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Black Baby Goku
Apr 2, 2011

by Nyc_Tattoo
I'm gonna win tonight.

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Chinatown
Sep 11, 2001

by Fluffdaddy
Fun Shoe
same

Kuato
Feb 25, 2005

"I CAN'T BELIEVE I ATE THE WHOLE THING"
Buglord
I'll pay off all SA users student loan debts when I win. Or I might not. We shall see.

Booblord Zagats
Oct 30, 2011


Pork Pro
I'm gonna buy Auschwitz and turn it in to a bitchin BBQ joint

Clockwerk
Apr 6, 2005


I too am going to win, although I'm not sure if a ticket has been purchased on my behalf or not, but that isn't going to deter me

Black Baby Goku
Apr 2, 2011

by Nyc_Tattoo
I'm gonna be the next hitler but achieve his vision instead of suicide

Accretionist
Nov 7, 2012
I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES
I'm gonna self-isolate in a palatial 45th floor condo and hire a personal assistant to be a $40,000/year take-out fetcher.

Waltzing Along
Jun 14, 2008

There's only one
Human race
Many faces
Everybody belongs here

Black Baby Goku posted:

I'm gonna be the next hitler but achieve his vision instead of suicide

Good.

VendaGoat
Nov 1, 2005

Black Baby Goku posted:

I'm gonna be the next hitler but achieve his vision instead of suicide

You're going to become a painter?

VR Native American
May 1, 2009
Gun Saliva

Germstore posted:

New strategy, spend 2 dollars on one ticket and spend another 2 dollars buying the hobo outside a bag of those corn chips he likes. The karma increases your chance of winning by at least a factor of four.

Karma isn't real, we are all at the mercy of random impartial happenstance.

boom boom boom
Jun 28, 2012

by Shine
It looks like if you win in Texas you have to appear at a press conference where they give you the check.

If I win, I am going to make them regret that rule.

Waltzing Along
Jun 14, 2008

There's only one
Human race
Many faces
Everybody belongs here
Go in drag with a bunch of Bernie Sanders and anti gun signs.

kindermord
Jun 5, 2003
ducks is chickens with swimmy toes

Germstore posted:

New strategy, spend 2 dollars on one ticket and spend another 2 dollars buying the hobo outside a bag of those corn chips he likes. The karma increases your chance of winning by at least a factor of four.

yeah but what good is a bag of hobo chips karma if you end up with 1.5 billion of ppl's missed rent payments and kids' lunch money and warm clothes?

whoever wins will be beyond jack whittaker levels of hosed :nutshot:

bing_commander
Aug 14, 2009

In other news..
if you win, the most important thing to do is convince yourself that you deserve it.

Applewhite
Aug 16, 2014

by vyelkin
Nap Ghost

bing_commander posted:

if you win, the most important thing to do is convince yourself that you deserve it.

I mean, you don't deserve it any more or less than anyone else deserves money they didn't earn.

Hot Dog Day #82
Jul 5, 2003

Soiled Meat
If I win I am going to move to a small broken Midwest town, revitalize it and then rule it like a god-King for the rest of my days.

VendaGoat
Nov 1, 2005

bing_commander posted:

if you win, the most important thing to do is convince yourself that you deserve it.

and that no one else ever helped you in life, ever.

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost
as a white male born into upper middle class america, i can say with confidence that i've deserved everything that life has handed to me

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
if i win i'm buying a mansion in nepal

Inzombiac
Mar 19, 2007

PARTY ALL NIGHT

EAT BRAINS ALL DAY


I have no idea where I would move if I won. Pacific Northwest is pretty great but uhhh.
Basically I just need fast internet and AC.

Applewhite
Aug 16, 2014

by vyelkin
Nap Ghost

VendaGoat posted:

and that no one else ever helped you in life, ever.

With 1.3 billion you could easily fully repay all the people who helped you in life plus interest and still have enough left over to live a life of luxury for the rest of your days.

