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Tacky-Ass Rococco
Sep 7, 2010

by R. Guyovich

Fiction posted:

Sure its cheaper for energy companies to lobby for nonsense like "clean coal" instead of adapting to material conditions because it's better at maximizing profit while the world literally burns from climate change, but at least we were able to compromise with them really really good.

Is this a problem that is addressed by actually existing socialism?

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Brainiac Five
Mar 28, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Wikkheiser posted:

I do think Marxists have underestimated liberal-capitalism's ability to basically lurch from crisis to crisis and still, somehow, muddle through. Every time a more hard-edged, red socialism is implemented, there's a rush toward it because unlike liberalism, here's a chance to be decisive and really build something different.

The most recent example of this is Hugo Chavez. If you read the socialist papers around 10 years ago, you'd get the impression that he represented the future. Remember the term "21st Century Socialism," right? And it was hard to argue with his supporters, because Chavez was getting poo poo done and not bothering with what his critics thought, while the United States plunged into a recession and destroyed its own credibility with the Iraq War. But just as quick, the U.S.'s liberal system dragged itself out ... only to land on its face again with the police crackdown at Ferguson, the rise of Donald Trump, etc.

Now, if you read socialist papers, the line is that Trump will lose, but whatever comes next will be worse because liberal-capitalism's fundamental contradictions will have gone unsolved. "We must redouble our efforts at strengthening the socialist tradition and standing against the siren call of lesser-evilism!" But more likely than not, liberalism will muddle through as it always has, because it's just too chaotic to stay pinned down in one place for too long.

While the last big attempt to build a no-nonsense socialism (in Venezuela) imploded catastrophically the moment it hit its first actual crisis. There's a similar attraction on the illiberal, authoritarian right toward Putin, but I'd bet that messy, adaptable liberalism will outlast him, too.

I, personally, would not praise an ideology by calling it a cockroach one, but you can do whatever you like.

Rated PG-34
Jul 1, 2004




Fiction posted:

I'm sure the thousands of people killing themselves when their homes are foreclosed on during the next financial crisis will be satisfied that we tried just tried really hard to stop it from happening without actually changing the economic structure that caused it in the first place

Surely, they will have we erased the 2008 financial crisis from memory just as they did with the savings and loan crisis.

Fiction
Apr 28, 2011
China has drastically reduced its coal use in the past couple years under Xi thanks to the ability there of the oligarchs to control those facets of the economy. In the US our politicians have no such power because they are completely beholden to the industry.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

Fiction posted:

I'm sure the thousands of people killing themselves when their homes are foreclosed on during the next financial crisis will be satisfied that we tried just tried really hard to stop it from happening without actually changing the economic structure that caused it in the first place
They certainly will not, and that's why liberal systems will produce demands for changing the economic structure. But overall, liberalism's chaos and stupid, blind confidence means it'll likely to prevail over the more efficient, illiberal alternatives. I'd bet, for instance, that India's junkyard democracy will outlast China's authoritarian version of capitalism.

Brainiac Five posted:

I, personally, would not praise an ideology by calling it a cockroach one, but you can do whatever you like.
Praise is a strong word. But what's the alternative?

Fiction
Apr 28, 2011
Neither of those are really accurate descriptors of the political situations in those countries but maybe I haven't spent enough time making insane posts about spaceship games to know the ins and outs of liberal democracy

asdf32
May 15, 2010

I lust for childrens' deaths. Ask me about how I don't care if my kids die.

Fiction posted:

China has drastically reduced its coal use in the past couple years under Xi thanks to the ability there of the oligarchs to control those facets of the economy. In the US our politicians have no such power because they are completely beholden to the industry.

Capitalism's problem is its sub-standard oligarchs.

Fiction
Apr 28, 2011

asdf32 posted:

Capitalism's problem is its sub-standard oligarchs.

That's correct.

