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How will you be voting in the UKEU Referendum?
This poll is closed.
Remain - Keep Britane Strong! 328 15.40%
Leave - Take Are Sovreignity Back! 115 5.40%
Remain - But only because Brexit are crazy 506 23.76%
Leave - But only because the EU is terrible 157 7.37%
Spoiled Ballot - This whole thing is an awful idea 61 2.86%
I'm not going to vote 19 0.89%
I'm not allowed to vote 411 19.30%
Pissflaps 533 25.02%
Total: 2130 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
  • Locked thread
jabby
Oct 27, 2010

HJB posted:

This boils down to the roomshare argument again. The theory is that because half a dozen of them stuff themselves into a two-bedroom flat, expenses are a fraction of what they could be. Does sound like a decent counter-argument though.

The counter argument to that is that the government needs to strengthen legislation to prevent people living in terrible conditions and raise the minimum wage until it's a decent amount to live on. If they do those things and enforce them then there's no incentive to hire immigrant workers.

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Renfield
Feb 29, 2008
The Polish Plumber is down to the Tories !

When British Gas (who where a monopoly on gas work, and huge on plumbing) where privatised, one of the first things they did was to cancel the apprenticeship programme as it cost money.
(They also tried to stop spending money to add the smell to gas, but that one got shouted down by people who know what there talking about).

Fast forward 10 years, and as people leave or retire - we now have a massive skills gap in gas and plumbing !
As Poland had just joined (and I think France/Germany had immigration controls) - Lots of qualified Polish gas/plumbers come here - wages where Not depressed, it's just they have a better work ethic than the average Englander, so seam cheaper as they get more done.

I got into the gas industry (With British Gas, as it happens) under a new-deal government scheme that aimed to re-train adults and fill the skills gap.
And now, BG (and other larger companies) have restarted the apprenticeships - they pay they unbelievably lovely money (I think it's something like £4k, with travel not included) - so you can't do it unless you've got family supporting you, but at least there actually training Someone.

(BG will also train ex-services personnel - they "only" charge them £18k for the privilegeoppotunity)

MrL_JaKiri
Sep 23, 2003

A bracing glass of carrot juice!

Pochoclo posted:

Hi I'm a filthy immigrant from South America (but I am a EU citizen - double nationality) and I earn about £100k [...] And I live in a small shoebox flat because I'm trying to save as much as possible, too, so I'd say that "10 people crowded in a room" is both an exaggeration

How un-self aware do you have to be to assume that your experiences as one of the top 10% of earners in the country is representative of all immigrants?

I'm not talking about shoebox flats that cost a ludicrous amount per month, I'm talking about the kind of "property" described in

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/illegal-immigrants-living-in-beds-in-sheds-arrested-in-clampdown

or in

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/may/11/gangsters-on-our-doorstep

Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry

MrL_JaKiri posted:

How un-self aware do you have to be to assume that your experiences as one of the top 10% of earners in the country is representative of all immigrants?

I'm not talking about shoebox flats that cost a ludicrous amount per month, I'm talking about the kind of "property" described in

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/illegal-immigrants-living-in-beds-in-sheds-arrested-in-clampdown

or in

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/may/11/gangsters-on-our-doorstep

You give anecdotes, I give anecdotes. That was my point.

MrL_JaKiri
Sep 23, 2003

A bracing glass of carrot juice!

Pochoclo posted:

You give anecdotes, I give anecdotes. That was my point.

The difference is that I wasn't claiming that "small flats" don't exist

Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry

MrL_JaKiri posted:

The difference is that I wasn't claiming that "small flats" don't exist

I wasn't claiming that immigrants living under bridges don't exist either. But to actually validate them as a widespread systematic problem you will need to give hard statistics, not just news articles of isolated occurrences.

