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broken clock opsec posted:he could always pick fiorina Maybe she could go for a hat trick of campaigns tanked in one cycle
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Jun 28, 2016 15:16
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broken clock opsec posted:at this rate trump will bring up clinton's birth certificate by the end of june even i never guessed that he'd pivot to asking for warren's blood samples
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Jun 28, 2016 15:17
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Also after what he said about "it'd just be pandering," it'd just be pandering.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:17
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RASHIBA WALLACE posted:So by my count of all the aggregate poll models, if the election were held today, Hilldawg would win 343-195, with the exact same electoral map as 2012 except Nevada flipping to Democrat. Obviously 2016 is the year of unprecedented lol nothing matters, but the summer and fall could end up being much ado about nothing, just like 2012. Welp that's all I've got see ya Obama won NV in 2012. Clinton currently has slight leads in the aggregate for all the competitive states that went to Obama, plus maybe kinda NC. So 347 EVs.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:19
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/BenjySarlin/status/747790325255651328 Lol yea that's totally what they call you
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Jun 28, 2016 15:19
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https://twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/747780196653215744
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Jun 28, 2016 15:20
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After the Brexit poll debacle I'm not going to pay attention to a single poll from here until November. I paid such close attention to those polls for the 3 days prior and it was all bullshit on referendum day. It's all rigged when the big dogs stand to lose a few chips
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Jun 28, 2016 15:26
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/BenjySarlin/status/747790325255651328 The only Republicans I know who are politically active enough to know what's going on are universally so loving pissed right now lol Our network guy at work saw the writing on the wall wrt Trump getting elected back in February and he's been grumbling about president-elect hillary ever since
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Jun 28, 2016 15:27
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euphronius posted:I can't believe anyone has ever intended to be a tourist in Oklahoma. How is that possible. Wichita Wildlife Refuge is pretty cool. But, federal area and I wouldn't go to OK just for that. A lot of Oklahoma is actually rather pretty. Mostly the areas without Oklahomans. Drunkboxer posted:I've driven thru there a bunch and seen some surprisingly pretty areas I wouldn't mind camping in/around. You see a lot of red dirt and cow ponds too of course. This. If you're already in the area there are some very pretty parts of Oklahoma and Brick Town is alright. Not worth making a trip to Oklahoma for, though.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:27
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Tautologicus posted:After the Brexit poll debacle I'm not going to pay attention to a single poll from here until November. I paid such close attention to those polls for the 3 days prior and it was all bullshit on referendum day. It's all rigged when the big dogs stand to lose a few chips that's a good idea, it's better to have your false worldview ripped away from you at once then have your hope slowly leeched away over the coming months
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Jun 28, 2016 15:29
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Tautologicus posted:After the Brexit poll debacle I'm not going to pay attention to a single poll from here until November. I paid such close attention to those polls for the 3 days prior and it was all bullshit on referendum day. It's all rigged when the big dogs stand to lose a few chips Just add a favorable +5 liberal media bias filter to every candidate you like, that way when Trump loses you'll know that he really only lost by 9 points rather than 14
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Jun 28, 2016 15:29
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Trump's speech today will be delivered from our grimdark future.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:30
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Joementum posted:Trump's speech today will be delivered from our grimdark future. I guess that would be assassin really shook him, that camouflage is perfect
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Jun 28, 2016 15:31
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Tautologicus posted:After the Brexit poll debacle I'm not going to pay attention to a single poll from here until November. I paid such close attention to those polls for the 3 days prior and it was all bullshit on referendum day. It's all rigged when the big dogs stand to lose a few chips I'd echo what everyone else said and also point out that for whatever reason British polls have lately seemed to undercount Conservative (ideology, not party) voters by about 2-5 points. They did it with the Brexit vote and the most recent general election vote.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:32
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Trash candidate to speak at trash factory
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Jun 28, 2016 15:32
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The problem with picking someone in politics is the high likelihood that associating yourself with the Trump campaign is career ending. My guess is Trump picks someone from business with little political experience that has been hanging around the conservative grifting circuit that thinks something like this would only serve to raise their profile and sell more books/speeches. I say the VP goes to a Cain/Fiorina type but neither of them.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:32
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The final polling averages for Brexit had it about tied, with 10% undecided. Leave won by 3.8 points. That really isn't too big of a miss.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:33
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Most of the brexit aggregated polls I saw had remain and leave in the mid 40s with about 10% undecided, so they were actually pretty decent The betting markets hosed up royally though efb
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Jun 28, 2016 15:34
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Slate Action posted:The final polling averages for Brexit had it about tied, with 10% undecided. Leave won by 3.8 points. That really isn't too big of a miss. Also keep in mind that saying what you really think is an anathema to Englishness
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Jun 28, 2016 15:35
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NYT has an article today about why exit polls are often skewed but it's Bernie-oriented
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Jun 28, 2016 15:35
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Joementum posted:Trump's speech today will be delivered from our grimdark future. Turnburry suffered some serious brexit damage.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:36
