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Pennsyltucky anecdote: my Puerto Rican friend and another friend of ours were going camping in a state park a couple miles from Penn state and they were chased out of the woods by redneck bullets
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Aug 9, 2016 20:05
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Boosted_C5 posted:Nothing crazy about it, we have audio of Hillary Clinton in private railing against the NRA, railing against Heller & McDonald, and railing against Bush for letting the dumb "ASSAULT WEAPON" ban lapse and promising to come hard after 2A. A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear AR lowers and 30 round mags, shall not be infringed.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:05
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Boosted_C5 posted:These loving psychos are going to war against the second (and also first) amendments if they get the power to do so. Yea, okay. Your candidate is the only one talking about "opening up" libel laws, but Hillary's going to war against the first amendment. 
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Aug 9, 2016 20:05
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Did he just call for the assassination of HRC
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Aug 9, 2016 20:05
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I've thrown in with VICEX to take advantage of gun stocks :3 I've also thrown in with te Social Index funds to make up for my evil.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:05
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zoux posted:Hang on buddy, I'm a random moron on the internet and how dare you me too tbh
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Aug 9, 2016 20:05
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Decius posted:538 has it with only 0.7 R lean. i think that's the history of the pollster, not this race/cycle?
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Aug 9, 2016 20:06
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Does anyone have that Bayesian tree website that shows pathways to victory?
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Aug 9, 2016 20:06
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UHHHHHHHHHHHH WHAT THE gently caress WAS THAT ABOUT 2ND AMENDMENT PPL AND JUDGES
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Aug 9, 2016 20:06
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Scalia was apparently supposed to live for 10 more years, hahahaha. Hey, pro-tip, don't be fat and old.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:06
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I found the ultimate unskewer thanks to Breitbart https://www.longroom.com/polls/ 
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Aug 9, 2016 20:06
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zoux posted:Did he just call for the assassination of HRC Wait, what? sector_corrector posted:Does anyone have that Bayesian tree website that shows pathways to victory? http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html bottom of the page
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Aug 9, 2016 20:06
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"hillary wants to abolish, essentially abolish the second amendment. by the way and if she gets to pick her judges nothing you can do folks. although the second amendment people maybe there is i dont know"
mannerup fucked around with this message at 20:13 on Aug 9, 2016 |
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Aug 9, 2016 20:06
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sector_corrector posted:Does anyone have that Bayesian tree website that shows pathways to victory? http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html scrolle down
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Aug 9, 2016 20:07
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Boosted_C5 posted:Nothing crazy about it, we have audio of Hillary Clinton in private railing against the NRA, railing against Heller & McDonald, and railing against Bush for letting the dumb "ASSAULT WEAPON" ban lapse and promising to come hard after 2A. 1. How many goddamn elections in a row do you have to buy the gun dealer-sponsored idea that the evil Democrats are coming to steal your guns. 2. Wear the goddamn hat and toxx yourself. 3. Guns are for ~*pussies*~
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Aug 9, 2016 20:07
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iospace posted:Wait, what? mannerup posted:"Clinton wants to abolish the 2nd amendment.If she gets her judges, there will be nothing you can do, folks. except maybe the second amendment people"
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Aug 9, 2016 20:07
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Also if Clinton wins PA by 10, I can't imagine Toomey holding on. A few points of ticket splitting is likely, but at that much of a margin its just hard to assume he can hold on.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:07
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Josef K. Sourdust posted:Pro-click. It is so depressing that analysis shows that Trump's tweets expressing positive emotions are almost 100% certain to be staffers. The negative, angry, sarcastic, critical emotions are mostly personally by Trump. Take a look at the link. Really revealing. Oh, the poor baby is upset by the tone.  Get him out of here!
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Aug 9, 2016 20:08
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Schnorkles posted:Also if Clinton wins PA by 10, I can't imagine Toomey holding on. A few points of ticket splitting is likely, but at that much of a margin its just hard to assume he can hold on. Pretty much. It's why I see them sending some resources over to MO to try to get the state blue, if not the senate seat anyway.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:09
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Trump sounds tired, making a lot of weak number-based arguments.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:09
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Boosted_C5 posted:Nothing crazy about it, we have audio of Hillary Clinton in private railing against the NRA, railing against Heller & McDonald, and railing against Bush for letting the dumb "ASSAULT WEAPON" ban lapse and promising to come hard after 2A. I'm pretty sure that the 30 round mags are going to be the best investment. I bought 20 of the things and I'm planning on buying another 30 before the election. Nationwide panic buying by tactidads & Trump voters will drive them way, way up by this time next year. And the great thing is, the demographic that's most likely to panic buy is also the most likely to be surprised by a Hillary victory.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:09
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Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:I found the ultimate unskewer thanks to Breitbart someone explain the unskewing thing how do the determine the bias of a poll are they just figuring out a percentage they think the polls are off by and then skewing them the other way? idgi
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Aug 9, 2016 20:10
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Is he doing his characteristic rambling as well or it just teleprompter like yesterday?
