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BGrifter posted:Chris Christie should unsuspend his campaign just to attend the next debate and crush Rubio again. Or better yet, join the Trump campaign as his official debate hype man.
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Feb 22, 2016 18:54
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Feb 22, 2016 18:56
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Subvisual Haze posted:So where exactly does Rubio beat Trump? Trump does well in the deep south, but he does even better in the northeast and midwest (based on Michigan and Massachusetts polls we've seen) where the establishment candidates usually cash in. Where is this magical place that Rubio actually wins a primary let alone cobbles together a majority of delegates? The west coast and Florida? The ultimate thrust of everything has been that as the race consolidates, Trump will struggle to pick up extra voters. I.e. the people who are going to vote for Trump are already voting for him, and others will go to other places. Right now, there has not been a race that discourages that line of thinking. Trump's 33% in SC was almost exactly what he was polling at there in October. Undecideds broke for Rubio and Cruz. If Trump gets stronger and his numbers get better as the dust settles after Carson drops out on Wednesday, then I think this has to be rethought.
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Feb 22, 2016 18:56
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Rubio's most likely hope isn't to win a majority. His hope is for Trump to fall short of a raw majority, then the RNC convinces the not-Trumps at the convention to unite around Rubio on subsequent ballots.
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Feb 22, 2016 18:57
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THA TITTY THRILLER posted:Or better yet, join the Trump campaign as his official debate hype man. Christie with a giant clock hanging around his neck and glittery gold sunglasses standing behind Trump going "Yeahhhhhhhhhh boyyyyyyyyyyy" might be the only way this campaign could get any more awesome.
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Feb 22, 2016 18:59
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Lycus posted:Rubio's most likely hope isn't to win a majority. His hope is for Trump to fall short of a raw majority, then the RNC convinces the not-Trumps at the convention to unite around Rubio on subsequent ballots. I feel like that would be shooting themselves in the foot and Trump would run third party and assure a Hillary presidency. If Trump is really that close, they honestly need to back him.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:00
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Schnorkles posted:The ultimate thrust of everything has been that as the race consolidates, Trump will struggle to pick up extra voters. I.e. the people who are going to vote for Trump are already voting for him, and others will go to other places. Right now, there has not been a race that discourages that line of thinking. Trump's 33% in SC was almost exactly what he was polling at there in October. Undecideds broke for Rubio and Cruz.  16%? 
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Feb 22, 2016 19:01
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Harlock posted:I feel like that would be shooting themselves in the foot and Trump would run third party and assure a Hillary presidency. Maybe that's the whole point hmmmmm
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Feb 22, 2016 19:01
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Harlock posted:I feel like that would be shooting themselves in the foot and Trump would run third party and assure a Hillary presidency. If Trump is really that close, they honestly need to back him. True, but counterpoint: a Trump candidacy is likely to do more long term harm to the Republican party's efforts in Congress and state legislatures than losing the presidency might.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:04
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Harlock posted:I feel like that would be shooting themselves in the foot and Trump would run third party and assure a Hillary presidency. If Trump is really that close, they honestly need to back him. if trump is leading in the delegates/popular vote going into the convention , and if he sniffs funny business going on (i.e. plans to get Rubio as #1), trump is going to cause a gigantic shitstorm beyond anything we've seen before also just lol at republicans pushing Rubio as their nominee. he doesn't seem very good at all.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:04
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Harold Stassen posted:Trump: Let's Come on, Trump is Again, it is in his slogan.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:05
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Primaries are all about momentum, and right now Rubio's campaign is looking like Guilliani's from 2008. You can't keep losing early states and expect any interest/enthusiasm to remain with your campaign. It's not enough to be "not-Trump", your candidate has to have drive too. I think the nomination is probably already over by this point, and Trump winning a majority of states on Super Tuesday will make this conclusion pretty inescapable (to everyone who is not Harry from 538). The primaries will keep going on, and remain individually competitive, but Trump will have built up a significant enough lead in delegates that he'll be able to run the clock out, just like Obama did to Hillary in 2008.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:09
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pretty smart move for Kasich to stay in IMHO. Basically by being a stick in the mud he's causing both Rubio and Trump to potentially make moves for him to be VP. http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/431724/will-marco-rubio-offer-kasich-vice-presidential-slot Makes you wonder why others didn't stick it out (i.e. Christie, even Jeb!) even though they didn't have a ton of money.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:09
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Rocks posted:pretty smart move for Kasich to stay in IMHO. Basically by being a stick in the mud he's causing both Rubio and Trump to potentially make moves for him to be VP. Kasich is doing well enough to get delegates, especially in the northeast and the midwest. Christie and Jeb! weren't.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:10
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i want polls for super tuesday
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Feb 22, 2016 19:10
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Feb 22, 2016 19:11
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Rocks posted:i want polls for super tuesday 1. Trump
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Feb 22, 2016 19:12
