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Subjunctive
Sep 12, 2006

✨sparkle and shine✨

I think they skipped the part where they pay great rates.

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overdesigned
Apr 10, 2003

We are compassion...
Lipstick Apathy
I should maybe have used "decent" instead, yeah.

Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Dec 22, 2005

GET LOSE, YOU CAN'T COMPARE WITH MY POWERS

Shipon posted:

"Behaving like human beings" = code word for white drivers, because that's the main reason people hate taxis.
faaaaaaaaaaaaaaart

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!

Shipon posted:

"Behaving like human beings" = code word for white drivers, because that's the main reason people hate taxis.

This is the dumbest SJW thing ever, and that's coming from someone who does some SJW dumb stuff.

Planet X
Dec 10, 2003

GOOD MORNING

Mojo Threepwood posted:

Yeah, one of my friends used to work at an all season resort in Donnelly, Idaho, and I can't imagine what work a cubicle dweller in their early 30s could find in that small town to enable them to enjoy the resort whenever they pleased. My friend was working there in the summer building trails while finishing an accounting degree, and his accounts of illiterate coworkers and getting his foot crushed by a boulder make it seem like a young man's game.

Sidenote: this was at Tamarack Resort, for a legendary bad with money experience get a loan for $250 million and build a luxury resort right before the 2008 crisis.
I knew someone who had a very similar experience. The person you speak of, are they by chance a mountain biker from Austin?

Top Bunk Wanker
Jan 31, 2005

Top Trump Anger

overdesigned posted:

I should maybe have used "decent" instead, yeah.

If a lot of broke people weren't still having extreme difficulty finding jobs that actually pay decent wages, there wouldn't be nearly as much of a base for Uber to draw employees from.

cowofwar
Jul 30, 2002

by Athanatos

Top Bunk Wanker posted:

If a lot of broke people weren't still having extreme difficulty finding jobs that actually pay decent wages, there wouldn't be nearly as much of a base for Uber to draw employees from.

There's something special about people running uber with a leased or financed car. It's so BWM.

Blinkman987
Jul 10, 2008

Gender roles guilt me into being fat.

cowofwar posted:

There's something special about people running uber with a leased or financed car. It's so BWM.

Or desperate/gullible, both of which are tragic.

pathetic little tramp posted:

A series of 3 podcasts about how loving stupid the "sharing economy" is:

http://www.sharingeconomy.fail

Remember, if you ever use any of the postmates / uber / instazyng / superslaff / farpydarp / coocoocachoobot, you're propping up an unsustainable ridiculous business model that will fail miserably pay enough congresspeople to gut all labour laws to make the gig economy the new normal.

My favourite moment is in the second episode where he talks to a guy from door dash who says he likes the base pay of 15 dollars an hour, then later in the queue he's in he talks to another door dasher who says door dash just changed that policy and there's no base pay any more as of the last app update.

The most honest moment is when he begins emotionally melting down early in the second episode from how bullshit the entire "sharing economy" is. His voice gets an uncomfortable wobble in addition to his rants. Made me slightly sick.

Blinkman987 fucked around with this message at 01:30 on Jan 8, 2016

Phone
Jul 30, 2005

親子丼をほしい。

BraveUlysses posted:

and to avoid emptyquoting, what an enormously bad idea.

I'm on to you, the Bravest Ulysses.

But yeah, the sharing economy is an enormously bad idea because all of the DISRUPTIVE TECH garbage that these companies spew basically boil down to "we're causing headaches for everyone else by promoting risky behavior in individuals", especially when it comes to poo poo like Uber being super blase and "surprised" when it turns out that people driving for Uber don't have a commercial insurance policy.

Phone fucked around with this message at 01:45 on Jan 8, 2016

Saros
Dec 29, 2009

Its almost like we're a Bureaucracy, in space!

I set sail for the Planet of Lab Requisitions!!

overdesigned posted:

Their entire game plan (until they have a fleet of robotic cars) is to show up and pay great rates so young white people think it's an awesome job (and lease cars new cars :v: ). Then once they've established themselves with customers as the "better (whiter) alternative to taxis" they "update their app" which slashes rates for drivers until only the people that stick with it are those who were willing to do taxi work in the first place, i.e. low income people, probably minorities.


