THE NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARIES, FEB 9. POLLS CLOSE 7/8PM ET: Gilmore's Big Day

The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > C-SPAM > THE NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARIES, FEB 9. POLLS CLOSE 7/8PM ET: Gilmore's Big Day

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BrownClown: Dec 7, 2007; Will rap for smash leaks

MMM Whatchya Say posted:

Unless I'm misunderstanding something politico seems to be reporting Cruz tied for first with Trump and Kasich while Rubio takes 6th.

That seems out of left field though so maybe I'm missing something

1% reporting

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:16

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# ? May 23, 2024 04:16

evilweasel: Aug 24, 2002

Great White Hope posted:

Worst case is probably something like Trump-Kasich-Bush-Cruz-Christie-Rubio, but I don't think it's possible Rubio falls that hard.

Nah because then Rubio is basically out. I think as long as Rubio and Bush are bunched together then the GOP is in trouble because they can both compete nationwide, but if one can win out over the other then they can consolidate establishment support. I suppose though that after Iowa it's necessary Jeb! beat Rubio to even it up.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:16

Jump King: Aug 10, 2011

BrownClown posted:

1% reporting

That'd be it!

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:16

Optimus Subprime: Mar 26, 2005; Ideas are more powerful than guns. We would not let our enemies have guns, why should we let them have ideas?

The Republicans are going to go into a brokered convention at this rate :getin:

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:16

Concerned Citizen: Jul 22, 2007; Ramrod XTreme

MMM Whatchya Say posted:

Unless I'm misunderstanding something politico seems to be reporting Cruz tied for first with Trump and Kasich while Rubio takes 6th.

That seems out of left field though so maybe I'm missing something

That's from Dixville Notch, Hart's Location, and Millsfield. NH has a law where if every single registered voter votes, you can close your precinct and report the results. These very small towns all meet up at midnight, vote, and then report the results per tradition.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:17

Doctor Candiru: Dec 23, 2004; Umbrella Monkey Sand

https://twitter.com/davecatanese/status/697196831588089861

:toot:

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:18

TROIKA CURES GREEK: Jun 30, 2015; by R. Guyovich

evilweasel posted:

So what's the worst-case scenario for the GOP? I'm thinking Kasich 2nd might just be it, because nobody is leaving the race now because they got beat by Kasich besides maybe Christie, and even if Jeb! loses to Rubio he's staying in if Rubio can't get 2nd.

Trump being way ahead and the rest of the field with no clear winner.

Liquid Communism posted:

That's pretty much it. Trump as a frontrunner means they have to start full on panicking because he can't win the general.

There's no reason at all to think anyone has a better chance than him, and I think the establishment is quickly realizing that. The idea he can't win general is also complete supposition, often said by the same people who said he never would get more than 10% support.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:18

OrangeKing: Dec 5, 2002; They do play in October!

Optimus Subprime posted:

The Republicans are going to go into a brokered convention at this rate

Trump getting somewhere between 30%-55% of the delegates (overall, not tonight, duh) probably makes this possible. Still very unlikely though

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:18

mdemone: Mar 14, 2001

Also there's a strong tradition of Hart's Landing being the bellwether for the state's primary winner, except when it isn't.

Doctor Candiru posted:

https://twitter.com/davecatanese/status/697196831588089861

More than 60% of GOP voters reported the recent debates as being important or very important to their decision.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:19

TROIKA CURES GREEK: Jun 30, 2015; by R. Guyovich

Predictit has trump at 95, then the order is kasich, cruz, rubio, bush. Seems about right.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:21

Joementum: May 23, 2004; jesus christ

Basically sums up tonight:

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:21

Optimus Subprime: Mar 26, 2005; Ideas are more powerful than guns. We would not let our enemies have guns, why should we let them have ideas?

The dream scenario for leftists is Bernie winning the dem nomination, the Republicans going into a brokered convention, and Jeb! or Cruz somehow getting the nod, and Trump going back on his word and running 3rd party. Maybe Bloomberg decides to get in on the mess as well, and Bernie just rails on all competitors on being in the pocket of wall st.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:21

neutral milf hotel: Oct 9, 2001; by Fluffdaddy

Optimus Subprime posted:

The Republicans are going to go into a brokered convention at this rate

I hope so

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:22

Jump King: Aug 10, 2011

As long as Rubio tanks I'm happy

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:22

withak: Jan 15, 2003; Fun Shoe

Joementum posted:

Someone needs to send the Rubio campaign a clip of the West Wing episode about not engaging a chicken.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:23

Josh Lyman: May 24, 2009

The eye candy in the green dress on CNN thinks "undeclared voter" means you haven't chosen a candidate. :rolleyes:

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:23

cheesetriangles: Jan 5, 2011

MSNBC saying 61% of NH Republican voters approve of banning Muslims from the US just makes me wonder what will happen to the halal food restaurant on Elm street I go to after the gym.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:24

BrownClown: Dec 7, 2007; Will rap for smash leaks

Joementum posted:

Basically sums up tonight:

This is a good photo.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:24

Josh Lyman: May 24, 2009

cheesetriangles posted:

MSNBC saying 61% of NH Republican voters approve of banning Muslims from the US just makes me wonder what will happen to the halal food restaurant on Elm street I go to after the gym.