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost
realtalk i'd buy a few thousand acres of forest and hire some forestry guys and animal guys to just make it really nice and full of happy animals. then i'd hang around in my house watching tv all day probs.

Hector Beerlioz
Jun 16, 2010

aw, hec
I'm going to buy famous works of art then destroy them.

boom boom boom
Jun 28, 2012

by Shine

Hector Beerlioz posted:

I'm going to buy famous works of art then destroy them.

Lke that episode of Justified about the dude who bought Hitler paintings so he could burn them

Clockwerk
Apr 6, 2005


theres a guy who has done this with the portion of the ozarks

http://www.riverhillstraveler.com/nature-loving-philanthropist-leo-a-drey-leaves-a-legacy-of-protected-ozark-land/

thats a cool legacy to leave behind

Applewhite
Aug 16, 2014

by vyelkin
Nap Ghost
Realtalk I'd start a cult.
And this time I wouldn't fail...

VendaGoat
Nov 1, 2005

Applewhite posted:

With 1.3 billion you could easily fully repay all the people who helped you in life plus interest and still have enough left over to live a life of luxury for the rest of your days.

I'd rather commission you to draw the largest breasts in the history of art.

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost
( o ) ( o )

they're drawn in vector graphics so just scale it up

Applewhite
Aug 16, 2014

by vyelkin
Nap Ghost

VendaGoat posted:

I'd rather commission you to draw the largest breasts in the history of art.

Like, the largest proportionately or the actual largest ever in terms of square feet of canvas covered in breasts?
Because if the former, here you go:

VendaGoat
Nov 1, 2005

Applewhite posted:

Like, the largest proportionately or the actual largest ever in terms of square feet of canvas covered in breasts?
Because if the former, here you go:

I'm not searching for it, but I'm betting, a very large amount of cash, someone has already made that drawing, only in much more detail.



As such, I will be canceling my commission and instead defaulting to the standard "Hookers and Blow" wish from the powerball money genie.

Alpha Mayo
Jan 15, 2007
hi how are you?
there was this racist piece of shit in your av so I fixed it
you're welcome
pay it forward~
Can any statistics pros answer a question?

Humans are really bad at picking random numbers. We subconsciously associate images, colors, life events, etc with them, especially lower numbers 1-31. Assuming that this is true and that the 32-69 pool of numbers is neglected by human pseudo-RNG, wouldn't that make the odds of winning vs a true RNG lower?
I know each combination, including 1 2 3 4 5 pb6, has an equal chance of pulling, but if humans weigh lower drawn numbers more than higher drawn numbers, wouldn't that overall decrease the chance of winning vs an RNG that has an truly equal weight to all numbers? Or is the only thing affected the collision rate vs other human picks?

Germstore
Oct 17, 2012

A Serious Candidate For a Serious Time
But you had to imagine the breasts that big, which extends the realm of imagination, which means the breasts are even bigger than that-

Could Applewhite imagine breasts so large that even he couldn't draw them?

VR Native American
May 1, 2009
Gun Saliva

Meta Ridley posted:

Can any statistics pros answer a question?

Humans are really bad at picking random numbers. We subconsciously associate images, colors, life events, etc with them, especially lower numbers 1-31. Assuming that this is true and that the 32-69 pool of numbers is neglected by human pseudo-RNG, wouldn't that make the odds of winning vs a true RNG lower?
I know each combination, including 1 2 3 4 5 pb6, has an equal chance of pulling, but if humans weigh lower drawn numbers more than higher drawn numbers, wouldn't that overall decrease the chance of winning vs an RNG that has an truly equal weight to all numbers? Or is the only thing affected the collision rate vs other human picks?

75% of all winning Powerball tickets are quick picks

boom boom boom
Jun 28, 2012

by Shine

VR Native American posted:

75% of all winning Powerball tickets are quick picks

That's meaningless unless we know what percentage of all tickets sold are quickpicks.

Sophy Wackles
Dec 17, 2000

> access main security grid
access: PERMISSION DENIED.





Meta Ridley posted:

Can any statistics pros answer a question?