London is the opposite due to "the knowledge" (taxi driver test) meaning it takes 3+ years to become a registered cab driver, black cab drivers also take home £50-60k (2-3x median wage, plus they all only take cash and don't declare a lot of it).

Cabs are also 90-95% middle aged white men while ubers are 100% Middle Eastern or Africans of dubious immigration status. I have never seen a white uber driver anywhere in Europe yet uber is insanely successful due to costing about half as much.

Moneyball
Jul 11, 2005

It's a problem you think we need to explain ourselves.
The guy operating the Airbnb "room" I'm staying in has rented out a room I'm an old factory or something. Looks like a big apartment. $5,000 rent Jesus Christ.

But be built it up to a two story, 7 room shanty town and makes $1,800 a month per room.

BWM for the rent and GWM for the income?


I'll get pictures if anyone is interested.

Suspicious Lump
Mar 11, 2004
My dad does Uber, not really sure why. I was tempted to tell him his wasting his time but honestly it's better he does something with his time than sit at home getting depressed (literally, he is on meds for chronic depression). He recently bought a 60k toyota land cruiser 4wd (this is Australia btw). The maintenance, fuel, cost of car, and his time doesn't make it worth while to drive for uber. He only drives when theres a high demand, but even then he made $400 driving 10 hours. I think he's making a about $15 bux an hour (i.e probably below minimum wage in australia).

If you're wondering why he can afford a 60k? He works for the government and gets paid very well but the work is not consistent.

Guinness
Sep 15, 2004

Saros posted:

London is the opposite due to "the knowledge" (taxi driver test) meaning it takes 3+ years to become a registered cab driver, black cab drivers also take home £50-60k (2-3x median wage, plus they all only take cash and don't declare a lot of it).

If cabbies in my city were even a tenth as good as London cabbies in knowing where the gently caress they're going, then maybe I would hate them a lot less. If the driver is just plugging my destination into a GPS or if I'm giving turn by turn directions why the heck wouldn't I just get an Uber/Lyft for less cost which is mostly all those guys do anyway.

That, and traditional cabbies always seem so indignant about accepting cards. I hardly ever carry cash, and I'm not going to start now either. At least this aspect is getting better, but probably because Uber/Lyft/etc have forced them to suck it up and stop throwing fits about getting paid with a paper trail.

Also cabbies driver like utter fuckheads on the road, with or without passengers in the car. Never had that with Uber/Lyft.

Subjunctive
Sep 12, 2006

✨sparkle and shine✨

Suspicious Lump posted:

My dad does Uber, not really sure why. I was tempted to tell him his wasting his time but honestly it's better he does something with his time than sit at home getting depressed (literally, he is on meds for chronic depression). He recently bought a 60k toyota land cruiser 4wd (this is Australia btw). The maintenance, fuel, cost of car, and his time doesn't make it worth while to drive for uber. He only drives when theres a high demand, but even then he made $400 driving 10 hours. I think he's making a about $15 bux an hour (i.e probably below minimum wage in australia).

If you're wondering why he can afford a 60k? He works for the government and gets paid very well but the work is not consistent.

Sounds like he just has a hobby of driving people around, which is partially subsidized. There are more expensive hobbies that aren't as helpful to people, doesn't sound too bad.

egoslicer
Jun 13, 2007

quote:

https://www.reddit.com/r/personalfinance/comments/3zqom8/update_pf_youre_going_to_figuratively_crucify_me/

