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Dead Cosmonaut
Nov 14, 2015

by FactsAreUseless
The Earth naturally does this, actually. The problem with burying is that you better hope it doesn't get released later and be part of a positive feedback cycle.

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Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

GlyphGryph posted:

Is it possible to just built some sort of massive carbon sinks, so we can literally just capture and bury the poo poo in huge amounts in a short period of time?

Like forests but faster and denser, and then we just toss it all into actual carbon dumps and bury it.

Sure, how much are you willing to spend per ton sequestered?

BattleMoose
Jun 16, 2010

GlyphGryph posted:

Is it possible to just built some sort of massive carbon sinks, so we can literally just capture and bury the poo poo in huge amounts in a short period of time?

Nature already did this, although over much longer time periods. We call it coal, oil and natural gas.

But to answer your question more directly, it will always be cheaper to not emit the carbon than trying to capture it after the fact.

rscott
Dec 10, 2009
We just need to add a whole loving bunch of oxygen and nitrogen to the atmosphere to lower the ratio, boom CO2 levels back under 400ppm

Uranium Phoenix
Jun 20, 2007

Boom.

Potato Salad posted:

Venus is cool and good.

This is simply not true.

Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

Shoe do do do do do do do
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Science actually just published a really good discussion of Carbon sequestration technologies that are most often present in climate models. http://science.sciencemag.org/content/354/6309/182.full

quote:

 is not well understood by policy-makers, or indeed many academics, that IAMs assume such a massive deployment of negative-emission technologies. Yet when it comes to the more stringent Paris obligations, studies suggest that it is impossible to reach 1.5°C with a 50% chance without significant negative emissions (3). Even for 2°C, very few scenarios have explored mitigation without negative emissions (2). Negative emissions are also prevalent in scenarios for higher stabilization targets (7). Given such a pervasive and pivotal role of negative emissions in mitigation scenarios, their almost complete absence from climate policy discussions is disturbing and needs to be addressed urgently.

...

the scale of biomass assumed in IAMs—typically, one to two times the area of India—raises profound questions (10) about carbon neutrality, land availability, competition with food production, and competing demands for bioenergy from the transport, heating, and industrial sectors. The logistics of collating and transporting vast quantities of bioenergy—equivalent to up to half of the total global primary energy consumption—is seldom addressed. Some studies suggest that BECCS pathways are feasible, at least locally (15), but globally there are substantial limitations (10). BECCS thus remains a highly speculative technology.

...

as recognition of the ubiquitous role of BECCS in mitigation scenarios has grown, so have concerns about its deployment (10, 11). Its land-use impacts could include terrestrial species losses equivalent to, at least, a 2.8°C temperature rise (11), leading to difficult trade-offs between biodiversity loss and temperature rise. There is also little robust analysis of the trade-offs between large-scale deployment of BECCS (and all negative-emission technologies) and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). But such a level of caution is far removed from the technical utopia informing IAMs. Despite BECCS continuing to stumble through its infancy, many scenarios assessed by the IPCC propose its mature and large-scale rollout as soon as 2030 (see the figure).

...

if the many reservations increasingly voiced about negative-emission technologies (particularly BECCS) turn out to be valid, the weakening of near-term mitigation and the failure of future negative-emission technologies will be a prelude to rapid temperature rises reminiscent of the 4°C “business as usual” pathway feared before the Paris Agreement (5).

Negative-emission technologies are not an insurance policy, but rather an unjust and high-stakes gamble. There is a real risk they will be unable to deliver on the scale of their promise. If the emphasis on equity and risk aversion embodied in the Paris Agreement are to have traction, negative-emission technologies should not form the basis of the mitigation agenda. This is not to say that they should be abandoned (14, 15). They could very reasonably be the subject of research, development, and potentially deployment, but the mitigation agenda should proceed on the premise that they will not work at scale. The implications of failing to do otherwise are a moral hazard par excellence.

Technically doesn't officially come out until tomorrow but you can (and should) read it now.

NewForumSoftware
Oct 8, 2016

by Lowtax

Forever_Peace posted:

Science actually just published a really good discussion of Carbon sequestration technologies that are most often present in climate models. http://science.sciencemag.org/content/354/6309/182.full


Technically doesn't officially come out until tomorrow but you can (and should) read it now.

Pretty depressing.

Basically the technology for removing carbon from the atmosphere in any reasonable way is so far off that you may as well treat it is an impossibility at this point in mitigation plans. Oh and a lot of mitigation plans don't do this.

ToxicSlurpee
Nov 5, 2003

-=SEND HELP=-


Pillbug

NewForumSoftware posted:

Pretty depressing.