Brainiac Five
Mar 28, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Wikkheiser posted:

They certainly will not, and that's why liberal systems will produce demands for changing the economic structure. But overall, liberalism's chaos and stupid, blind confidence means it'll likely to prevail over the more efficient, illiberal alternatives. I'd bet, for instance, that India's junkyard democracy will outlast China's authoritarian version of capitalism.

India's system has also produced a perpetual low-level Maoist uprising. Liberalism's cockroach survival is only really true in areas where there's a baseline level of prosperity that is seen as normal and which the current situation is merely a disruption of. Japan's decades of stagnation have seen the membership of the JCP grow. In much of the world, communist guerrillas are simply a fact of life, and despite terrorist violence, drug trafficking, and in the case of Shining Path extortion of food and supplies from peasant villages, they have been extremely difficult to squash permanently.

Bro Dad
Mar 26, 2010


Rated PG-34 posted:

Guys, I figured it out. The answer is commie deep dish pizza.

deep dish is revisionism

Brainiac Five
Mar 28, 2016

by FactsAreUseless
Building coal and natural gas power plants will remain the rationally superior option to nukes and renewables until it's too late to make any difference.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

Brainiac Five posted:

India's system has also produced a perpetual low-level Maoist uprising. Liberalism's cockroach survival is only really true in areas where there's a baseline level of prosperity that is seen as normal and which the current situation is merely a disruption of. Japan's decades of stagnation have seen the membership of the JCP grow. In much of the world, communist guerrillas are simply a fact of life, and despite terrorist violence, drug trafficking, and in the case of Shining Path extortion of food and supplies from peasant villages, they have been extremely difficult to squash permanently.
Sure. And who knows? Capitalism and liberalism might not make it out of the 21st century. The climate might be the thing that does it in. But even if you could imagine a worst-case scenario that really wallops the planet, and had to make a bet on a creature with the best chance of survival, I'd still bet on the cockroach.

Brainiac Five
Mar 28, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Wikkheiser posted:

Sure. And who knows? Capitalism and liberalism might not make it out of the 21st century. The climate might be the thing that does it in. But even if you could imagine a worst-case scenario that really wallops the planet, and had to make a bet on a creature with the best chance of survival, I'd still bet on the cockroach.

Passiveness is for cockroaches. Human beings think and plan and act.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

Wikkheiser posted:

There's a similar attraction on the illiberal, authoritarian right toward Putin, but I'd bet that messy, adaptable liberalism will outlast him, too.

Putin rose to power because Liberal rule in Russia during the 90s proved to be a disaster. Liberalism didn't survive the crisis of Russian shock therapy, but I guess if they coup Putin and start selling off state shares in Gazprom you'll insist that the cockroach determination of liberalism has re-asserted itself and conquered the crisis of Putinism.

The aristocracies of Europe also survived cockroach-like, several crises of their age, and the feudal nobility before them. Landed gentry asserted control of the Chinese countryside for thousands of years before eventually being overthrown through communist revolution. Liberalism in China couldn't survive warlordism, or the direct challenges of Maoist insurgency. Liberalism didn't survive the Great Depression in continental Europe, either. It's funny how often it bounces back inevitably from all these crises - except when it doesn't.

Actually Existing Cuban Socialism* survived the loss of its single greatest trade partner, and has since weathered a withering economic embargo from its most powerful neighbor. They still manage to meet several indicators of quality of life for its masses, and in several cases exceed the accomplishments of the United States. It's amazing how Cuban Socialism can manage to bounce back cockaroach-like from every crisis capitalism has thrown at it.

The Saurus
Dec 3, 2006

by Smythe
Cuba is also actually doing some really good stuff right now as far as reforming into worker cooperatives goes and so on.

In the past, when liberal capitalism was so able to survive, it at least had the smart idea of creating a relatively prosperous working and middle class in the west, where the centers of power and industry were. This meant you had a population strongly backing you at home which let you freely go and gently caress poo poo up around the globe.

