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DutchDupe posted:How did a race that looked like a clear pick up opportunity turn into such a disaster? Because that is what FL Dems do and have done since Chiles died.
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Jul 26, 2016 20:59
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Missouri politics, everyone: http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/...f73a560403.htmlThe Post-Dispatch posted:Silicon Valley investor Michael Goguen has donated $1 million to one of Brunner's opponents, Eric Greitens. Goguen subsequently made national news when a female acquaintance filed a lawsuit against him alleging years of sexual abuse. Goguen has denied the allegation, and has filed a counter-suit against her alleging extortion. In this race, we have: a former Lt. Gov who spent state funds at the Sauget Ballet because he fell in love with a stripper, a candidate who's running on a "Law, Order and Fix Mizzou" platform who kicked it off by getting in some poo poo with MU because she used the Tigers logo and symbols without their permission, a total enigma backed by said venture-capitalist, Vincent Kennedy McMahon, and a shadowy group called "SEALs for Truth", and Brunner, who once supported George Wallace out of "youthful rebellion". And all this with the backdrop of the once-leading candidate driven to suicide because of an anti-Semitic whisper campaign started by the man who went on to manage Lyin' Ted's campaign. (The only interesting thing about the Democratic nominee is that back in the early 2000s, he wanted to announce that he was ditching the GOP and going over to the Dems in front of his--and my--high school alma mater. It got nixed, officially due to "his stance on abortion" but more likely because the Society of Jesus wanted to remain politically neutral.)
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Jul 26, 2016 21:41
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I don't think the FL race is unwinnable for Murphy, though it's definitely Lean R. If Grayson is the nominee, Rubio walks. Rubio doesn't even have to campaign in that case (which suits lazy Marco just fine).
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Jul 26, 2016 22:04
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thethreeman posted:I'm actually a bit surprised how negative SA is about Grayson after reading this. Sure, he runs a personal hedge fund, but it sounds like he's a total anti-establishment/anti-machine/anti-"anointment" politician who's been dunking on Wall St like a populist for years: Greyson being progressive (when it suits him) doesn't come close to outweighing what a massive pile of human poo poo he is as a person. Progressive or not, he's someone whose career really needs to be destroyed. DutchDupe posted:How did a race that looked like a clear pick up opportunity turn into such a disaster? Florida
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Jul 26, 2016 22:04
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Patter Song posted:I don't think the FL race is unwinnable for Murphy, though it's definitely Lean R. Yeah, the Murphy obituaries are being written super early here. Especially when Rubio barely won in 2010 and just spent the last few months being dunked on by Trump. Also Hillary has a pretty good chance of winning Florida, and people splitting their ballot Clinton/Rubio are not going to be a numerous cohort.
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Jul 27, 2016 00:33
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thethreeman posted:ya literally the same day that great NYMag article comes out, this happens: https://twitter.com/apalmerdc/status/757986770562711552 It has been discussed in this thread, at length, by myself and several other people. There's a reason (well, there's a whole load of reasons) that nobody likes him here anymore.
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Jul 27, 2016 01:09
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it looks like the guy who didn't encourage people to shoot cops beat the guy who did encourage people to shoot cops in the republican congressional primary today in georgia's third congressional district. with 31% reporting, ferguson leads crane 54.5-45.5. i guess crane is barely winning the counties he was expected to be winning easily: https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/758088615012409344 https://twitter.com/SouthernPol/status/758089003354566656 it's not like it's a massive defeat though
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Jul 27, 2016 01:27
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thethreeman posted:So as a total outsider to FL politics, I found this article about the Senate race phenomenal: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/07/alan-grayson-florida-senate-race.html Basically, don't make the common mistake of confusing someone's politics with their personal character.
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Jul 27, 2016 03:00
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not quite sure if this is the correct thread, but why does everyone in Baltimore hate Stephanie Rawlings-Blake so much? The one thing I remember about her is calling the Freddie Gray rioters thugs.
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Jul 27, 2016 05:02
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2018, but man, Texas politics is really dumb.
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Jul 28, 2016 03:44
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thethreeman posted:ya literally the same day that great NYMag article comes out, this happens: https://twitter.com/apalmerdc/status/757986770562711552 Holy poo poo. A literal "How much do you beat your wife, Senator?" question. That's not a question that should have a ready answer.
