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Karl Sharks
Feb 20, 2008

The Immortal Science of Sharksism-Fininism

oystertoadfish posted:

the la times tracking poll has plateaued at trump +6 the last 3 days!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!! ! !!

the idea of tracking polls is to indicate changes in polling, right? do the different tracking polls tend to line up in terms of their first derivative i.e. when polling bumps and drops happened and how big they were?

or is the idea of tracking polls just to take advantage of the wide margin of error associated with running a couple-hundred-person poll on a subset of their few-thousand respondents to create fake ups and downs that you could replicate by typing =RAND() into excel and holding down F9? maybe that's the idea of tracking polls

ding ding ding

and some non-tracking polls too (lookin' at you, rasmussen)

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Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008




gettin robopolled rn

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/777260548991819776

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008




by which i mean im visiting my mom and answered the unknown caller poo poo she wanted to dodge and seeing out of state results

Venom Snake
Feb 19, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

Dapper_Swindler posted:

so basicaly its a bunch of dickhead lifer officers who have never seen combat who jerk off to the fact that they are big tough millitary men.

Not really. Combat vets aren't "better" either. They just hate the idea of gay people and women serving in the military. Transpeople also scare the poo poo out of them for ~reasons~. Probably one of the dumbest things Iv ever heard in my life was when I was at that military forum and the enlisted Representative was bragging about how "door kickers" know how to REALLY fight ISIS and the generals don't know anything.

prefect
Sep 11, 2001

No one, Woodhouse.
No one.




Dead Man’s Band

Squizzle posted:

by which i mean im visiting my mom and answered the unknown caller poo poo she wanted to dodge and seeing out of state results

Make sure to answer "trump doctor sex cake".

Oiled and Ready
Oct 11, 2004

He wished it could be as respectable and orthodox as spying. But somehow in his hands the traditional tools and attitudes were always employed toward mean ends: cloak for a laundry sack, dagger to peel potatoes, dossiers to fill up dead Sunday afternoons ...

Hillary should have to pay that pepe. He's first on every one.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Squizzle posted:

gettin robopolled rn

is that a sex thing

breaklaw
May 12, 2008
Looks like CNN is ready to admit they don't give a gently caress anymore

https://twitter.com/pmeilhan/status/777228395876913152

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008




lol its by notorious push poll shamsters csi research, but i said i liked clinton hated border walls/trump and i felt education was more important than wall abortion police guns terrorism

their robot must have decided i wasn't persuadable and ended the poll

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008




prefect posted:

Make sure to answer "trump doctor sex cake".

robo poll, so it wouldn't have been registwred

Louisgod
Sep 25, 2003

Always Watching
Bread Liar

breaklaw posted:

Looks like CNN is ready to admit they don't give a gently caress anymore

https://twitter.com/pmeilhan/status/777228395876913152

Has the media finally had enough Trump?

CNN: no

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008




with that said, im all in with epic mra president bernie porn now and will he dedicating my thread in joke time mostly to that for a while

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008




ed balls

Al!
Apr 2, 2010

:coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot:

oystertoadfish posted:

the la times tracking poll has plateaued at trump +6 the last 3 days!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!! ! !!

the idea of tracking polls is to indicate changes in polling, right? do the different tracking polls tend to line up in terms of their first derivative i.e. when polling bumps and drops happened and how big they were?

or is the idea of tracking polls just to take advantage of the wide margin of error associated with running a couple-hundred-person poll on a subset of their few-thousand respondents to create fake ups and downs that you could replicate by typing =RAND() into excel and holding down F9? maybe that's the idea of tracking polls

here is a recent la times tracking poll graph



here's a random graph i made

prefect
Sep 11, 2001

No one, Woodhouse.
No one.




Dead Man’s Band

Squizzle posted:

robo poll, so it wouldn't have been registwred

I bet that's the secret open sesame phrase that puts you in control of the whole phone system.

oystertoadfish
Jun 17, 2003

Al! posted:

here is a recent la times tracking poll graph



here's a random graph i made



nice

but pie chart pls

also the cloudserve 404 or w/e page came up 3 times when i tried to make this post :deadgayforum:

Louisgod
Sep 25, 2003

Always Watching
Bread Liar

Squizzle posted:

robo poll, so it wouldn't have been registwred

Will dialing "TRUMP CLICK" on the dialpad register?

Pontius Pilate
Jul 25, 2006

Crucify, Whale, Crucify
What'd I miss that kasich is now a hobo?

Whiskey Sours
Jan 25, 2014

Weather proof.

