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How will you be voting in the UKEU Referendum?
This poll is closed.
Remain - Keep Britane Strong! 328 15.40%
Leave - Take Are Sovreignity Back! 115 5.40%
Remain - But only because Brexit are crazy 506 23.76%
Leave - But only because the EU is terrible 157 7.37%
Spoiled Ballot - This whole thing is an awful idea 61 2.86%
I'm not going to vote 19 0.89%
I'm not allowed to vote 411 19.30%
Pissflaps 533 25.02%
Total: 2130 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
  • Locked thread
Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

Pochoclo posted:

All the x-percentile-by-income statistics are very misleading because they don't account for obscene accumulation of capital. Someone with several dozen million pounds in the bank making a passive yearly income of 100k without lifting a finger is in an entire different ballgame than someone like me.
I'm still in a relatively privileged position but lol if you think I'm the top 2% of actual wealth.
I didn't say you were in the top 2% of wealth, because you didn't post anything about your wealth. I said you were in the top 2% of income, which you are!

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Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry

Zephro posted:

I didn't say you were in the top 2% of wealth, I said you were in the top 2% of income. Which you are.

I didn't say you said wealth, I was just clarifying that it's misleading because it is. Can we go back to making fun of tories destroying the country now?


Renaissance Robot posted:

If other remain voters are anything like me they just don't see being vocal about it. I'm not really enthusiastic for Remain, I'm just against Leave, but any workplace argument on that would just be me going "every reason you're citing for Leave is literally untrue" while they say "nuh-uh!".

It's exhausting and won't change anyone's mind so why bother getting involved? I'll show up and vote on the day then go home and get blitzed.

I just hope that's the case with most Remain voters, and that's the reason the media is making so much noise about Leave. Sort of a squeaky wheel effect. I hope at the end of the day the large mass of people who are not furiously defending ARE SOVERENITY on the internet just wake up, go "haha nope not destroying the economy today" and vote and Remain wins with 70% and we can have another year of idiots crying about a rigged vote from their comfortable, non-Mad-Max UK.

Otherwise I call dibs on "Westfield Fortress"

Pochoclo fucked around with this message at 07:34 on Jun 14, 2016

goddamnedtwisto
Dec 31, 2004

If you ask me about the mole people in the London Underground, I WILL be forced to kill you
Fun Shoe

Milotic posted:

Short of unexpected events, I still think we'll see a swing back to remain on the day.

And once again I say the weather will be the deciding factor. If the weather next Thursday is like it was yesterday it'll end up Leave. The Brexiteers care more, and more of them will go out in pissing rain to take back ARE CUNTRY than people putting a cross next to "Eh, it ain't perfect but pfft".

I think this is why Leave have been shooting themselves in the foot with poo poo like that "Vote Leave or ISIS will come and shoot you all" because that's the sort of thing that mobilises your passive opposition far more than it does your passive support.

GEORGE W BUSHI
Jul 1, 2012

Remain isn't the kind of thing that excites people into passionate outbursts like Leave does.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

Milotic posted:

Short of unexpected events, I still think we'll see a swing back to remain on the day.

As for people saying they're not seeing any signs of the Remain, perhaps it's a regional / affluence thing. I've seen "I'm in" t shirt wearers in Bromley on a Saturday a month or so ago. And they're just outside Charing Cross most days in the morning. I'm not sure how effective that is. Most people just want to get to work at that time. They're definitely around. I've only see GO once.
Yeah in Leafy Surrey pretty much everyone I've talked to is in favour of Remain. But it's hard to talk to someone on less than £30k or so around here. The bin-men, care workers and manual workers in general have all been socially cleansed by Are Stronk Housing Market so it's impossible to get any sort of representative view.

Zsa Zsa Gabor
Feb 22, 2006

I don't do drugs, if I want a rush I just get out of the chair when I'm not expecting it
I've seen a lot of Remain posters around Cambridge and even a couple of EU flags.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...
Also on the question of immigration, jobs and the Remain position, a lot of is involves talking about the general benefits of migration. This is a good summary:

http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/immigration-demons-and-academic-evidence/

The trouble is it doesn't directly address people who worry that their jobs are at risk. It basically amounts to saying "immigration imposes few costs at a national scale and generates plenty of benefits like lower prices and better services that tend to be diffused through the population". Which is almost certainly true but doesn't directly address the fact that some people are worried about very specific, non-diffuse drawbacks, like losing their jobs.