Now, however, global neoliberalism will try to set all workers wages to be equally low via offshoring and automation. That means there's no "home base" of happy, fulfilled people for the liberal capitalists to retreat to like in the old days. They'll be under attack on all fronts, even their own backyard.

HorseLord
Aug 26, 2014

Fiction posted:

You are aware that employees can't fire their bosses, right? Just checking in here.

drat i miss the ussr

DOCTOR ZIMBARDO
May 8, 2006

Wikkheiser posted:

I do think Marxists have underestimated liberal-capitalism's ability to basically lurch from crisis to crisis and still, somehow, muddle through. Every time a more hard-edged, red socialism is implemented, there's a rush toward it because unlike liberalism, here's a chance to be decisive and really build something different.

The most recent example of this is Hugo Chavez. If you read the socialist papers around 10 years ago, you'd get the impression that he represented the future. Remember the term "21st Century Socialism," right? And it was hard to argue with his supporters, because Chavez was getting poo poo done and not bothering with what his critics thought, while the United States plunged into a recession and destroyed its own credibility with the Iraq War. But just as quick, the U.S.'s liberal system dragged itself out ... only to land on its face again with the police crackdown at Ferguson, the rise of Donald Trump, etc.

Now, if you read socialist papers, the line is that Trump will lose, but whatever comes next will be worse because liberal-capitalism's fundamental contradictions will have gone unsolved. "We must redouble our efforts at strengthening the socialist tradition and standing against the siren call of lesser-evilism!" But more likely than not, liberalism will muddle through as it always has, because it's just too chaotic to stay pinned down in one place for too long.

While the last big attempt to build a no-nonsense socialism (in Venezuela) imploded catastrophically the moment it hit its first actual crisis. There's a similar attraction on the illiberal, authoritarian right toward Putin, but I'd bet that messy, adaptable liberalism will outlast him, too.

The Qing/Romanov/Bourbon/etc dynasty has lasted for centuries! Every once in a while something shakes it up but does anything ever really changed?

Morzhovyye
Mar 2, 2013

Show me one historical example of global capitalism collapsing.



...Not even once? Well, it seems that your "scientific" "theory" holds no water. :smuggo:

Tacky-Ass Rococco
Sep 7, 2010

by R. Guyovich

Odobenidae posted:

Show me one historical example of global capitalism collapsing.



...Not even once? Well, it seems that your "scientific" "theory" holds no water. :smuggo:

Finally everyone is agreed. Time to close the thread.

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.
Freedom owns.

Fiction
Apr 28, 2011
Yeah I'm so happy to be free to be ruled solely by business elites

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

If you don't believe Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser were meant to be, then yeah, you should just go vote for Donald Trump.

R. Guyovich
Dec 25, 1991

shook, loving shoooook, these nimrods are shooker than hell

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iXYNRdis-4k

Bryter
Nov 6, 2011

but since we are small we may-
uh, we may be the losers

Homework Explainer posted:

shook, loving shoooook, these nimrods are shooker than hell

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iXYNRdis-4k

"Stalin killed so many people that they can't count them because there was no reporting on it"

lol Bill, you're making it sound like Grover Furr has a point

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

the death toll of Iraq is uncountable if you think about it

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

DOCTOR ZIMBARDO posted:

The Qing/Romanov/Bourbon/etc dynasty has lasted for centuries! Every once in a while something shakes it up but does anything ever really changed?

Things will change, it's just that the change is prob not socialist revolution at this point

One of the things Marx fail to foresee for instance is the rise of fascism and right-wing populism in general, he expected any kind of radical revolution to be left-winged by default. Instead in Europe after 1919 you had way more successful right wing than left wing revolutions.

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

The Saurus posted:

Cuba is also actually doing some really good stuff right now as far as reforming into worker cooperatives goes and so on.

In the past, when liberal capitalism was so able to survive, it at least had the smart idea of creating a relatively prosperous working and middle class in the west, where the centers of power and industry were. This meant you had a population strongly backing you at home which let you freely go and gently caress poo poo up around the globe.