They'll just change their sign to say "Kosher food"

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:25

Optimus Subprime: Mar 26, 2005; Ideas are more powerful than guns. We would not let our enemies have guns, why should we let them have ideas?

Josh Lyman posted:

The eye candy in the green dress on CNN thinks "undeclared voter" means you haven't chosen a candidate.

Plz don't gender shame the hard working women of the media. Wolf Blitzer probably will state the same thing. :wow:

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:25

mdemone: Mar 14, 2001

Joementum posted:

Basically sums up tonight:

She really does have an awesome ability to pull the funniest faces for the camera.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:26

Dolash: Oct 23, 2008; aNYWAY,
tHAT'S REALLY ALL THERE IS,
tO REPORT ON THE SUBJECT,
oF ME GETTING HURT,

Legitimately excited at the possibility of Trump winning New Hampshire, even though it's been predicted in the polls for months I think it'll go a long way to asserting that his campaign's real. The notion that he'll just vanish or collapse without a fight if he demonstrates he can turn polls into wins and the possibility that this'll drag on all the way to the convention goes through the roof.

For months we wondered if he could survive even an expected loss in Iowa and this last week showed him bounce back pretty well (assisted by the weakness of the field). The only thing left to see is what Trump Triumphant looks like, and if anyone can ride a wave I think he can. If Trump wins today South Carolina will drown under a wave of Trumping.

If you want chaos and historical anomalies, and of course you do, you want Trump to win tonight.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:26

Kurt_Cobain: Jul 9, 2001

misunderestimated is now a real word

Nothing matters

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:26

LGD: Sep 25, 2004

mdemone posted:

She really does have an awesome ability to pull the funniest faces for the camera.

I love that photo of her with the Millennials in the cafe even if I'd be the smirking dude in the middle

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:27

TROIKA CURES GREEK: Jun 30, 2015; by R. Guyovich

Certainly completely destroys the whole "if he loses iowa he lost" that was so popular here.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:27

Mitt Romney: Nov 9, 2005; dumb and bad

TROIKA CURES GREEK posted:

Certainly completely destroys the whole "if he loses iowa he lost" that was so popular here.

He still might not win NH.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:28

ass cobra: May 28, 2004; by Azathoth

TROIKA CURES GREEK posted:

Certainly completely destroys the whole "if he loses iowa he lost" that was so popular here.

Gotta ride every wave from top to bottom

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:28

1488: Feb 24, 2013

mdemone posted:

She really does have an awesome ability to pull the funniest faces for the camera.

She looks so sad when she laughs.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:28

Zelder: Jan 4, 2012

TROIKA CURES GREEK posted:

Certainly completely destroys the whole "if he loses iowa he lost" that was so popular here.

i don't think anyone said that. people have definitely said that if he loses nh he's dead, though

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:28

Shammypants: May 25, 2004; Let me tell you about true luxury.

MSNBC exit poll showing 66% of GOP voters support Muslim ban

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:29

TROIKA CURES GREEK: Jun 30, 2015; by R. Guyovich

Zelder posted:

i don't think anyone said that. people have definitely said that if he loses nh he's dead, though

Lots of people said that.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:30

Concerned Citizen: Jul 22, 2007; Ramrod XTreme

A very close loss was good enough.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:30

Fiction: Apr 28, 2011

TROIKA CURES GREEK posted:

Lots of people said that.

Are you still salty that the Trumpstaffel got destroyed in Iowa after braying how Trump was inevitable?

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:30

Mr Ice Cream Glove: Apr 22, 2007

Jesus that is a lot of debates coming up

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:31

cheesetriangles: Jan 5, 2011

XyrlocShammypants posted:

MSNBC exit poll showing 66% of GOP voters support Muslim ban

NH has more Independent voters than GOP or Dem. Most Independents are choosing GOP ballots.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:31

Josh Lyman: May 24, 2009

Optimus Subprime posted:

Plz don't gender shame the hard working women of the media. Wolf Blitzer probably will state the same thing.

Wolf is incapable of commentary or independent thought. All he does is read the prompter, repeat what the analysts say, and read the poll results verbatim.

# ? Feb 10, 2016 00:32