The counter-argument probably should be along the lines of "if that does happen, we have a well-funded and effective welfare state to cushion the blow and offer retaining and other opportunities". But we can't have that because BOOTSTRAPS and SCROUNGERS so no-one makes the argument.

Angepain
Jul 13, 2012

what keeps happening to my clothes
The Sun here bravely taking a stand if and only if the polls are in its favour:

https://twitter.com/GrayInGlasgow/status/742508539755761665

OvineYeast
Jul 16, 2007

Freiheit ist immer Freiheit der Andersdenkenden

Zephro posted:

Also on the question of immigration, jobs and the Remain position, a lot of is involves talking about the general benefits of migration. This is a good summary:

http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/immigration-demons-and-academic-evidence/

The trouble is it doesn't directly address people who worry that their jobs are at risk. It basically amounts to saying "immigration imposes few costs at a national scale and generates plenty of benefits like lower prices and better services that tend to be diffused through the population". Which is almost certainly true but doesn't directly address the fact that some people are worried about very specific, non-diffuse drawbacks, like losing their jobs.

The people most concerned about immigration are pensioners tho.

I think it's basically wrongheaded to think that current chat about immigration is particularly related to its material effects...

Renaissance Robot
Oct 10, 2010

Bite my furry metal ass

goddamnedtwisto posted:

And once again I say the weather will be the deciding factor. If the weather next Thursday is like it was yesterday it'll end up Leave. The Brexiteers care more, and more of them will go out in pissing rain to take back ARE CUNTRY than people putting a cross next to "Eh, it ain't perfect but pfft".

BBC are calling that it's going to rain itself out this week and be moderately warm and dry next week.

Their long term forecasts aren't always great though, so we'll see. I'm optimistic.

Jose
Jul 24, 2007

Adrian Chiles is a broadcaster and writer

Renaissance Robot posted:

BBC are calling that it's going to rain itself out this week and be moderately warm and dry next week.

Their long term forecasts aren't always great though, so we'll see. I'm optimistic.

Is this before or after they were forced by the government to stop getting their weather info from the met office?

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

Pochoclo posted:

Remain wins with 70%
This but 51%
Get the Commons to really tear at each other.

Taear
Nov 26, 2004

Ask me about the shitty opinions I have about Paradox games!

Renaissance Robot posted:

If other remain voters are anything like me they just don't see being vocal about it. I'm not really enthusiastic for Remain, I'm just against Leave, but any workplace argument on that would just be me going "every reason you're citing for Leave is literally untrue" while they say "nuh-uh!".

It's exhausting and won't change anyone's mind so why bother getting involved? I'll show up and vote on the day then go home and get blitzed.

Yep. The young working class all seem in favour of leave for sure.

Renaissance Robot
Oct 10, 2010

Bite my furry metal ass

Jose posted:

Is this before or after they were forced by the government to stop getting their weather info from the met office?

gently caress I forgot about that. In any case met are calling the same, showers on the east coast but dry nearly everywhere else.

Angepain
Jul 13, 2012

what keeps happening to my clothes
In news that will surely decide the referendum, hipster mainstay Pitchfork have come out with an article fairly strongly arguing that Brexit will harm the UK music industry, presumably because Remain is now the less popular option and thus has more indie cred. Do people even read pitchfork anymore outside of whatever the three most quickly gentrifying neighbourhoods in america are i don't know

Saint Isaias Boner
Jan 17, 2007

hi how are you


Guavanaut posted:

This but 51%
Get the Commons to really tear at each other.

A razor-thin win for remain would be the best possible outcome. The Tories would rip themselves to pieces.

goddamnedtwisto
Dec 31, 2004

If you ask me about the mole people in the London Underground, I WILL be forced to kill you
Fun Shoe

Angepain posted:

The Sun here bravely taking a stand if and only if the polls are in its favour:

https://twitter.com/GrayInGlasgow/status/742508539755761665

I'm interested the Sun have so overtly gone for Leave. Murdoch papers - especially the red-tops - have always been quite careful to hedge their bets then go all-out when they're certain they know who the winner is, because it helps them cement their reputation as election-winners. I know they've been a non-stop torrent of pro-Leave propaganda since the start but they've generally been hiding behinf the fig-leaf of "No see we're just reporting news", to have an editorial piece so pro-Leave is a big gamble for them.