Now, however, global neoliberalism will try to set all workers wages to be equally low via offshoring and automation. That means there's no "home base" of happy, fulfilled people for the liberal capitalists to retreat to like in the old days. They'll be under attack on all fronts, even their own backyard.

The flip side of this is that wages are rising in developed countries as well. While it might be true wages will be converging between China and the USA: it's quite possible this convergence still leaves the average America better off than they were in the 1980s. A globalized middle class might actually prove be quite stable for the liberal world order.

Automation OTOH yeah I don't really know how that's gonna be dealt with other than maybe a GMI

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Brainiac Five posted:

India's system has also produced a perpetual low-level Maoist uprising. Liberalism's cockroach survival is only really true in areas where there's a baseline level of prosperity that is seen as normal and which the current situation is merely a disruption of. Japan's decades of stagnation have seen the membership of the JCP grow. In much of the world, communist guerrillas are simply a fact of life, and despite terrorist violence, drug trafficking, and in the case of Shining Path extortion of food and supplies from peasant villages, they have been extremely difficult to squash permanently.

Man if this was 6 month earlier you'd prob be trumpeting the imminent victory of FARC too

Brainiac Five
Mar 28, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Typo posted:

Man if this was 6 month earlier you'd prob be trumpeting the imminent victory of FARC too

I didn't say anything about them winning. Is there a curse on you such that you will die in agony if you ever behave honestly and decently?

Fiction
Apr 28, 2011
Out of all the hot takes on socialism "Marx didn't take reactionaries into account" is probably the weirdest.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

yooo shout out to PissPigGrandad, keepin it real in Rojava

https://twitter.com/PissPigGranddad/status/790409142984962048

:ussr:

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Fiction posted:

Out of all the hot takes on socialism "Marx didn't take reactionaries into account" is probably the weirdest.

w.r.t fascism which emerged in interbellum Europe no he definitely did not

Typo fucked around with this message at 21:03 on Oct 24, 2016

Brainiac Five
Mar 28, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Typo posted:

w.r.t fascism which emerged in interbellum Europe no he definitely did not

Marx not predicting the particular form of reactionary politics 40-50 years later is not the same thing as him failing to consider the possibility of right-wing revolutionary politics. Try to put some rigor in your drive-bys, you haven't shot a single person dead yet.

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Brainiac Five posted:

Marx not predicting the particular form of reactionary politics 40-50 years later is not the same thing as him failing to consider the possibility of right-wing revolutionary politics.

The kind of right-wing revolutionary politics Marx considered is distantly enough from actual historical right-wing revolutionary politics I don't consider it particularly useful or predictive: and the historical examples were order of magnitudes more destructive too

Brainiac Five
Mar 28, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Typo posted:

The kind of right-wing revolutionary politics Marx considered is distantly enough from actual historical right-wing revolutionary politics I don't consider it particularly useful or predictive: and the historical examples were order of magnitudes more destructive too

So Marx is invalid because he didn't predict the existence of fascism. I got some bad news for you about any political thinker.

Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Brainiac Five posted:

So Marx is invalid because he didn't predict the existence of fascism.

By itself? No, his failure to predict fascism does not invalidate Marxism. It does however make any revolutionary change from the status quo a lot dicier than what M-L are willing to acknowledge.

Brainiac Five
Mar 28, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Typo posted:

By itself? No, his failure to predict fascism does not invalidate Marxism. It does however make any revolutionary change from the status quo a lot dicier than what M-L are willing to acknowledge.

What? This has got to be the stupidest effort at justifying the status quo I've ever seen. I admire your guts at trying it.

Anyways, what makes anarchists, left-coms, Maoists, and other such groups immune?

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Homework Explainer posted:

If you don't believe Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser were meant to be, then yeah, you should just go vote for Donald Trump.

It's true.

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Colosmicon
Jan 5, 2013
y'know if you commie dorks don't actually up and revolt one of these days, this whole thread will just be a big buncha nothing

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