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Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Hail mfuckin Satan frands

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Polo-Rican
Jul 4, 2004

emptyquote my posts or die

Times new roman?? This country is doomed

https://fonts.google.com/

Karl Barks
Jan 21, 1981

frump clump bump mump lump dump pump rump fump gump

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008




TRUMPS TASKS TONIGHT
  • use pendants to defeat temple guards
  • assemble the statue in the shrine of the silver monkey
  • retrieve the amulet of hatshepsut within three minutes

Baloogan
Dec 5, 2004
Fun Shoe
every hillary anti-trump ad im cheering because its like trump's greatest hits

canpakes
Jul 26, 2016

by Nyc_Tattoo
Tonight tonight the stage is just right

Schnorkles
Apr 30, 2015

It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.

Squizzle posted:

TRUMPS TASKS TONIGHT
  • use pendants to defeat temple guards
  • assemble the statue in the shrine of the silver monkey
  • retrieve the amulet of hatshepsut within three minutes

lmao

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

Ouhei posted:

Yeah, I'm really struggling to figure out why it's like this at all. The polling right after the dem convention was realistically as good as any election is going to get and while I didn't expect it to hold, I wouldn't have thought it'd slide this far. I look at Trump and I'm just baffled how anyone that actually considers their options actually picks him.

Literally spite. Spite for liberals, spite for minorities, spite for immigrants.

Mia Wasikowska
Oct 7, 2006

Squizzle posted:

TRUMPS TASKS TONIGHT
  • use pendants to defeat temple guards
  • assemble the statue in the shrine of the silver monkey
  • retrieve the amulet of hatshepsut within three minutes

that monkey is loving rigged

SHY NUDIST GRRL
Feb 15, 2011

Communism will help more white people than anyone else. Any equal measures unfairly provide less to minority populations just because there's less of them. Democracy is truly the tyranny of the mob.

Squizzle posted:

TRUMPS TASKS TONIGHT
  • use pendants to defeat temple guards
  • assemble the statue in the shrine of the silver monkey
  • retrieve the amulet of hatshepsut within three minutes

I always rooted for the silver snakes but they always sucked

Schnorkles
Apr 30, 2015

It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.

WampaLord posted:

Literally spite. Spite for liberals, spite for minorities, spite for immigrants.

While I think comparisons to Brexit are overblown, I think the whole "People are feeling like they've been abandoned and they just want to kick dirt in the face of perceived political elites" is something that applies here.

C-Euro
Mar 20, 2010

:science:
Soiled Meat
Do you think two beers will be enough for a 90 minute debate or should I get more?

I have tequila (and brandy for some reason) but nothing to really mix it with.

Mia Wasikowska
Oct 7, 2006

i'm detached enough from the reality based community to be free from care. come at me debate! my irony levels are too high for you.

fart blood
Sep 13, 2008

by VideoGames

WampaLord posted:

Literally spite. Spite for liberals, spite for minorities, spite for immigrants.

You're forgetting that Democrats are notoriously worse at making a concise focused message than Republicans are.

brocretin
Nov 15, 2012

yo yo yo i loves virgins

WampaLord posted:

Literally spite. Spite for liberals, spite for minorities, spite for immigrants.

unfettered capitalism has left them with nothing to lose so they're taking it all down

fascism is a response to global free trade

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib

Ouhei posted:

Yeah that doesn't seem possible, the whole bit where they N/A'd anyone under 30 in this poll and anyone under 50 in the FL poll they did makes it seem like they're just loving with data to get close results?

It's super hard to get sufficient under 30 / under 50 results with traditional polling methods.

Take phone banking as an example. I phone banked for Hillary this weekend and of about 200 calls, I got maybe 16 answers, the youngest being a 42 year old married couple of doctors who were currently in Cincinnati canvassing.

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

fart blood posted:

You're forgetting that Democrats are notoriously worse at making a concise focused message than Republicans are.

That's what happens when you're a big tent party with a diverse coalition of supporters. Republicans get to just focus on saying "government bad!" which resonates with their uneducated white base.

doctor iono
May 19, 2005

I LARVA YOU
so, i think i understand shook nate's system of adjusting poll results for in-house bias (and to adjust toward trendline?)

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/florida/

but this seems pretty extreme. i mean, the trump +13 got adjusted to a +14 in that ridiculous google consumer surveys poll lmao

Schnorkles
Apr 30, 2015

It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.

pathetic little tramp posted:

It's super hard to get sufficient under 30 / under 50 results with traditional polling methods.

Take phone banking as an example. I phone banked for Hillary this weekend and of about 200 calls, I got maybe 16 answers, the youngest being a 42 year old married couple of doctors who were currently in Cincinnati canvassing.

And all the under 30's / under 50's you get are white.

Response rates have hit sort of peak terrible right now, and we might be seeing a breakdown of polling because of it. Or everything is accurate and Trump and Hillary are literally within a point of each other nationally and election night is a coin flip. :shrug:

unlimited shrimp
Aug 30, 2008

C-Euro posted:

Do you think two beers will be enough for a 90 minute debate or should I get more?