MrL_JaKiri
Sep 23, 2003

A bracing glass of carrot juice!
Also you're going to have to talk me through "I earn a lot of money, I am an immigrant, therefore immigration increases the lowest levels of income" because there's absolutely no connection between the two thoughts; no-one is claiming that immigrants only take low paying jobs; to use an example from history, "the British are immigrants to Sri Lanka and are all wealthy, therefore the Tamils being shipped in can't be a problem for the local working population"

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

JFairfax posted:

but then you'll miss a full season under Rafa

its a sacrifice i'm willing to make

Microplastics
Jul 6, 2007

:discourse:
It's what's for dinner.

ReagaNOMNOMicks posted:

Is there any way the referedum can be declared null? Something like low turnout, etc? Asking for a friend.

Run enough stories about ballot box stuffing and sinister low-res shaky camcorder footage of people shuffled around in vans to vote at different polling stations and bags of postal votes from dead people, maybe it'll get discredited

I thought your friend was an expert at this? Or has the CIA lost its touch

Rolled Cabbage
Sep 3, 2006
Another reason to remain: medication shortages

The shortage has been going on for a while (apparently) but it was brought to my attention after my partner tried seven pharmacies across greater london. None of which had the very routine, very essential medication that we both need.

I have no doubt that if Brexit occurs and we are under the thumb of the leave dream team that the UK will face problems like Venezuela, where even contraception is for the rich.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

JeremoudCorbynejad posted:

Run enough stories about ballot box stuffing and sinister low-res shaky camcorder footage of people shuffled around in vans to vote at different polling stations and bags of postal votes from dead people, maybe it'll get discredited

I thought your friend was an expert at this? Or has the CIA lost its touch
See that sounds like a realistic goon project. The fake material, not running it.

Benjamin Arthur
Nov 7, 2012

Rolled Cabbage posted:



I have no doubt that if Brexit occurs and we are under the thumb of the leave dream team that the UK will face problems like Venezuela, where even contraception is for the rich.

lol

Microplastics
Jul 6, 2007

:discourse:
It's what's for dinner.
I think you'll find that the shortage is caused by immigrants and that only Brexit can save us from this nightmare.

In fact I've run the numbers, and yep, three days after Brexit we'll all be awash with cheap and plentiful medication, a 5-foot deep sea of pills covering this green and pleasant land to every corner

Benjamin Arthur
Nov 7, 2012
No we're definitely going to be stabbing each other over £15 toilet paper in ASDA

MrL_JaKiri
Sep 23, 2003

A bracing glass of carrot juice!

Pochoclo posted:

I wasn't claiming that immigrants living under bridges don't exist either. But to actually validate them as a widespread systematic problem you will need to give hard statistics, not just news articles of isolated occurrences.

https://www2.redbridge.gov.uk/cms/c...a69d&version=-1

quote:

The outbuildings which families can now be found occupying
in our borough may be paralleled to the type of Victorian era back to back dwellings
constructed as a result of mass urbanisation, and which were ultimately subject to
wholesale demolition during the mass slum clearances of major cities in the 1930’s
and post war periods. If left unaddressed, without adequate resource input, some
wards within the London Borough of Redbridge may emerge as hotspots at risk of
significant social deprivation.

quote:

Information gathered by the Metropolitan Police suggests that, Borough-wide, there
may be 1,000 to 2,000 bed in shed structures providing unregulated accommodation

That's just Redbridge, and just one kind of slum housing. Assuming that the average occupancy of the Beds in Sheds they investigated was representative, that could mean that greater than 1% of the population of the borough is living in this kind of slum housing.

That's a pretty big problem. Maybe you don't think so because it's not as bad as in Buenos Aires, but this ain't a race to the bottom.

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

Rolled Cabbage posted:

Another reason to remain: medication shortages

The shortage has been going on for a while (apparently) but it was brought to my attention after my partner tried seven pharmacies across greater london. None of which had the very routine, very essential medication that we both need.

