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Phone posted:Cross posting from c-spam: "Russia not responsible for wikileaks hacks" says Russian agent in interview by Russia
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Nov 3, 2016 06:45
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Maxwell Lord posted:In theory, if Trump wins they get a conservative SCOTUS judge, probably another when RBG retires. They get influence over the redistricting in the next census. Etc. They're banking on him being a puppet and going along. A Republican-nominated judge will only get RBG's seat from her cold, dead hands.
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Nov 3, 2016 06:46
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Phone posted:Cross posting from c-spam: 
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Nov 3, 2016 06:47
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Pakled posted:A Republican-nominated judge will only get RBG's seat from her cold, dead hands. Aren't people predicting she retires in the next 4 years?
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Nov 3, 2016 06:47
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Phone posted:Cross posting from c-spam: I totally understand him gaining weight, Central American food owns. 
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Nov 3, 2016 06:47
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Pakled posted:A Republican-nominated judge will only get RBG's seat from her cold, dead hands. I kinda feel like a Democratic-nominated judge will have the same issue. RBG doesn't want to retire as far as I know, regardless of who is president.
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Nov 3, 2016 06:48
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Admiral Ray posted:I kinda feel like a Democratic-nominated judge will have the same issue. RBG doesn't want to retire as far as I know, regardless of who is president.
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Nov 3, 2016 06:49
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Pakled posted:A Republican-nominated judge will only get RBG's seat from her cold, dead hands. But a Trump-elected SCotUS would be so, so terrible. Like I'm talking Yoo-level terrible, with super special Chief Justice Simons as a side of bombast.
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Nov 3, 2016 06:50
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I'd like to see Republicans go live in the magical land of Russia so they can experience real misery. On top of that they won't know the language so they van get the whole immigrant experience before being bludgeoned to death by unemployed teenagers for looking a little gay.
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Nov 3, 2016 06:51
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Bloops Crusts posted:538 Article: The Cubs Have a Smaller Chance of Winning than Trump Does well
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Nov 3, 2016 06:51
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She'd really need to retire before 2018 if her goal was to make sure that her seat goes to a decent replacement, and that's assuming the best case scenario of the Dems taking the Senate.
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Nov 3, 2016 06:51
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FilthyImp posted:They need the Futurama headtank tech to ensure her 10000 year reign. Nessus posted:While I would not want to rush her, I have the feeling her internal calculus will change at least a little if she knows her replacement won't be appointed by Donald God drat Trump. If true she'll have to retire in, like, a year. Tops. Otherwise the Republicans will pull the same poo poo they did this time around and since their base is for obstruction it doesn't carry any risk.
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Nov 3, 2016 06:52
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Admiral Ray posted:I can't even imagine what a poo poo show it would be. I guess it would actually be Pence nominating anyone, but who the gently caress knows. Might be Peter Thiel. Or Barron Trump. Trump's released lists of people who he'd consider nominating for the Supreme Court, and they're all standard right-wingers who'll repeal Roe and Obergefell rather than any weird off-the-wall alt-right types. Most likely he was just fed the names by the party and he personally doesn't care much. http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/18/politics/donald-trump-supreme-court-nominees/ http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/23/politics/donald-trump-judicial-nominations/
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Nov 3, 2016 06:56
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Pakled posted:Trump's released lists of people who he'd consider nominating for the Supreme Court, and they're all standard right-wingers who'll repeal Roe and Obergefell rather than any weird off-the-wall alt-right types. Most likely he was just fed the names by the party and he personally doesn't care much.
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Nov 3, 2016 06:56
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bobjr posted:I hope Mitch McConnell spends Tuesday night crying after losing the majority. Don' be silly, tortoises can't cr- ...Huh, the internet says I am wrong.