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Three Olives posted:The problem with picking someone in politics is the high likelihood that associating yourself with the Trump campaign is career ending. My guess is Trump picks someone from business with little political experience that has been hanging around the conservative grifting circuit that thinks something like this would only serve to raise their profile and sell more books/speeches. Trump said from the start that he was going to pick a DC establishment type to help him get things done, and the establishment would have likely demanded one of their own on the ticket so they retain some measure of control over the messaging. I'd bet on Bob Corker.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:37
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neonnoodle posted:Trash candidate to speak at trash factory Jesus, this. "Yeah, this mountain of refuse will make a good backdrop for my campaign." https://twitter.com/BuzzFeedAndrew/status/747801849751867393 Dogstoyevsky fucked around with this message at 15:41 on Jun 28, 2016 |
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Jun 28, 2016 15:38
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http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/how-does-it-feel-to-be-losing-so-badlyquote:At some point in the not distant future, some reporter - probably a not altogether pleasant one - will ask Trump: "How does it feel to be losing so badly? Just on a personal level? Does it hurt? Do regret getting into this?" It won't be pretty because Trump's ego is fragile. From there I suspect you'll see it cropping up in campaign attacks from every direction.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:39
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zoux posted:NYT has an article today about why exit polls are often skewed but it's Bernie-oriented I've been told that to even think the name B_ S_ is to admit mi Abuelita's foundational weaknesses so I won't bother
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Jun 28, 2016 15:39
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TyrantWD posted:Trump said from the start that he was going to pick a DC establishment type to help him get things done, and the establishment would have likely demanded one of their own on the ticket so they retain some measure of control over the messaging. I'd bet on Bob Corker. Watch it be loving Chuck Grassley. Him and Trump share delusions of grandeur and an attitude that their ignorance in an area is just as good as someone's expertise. Plus he's old.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:40
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Tautologicus posted:After the Brexit poll debacle I'm not going to pay attention to a single poll from here until November. I paid such close attention to those polls for the 3 days prior and it was all bullshit on referendum day. It's all rigged when the big dogs stand to lose a few chips haha you're such a crazy weirdo
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Jun 28, 2016 15:40
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Joementum posted:Trump's speech today will be delivered from our grimdark future. what's trump doing in my fallout 4 settlement
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Jun 28, 2016 15:40
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Donald Trump: the trash candidate
Slate Action fucked around with this message at 15:43 on Jun 28, 2016 |
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Jun 28, 2016 15:40
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Watching the Republicans' press conference about their Bengazi report. Kind of a bummer to wake up to Vilerat's bones being used as a puppet again.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:40
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lol Gowdy is giving a speech right now scrabbling to shift the goalposts as much as possible to try to make this nothingburger he spent the last four years cooking more palatable
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Jun 28, 2016 15:40
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https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/747802367589027840 https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/747802778307788800
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Jun 28, 2016 15:42
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I've had this running through my head for a while, yeah Trump is a man who's spent his entire life clawing out of one fuckup and into another while still getting by on branding and braggadocio, but all of that's just a cover for the fact that the man's a loser. He's a born loser. He loses constantly, which is what losers do. They lose things. He's still rich, which means normal standards of failure don't apply to him, but eventually someone's going take the tack mentioned in that article and I hope it causes a major chain reaction spanning his whole rococo rat's nest of a career.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:43
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This morning WaPo published the piece on Trump's charity donations that they've been tweeting about for the past week. https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...becb_story.html
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Jun 28, 2016 15:44
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Mirthless posted:lol Gowdy is giving a speech right now scrabbling to shift the goalposts as much as possible to try to make this nothingburger he spent the last four years cooking more palatable You can tell he was a typical scumbag prosecutor. Almost definitely knows that he overcharged and doesn't have the case anymore but is confident in his position of power and ability to spin that he can't let one go. A good prosecutor loses a case and goes back to the office to have a mouthful of whiskey and shrug it off. A scumbag like Gowdy will go to the press and make sure he ruins the defendant's reputation if he can't manage to get the conviction.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:44
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Do you believe that people should look at this and think Hillary Clinton is culpable? "What conclusions they draw is up to them"
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Jun 28, 2016 15:46
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Slate Action posted:The final polling averages for Brexit had it about tied, with 10% undecided. Leave won by 3.8 points. That really isn't too big of a miss. But the final polls, the ones in the last 3 days, were nearly all for remain. I was watching them come in on my ticker tape. If you're going to do an average, weigh it towards most recent polls by a lot. Averages obfuscate more than they illuminate most of the time.
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Jun 28, 2016 15:47
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Agronox posted:Chillwave is generally summer-themed, focused on good hooks and uses a lot of synths. The lyrics are almost intentionally trite. Chillwave has nothing important to say and is okay with that... but that's probably why it only really lasted for 2-3 years. what's synthwave...other than awesome
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Jun 28, 2016 15:48
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Oxxidation posted:I've had this running through my head for a while, yeah How many skyscrapers do you own?
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Jun 28, 2016 15:49
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not attacking you but god drat it john marshall's blog posts are so badly written. editor needs an editor.
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