Basically the technology for removing carbon from the atmosphere in any reasonable way is so far off that you may as well treat it is an impossibility at this point in mitigation plans. Oh and a lot of mitigation plans don't do this.

At this point the question isn't "how do we fix this?" it's "how do we survive this?"

TildeATH
Oct 21, 2010

by Lowtax

NewForumSoftware posted:

Pretty depressing.

Basically the technology for removing carbon from the atmosphere in any reasonable way is so far off that you may as well treat it is an impossibility at this point in mitigation plans. Oh and a lot of mitigation plans don't do this.

It's okay, it'll only cost a couple billion to fix all this.

And other magical thoughts.

Mat Cauthon
Jan 2, 2006

The more tragic things get,
the more I feel like laughing.



How do I ensure that I never have to see the words "the Great Barrier Reef is dead" again, short of blinding myself?

Cranappleberry
Jan 27, 2009
Use the money from carbon taxes to bribe public officials into passing more stringent laws, carbon taxes and ordinances.

Bhodi
Dec 9, 2007

Oh, it's just a cat.
Pillbug

Rap Record Hoarder posted:

How do I ensure that I never have to see the words "the Great Barrier Reef is dead" again, short of blinding myself?
You don't. You hope that you see it everywhere, repeatedly, and hope that it's the thing that finally makes people take notice.

call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless
I'd literally die to try to sabotage any attempt at chemtrailing us into an acid rain hellscape just so China doesn't have to give up its coal plants.

edit: Hahah I loving love the people who whine about clickbait around the Great Barrier Reef. "GOD GUYS, it's not dead it's just MOSTLY DEAD and is on a trajectory to complete destruciton within our lives. Stupid clickbait sheep."

call to action fucked around with this message at 16:44 on Oct 14, 2016

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

call to action posted:

I'd literally die to try to sabotage any attempt at chemtrailing us into an acid rain hellscape just so China doesn't have to give up its coal plants.


Yeah, it's the dastardly Chinese that are keeping Big Coal afloat.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

computer parts posted:

Yeah, it's the dastardly Chinese that are keeping Big Coal afloat.

I mean, yes?

quote:

China's coal consumption grew by four percent to 2.75 billion tonnes in 2013 accounting for over half of the world's total coal consumption in the year. China is also by far the biggest coal producer accounting for about 47.4% of the world's coal output in 2013.

Coal accounts for over 65% of total energy consumption in the country. China, the most populous and the biggest energy consuming country, is also the world's biggest coal importer followed by Japan and India.


http://www.mining-technology.com/features/featurethe-worlds-biggest-coal-consumers-4353695/

China alone consumes and produces half the worlds coal all by itself.


(Also US coal companies are bankrupting like a Trump casino too.)

Mat Cauthon
Jan 2, 2006

The more tragic things get,
the more I feel like laughing.



call to action posted:

edit: Hahah I loving love the people who whine about clickbait around the Great Barrier Reef. "GOD GUYS, it's not dead it's just MOSTLY DEAD and is on a trajectory to complete destruciton within our lives. Stupid clickbait sheep."

Yeah, except that the issue in this case isn't that the Great Barrier Reef is suddenly clickbait, it's that the gossip mag that kicked off this whole thing got a huge amount of information completely wrong. The only one ranting about the gullibility of the general populace here is you. Also:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/scientists-take-on-great-barrier-reef-obituary_us_57fff8f1e4b0162c043b068f posted:

Terry Hughes, director of the ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, said in an email to HuffPost that he was “not impressed by the [article’s] message that we should give up on the [Great Barrier Reef], or that it is already dead.”

“We can and must save the Great Barrier Reef ― it supports 70,000 jobs in reef tourism,” he said. “Large sections of it (the southern half) escaped from the 2016 bleaching, and are in reasonable shape. The message should be that it isn’t too late for Australia to lift its game and better protect the GBR, not we should all give up because the GBR is supposedly dead.”

Additionally, Hughes said, the article is “full of mistakes.” It states that the Great Barrier Reef experienced its first mass-bleaching event in 1981. But Hughes said the first was in 1998. Additionally, the article mentions “the winter of 1997–98,” which of course would have been summer in the southern hemisphere.

Above all, Brainard and Hughes stressed the importance of optimism when it comes to facing such a global crisis. As Brainard wrote in a comment on Outside Magazine’s Facebook post, “this sort of over-to-top [sic] story makes the situation much worse by conveying loss of hope rather than a need for global society to take actions to reverse these discouraging downward trends.”

As has been said many times over in this thread, it's important to be specific and precise when we talk about the effects of climate change because false information just makes climate denier's jobs easier and because (as we've seen ITT time and time again) people start to do really dumb, stupid poo poo when they resign themselves to nothing but pessimistic outcomes rooted in a belief that we're so far down the hole that no action can save us.