I have no doubt that if Brexit occurs and we are under the thumb of the leave dream team that the UK will face problems like Venezuela, where even contraception is for the rich.

lol

Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry

MrL_JaKiri posted:

https://www2.redbridge.gov.uk/cms/c...a69d&version=-1



That's just Redbridge, and just one kind of slum housing. Assuming that the average occupancy of the Beds in Sheds they investigated was representative, that could mean that greater than 1% of the population of the borough is living in this kind of slum housing.

That's a pretty big problem. Maybe you don't think so because it's not as bad as in Buenos Aires, but this ain't a race to the bottom.

Well, 1% strikes me as very much statistically insignificant, even disregarding my argentinian sensibilities. If it wasn't immigrants it'd probably be people from Cornwall or some other poorer county anyway, it's not a zero-sum game, the immigrants make the economy grow too.

In any case, the solution is not "stop all immigration now", it's "ensure these people get a decent minimum wage".

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

Benjamin Arthur posted:

No we're definitely going to be stabbing each other over £15 toilet paper in ASDA

I'm stocking up.

Cerv
Sep 14, 2004

This is a silly post with little news value.

OwlFancier posted:

Unless the polish people are living in poland while working the jobs then they have the same expenses as anyone else living in the UK.


not true if e.g. they're in the UK temporarily for a few years to earn some then go back to Poland, not supporting any family here, etc

MrL_JaKiri
Sep 23, 2003

A bracing glass of carrot juice!

Pochoclo posted:

Well, 1% strikes me as very much statistically insignificant, even disregarding my argentinian sensibilities.

That's not what statistical significance means; it's not "the effect is big", it's "the effect is real and not just down to chance". A difference of one part in a million billion can be statistically significant (for example the anomalous magnetic moment of the electron has a statistically significant value at about the "one part in a million billion" order of magnitude).

Pochoclo posted:

If it wasn't immigrants it'd probably be people from Cornwall or some other poorer county

I don't think that this is something you can assume a priori.

Pochoclo posted:

anyway, it's not a zero-sum game, the immigrants make the economy grow too.

In any case, the solution is not "stop all immigration now", it's "ensure these people get a decent minimum wage".

Really???????

Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry

MrL_JaKiri posted:

That's not what statistical significance means; it's not "the effect is big", it's "the effect is real and not just down to chance". A difference of one part in a million billion can be statistically significant (for example the anomalous magnetic moment of the electron has a statistically significant value at about the "one part in a million billion" order of magnitude).


I don't think that this is something you can assume a priori.


Really???????

Fair enough, you are actually right on all points, you have bested me in this internet argument. Not being facetious btw.

Benjamin Arthur
Nov 7, 2012

Pissflaps posted:

I'm stocking up.

Parmo for dinner then

MrL_JaKiri
Sep 23, 2003

A bracing glass of carrot juice!

Pochoclo posted:

Fair enough, you are actually right on all points, you have bested me in this internet argument. Not being facetious btw.

I think this is a classic example of "disagreement on statement of point distracting from fundamental agreement"; we've both stated in different ways that the problem is a lot more fundamental than "immigrants taking the jobs", after all.

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

MrL_JaKiri posted:

"Overseas, non-Anglophone, workers are exploited horribly" is not a racist position OwlFancier

Is is a racist argument when your response to it is to blame the overseas, non anglophone workers.

Because it implies that being exploited is a deficiency of the workers, rather than a deficiency of the society they are working in.

MrL_JaKiri
Sep 23, 2003

A bracing glass of carrot juice!

OwlFancier posted:

Is is a racist argument when your response to it is to blame the overseas, non anglophone workers.

Absolutely, while looking around for statistics on this I found an Express article which did just that. It was fairly horrifying to read.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

MrL_JaKiri posted:

How un-self aware do you have to be to assume that your experiences as one of the top 10% of earners in the country is representative of all immigrants?
Actually £100k puts you in the top 2%:

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/percentile-points-from-1-to-99-for-total-income-before-and-after-tax

Zephro fucked around with this message at 22:00 on Jun 13, 2016

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

Taear posted:

It's a victory for straight up lies.