Humans are really bad at picking random numbers. We subconsciously associate images, colors, life events, etc with them, especially lower numbers 1-31. Assuming that this is true and that the 32-69 pool of numbers is neglected by human pseudo-RNG, wouldn't that make the odds of winning vs a true RNG lower?
I know each combination, including 1 2 3 4 5 pb6, has an equal chance of pulling, but if humans weigh lower drawn numbers more than higher drawn numbers, wouldn't that overall decrease the chance of winning vs an RNG that has an truly equal weight to all numbers? Or is the only thing affected the collision rate vs other human picks?

Why would it? The winning numbers are rng, therefore all combinations have equal chance of winning. However if there is a bias towards lower numbers or "lucky numbers" like 7, then I would say tickets with those more common numbers have a higher likelyhood of sharing the prize if they win.

Applewhite
Aug 16, 2014

by vyelkin
Nap Ghost

Pawn 17 posted:

Why would it? The winning numbers are rng, therefore all combinations have equal chance of winning. However if there is a bias towards lower numbers or "lucky numbers" like 7, then I would say tickets with those more common numbers have a higher likelyhood of sharing the prize if they win.

Does the weight and distribution of the ink on the air-blown ping pong balls affect their statistical likelihood of being picked?

VendaGoat
Nov 1, 2005

Applewhite posted:

Does the weight and distribution of the ink on the air-blown ping pong balls affect their statistical likelihood of being picked?

Possibly.

It's why dice, for craps, have such stringent manufacturing specifications.

Applewhite
Aug 16, 2014

by vyelkin
Nap Ghost
My True gambling story:
When I was having my bachelor party I went to a casino in California. Now, because of California laws, card games and slots are permitted, but not most other games of chance, so when they play roulette, it works by having the number come up and the number hashes out to a certain card being drawn and that card determines which bets won.

So I'm chilling and watching the roulette table when out of the blue I get an honest to God Glimmer like the kind Stephen King talks about. In one instant I suddenly saw in my mind exactly which number was going to come up next.

I rushed over as quickly as I could and put like $300 on the number just before the best closed.
They spun the wheel and no poo poo the number I'd guessed came up! I Now, that's like 35-1 on a $300 bet so it was in for a $10,500 jackpot.
Or so I thought.
Then the loving stupid rear end roulette guy flips over the indicated card and it's some other bullshit number and I lost the $300.
gently caress California's lovely bitch-rear end gaming laws.

I haven't had a Glimmer since, but even though I lost it was a pretty amazing feeling.

Sophy Wackles
Dec 17, 2000

> access main security grid
access: PERMISSION DENIED.





Applewhite posted:

Does the weight and distribution of the ink on the air-blown ping pong balls affect their statistical likelihood of being picked?

p sure they go to great lengths to ensure all balls are identical and have the same chance of being picked. e.g. https://www.lotterypost.com/blogentry/11305

quote:

At Quantum, the balls are checked with a micrometer to determine that they are in fact 50 mm in diameter, as they should be. Next they are measured for resiliency - in other words, how well they bounce. This can be done using a measuring device known as a resiliometer, which drops a weight on the ball and measures how far away it is propelled, or by videotaping the balls as they are dropped and measuring the height of their bounce. The video-tape is rolled back and the exact bounce height can be measured.

The balls are then submerged in water, and their volume determined by how much liquid is displaced. The displacement test shows the density in each ball.

Before a new set of lottery balls is put into service, they are given an x-ray test. This ensures that there are no impurities or cavities within the ball itself.

Each ball is weighed using a digital scale. Both the auditor and OLG Draws official keep notes and compare notes on the weight of each ball. Each lottery ball must be within one gram of a mean weight, if not the set is thrown out and a new case is ordered.

Sophy Wackles fucked around with this message at 21:00 on Jan 13, 2016

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housefly
Sep 11, 2001

VR Native American posted:

75% of all winning Powerball tickets are quick picks

I believe I read yesterday on a CNN article that it's roughly the same percentage, so it's overall meaningless.

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