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Pinterest Mom posted:Kasich is doing well enough to get delegates, especially in the northeast and the midwest. Christie and Jeb! weren't. i don't know about that. according to RCP, Kasich is 4th in MA, 4th in Michigan, and 4th in Virginia. Seems more like a spoiler for Rubio than an actual contender.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:12
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Subvisual Haze posted:So where exactly does Rubio beat Trump? Trump does well in the deep south, but he does even better in the northeast and midwest (based on Michigan and Massachusetts polls we've seen) where the establishment candidates usually cash in. Where is this magical place that Rubio actually wins a primary let alone cobbles together a majority of delegates? The west coast and Florida? The thinking is that Rubio does well in the West/South West and liberal non-Rust belt states. E: You know... Cruz or Rubio could win tomorrow. NV is a gongshow caucus, anything can happen.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:12
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This is why we segregate the threads. If we hadn't this thread would be full of  ing Bernie fans like I'm sure the other thread is.Luckily we now have a gif of Hillary Clinton sodomizing the Reddit alien, courtesy of the Taiwanese animators we can use if that spreads here. Maybe if Clinton beats Trump they can have Clinton sodomize the Stormfront eagle.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:14
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This really feels like Star Citizen.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:14
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No matter how well or badly Trump does during the primary, you are going to see and hear from him for a long time. There will be candidates over the next few cycles all trying to be Trump 2.0. Most will fail. Others won't. The whole time, Trump will be talking about how he could have made America Great Again on FOX.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:15
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Rocks posted:i don't know about that. according to RCP, Kasich is 4th in MA, 4th in Michigan, and 4th in Virginia. Seems more like a spoiler for Rubio than an actual contender. MA has a 5% delegate threshhold - the only recent poll has Kasich 3rd with 13% Virginia is proportional with no threshold. Michigan does look like he might be a spoiler. Kasich, Rubio, and Cruz are all hovering just under the 15% threshold in recent polling. The big prize is Ohio, though. That's a winner-take-all state with 66 delegates, and Kasich might be the only candidate who can beat Trump. He stays in until at least then.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:16
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Patter Song posted:Luckily we now have a gif of Hillary Clinton sodomizing the Reddit alien, courtesy of the Taiwanese animators we can use if that spreads here. What? Where?
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Feb 22, 2016 19:17
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mike12345 posted:What? Where? 
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Feb 22, 2016 19:18
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lol excellent
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Feb 22, 2016 19:20
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Pinterest Mom posted:MA has a 5% delegate threshhold - the only recent poll has Kasich 3rd with 13%
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Feb 22, 2016 19:21
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at some points both threads will have to merge again, and thats when we will see some truly legendary slapfights
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Feb 22, 2016 19:21
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Feb 22, 2016 19:23
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babypolis posted:at some points both threads will have to merge again, and thats when we will see some truly legendary slapfights Hillary/Bernie vs Trump would create flamewars of a power level SA hasn't seen since the early 00s. Any other combination would be fairly low energy.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:25
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just read this lmao
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Feb 22, 2016 19:25
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firing your hispanic maid because she voted hillary #justberniethings
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Feb 22, 2016 19:26
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god and to think there will be a year of this kind of internet pain from every side put it in my vein
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Feb 22, 2016 19:26
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Brannock posted:Hillary/Bernie vs Trump would create flamewars of a power level SA hasn't seen since the early 00s. Any other combination would be fairly low energy. I for one look forward to the descent into lf-style shitposting anarchy
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Feb 22, 2016 19:26
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Brannock posted:Hillary/Bernie vs Trump would create flamewars of a power level SA hasn't seen since the early 00s. Any other combination would be fairly low energy. its gonna be hillary vs trump which doesnt have the amazing drama levels of bernie vs trump but it will have a level of nastiness never seen before
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Feb 22, 2016 19:27
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Rocks posted:I agree with your last assessment, unless Kasich cuts some deal with Rubio to bow out and get a potential VP slot... A VP slot does not cure presidential ambition. No candidate does that unless they have to.
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Feb 22, 2016 19:27
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Rocks posted:I agree with your last assessment, unless Kasich cuts some deal with Rubio to bow out and get a potential VP slot... He already sold his soul for Nikki Haley. She said previously that she agreed that Rubio is way too inexperienced for the job. Then she hopped on the bandwagon right before SC. Makes you think......
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Feb 22, 2016 19:28
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Feb 22, 2016 19:28
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5gFnCwVqbWs
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Feb 22, 2016 19:30
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I bet Bush is at least a little happy he can wear glasses again and not have everything be so blurry it's the little things
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Feb 22, 2016 19:30
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