For the first time ever. :laugh:

Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry

All the x-percentile-by-income statistics are very misleading because they don't account for obscene accumulation of capital. Someone with several dozen million pounds in the bank making a passive yearly income of 100k without lifting a finger is in an entire different ballgame than someone like me.
I'm still in a relatively privileged position but lol if you think I'm the top 2% of actual wealth.

dispatch_async
Nov 28, 2014

Imagine having the time to have played through 20 generations of one family in The Sims 2. Imagine making the original two members of that family Neil Buchanan and Cat Deeley. Imagine complaining to Maxis there was no technological progression. You've successfully imagined my life
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/742460485279358976
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/742461683138973696

Kurtofan
Feb 16, 2011

hon hon hon
Wouldn't be the first time Brits destroyed Europe

namesake
Jun 19, 2006

"When I was a girl, around 12 or 13, I had a fantasy that I'd grow up to marry Captain Scarlet, but he'd be busy fighting the Mysterons so I'd cuckold him with the sexiest people I could think of - Nigel Mansell, Pat Sharp and Mr. Blobby."

Kurtofan posted:

Wouldn't be the first time Brits destroyed Europe

Even as a radical leftist I think that's a bit of a tall claim, we've only assisted in its destruction at pivotal moments in history.

Coohoolin
Aug 5, 2012

Oor Coohoolie.

Zephro posted:

I think Tusk has a point, actually. The Front National would love a Brexit (Marine le Pen has said so), as would the True Finns and the Peoples Party and many of the other quasi-fascist right wingers currently doing pretty well in Europe.

You could argue that French domestic politics isn't a problem for British voters to solve, but the domino scenario doesn't seem totally far-fetched to me.

Would you care to expand your opinions on this at all? I recently had an argument with someone claiming the rise of far right parties in Europe was a reason to leave, I'd love to have a succinct rebuttal to that.

Thanks Ants
May 21, 2004

#essereFerrari


Pochoclo posted:

All the x-percentile-by-income statistics are very misleading because they don't account for obscene accumulation of capital. Someone with several dozen million pounds in the bank making a passive yearly income of 100k without lifting a finger is in an entire different ballgame than someone like me.
I'm still in a relatively privileged position but lol if you think I'm the top 2% of actual wealth.

Once you're at the point where you don't need to really keep an eye on income and spending then it doesn't really matter how much more your income grows, having a pissing contest about percentiles is a waste of time.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal
That's not fair, what about that couple in the South who had to consider selling their second home to send another of their kids to private school?

:commissar:

sebzilla
Mar 17, 2009

Kid's blasting everything in sight with that new-fangled musket.


Guavanaut posted:

That's not fair, what about that couple in the South who had to consider selling their second home to send another of their kids to private school?

:commissar:

I remember that, it sounded awful. They could only afford two foreign holidays per year as well.

namesake
Jun 19, 2006

"When I was a girl, around 12 or 13, I had a fantasy that I'd grow up to marry Captain Scarlet, but he'd be busy fighting the Mysterons so I'd cuckold him with the sexiest people I could think of - Nigel Mansell, Pat Sharp and Mr. Blobby."

HENRY offense, punishment by: guillotine.

Leggsy
Apr 30, 2008

We'll take our chances...
Tomorrow's Sun



I do believe we might be hosed

tooterfish
Jul 13, 2013

namesake posted:

HENRY offense, punishment by: guillotine.
Sounds foreign.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal
"Our country has glorious history" :allears:

Be interested to see what Brexit legislation a majority remain cabinet passes.

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jabby
Oct 27, 2010

Looks like our only hope is the Tories loving things so horribly that Corbyn gets in and turns us into a glorious socialist utopia without the interference of the EU.

  • Locked thread