Al! posted:

speaking of walker, i heard he was pulled over late last friday by state police riding a mule on a disused country road. he seemed alert and sober (as alert and sober as he ever is) so they thanked the governor for his time and sent him on his way, disappearing into the leafy brush of the wisconsin late summer, and the dark

Scott Walker is too dumb to ride a mule.

GobiasIndustries
Dec 14, 2007

Lipstick Apathy
I still don't understand why anyone in the armed forces would support this rear end in a top hat, but yet here we are. Good ad, nothing matters, etc.
https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/776932768081031168

MadJackal
Apr 30, 2004


Hey look, it's an article written exactly in the way Trump should have been covered a year ago.

Al!
Apr 2, 2010

:coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot:

oystertoadfish posted:

nice

but pie chart pls

also the cloudserve 404 or w/e page came up 3 times when i tried to make this post :deadgayforum:

my heart tells me that the la times tracker is a tracker of what percentage of respondents manage to complete their polling task that day instead of too busy cooking dinner etc.

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008




Sonic the Hoxhaist posted:

Squizzle did you miss yesterday

yesterday was trolling not arresting :colbert:

Al!
Apr 2, 2010

:coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot:
actually if you could establish that satisfactorily you could recycle the data to tell you some information about the frequency which ideological leaners in different demographics are able to complete a dull, repetitive task.

oystertoadfish
Jun 17, 2003

i got my Election Brochure in the mail today. hopefully the ballot will come along soon

it seems like theres a proposition to stop letting groceries keep the money they make selling bags now that plastic bags are hard to get and a competing one keeping the money in the groceries' pockets. i dont know what the fucks going on. and there are a lot of other weird propositions. i get to vote on whether porn stars should have to wear condoms

should be fun to figure out

he is it Radly Leftist to oppose hiking cigarette taxes because it's regressive and represents an imposition on addicted lower-income people? theres other poo poo going on with that one too i guess i dont really know yet

Karl Sharks
Feb 20, 2008

The Immortal Science of Sharksism-Fininism

GobiasIndustries posted:

I still don't understand why anyone in the armed forces would support this rear end in a top hat, but yet here we are. Good ad, nothing matters, etc.
https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/776932768081031168

:drat:

Venom Snake
Feb 19, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

Dalaram
Jun 6, 2002

Marshall/Kirtaner 8/24 nevar forget! (omg pedo)

Al! posted:

my heart tells me that the la times tracker is a tracker of what percentage of respondents manage to complete their polling task that day instead of too busy cooking dinner etc.

The LA times poll is a opportunist realizing that all trump polling sucks, and if they hosed up the math, they could get trump ahead, which he would tweet, and they would get more clicks, which means more dollars.

It's a safe space for idiots

anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool

:wow:

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

Al! posted:

here is a recent la times tracking poll graph



here's a random graph i made



You should tweet your parody graph to trump and see if he brags about his great polling results.

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008




oystertoadfish posted:

i got my Election Brochure in the mail today. hopefully the ballot will come along soon

it seems like theres a proposition to stop letting groceries keep the money they make selling bags now that plastic bags are hard to get and a competing one keeping the money in the groceries' pockets. i dont know what the fucks going on.

if both those measures pass then champions are nominated, one for each proposal, and they have to fight to the death naked to determine which one supersedes the other

fart blood
Sep 13, 2008

by VideoGames
Nate Silver says we should panic:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-democrats-should-panic-if-the-polls-still-look-like-this-in-a-week/

eonwe
Aug 11, 2008



Lipstick Apathy

GobiasIndustries posted:

I still don't understand why anyone in the armed forces would support this rear end in a top hat, but yet here we are. Good ad, nothing matters, etc.
https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/776932768081031168

holy poo poo

SHY NUDIST GRRL
Feb 15, 2011

Communism will help more white people than anyone else. Any equal measures unfairly provide less to minority populations just because there's less of them. Democracy is truly the tyranny of the mob.

Squizzle posted:

yesterday was trolling not arresting :colbert:

CNN was defcon 1 all day. I don't think the reporting could get most hostile.

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008




little known fact of election law i thought id lay down some knowledge on, joementumly

Swedgin
Aug 22, 2006

by exmarx

GobiasIndustries posted:

I still don't understand why anyone in the armed forces would support this rear end in a top hat, but yet here we are. Good ad, nothing matters, etc.
https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/776932768081031168

this actually made me tear up

goddamn

etalian
Mar 20, 2006


I hope Clare bullies him this week.

Venom Snake
Feb 19, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

I didn't know nate worked for the DCCC

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Okonner
Dec 11, 2008

by exmarx
I just remembered something from a couple weeks ago. Friend of mine in Greensboro, NC got a push-poll. It was testing the waters on the "give Trump the bob dole treatment" angle :getin:

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