I'm glad that the GBR is getting people's attention, better late than never, but tell me how this is any different from the furor over polar bears, the Amazon, the Gulf of Mexico dead zone, the icecaps, etc. This could be another global event to mobilize around (and hopefully the planners for the 2017 People's Climate March are paying attention), but the value of simply "getting people to take notice" or "starting a conversation" is nearly nonexistent at this point.

Femur
Jan 10, 2004
I REALLY NEED TO SHUT THE FUCK UP

Trabisnikof posted:

I mean, yes?


China alone consumes and produces half the worlds coal all by itself.


(Also US coal companies are bankrupting like a Trump casino too.)

hey, we all helped

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Looks like the binding HFC treaty was finally negotiated:

quote:

At a UN conference in Rwanda, 197 nations agreed to drastically reduce their use of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), an obscure but extremely powerful greenhouse gas used in air conditioners, refrigerators, and foams. By cutting these pollutants, the world could avoid between 0.3°C and 0.44°C of warming by the end of the century, according to the Institute for Governance and Sustainable Development:
...
In the end, the various parties struck a compromise. The newly amended Montreal Protocolu, which is legally binding, will require rich countries like the United States to start cutting HFC use by 2019. Countries like China and India will have to cap their HFC use by 2024 — and they’ll receive aid to ease the transition. Ultimately, the deal could cut global HFC use over 80 percent by 2047, according to the World Resources Institute. Not bad for an obscure conference.

http://www.vox.com/2016/10/15/13292878/montreal-protocol-cut-hfcs

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

Trabisnikof posted:

Looks like the binding HFC treaty was finally negotiated:

LOL funny how even this article states that post-treaty, the world is still on track for 4C warming but pats on everyone's backs!

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

shrike82 posted:

LOL funny how even this article states that post-treaty, the world is still on track for 4C warming but pats on everyone's backs!

"True, even with this deal, the world is still on pace to blow way past the threshold of 2°C of warming that policymakers have considered dangerous. Countries still have a lot more work to do under the broader Paris climate accord. But this HFC breakthrough makes those efforts slightly easier. All those fractions eventually add up."

Which is pretty much the argument I usually make in this thread and the HFC treaty is just another sign that the Paris framework can work.

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

Wait so you're heralding a treaty which actually doesn't do anything and still leads to a 4C+ scenario?

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

shrike82 posted:

Wait so you're heralding a treaty which actually doesn't do anything and still leads to a 4C+ scenario?

Keep showing off how little you understand climate.

Just because it isn't a magic bullet doesn't mean it is doing nothing. Stopping emissions that would cause +.5C by 2100 is a big deal even if it doesn't solve climate change.

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

Nah, we all know that you're a climate change minimizer but it's funny how you're lying about +.5C when the linked paper states that HFC mitigation, specifically, would have an impact of ~0.1C.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

Lol at you calling rounding .44 to .5 "lying"


but whatever let's you justify your lifestyle

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

Says the guy who thinks the solution to global warming is taking away AC from the global south.

More like

quote:

In December, the Tyndall Centre hosted a conference on "radical emissions reductions" that offered some eye-popping suggestions: Perhaps every adult in wealthy countries could get a personal "carbon budget" tracked through an electronic credit card. Once they hit their limit, no more vacations or road trips. Other attendees suggested shaming campaigns against celebrities with outsized homes and yachts.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

shrike82 posted:

Says the guy who thinks the solution to global warming is taking away AC from the global south.

More like

That's a great idea and if it happened I would laud it.


Meanwhile in reality, the Global South (along with the entire world) just signed onto a binding to replace the use of high global warming potential chemicals with lower ones that includes funding to help the global south make the switch to better refrigerants, isn't that laudable too?


Edit: and even better the Developed world has to switch over first and pay the developing world!

Trabisnikof fucked around with this message at 02:37 on Oct 16, 2016

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

How are treaties like this binding? Look at the failure of the EU ETS or the repeal of the Australian equivalent to show how meaningless these agreements are.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

shrike82 posted:

How are treaties like this binding? Look at the failure of the EU ETS or the repeal of the Australian equivalent to show how meaningless these agreements are.

The Montreal Protocol has been in effect for quite a while, if you want to learn how it works specifically, google it yourself.

If you're trying to argue it is impossible to make a binding treaty, again Montreal is one example but there are many (e.g trade arbitration)

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

Nah, look at the Kyoto Protocol to see how comprehensive of a failure any attempt at treaty-based climate change mitigtation is.

Mat Cauthon
Jan 2, 2006

The more tragic things get,
the more I feel like laughing.



