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Thread is surprisingly low-energy tonight considering the news and events. Sad!
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Mar 16, 2016 01:54
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Can Rubio delegates be transferred to Kasich or Cruz via an endorsement prior to the convention to vote for them on the first ballot? Or are they bound to the original candidate no matter what?
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Mar 16, 2016 01:54
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Mr. Nice! posted:I'm only seeing 6% reporting. Kasich is ahead but he hasn't won yet. well its been called, but sure we can wait all night until every vote is counted.
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Mar 16, 2016 01:55
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Yuge final gimmick post, if true.
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Mar 16, 2016 01:55
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8iwBM_YB1sE
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Mar 16, 2016 01:56
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Hey, so Cruz is finally getting the endorsement of another senator? One final stumble for Marco.
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Mar 16, 2016 01:57
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Why are they calling it with only 6% in?
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Mar 16, 2016 01:57
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Kylra posted:Why are they calling it with only 6% in? through the magic of statistics.
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Mar 16, 2016 01:57
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so uh what does kasich do now
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Mar 16, 2016 01:59
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Oh, so it's just a guess still? Maybe a good guess, but still a guess right?
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Mar 16, 2016 01:59
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nachos posted:so uh what does kasich do now Same thing as always, try and sandbag Trump so he doesn't get to 1237
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Mar 16, 2016 02:00
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Yesssss Trump's path forward just got way harder 1/3 of Republicans say they will stay home regardless of who gets the nom The last person who could feasibly beat Hillary in the General, Kasich, has no hope of winning beyond being selected at a brokered convention, which even if he did win he would be seen as a traitor and turned on. Yesssssss
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Mar 16, 2016 02:01
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I'm assuming that somehow 6% of precincts don't somehow make it mathematically a forgone conclusion that Kasich has won. And that that's what 6% reporting means.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:01
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Kylra posted:Oh, so it's just a guess still? Maybe a good guess, but still a guess right? It's an incredibly accurate guess because they have been polling people all day as they leave the voting booths and they can match up the data from that with the real results coming in to create an accurate picture of the end results.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:02
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nachos posted:so uh what does kasich do now march in front of the rnc with a ggiant empty money bag, open it and say "im all u got suckers, so fill er up"
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Mar 16, 2016 02:02
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Kylra posted:I'm assuming that somehow 6% of precincts don't somehow make it mathematically a forgone conclusion that Kasich has won. And that that's what 6% reporting means. The dark magic of statistics means that if they felt it was representative enough and matched up with polling before the vote and exit polls, they could have called it with 1%
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Mar 16, 2016 02:03
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marshmonkey posted:It's already been called for Kasich yeah google hadn't updated yet.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:04
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Ok, I just wasn't entirely clear on what "called" meant here. Thanks you two. This is my first time TVIVing primary results.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:05
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nachos posted:so uh what does kasich do now hide under a rock in the hopes that trump doesn't set his sights on him
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Mar 16, 2016 02:06
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Kylra posted:I'm assuming that somehow 6% of precincts don't somehow make it mathematically a forgone conclusion that Kasich has won. And that that's what 6% reporting means. jesus christ, have you never followed an election before e: nvm you answered my question.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:07
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Alright Kasich! Now all we have to do is conquer, assimilate, and take census of a new territory, and then win that and every other state before the convention and the nomination is yours.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:08
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Does Kasich even have any states he can realistically win after Ohio?
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Mar 16, 2016 02:11
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F2Z2CklSxM0
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Mar 16, 2016 02:11
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Contested convention talk: Can we please get Trump photoshopped to be Snake Plissken and have the missing "Escape from Cleveland" that the world deserves?? "I heard they busted you up real good in Cleveland"
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Mar 16, 2016 02:12
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What happens to Rubio's delegates do they turn into super delegates??
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Mar 16, 2016 02:12
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please post rubio supporter tears, tia
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Mar 16, 2016 02:12
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The Human Crouton posted:Alright Kasich! Now all we have to do is conquer, assimilate, and take census of a new territory, and then win that and every other state before the convention and the nomination is yours. Even with Ohio Kasich is mathematically eliminated.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:12
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Kasich really should drop out tonight. If he does I think contested convention is almost 100% likely. Cruz beats Trump by 7+% in H2H polling, and while he's likely to perform poorly in the Northeast he should be able to secure enough delegates to deny Trump the nom. And then the blood gates open.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:13
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shiksa posted:jesus christ, have you never followed an election before
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Mar 16, 2016 02:13
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Darth Windu posted:What happens to Rubio's delegates do they turn into super delegates?? depends on the state, some are still required to vote for their candidate, even if they 'suspended'
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Mar 16, 2016 02:14
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FourLeaf posted:please post rubio supporter tears, tia Rubio....supporters?
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Mar 16, 2016 02:14
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Darth Windu posted:What happens to Rubio's delegates do they turn into super delegates?? In the 2nd ballot they will be free - if there is one.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:14
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Mr. Nice! posted:Even with Ohio Kasich is mathematically eliminated. That's what is said, genius.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:14
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Kylra posted:I usually just play video games, go to sleep and then check the results the morning after everything has been counted. Because it's not like my knowing 8 hours earlier is gonna matter all that much. I'll be honest, you hosed up by breaking that trend
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Mar 16, 2016 02:15
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FourLeaf posted:please post rubio supporter tears, tia I tried but I couldn't find any. Supporters, I mean
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Mar 16, 2016 02:15
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I think if Kasich "suspends" his campaign so that he can keep his delegates and Rubio joins Cruz to form a unity ticket they might have a fighting chance at stopping Trump.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:17
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Trump will probably clean up in delegates in IL at this point...IL does delegates by CD with a pot for statewide. Trump is cleaning up in Chicago. There's only like 10 Republicans in Chicago, you say? No problem, Trump's winning entire Congressional districts on their backs.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:17
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DAD LOST MY IPOD posted:Kasich really should drop out tonight. If he does I think contested convention is almost 100% likely. Cruz beats Trump by 7+% in H2H polling, and while he's likely to perform poorly in the Northeast he should be able to secure enough delegates to deny Trump the nom. And then the blood gates open. if cruz reaches the convention second place in delegates but having beaten trump consistently since the race went 2v2 he has a pretty good case at the convention, really on the other hand if kasich drops before NY we get to see ted 'new york values' cruz try to deny trump the 50% WTA trigger in that primary
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Mar 16, 2016 02:18
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I think Kasich staying in hurts Trump more than it helps him. Trump is going to miss several WTAs because of the K-man.
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Mar 16, 2016 02:19
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Not a Step posted:I'll be honest, you hosed up by breaking that trend
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Mar 16, 2016 02:19
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