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I've still got my fingers crossed for "faithless electors", despite any state laws forbidding them. And then a riot on the convention floor. Edit: not a race riot, though. You'd need more than one race.
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May 4, 2016 00:47
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CelestialScribe posted:Donald Trump is clearly gaining ground against Clinton. Because it's May and those poll numbers aren't relevant right now. Also the electoral map is still enormously favorable to democrats this year. When he's gaining on her or ahead of her in October you can start worrying
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May 4, 2016 00:49
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CelestialScribe posted:Donald Trump is clearly gaining ground against Clinton. 
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May 4, 2016 00:52
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Friends don't let friends look at general election polls until a month after the conventions
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May 4, 2016 00:59
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CelestialScribe posted:Donald Trump is clearly gaining ground against Clinton. Because: - Everyone knows the election will be a 2-5% split - The electoral map is favorable - The contrast between the two sides is monstrous
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May 4, 2016 01:01
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CelestialScribe posted:Donald Trump is clearly gaining ground against Clinton.  Everyone look at the most recent pollster that has Trump up.
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May 4, 2016 01:03
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Speaking of whether or not May polls are useful, here's a timely and informative post: http://election.princeton.edu/2016/05/01/what-do-head-to-head-general-election-polls-tell-us-about-november/ tl;dr: Polls are useful in May, but more useful in October. (warning, math)
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May 4, 2016 01:05
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A Winner is Jew posted:
Yeah. I dislike Hillary intensely (not a US citizen so it doesn't matter, chill out), but it would take a 9/11 grade catastrophe to swing this to Trump, and even then it's a long shot. History being the crooked thing it is, though, I wouldn't write it out. It took the 2008 crash to make Obama go from a flip of the coin to a sure thing.
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May 4, 2016 01:07
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Hillary would pretty much have to get indicted to lose the nomination.
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May 4, 2016 01:12
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Dexo posted:Hillary would pretty much have to get indicted to lose the nomination. Which is a possibility, according to Rapidly Decompensating Cenk Uygur.
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May 4, 2016 01:13
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Davethulhu posted:I've still got my fingers crossed for "faithless electors", despite any state laws forbidding them. And then a riot on the convention floor. It isn't just state laws, the GOP committee rules don't allow for faithless delegates. As it stands now even if they vote for someone else if gets tallied for who they were supposed to vote for.
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May 4, 2016 01:17
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Dexo posted:Hillary would pretty much have to get indicted to lose the nomination. thats the first thing that the Don Emperor will do in office, so again why are you treating it as a sure thing?
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May 4, 2016 01:19
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I can't stop loving laughing over the fact that the GOP rank and file jerkoffs want Donald Trump as their president. Even typing it makes me giggle.
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May 4, 2016 01:19
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CelestialScribe posted:Donald Trump is clearly gaining ground against Clinton. I have said before and I'll say it again: Trump is not uniquely unelectable. All things equal, he will probably lose because the electoral math favors the democrats and he has higher unfavorables than Clinton. But a sudden terrorist attack or economic collapse could hand the election to Trump on a platter by virtue of being the Republican.
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May 4, 2016 01:30
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https://mobile.twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/727655268084002817 
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May 4, 2016 01:30
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The Trump train claims another victim 
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May 4, 2016 01:33
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lol like Donald loving Trump is going to be a serious candidate should be good for a laugh at least - me, one year ago today
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May 4, 2016 01:34
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Hooooooly poo poo
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May 4, 2016 01:34
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Ted Cruz is speaking right now and it's making me dizzy and nauseous
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May 4, 2016 01:35
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QaG2Acg8n60
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May 4, 2016 01:35
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It's Kasich time
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May 4, 2016 01:35
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Wait can I see Cruz's suffering now? Live?
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May 4, 2016 01:37
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SedanChair posted:Wait can I see Cruz's suffering now? http://www.c-span.org/video/?409019-1/ted-cruz-addresses-supporters-indianapolis
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May 4, 2016 01:37
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CRUZ ADMITTED TO TAKING ILLEGAL CONTRIBUTIONS FROM MINORS
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May 4, 2016 01:39
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"We fought for you, Ted!" "AND I FOR YOU." e: "TO MY MOM, THE PRAYER WARRIOR."
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May 4, 2016 01:39
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Is Trump actually going to win the White House? Are we actually that hosed?
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May 4, 2016 01:41
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He should have removed Fiorina from the ticket for a
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May 4, 2016 01:42
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Spiritus Nox posted:Is Trump actually going to win the White House? No but he is the king of the GOP now
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May 4, 2016 01:42
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The Republican party, in the year of our plbbppp 2016, actually is going to loving nominate Donald loving Trump.
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May 4, 2016 01:42
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 holy gently caress
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May 4, 2016 01:43
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Spiritus Nox posted:Is Trump actually going to win the White House? Might want to have those anti-arzy maps on standby for tonight
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May 4, 2016 01:43
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Haha. Hahahaha. I can't believe that they're actually going with Trump and that I got to watch Ted Cruz eat poo poo and die live. Today is just too good.
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May 4, 2016 01:45
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Welcome to the future of the GOP It's Robert Morrows all the way down
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May 4, 2016 01:45
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Can a mod change the thread title to USPOL May: Ted is a mess. Ted is a waste.
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May 4, 2016 01:47
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I don't even care about Trump, I AM SO HAPPY YOU GUYS. DIE, MONSTER! MANKIND ILL NEEDS A SAVIOR SUCH AS YOU.
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May 4, 2016 01:47
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Dammit, I really wanted a nasty GOP convention.
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May 4, 2016 01:47
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Fojar38 posted:Might want to have those anti-arzy maps on standby for tonight Like, I know the math looks awful for him right now. But didn't the math for him becoming the nomination look awful for him a matter of a month or two ago? I feel like we keep doing this song and dance, and if it's him or Hillary in the general, I worry that so many Republicans people are expecting to stay home or vote for nobodies will hold their noses and do the Don.
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May 4, 2016 01:47
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So, I take it that Cruz ending his campaign means that we 100% for sure won't see a contested convention, barring some kind of rule-changing fuckery?
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May 4, 2016 01:48
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Spiritus Nox posted:Like, I know the math looks awful for him right now. I already know several die-hard Republicans that have told me they plan to vote for Clinton in the fall, plus the Electoral College is unsympathetic to Trumpmentum
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May 4, 2016 01:49
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UV_Catastrophe posted:So, I take it that Cruz ending his campaign means that we 100% for sure won't see a contested convention, barring some kind of rule-changing fuckery? Yeah. It's too bad.
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May 4, 2016 01:49
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