TL;DR I had undesirable mortgage terms so I asked PF if I should pay it off or do a cash out refinance at 3.75% and invest the cash. I listed assets which included 1000 Bitcoins and most advised me to sell them and pay off the house or invest the money in the stock market
So what I decided is to go against your advice, big time. Please don't take offense.
So what I decided to do was the cashout refinance in which I received approx $465,000 after they paid off the original mortgage. Then I proceed to use all of it to buy an additional 1,750 Bitcoins at an average price of about $265 each.
Ok please go ahead and tell me how irresponsible that was, but then help me with my new predicament. I'm not going to go over my logic in detail, but in the previous post I mentioned I thought stocks were overbought and Bitcoin was too cheap at the time.
My exit strategy was to hold the additional 1750 Bitcoins and limit sell them all at a price of $465, which would have been $350k profit, or 2 years then sell. Whichever happened first. Still planning to hold the original 1000.
So the price went all the way past 465 to about 500 now they are sitting at 430. I didn't cashout at 465 because I didn't expect it to get there so soon so I was concerned about short term capital gains tax. If I waited a year I will get a tax benefit on the gain. Our income is already high enough for a high tax rate, and if this was taxed as income, the tax would be very significant.
So my question is should I
Go ahead and sell the 1,750 at today's price and take the tax hit
Hold for 6 more months to benefit from long term capital gains tax and cross fingers
Do something else like buy a put option on bitcoin to hedge with an expiration of 6 months from now then close them together after I hit the 1 year mark.
Roll over into some kind of tax sheltered account I don't know about


from reddit, I can't even...

Devian666
Aug 20, 2008

Take some advice Chris.

Fun Shoe
Reading that and the guy sold them all at $438. At least he's taking advice rather than trying to get others to buy bitcoins.

FrozenVent
May 1, 2009

The Boeing 737-200QC is the undisputed workhorse of the skies.
What's a cash out refinance? Did he just get a 400k mortgage and stick it in Bitcoin?

SlapActionJackson
Jul 27, 2006

Exactly what it sounds like. A refinance where the new loan balance > the old loan balance and you walk out of the closing with a check for the difference.

Suspicious Lump
Mar 11, 2004
How do you even sell bitcoins? Seriously is there a legit way to do it? I keep hearing stories of people getting mugged or arrested for using fake/stolen gift cards.

Haifisch
Nov 13, 2010

Objection! I object! That was... objectionable!



Taco Defender
You could use an exchange, but then you're crossing your fingers and hoping you actually get your money. Other than that, it's meeting up with the least-creepy local bitcoiner you can find and taking cash or a cashier's check.

FrozenVent
May 1, 2009

The Boeing 737-200QC is the undisputed workhorse of the skies.
Volume is so thin that if he were to sell in one go, he'd have a severe impact on the order books and probably cause panic sell-offs.

Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Dec 22, 2005

GET LOSE, YOU CAN'T COMPARE WITH MY POWERS
He said he did it slowly over the course of a night. He made like $170k on bitcoins and that's bad with money because...lmfao buttcoins?

edit: also not counting the fact that he bought a bunch of them for $20

FrozenVent
May 1, 2009

The Boeing 737-200QC is the undisputed workhorse of the skies.
I know a guy who won $20k playing the slots, I still think playing the slots is dumb.

Jeb Bush 2012
Apr 4, 2007

A mathematician, like a painter or poet, is a maker of patterns. If his patterns are more permanent than theirs, it is because they are made with ideas.

Jeffrey of YOSPOS posted:

He said he did it slowly over the course of a night. He made like $170k on bitcoins and that's bad with money because...lmfao buttcoins?

edit: also not counting the fact that he bought a bunch of them for $20

If you refinance your house and take the proceeds to a casino and put all the money on black, there's a ~48.6% chance you'll walk away with a huge profit but you're still an idiot if you do

Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Dec 22, 2005

GET LOSE, YOU CAN'T COMPARE WITH MY POWERS

Jeb Bush 2012 posted:

If you refinance your house and take the proceeds to a casino and put all the money on black, there's a ~48.6% chance you'll walk away with a huge profit but you're still an idiot if you do
Yeah I haven't seen this guy's history, the only trades he's done so far seem good? I'm not gonna look at a series of successful trades and think "what a retard". A guy winning 20k at slots is dumb, a guy consistently winning 20k at slots each week isn't. I'd assume he's actually good at predicting things(by, you know, cheating at slots). Most people buying individual securities are idiots but I'm not gonna conclude that from an example only including successes.

Jeb Bush 2012
Apr 4, 2007

A mathematician, like a painter or poet, is a maker of patterns. If his patterns are more permanent than theirs, it is because they are made with ideas.