Forever_Peace posted:

Science actually just published a really good discussion of Carbon sequestration technologies that are most often present in climate models. http://science.sciencemag.org/content/354/6309/182.full


Technically doesn't officially come out until tomorrow but you can (and should) read it now.

There was also a pretty good article in WaPo about this:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/10/13/were-placing-far-too-much-hope-in-pulling-carbon-dioxide-out-of-the-air-scientists-warn/?utm_term=.801bd36fd202 posted:


The idea sounds like a win-win on paper, allowing for both the removal of carbon dioxide and the production of energy. But while more than a dozen pilot-scale BECCS projects exist around the world, only one large-scale facility currently operates. And scientists have serious reservations about the technology’s viability as a global-scale solution.

First, the sheer amount of bioenergy fuel required to suit the models’ assumptions already poses a problem, Peters told The Washington Post. Most of the models assume a need for an area of land at least the size of India, he said, which prompts the question of whether this would reduce the area available for food crops or force additional deforestation, which would produce more carbon emissions.

When it comes to carbon capture and storage, the technology has been used already in at least 20 plants around the world, not all of them devoted to bioenergy. In fact, carbon capture and storage can be applied in all kinds of industrial facilities, including coal-burning power plants or oil and natural gas refineries. But the technology has so far failed to take off.

“Ten years ago, if you looked at the International Energy Agency, they were saying by now there would be hundreds of CCS plants around the world,” Peters said. “And each year the IEA has had to revise their estimates down. So CCS is one of those technologies that just never lives up to expectations.”

CrashCat
Jan 10, 2003

another shit post


shrike82 posted:

More like
I can't see it happening but the carbon card idea sounds interesting. Though I bet what would really happen is rich people would just buy poor people's carbon cards to get around it, or even fraudulently make up people to get their credits. Still it would have some limiting effect I suppose

Uncle Jam
Aug 20, 2005

Perfect

shrike82 posted:

Nah, look at the Kyoto Protocol to see how comprehensive of a failure any attempt at treaty-based climate change mitigtation is.

*is Canada*

Oh poo poo is that some oil sands over there, gently caress these key-yoto poo poo we're out.

Squalid
Nov 4, 2008

I'm not sure why so many people seem to think any kind of collective action on climate change is simply an impossible pipe dream. It's like they heard the parable of the tragedy of the commons one time and decided the problem was literally insurmountable.

A Festivus Miracle
Dec 19, 2012

I have come to discourse on the profound inequities of the American political system.

Squalid posted:

I'm not sure why so many people seem to think any kind of collective action on climate change is simply an impossible pipe dream. It's like they heard the parable of the tragedy of the commons one time and decided the problem was literally insurmountable.

Humanity's barreling toward a wall in a 1970 Ford Pontiac, screaming "But there's nothing I can do! Turning left or right is just too hard!".

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost

Squalid posted:

I'm not sure why so many people seem to think any kind of collective action on climate change is simply an impossible pipe dream. It's like they heard the parable of the tragedy of the commons one time and decided the problem was literally insurmountable.

No, I'm just looking at where we are in time and our collective efforts this far. It's undeniable that there are steps in the right direction but it is past the time when 'beginnings' or 'first steps' are acceptable progress. Which is not to say that these efforts are meaningless, but rather that it's insulting to think that we are actually on a path to mitigate the problem, because barring some quasi-magical CO2-sucking widget, we are not going to make it. A carbon tax 20 years ago? That's meaningful. A carbon tax in 5-10 years? Much less so.

Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

Shoe do do do do do do do
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Nope, still meaningful. Yeah it's a major bummer we probably aren't going to meet the 2C goal, but 4C and 6C warming scenarios are so much worse it almost boggles the mind.

And not just for us humans. The business as usual path completely devastates the vast majority of sea and terrestrial animal life.

EVERYTHING we can do is absolutely critical.

inebibtn

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

Considering that the Paris Agreement is still pretending that a 1.5C target is achievable, it's pretty clear it's useless.

LMAO, it was +1.3C for the 1st half of this year.

Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

Shoe do do do do do do do
Shoe do do do do do do yeah
Shoe do do do do do do do
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WE know that ain't happening, but isn't that preferable to a treaty that aims for a 5C scenario because it's easy?

Y'all have weird definitions of "meaningful" and "useful".

shrike82
Jun 11, 2005

Hey, aren't you the guy saying that pension funds are going to save us with market based solutions since they're reducing their investments in O&G?
We're laughing at you and trabisniskof for being climate change minimisers

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Forever_Peace
May 7, 2007

Shoe do do do do do do do
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rofl yeah totally I only go to climate marches when the Goldman guys are busy, they got this.

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