Oh god a 51% Remain will not only destroy the Tories it'll gently caress up the Sun too. This could be the gift that keeps giving.

MrL_JaKiri
Sep 23, 2003

A bracing glass of carrot juice!

Taear posted:

Yep. The young working class all seem in favour of leave for sure.

Plenty of Remain stuff around in Durham/Newcastle. Quite a bit of Leave stuff around in the latter, not so much in the former (all of it from Tory students as far as I can tell)

Cerv
Sep 14, 2004

This is a silly post with little news value.

Angepain posted:

In news that will surely decide the referendum, hipster mainstay Pitchfork have come out with an article fairly strongly arguing that Brexit will harm the UK music industry, presumably because Remain is now the less popular option and thus has more indie cred. Do people even read pitchfork anymore outside of whatever the three most quickly gentrifying neighbourhoods in america are i don't know


quote:

The vote is on the Friday morning of iconic music festival Glastonbury,

quote:

If Britain leaves the EU, we could find ourselves outside of the Schengen Agreement,
With quality journalism like this I don't understand why no one reads Pitchfork anymore

Cerv fucked around with this message at 09:37 on Jun 14, 2016

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames
You wouldn't know there was a referendum going on around Teesside.

Private Speech
Mar 30, 2011

I HAVE EVEN MORE WORTHLESS BEANIE BABIES IN MY COLLECTION THAN I HAVE WORTHLESS POSTS IN THE BEANIE BABY THREAD YET I STILL HAVE THE TEMERITY TO CRITICIZE OTHERS' COLLECTIONS

IF YOU SEE ME TALKING ABOUT BEANIE BABIES, PLEASE TELL ME TO

EAT. SHIT.


MrL_JaKiri posted:

Plenty of Remain stuff around in Durham/Newcastle. Quite a bit of Leave stuff around in the latter, not so much in the former (all of it from Tory students as far as I can tell)

Oxford is full of Remain as well. I think I've already had something like 16 leaflets from them? Haven't seen any Leave but I'm sure they're around somewhere.

Jippa
Feb 13, 2009
A bit of may and maybe june tricks you into thinking we actually have a summer in this country. Now we are all reminded.

HJB
Feb 16, 2011

:swoon: I can't get enough of are Dan :swoon:
The Sun are preaching to the choir. All they've done is ensure Liverpool fans will vote Remain.

Angepain
Jul 13, 2012

what keeps happening to my clothes

Cerv posted:

With quality journalism like this I don't understand why no one reads Pitchfork anymore

Funeral was a pretty good album though, and furthermore, uh

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

Angepain posted:

In news that will surely decide the referendum, hipster mainstay Pitchfork have come out with an article fairly strongly arguing that Brexit will harm the UK music industry, presumably because Remain is now the less popular option and thus has more indie cred. Do people even read pitchfork anymore outside of whatever the three most quickly gentrifying neighbourhoods in america are i don't know
Also who cares about a downturn in the UK music industry in the grand scheme of things, if this is seriously the argument that will finally clinch a Remain vote for anyone then they shouldn't be allowed to vote at all.

Saint Isaias Boner
Jan 17, 2007

hi how are you


Some of the betting agencies are offering 5/4 on brexit, and it's still shortening...jesus christ

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result

Jippa
Feb 13, 2009
I thought the football thing might sway a few people that are on the fence or leaning towards leaving but you don't really hear about it (this article is from last year).


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/sep/11/brexit-europe-eu-decimate-premier-league-footballers-data

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...
We should stay in the EU because of Britain's mighty and economically-vital golf industry (which is about the same size as the music industry)

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

Jippa posted:

I thought the football thing might sway a few people that are on the fence or leaning towards leaving but you don't really hear about it (this article is from last year).