I have tequila (and brandy for some reason) but nothing to really mix it with.
just shameful.

Schnorkles
Apr 30, 2015

It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.
I just can't take a poll seriously that has the Republican winning in a state with 20%+ non-whites when he's only up by 4 with white voters. It's just prime facie absurd.

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

C-Euro posted:

Do you think two beers will be enough for a 90 minute debate or should I get more?

I have tequila (and brandy for some reason) but nothing to really mix it with.


smdh

mannerup
Jan 11, 2004

♬ I Know You're Dying Trying To Figure Me Out♬

♬My Name's On The Tip Of Your Tongue Keep Running Your Mouth♬

♬You Want The Recipe But Can't Handle My Sound My Sound My Sound♬

♬No Matter What You Do Im Gonna Get It Without Ya♬

♬ I Know You Ain't Used To A Female Alpha♬
https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/780417727521513472

MadJackal
Apr 30, 2004




Well call me Cage the Elephant, because these polls shook me down.

Inferior Third Season
Jan 15, 2005

Zas posted:

we made it to debate day everyone. we did it.
In much the same way that an airplane that crashes on landing and explodes into a giant fireball of death made it to its destination.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Go Blue Barracudas!

triple sulk
Sep 17, 2014



Squizzle posted:

TRUMPS TASKS TONIGHT
  • use pendants to defeat temple guards
  • assemble the statue in the shrine of the silver monkey
  • retrieve the amulet of hatshepsut within three minutes

lol if you cant assemble the monkey

just lol

Baloogan
Dec 5, 2004
Fun Shoe
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CkZzroPyOdI

pathetic little tramp
Dec 12, 2005

by Hillary Clinton's assassins
Fallen Rib
If polling is sufficiently skewed enough that Hillary is actually ahead by big margins, there's major room for conspiracy theories a la "EXIT POLL GENEVA CONVENTION BERNIE WON DAMMIT"

If I were thinking of starting an online persona now that is claiming there's a plan in place to rig the machines, how would I link a gofundme to an untraceable Swiss Bank Account?

showbiz_liz
Jun 2, 2008
My Facebook is currently a competition to see who can most histrionically brag about how close to slitting their wrists they are.

C-Euro
Mar 20, 2010

:science:
Soiled Meat
FWIW I've been getting multiple calls a day from numbers I don't recognize but my phone auto-blocks a lot of them. This is in PA too.


Well I could make an alcohol run today, but I was planning on doing it later this week because I need a bunch of other poo poo too and don't want to carry it.

Maybe I will end up needing to drink the tequila straight in order to not rage, who knows.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
Glenn Beck losing his poo poo.

http://www.glennbeck.com/publish/live_player/

Ranting about buckets of blood.

Nichael
Mar 30, 2011


Of you guys who have phone banked for Clinton, is the 16/200 response rate typical? I'm just asking because when I do calls for her myself, I get similarly low response rates (less than 10%).

Schnorkles
Apr 30, 2015

It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.
On the other hand Nate turning more and more into the embodiment of :byodood: is hilarious

WampaLord
Jan 14, 2010

triple sulk posted:

lol if you cant assemble the monkey

just lol

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WQvzoY9SaQY

Mia Wasikowska
Oct 7, 2006


hi i'm the chaos reigns fox and i'm here to say, i hope y'all enjoy this fine debate today

mannerup
Jan 11, 2004

♬ I Know You're Dying Trying To Figure Me Out♬

♬My Name's On The Tip Of Your Tongue Keep Running Your Mouth♬

♬You Want The Recipe But Can't Handle My Sound My Sound My Sound♬

♬No Matter What You Do Im Gonna Get It Without Ya♬

♬ I Know You Ain't Used To A Female Alpha♬
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/780414759292301312

nate tweeting "dead heat" this morning counter: 3 4

Schnorkles
Apr 30, 2015

It's a little bit juvenile, but it's simple and it's timeless.

We let it be known that Schnorkles, for a snack, eats tiny pieces of shit.

You're picturing it and you're talking about it. That's a win in my book.

Nichael posted:

Of you guys who have phone banked for Clinton, is the 16/200 response rate typical? I'm just asking because when I do calls for her myself, I get similarly low response rates (less than 10%).

16/200 is probably a bit high tbh.

Baloogan
Dec 5, 2004
Fun Shoe
trump trump trump trump truimp trump trump trump trump trump trump


He that outlives this day, and comes safe home,
Will stand a tip-toe when this day is nam'd,
And rouse him at the name of Trump.
He that shall live this day, and see old age,
Will yearly on the vigil feast his neighbours,
And say "Today is debate day."
Then will he strip his sleeve and show his scars,
And say "These wounds I had on the debate day."

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Al!
Apr 2, 2010

:coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot:

SHY NUDIST GRRL posted:

I always rooted for the silver snakes but they always sucked

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RehSpcMpE6Q

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