Jeffrey of YOSPOS posted:

Yeah I haven't seen this guy's history, the only trades he's done so far seem good? I'm not gonna look at a series of successful trades and think "what a retard". A guy winning 20k at slots is dumb, a guy consistently winning 20k at slots each week isn't. I'd assume he's actually good at predicting things(by, you know, cheating at slots). Most people buying individual securities are idiots but I'm not gonna conclude that from an example only including successes.

There are actually plenty of ways to gamble on securities that have a good chance of winning you money every week but are still a terrible idea in the long run. But that's not even what happened here - he put all his money in a volatile asset that has a decent chance of going up or down a lot, and it went up. And you think he's smart because you're bad at reasoning about probability.

FrozenVent
May 1, 2009

The Boeing 737-200QC is the undisputed workhorse of the skies.

Jeffrey of YOSPOS posted:

Yeah I haven't seen this guy's history, the only trades he's done so far seem good? I'm not gonna look at a series of successful trades and think "what a retard". A guy winning 20k at slots is dumb, a guy consistently winning 20k at slots each week isn't. I'd assume he's actually good at predicting things(by, you know, cheating at slots). Most people buying individual securities are idiots but I'm not gonna conclude that from an example only including successes.

Someone winning at slots multiple times in a row isn't good at slots, they're lucky. The next run of the slot has the same odds of losing as the first. Bitcoin doesn't follow any kind of rational patterns; its price is not tied to anything. It's straight up gambling.

Cast_No_Shadow
Jun 8, 2010

The Republic of Luna Equestria is a huge, socially progressive nation, notable for its punitive income tax rates. Its compassionate, cynical population of 714m are ruled with an iron fist by the dictatorship government, which ensures that no-one outside the party gets too rich.

There is a real difference between making a good call and making a bad capl but getting lucky.

Rudager
Apr 29, 2008

Jeffrey of YOSPOS posted:

Yeah I haven't seen this guy's history, the only trades he's done so far seem good? I'm not gonna look at a series of successful trades and think "what a retard". A guy winning 20k at slots is dumb, a guy consistently winning 20k at slots each week isn't. I'd assume he's actually good at predicting things(by, you know, cheating at slots). Most people buying individual securities are idiots but I'm not gonna conclude that from an example only including successes.

It would be a good trade if there was a reason behind that extended beyond "Bitcoins good!". What information did he have when he bought the Bitcoins that lead him to believe the price would ever hit his sell limit?

Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Dec 22, 2005

GET LOSE, YOU CAN'T COMPARE WITH MY POWERS

FrozenVent posted:

Someone winning at slots multiple times in a row isn't good at slots, they're lucky.
If it's 3 times in a row, they're lucky. If they do it 20 times in a row, I want to know how. Like, if you watched a guy walk around a casino, pull 20 slots and win all of them, you wouldn't think that maybe he knew something you didn't? I don't really care about this guy and I don't "think he's smart" but I don't think he's a retard either just because he made predictions that were true.

Rudager
Apr 29, 2008

Jeffrey of YOSPOS posted:

If it's 3 times in a row, they're lucky. If they do it 20 times in a row, I want to know how. Like, if you watched a guy walk around a casino, pull 20 slots and win all of them, you wouldn't think that maybe he knew something you didn't? I don't really care about this guy and I don't "think he's smart" but I don't think he's a retard either just because he made predictions that were true.

That seems like a very flawed way of looking at it.

It was pure luck, there was no reason he should have done as well as he did. There was just as much chance that Bitcoin would be worth $0 right now.

Same as the guy winning slots 20 times has no reason why it's happening, it just did because of luck.

Someone being lucky isn't a reason to think they aren't an idiot.

RandomBlue
Dec 30, 2012

hay guys!


Biscuit Hider

Jeffrey of YOSPOS posted:

If it's 3 times in a row, they're lucky. If they do it 20 times in a row, I want to know how. Like, if you watched a guy walk around a casino, pull 20 slots and win all of them, you wouldn't think that maybe he knew something you didn't? I don't really care about this guy and I don't "think he's smart" but I don't think he's a retard either just because he made predictions that were true.

JFC, this guy.