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Jul 28, 2016 14:08
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Lycus posted:2018, but man, Texas politics is really dumb. hahaha this owns. It is great when politicians don't even hide their outgroup priming. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KIyewCdXMzk
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Jul 28, 2016 16:51
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Watching the DNC now - Katie McGinty is NOT a good public speaker... Her speech is more populist than I would've imagined. Worked a good Toomey "made all his money on wall street" dis in Duckworth next! e: Duckworth is a good speaker, but she didn't say as much about her opponent or her policies in general as McGinty did... Probably a good decision for the situation Also, lol: https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/758787385702449154 thethreeman has issued a correction as of 23:32 on Jul 28, 2016 |
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Jul 28, 2016 23:10
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from just now:https://twitter.com/ShaneGoldmacher/status/758802087215894531 and from earlier today:https://twitter.com/dallasnews/status/758785367843667968 get pumped for 2018
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Jul 29, 2016 00:20
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You are buying the propaganda. Cruz is going to crush whoever goes up against him in the 2018 general and his "freaking out" is a fundraising email, all candidates send them out, often over the minorest thing.
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Jul 29, 2016 00:33
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Cliff Racer posted:You are buying the propaganda. yeah I read the article I linked, I know what he was talking about, but good clarification for ppl who don't click I find the political process here - a recognizable person like Castro making himself known, stating his intentions 2 years in advance, and potentially drumming up both local dem feet on the street and national establishment/superPAC support - important and interesting, and relevant to the downballot thread, even if the 2018 Senate race is a dream
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Jul 29, 2016 00:49
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But would he do better or worse than Wendy Davis? I think he would do significantly better and, if he ran, would probably bring even more voters into the party. He probably won't run though because he's got a pretty safe (D+6) seat and why would he give it up to get blown out?
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Jul 29, 2016 00:51
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Paper With Lines posted:But would he do better or worse than Wendy Davis? What kind of shoes does he wear?
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Jul 29, 2016 02:07
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Lycus posted:What kind of shoes does he wear? Well, if real American men wear cowboy boots and American women wear pink tennies, then what do `the mexicans' wear? Would Cruz try to imply that Castro is somehow less American than him? Seems dangerous.
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Jul 29, 2016 02:17
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Does Cruz regularly wear cowboy boots? I can't even imagine that. I guess I could see him transforming from sad clown painting to rodeo clown.
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Jul 29, 2016 02:23
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Chokes McGee posted:Holy poo poo. A literal "How much do you beat your wife, Senator?" question. Well, if the people putting on the event you are attending published an article about how much you beat your wife, the day before the event, maybe you should have a ready answer. Also, maybe if you invest in gold mines that use slave labor you should hope for a nice, low key, story about spousal abuse. Paper With Lines posted:But would he do better or worse than Wendy Davis? If a Castro runs, it's probably going to be the Castro losing his job come January. Though I'd love to see a Senate run by simply Castro, where the twins and 252 look alikes run a county level campaign while all claiming to simply be Castro.
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Jul 29, 2016 02:42
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Paper With Lines posted:But would he do better or worse than Wendy Davis? It would be hard to do worse. Though saying that he might actually pull it off. Not due to candidate quality or anything but due to senate races being about national issues versus governor being about local governance. Plenty of states, including Texas, which have split their tickets for governor in the past wouldn't think about doing it for senator in the present day.
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Jul 29, 2016 02:47
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Cliff Racer posted:It would be hard to do worse. It would be about national issues in 2018, though. The only chance he would have is if Donald Trump wins this year. Badger of Basra has issued a correction as of 16:15 on Jul 29, 2016 |
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Jul 29, 2016 13:53
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Oh you're right, 18 would be governor. But then why even mention Cruz?
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Jul 29, 2016 14:24
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Cliff Racer posted:Oh you're right, 18 would be governor. But then why even mention Cruz? Cruz was elected in 2012 so he would be up for reelection in 2018.
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Jul 29, 2016 16:15
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it's a shame Grayson couldn't have just stayed in the house and kept on being an obnoxious rear end in a top hat to journalists and the GOP. I like the man's work but he's an incredible scumbag and he'll never beat Rubio like that Murphy is like the clueless spiritual successor to DWS which should go over well with all the fops in the tip of the dick that is south Florida but all the polls on RCP recently have him losing 7-9 points in a hypothetical Rubio matchup. honestly gently caress the Florida dems
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Jul 29, 2016 16:37
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Some good news for Rob Portman: Local BLM Chapter endorses Portman over Strickland for Senate race
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Jul 29, 2016 17:30
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Franco Potente posted:Some good news for Rob Portman: Local BLM Chapter endorses Portman over Strickland for Senate race bizarre.
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Jul 29, 2016 17:35
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He also picked up the endorsement of the Teamsters. Strickland hasn't helped himself either with the fortune cookie gaffe.
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Jul 29, 2016 17:42
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Franco Potente posted:Some good news for Rob Portman: Local BLM Chapter endorses Portman over Strickland for Senate race This stinks like astrotruff. gret posted:He also picked up the endorsement of the Teamsters. Strickland hasn't helped himself either with the fortune cookie gaffe. That is loving disgraceful.