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/sep/11/brexit-europe-eu-decimate-premier-league-footballers-data
These arguments seem to me a bit like the Tories' patronisingly crappy "beer and bingo" campaign ads from the last election. Basically a bunch of rich creatives sitting around a desk and thinking "hmm, what do the lumpenproletariat like? Fighting, cheap beer, porn, football - that's it! Football! The proles love football! Let's campaign on that!"

People are not stupid enough to vote Leave/Remain on the basis of whether Sheffield Wednesday might need to find a new striker.

Spangly A
May 14, 2009

God help you if ever you're caught on these shores

A man's ambition must indeed be small
To write his name upon a shithouse wall

Zephro posted:

People are not stupid enough to vote Leave/Remain on the basis of whether Sheffield Wednesday might need to find a new striker.

I'd disagree and say people are too stupid to consider even the most mundane realities of what they're voting for and instead are going entirely on gut feeling and prejudice

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

Spangly A posted:

I'd disagree and say people are too stupid to consider even the most mundane realities of what they're voting for and instead are going entirely on gut feeling and prejudice
Right but the gut feelings and prejudice are at least about slightly bigger things like "immigration" and "lovely jobs".

Jippa
Feb 13, 2009

Zephro posted:



People are not stupid enough to vote Leave/Remain on the basis of whether Sheffield Wednesday might need to find a new striker.


Lots of people just don't give a poo poo either way.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...
New John Harris film, on Brexit voters in Stoke-on-Trent:

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/video/2016/jun/14/labour-supporters-brexit-stoke-on-trent-eu-referendum-video

edit: no-one mentions football or Adele

edit2: though someone (who used to vote Labour and now votes UKIP) does mention that "Europe is about a borderless mass of cheap labour for transatlantic corporations"

Zephro fucked around with this message at 10:18 on Jun 14, 2016

feedmegin
Jul 30, 2008

Private Speech posted:

Oxford is full of Remain as well. I think I've already had something like 16 leaflets from them? Haven't seen any Leave but I'm sure they're around somewhere.

Remain dudes canvassing at the train station too. :sun: I suspect anywhere super studenty is going to have more visible Remain people.

Pesmerga
Aug 1, 2005

So nice to eat you

Zephro posted:

New John Harris film, on Brexit voters in Stoke-on-Trent:

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/video/2016/jun/14/labour-supporters-brexit-stoke-on-trent-eu-referendum-video

edit: no-one mentions football or Adele

edit2: though someone (who used to vote Labour and now votes UKIP) does mention that "Europe is about a borderless mass of cheap labour for transatlantic corporations"

And everyone screams about the immigrants. Even the immigrants. People are so small.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal
~~Magical Brexit Tracker~~


That's like a razor's edge there. Odds of Brexit up to 33% from 25%.

XMNN
Apr 26, 2008
I am incredibly stupid
yeah i went to peace in the park in sheffield which is a hippy free music festival and there were loads of people handing out stuff for in, not seen much else (apart from myself going round shoving leaflets through letter boxes obv)

Undead Hippo
Jun 2, 2013

Zephro posted:

Also who cares about a downturn in the UK music industry in the grand scheme of things,

The people who work in the UK music industry? From a quick google, that's apparently around 120 thousand people directly employed.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

Undead Hippo posted:

The people who work in the UK music industry? From a quick google, that's apparently around 120 thousand people directly employed.
Yeah, it's about the size of the golf industry. Maybe hipster golfing mags have written passionate pleas to Remain as well, idk.

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MikeCrotch
Nov 5, 2011

I AM UNJUSTIFIABLY PROUD OF MY SPAGHETTI BOLOGNESE RECIPE

YES, IT IS AN INCREDIBLY SIMPLE DISH

NO, IT IS NOT NORMAL TO USE A PEPPERAMI INSTEAD OF MINCED MEAT

YES, THERE IS TOO MUCH SALT IN MY RECIPE

NO, I WON'T STOP SHARING IT

more like BOLLOCKnese
Fortunately for me Cattle Decapitation are playing in Derby on the evening of the vote

Nothing like going to a depressing Midlands industrial town and listening to a death metal band rant about the impending death of humanity to take the edge off a Brexit vote

  • Locked thread