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Aug 9, 2016 20:10
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Boosted_C5 posted:Nothing crazy about it, we have audio of Hillary Clinton in private railing against the NRA, railing against Heller & McDonald, and railing against Bush for letting the dumb "ASSAULT WEAPON" ban lapse and promising to come hard after 2A. I have never understood the "they're coming to take our guns! I will buy guns!" mindset. If "they" were coming to take your guns, "they" would be quite successful. See the Bundy/Tarpman idiots for what happens when you try armed insurrection against the government. Fortunately for you, Boosted, they are not coming to take your guns. They should probably come and take your hat, though, and give it to someone who'd wear it. There's probably some poor kid out there wearing Buffalo Bills Super Bowl Champion shirts whose head needs cover from the beating sun.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:10
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a dog from hell posted:Oh, the poor baby is upset by the tone. hi NML are you regretting your year long probation that badly?
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Aug 9, 2016 20:10
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Despera posted:Neither is CO Yeah I haven't included CO as a swing state as ages. I'm including them as solid blue in my 269 evaluation.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:11
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Shadowhand00 posted:Is he doing his characteristic rambling as well or it just teleprompter like yesterday? He's not on prompter, he's reading from notes he has on the podium. But he's rambling from topic to topic like only Trump or Palin can.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:11
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a dog from hell posted:Oh, the poor baby is upset by the tone. I worry about his health. It is bad for the heart to be angry all the time. I just wanna give him a hug to cheer Trumpie up! 
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Aug 9, 2016 20:13
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iospace posted:Map with said situation: http://www.270towin.com/maps/zwlEK The current house would elect the president, so that would be a guaranteed win for... well probably Paul Ryan honestly.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:13
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mannerup posted:"clinton wants to abolish the 2nd amendment. if she gets her judges, there will be nothing you can do, folks. Though the second amendment folks, maybe there is" Does his own Secret Service detail get to do the "veiled threats against a Secret Service Protectee" speech, or do they have to call in a special team for that one?
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Aug 9, 2016 20:13
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Eonwe posted:someone explain the unskewing thing It's almost always predicated on the assumption that there should be an equal number of Republicans as there are Democrats sampled in the poll, even though the demographic reality is that more Americans identify as D than as R. So if the makeup of a poll say is 54% Ds and 46% Rs, they'll usually straight up subtract 4 points from Clinton and add 4 points to Trump. (This doesn't even get into the fact that polls don't even weigh by party affiliation!)
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Aug 9, 2016 20:13
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Eonwe posted:someone explain the unskewing thing decide how much trump is going to win by, a poll is skewed by the difference between that and what the poll says
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Aug 9, 2016 20:14
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Eonwe posted:someone explain the unskewing thing
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Aug 9, 2016 20:15
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RASHIBA WALLACE posted:It's almost always predicated on the assumption that there should be an equal number of Republicans as there are Democrats sampled in the poll, even though the demographic reality is that more Americans identify as D than as R. So if the makeup of a poll say is 54% Ds and 46% Rs, they'll usually straight up subtract 4 points from Clinton and add 4 points to Trump. lmao WHAT
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Aug 9, 2016 20:15
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Vague calls for his opponent to be assassinated if she wins, mmm you can just taste the pivoting
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Aug 9, 2016 20:15
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Karl Sharks posted:hi NML are you regretting your year long probation that badly? That's his roommate, who posts exactly like nml has his same opinions, and didn't post in here until a couple weeks ago. Totally different guy
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Aug 9, 2016 20:15
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 https://twitter.com/CandaceSmith_/status/763089093957787649
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Aug 9, 2016 20:15
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Edit: ^^^^Ummmmmmmmmmm what Boosted_C5 posted:Nothing crazy about it, we have audio of Hillary Clinton in private railing against the NRA, railing against Heller & McDonald, and railing against Bush for letting the dumb "ASSAULT WEAPON" ban lapse and promising to come hard after 2A. People have been saying this about Obama for drat near eight years now, and yet the same people have bought more guns during his administration than in any past decade. Do you sit around thinking, "Any day now, Obama's going to take all my guns. Any. Day. Now..." *Goes to sleep upright in closet, holding a gun, like in Munich* If the mass killing of literal children didn't do it, then nothing is going to get gun control legislation passed on a federal level. I lost all hope for it when nothing happened after Newtown. loving cowards.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:15
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Boosted_C5 posted:Nothing crazy about it, we have audio of Hillary Clinton in private railing against the NRA, railing against Heller & McDonald, and railing against Bush for letting the dumb "ASSAULT WEAPON" ban lapse and promising to come hard after 2A. Serious question: what are the odds Trump will actually pick a competent conservative justice and stick with him? I actually agree with you about gun control but even if I could get past the loopy foreign/economic policies, the virulent racism and hatred, the clear unsuitability for office, I still don't trust him to actually get poo poo done.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:15
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Jeet Heer caught it too https://twitter.com/HeerJeet/status/763090949698301952 Mostly I'm surprised my twitter didn't immediately blow the gently caress up seconds after he said it.
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Aug 9, 2016 20:16
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