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Jul 29, 2016 17:47
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From the MO poll that had Hillary only down 1 (so pretty fav to Dems): http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/...41059fddaf.html Blunt +4, within MoE:   The article makes note that a GOP SuperPAC is putting some serious money into this race
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Jul 29, 2016 20:12
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Thats actually probably pretty bad news for Democrats. People aren't going to vote someone with positive favorability ratings out. Of course I don't even think that race will be a thing so ehhhh.
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Jul 30, 2016 03:19
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Fullhouse posted:it's a shame Grayson couldn't have just stayed in the house and kept on being an obnoxious rear end in a top hat to journalists and the GOP. I like the man's work but he's an incredible scumbag and he'll never beat Rubio like that Marco Rubio is a widely known person in Florida and nobody knows who the gently caress Murphy even is. I mean it takes me a second or two to remember his name when thinking about the Democratic field, and I am a veritable political encyclopedia resting upon the fount of knowledge compared to the average Florida voter. I still feel like the Senate seat is going to go the same way as the state as a whole. Rubio is way too Rubio for voters to split their ticket and Trump voters ain't voting for no Demoncrat.
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Jul 30, 2016 04:14
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Gyges posted:Rubio is way too Rubio for voters to split their ticket Owns. Gyges posted:Trump voters ain't voting for no Demoncrat. In Minnesota, where I live, it seems like I could see folks in the 8th Congressional district vote for the Dem incumbent and D Trizzle. Rick Nolan has made himself out to be this bastion of fair trade in a region where all the steel miners are hosed. Combined with the fact that H Dawg has a mixed trade policy and is a woman, it seems like a perfect storm. Anyway, that is all to say that it will be very interesting to see the rate of split ballots.
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Jul 30, 2016 05:32
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The real Michigan primary is on Tuesday. Here's the SoS elections portal if you need to double check your polling location or want to see a sample ballot. https://webapps.sos.state.mi.us/MVIC/
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Jul 30, 2016 15:54
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Cliff Racer posted:Thats actually probably pretty bad news for Democrats. People aren't going to vote someone with positive favorability ratings out. Of course I don't even think that race will be a thing so ehhhh. agreed, iirc the last poll out of MO (PPP I think) had Hillary down by 9 or 10, and Blunt up by 3. Now this poll, with Hillary up by 1, and Blunt up by 4. No downticket lift from Hillary improving, whether you believe independents have actually switched to her or it's just a sampling thing (and two polls is an insignificant sample size, but the lack of lift is a terrible omen for several states if true). And still nobody has any idea who he is - republicans are going to get to define him given their larger ad budgets in the state
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Jul 30, 2016 18:35
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thethreeman posted:From the MO poll that had Hillary only down 1 (so pretty fav to Dems): kander is a stretch seat but it's a real possibility. the spending says it all - the gop wouldn't be dumping money into missouri if their internals didn't tell them it was seriously threatened
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Jul 30, 2016 20:32
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The gubernatorial race is going on at the same time and it looks like Democrats have an okay candidate for that (and the GOP has some okay ones and not so okay ones fighting it out in a primary) so the money could be in regards to that.
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Jul 30, 2016 20:40
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Cliff Racer posted:The gubernatorial race is going on at the same time and it looks like Democrats have an okay candidate for that (and the GOP has some okay ones and not so okay ones fighting it out in a primary) so the money could be in regards to that. As for that GOP gubernatorial primary: we're only a few days out from the election and polls have it as a four-way tie, and all the other GOP primaries are essentially dead heats. Plus one of the candidates just got a very hands-on endorsement (I got a robocall from him earlier this morning). Missouri's also an open-primary state, so it'll be interesting to see how tactical voting will affect the race. And if you get a chance, look up some of the ads we're seeing (either on Youtube,or better yet if you have MLB.TV, select the Cardinals home feed of their game vs the Marlins tomorrow)--they're good and terrible. Troy Queef has issued a correction as of 22:53 on Jul 30, 2016 |
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Jul 30, 2016 22:50
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| # ? May 28, 2024 22:03 |
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Michigan's primary election is today. We are electing US House Reps to run in November, state reps and local county & township governments. We have 5 people running for county sheriff, and yours truly is on the ballot for county precinct delegate. https://webapps.sos.state.mi.us/MVIC/ If you're from Michigan, you can use this to look at your local ballot before voting. e: The Michigan Democratic Party launched a fundraiser today: donate $27 and we will send Donald Trump a copy of the US Constitution with your name on it. Link goes to act blue. https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/mdptrumpconstitution HUGE PUBES A PLUS has issued a correction as of 14:08 on Aug 2, 2016 |
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Aug 2, 2016 13:27
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