clause

Guy in my league who picked up my Lacy that I dropped last week and then beat me (by enough that Lacy didn't matter at all) got 1 point from him this week and I would have outscored him had we played.

Fantasy Football 2015: There are no winners.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 06:31

Spoeank: Jul 16, 2003; That's a nice set of 11 dynasty points there, it would be a shame if 3 rings were to happen with it

Fantasy Football is a dumb bad game and we are all worse for playing it.

Anyway after this week
Decade Long Retarded Scoring Keeper League: FINALS (finally)
Y! Public League I accidentally joined: Finals (thxu John Brown)
Cheating for Charity Goon League: Probably finals, unsure yet
Office League: Playing for third (loving David Johnson)
FantasyPros Correspondent League: Probably playing for third -- up 25 against Brees/Watson with Forbath
ESPN Public League: Playing for third (loving David Johnson)

Finals in at worst 2 of 6 leagues I played in ain't so bad.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 06:38

Vargo: Dec 27, 2008; 'Cuz it's KILLIN' ME!

I sat Emmanuel Sanders, Kamar Aiken, and Dorial Green-Beckham.
I started Matt Jones and Fozzie Whitaker.
My opponent started Amari Cooper and Demariyus Thomas.
I won by five points, and still have Hightower playing tomorrow.
This loving game.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 06:57

Psikotik: Dec 17, 2002; Random more like ranDUMB; College Slice

Sat Cousins and Watkins for Matt Ryan and Lockett. Up by 14.5, have Hightower vs. Megatron. I feel confident, welp.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 07:33

Silly Burrito: Nov 27, 2007; SET A COURSE FOR
THE FLAVOR QUADRANT

Got so aggravated at Eddie Lacy that I turned off football all together. Peeked and found that I was up 10 with my John Brown vs. his Carson Palmer. Turned on the Arizona game, saw Carson Palmer slinging it, turned it off and went to bed. Just checked it.

Here's hoping the same thing happens with their Matthew Stafford and my Calvin Johnson.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 08:25

Cat Hassler: Feb 7, 2006; Slippery Tilde

Silly Burrito posted:

Got so aggravated at Eddie Lacy that I turned off football all together. Peeked and found that I was up 10 with my John Brown vs. his Carson Palmer. Turned on the Arizona game, saw Carson Palmer slinging it, turned it off and went to bed. Just checked it.

I'm the rookie in my bar league and have never played fantasy football before. Playing against our commish this week who was #1 with a nine game winning streak. I'm up by 85 points and he has Stafford and Megatron left playing against NO tomorrow.

Thank you Cam and Emmanuel Sanders.

Praying to the fantasy gods for New Orleans D to show up

# ? Dec 21, 2015 09:08

Benne: Sep 2, 2011; STOP DOING HEROIN

All three of my playoff teams got knocked out this week :suicide:

# ? Dec 21, 2015 09:22

3 DONG HORSE: May 22, 2008; I'd like to thank Satan for everything he's done for this organization

Down 140.3 to 147.1: Hightower left to go, feeling good.

Up 140 to 112: my Hightower vs his Stafford. Not feeling so hot because Saints D. Also gently caress you David Johnson for potentially ruining a blowout. :argh:

# ? Dec 21, 2015 11:03

Gobias Ind.: Apr 5, 2007; If your girlfriend says hey to me that's our girlfriend now idc

quote:

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports it is "likely" Odell Beckham is suspended one game for his actions during the Giants' Week 15 loss to the Panthers.
Schefter cautions the league is still discussing their disciplinary actions, but a suspension is justified after Beckham lost control Sunday. Beckham was flagged for three personal fouls, but his most egregious act came when he drove the crown of his helmet into Josh Norman's head at the end of a play. If he is suspended, that play will likely be the reason. Beckham will likely appeal if he is handed a suspension, making it possible he could play in the most important fantasy week of the season. This developing story will be updated throughout the week.

Fuuuuuuuuuuck

I've made the finals in one league and should in a second barring a disaster tonight, but I own OBJ in both. Please appeal and get suspended for Week 17 instead.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 16:17

BonoMan: Feb 20, 2002; Jade Ear Joe

Honestly OBJ deserves more than 1 game for that hit. That was some dirty dirty poo poo.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 16:23

Matt Zerella: Oct 7, 2002; Norris'es are back baby. It's good again. Awoouu (fox Howl)

BonoMan posted:

Honestly OBJ deserves more than 1 game for that hit. That was some dirty dirty poo poo.

Norman deserves a fine for all the crying he's been doing for the last 12 hours.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 16:23

BonoMan: Feb 20, 2002; Jade Ear Joe

LmaoTheKid posted:

Norman deserves a fine for all the crying he's been doing for the last 12 hours.

obj owner spotted

# ? Dec 21, 2015 16:26

Matt Zerella: Oct 7, 2002; Norris'es are back baby. It's good again. Awoouu (fox Howl)

BonoMan posted:

Giants fan spotted

FTFY.

I don't have any shares of OBJ.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 16:26

Chronicles: Oct 24, 2013

So in this league I've had a pattern of smashing my way through the playoffs only to poo poo the bed during the championship. I'm almost not sure if I'd rather the legacy of me being the perennial silver medal holder continue or if the sweet taste of victory is best.

2013:
Wk 14: 150-79
Wk 15: 176-85
Wk 16: 91-114

2014:
Wk 14: BYE
Wk 15: 142-86
Wk 16: 97-109

2015:
Wk 14: 109-107
Wk 15: 154-123
Wk 16: ???

# ? Dec 21, 2015 16:40

Silly Burrito: Nov 27, 2007; SET A COURSE FOR
THE FLAVOR QUADRANT

So for the Lacy owners who managed to overcome Feast Mode going hungry but still made it to their championship, who is a viable WW RB pickup?

# ? Dec 21, 2015 16:46

Twelve by Pies: May 4, 2012; Again a very likpatous story

My opponent forgot about the Thursday game and forgot to take out Vincent Jackson, which helped me greatly. It's possible Brandin Cooks could get 33 points in tonight's game, but it's probably pretty unlikely.

I got really lucky considering some of my players didn't do very well, especially Hurns. I was pretty fortunate that a lot of his players didn't do well either.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 16:47

Varg: Jan 13, 2007; A friendly face.

gently caress THIS STUPID GAME.JPEG

# ? Dec 21, 2015 16:58

Silly Burrito: Nov 27, 2007; SET A COURSE FOR
THE FLAVOR QUADRANT

Varg posted:

gently caress THIS STUPID GAME.JPEG

Sounds like you're in the Swamps of Sadness.

# ? Dec 21, 2015 17:00

Varg: Jan 13, 2007; A friendly face.

Silly Burrito posted:

Sounds like you're in the Swamps of Sadness.

my potential $400 league win swallowed up by the nothing

# ? Dec 21, 2015 17:06

Diqnol: May 10, 2010

Lol if OBJ is suspended that means my opponent in the final rodeo dance is missing his two best players right when it matters (he has Peterson, too!)

I'm still sore about losing last night by 3 points because of that garbage time pick to honey badger but that's fsntasy, eh?

# ? Dec 21, 2015 17:18

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# ? Jun 1, 2024 03:47

Jose Valasquez: Apr 8, 2005

Need Cooks and Watson to score 31.1 tonight :ohdear:

# ? Dec 21, 2015 17:28

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > Sports Argument Stadium > The Armchair Quarterback > Fantasy Football 2015: Value Based Guessing

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