He didn't make predictions at all, he guessed/gambled and came out OK so far. Plenty of gamblers go on streaks before they inevitably crash and burn if they don't quit while they're ahead. It's entirely possible for me to guess the outcome of a coin toss 20 times in a row. If it happens, that doesn't make me a wizard or Nostradamus, it just means I got very lucky. For every guy that hit some big luck streak, there are tons of others that lost everything.

Keep believing like you do and you'll be posting your own BWM story soon enough.

Armacham
Mar 3, 2007

Then brothers in war, to the skirmish must we hence! Shall we hence?

Jeffrey of YOSPOS posted:

If it's 3 times in a row, they're lucky. If they do it 20 times in a row, I want to know how. Like, if you watched a guy walk around a casino, pull 20 slots and win all of them, you wouldn't think that maybe he knew something you didn't? I don't really care about this guy and I don't "think he's smart" but I don't think he's a retard either just because he made predictions that were true.

If I watched a guy win a slot machine 20 times in a row, I would get a refill on my rum and coke and wait for the security guards to escort him out of the casino for hacking machines. The odds of that actually happening legitimately would be somewhere in the neighborhood of 1 in 10^94

pig slut lisa
Mar 5, 2012

irl is good


Jeffrey of YOSPOS posted:

If it's 3 times in a row, they're lucky. If they do it 20 times in a row, I want to know how. Like, if you watched a guy walk around a casino, pull 20 slots and win all of them, you wouldn't think that maybe he knew something you didn't? I don't really care about this guy and I don't "think he's smart" but I don't think he's a retard either just because he made predictions that were true.

In craps there are betting systems that produce frequent wins and the people who use them like to brag about it. It's still dumb as hell. Know why? Because the EV is still negative thanks to small risk of colossal wipeout (most of these systems involve having a ton of bets up at one time).

Just because someone wins many times doesn't mean their system produces a win over the long haul. The amount won and lost matters just as much as the number of times a win or loss occurs. Winning on 90% of rolls is worthless if the 10% of losses total up to a bigger amount of money.

Krispy Wafer
Jul 26, 2002

I shouted out "Free the exposed 67"
But they stood on my hair and told me I was fat

Grimey Drawer
He got lucky. The thing is, to buy that many Buttcoins, at least some (if not most) were originally purchased for much higher than $250 each. So yes, he made money, but only because someone else investing in the same product even more. Hopefully he keeps that in mind in case he thinks he can do it again.

Series DD Funding
Nov 25, 2014

by exmarx
I wouldn't say it was entirely luck. He bought in right after Ross Ulbricht got life and there was a lot of pessimism about BTC. Putting half his net worth into it though...

Barry
Aug 1, 2003

Hardened Criminal
LOL Bitcoin and all but it is entirely possible that if you're balls deep in that whole thing and aren't just some evangelist with blinders on that you can make some at least semi-informed decisions about the direction it does or doesn't go. There's some rationality to the price movements.

Not claiming in the slightest that the dude that mortgaged his house to buy bitcoins is remotely that person, I'd wager the opposite.

cowofwar
Jul 30, 2002

by Athanatos
It's all fun and games until someone hacks your million dollar bit coon wallet.

Uncle Enzo
Apr 28, 2008

I always wanted to be a Wizard
Keep in mind Mr. Bitcoins would have made a ton of money had he cashed out at his predetermined cashout point (which he didn't cause taxes and up uP UP). He's below where he'd determined to sell and is still holding his bitcoins. He hasn't made a goddamn dime, none of his supposed gains are realized and there is no reason in the world for the price not to crater an hour from now, wiping this fellow out.

Show me a bitcoiner who who actually cashes out when they're ahead rather than holding on hoping for an increase and I'll show you the exception to the retardation that is bitcoin.

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Barry
Aug 1, 2003

Hardened Criminal

Uncle Enzo posted:

Show me a bitcoiner who who actually cashes out when they're ahead rather than holding on hoping for an increase and I'll show you the exception to the retardation that is bitcoin.

To be fair, bitcoiners would be doing the exact same thing with individual stocks if bitcoin didn't exist. Or playing slots or whatever the hell.

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