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Nov 3, 2016 06:59
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On the flip side, 538 had them as favorites to start the series but by less favorable odds than they give Clinton.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:04
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Well, I guess some good news is Sam Wang's model went up from 99% win to 100% on PEC 
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Nov 3, 2016 07:08
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TheGreatGnocchi posted:Well, I guess some good news is Sam Wang's model went up from 99% win to 100% on PEC Didn't believe it until I looked.  She's already won guys, no reason to vote come Tuesday. go vote you assholes
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Nov 3, 2016 07:11
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You vote to run up the score on a fascist.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:14
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Remember earlier today Trump promised something would drop from Wikileaks and he'd talk about it tomorrow? I'm gonna laugh and laugh if it's this: Phone posted:Cross posting from c-spam:
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Nov 3, 2016 07:16
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No, you silly. The Cubs winning means Hillary finally got her hands on a genie's lamp. We now know two of her wishes.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:16
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So one pollster has her certain to win, another has her with a 2/3 chance, what a weird election
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Nov 3, 2016 07:16
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Maxwell Lord posted:Aren't people predicting she retires in the next 4 years? Isn't she trying to beat the record held by Holmes who served til he was 90? Am I imagining things? Koyaanisgoatse posted:So one pollster has her certain to win, another has her with a 2/3 chance, what a weird election Nate is trying to account for a Trump x-factor I think. He's assuming that the polls are wrong as far as I know. He may be right, but I would pay more attention to PEC. Still vote, but Hillary should have this in the bag. I think y'all are freaking out a bit too much.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:30
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His model accounts for an event equivalent to Hillary performing a partial birth abortion on live TV.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:33
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we're hosed aren't we he's going to march into all our homes like some roman emperor and touch all of us
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Nov 3, 2016 07:33
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Alan Smithee posted:we're hosed aren't we Who, Nate? Yeah probably. I hear he's pretty drunk tonight.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:36
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Islam is the Lite Rock FM posted:His model accounts for an event equivalent to Hillary performing a partial birth abortion on live TV. Lol isn't this all because Nate thought Trump had no chance during the primaries then got shook when Trump got the nomination? I still think Nate is great but he's definitely lost the plot... Like I said there's part of me that thinks hey maybe he pinned down some x-factor poo poo since he is a smart guy, but realistically that's extremely unlikely.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:38
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Islam is the Lite Rock FM posted:His model accounts for an event equivalent to Hillary performing a partial birth abortion on live TV. Well, if they can get a fourth debate going.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:38
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Guys Hillary is against partial birth abortion can we stop with the superfluous conjecture? e: content, here is an interesting analysis of 538's prediction http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2016/Feature_stories/538.html
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Nov 3, 2016 07:39
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Mixodorian posted:Lol isn't this all because Nate thought Trump had no chance during the primaries then got shook when Trump got the nomination? I still think Nate is great but he's definitely lost the plot... Like I said there's part of me that thinks hey maybe he pinned down some x-factor poo poo since he is a smart guy, but realistically that's extremely unlikely. I'm pretty sure he hasn't changed his model since before the election
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Nov 3, 2016 07:43
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Islam is the Lite Rock FM posted:His model accounts for an event equivalent to Hillary performing a partial birth abortion on live TV. Or the fact that the election rests on a handful of swing states that keep polling back and forth between the candidates and the overall polling this election has been wildly erratic. The no tossup electoral map on RCP right now is 273-265 Clinton. If you think a one-state single digit EV margin = 99-100% chance of victory then I'm not sure what to say at all really. I live in a double-digit (R) state so I don't really have much of a say in this election; but the people who are predicting a roman triumph for Clinton are insane to me.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:44
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Cup Runneth Over posted:I'm pretty sure he hasn't changed his model since before the election It is the same model, but the now cast which is the number in question uses polls-only and is set as if today was the election day, and on top of that weights recent polls more.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:49
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Potato Salad posted:Cubs won. Got a link to that?
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Nov 3, 2016 07:49
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Mixodorian posted:Guys Hillary is against partial birth abortion can we stop with the superfluous conjecture? Well, no, she's not. That's rather the point, as those are the most medically necessary abortions-never performed unless lives are at stake. Also, cease the political correctness, the term is intact dilation and extraction. Antti posted:No, you silly. The Cubs winning means Hillary finally got her hands on a genie's lamp. We now know two of her wishes. What do you think the third one is? My money's on something good for children 
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Nov 3, 2016 07:50
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PEC is reporting only a 66% chance of Democratic Senate control 
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Nov 3, 2016 07:50
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Charlz Guybon posted:Got a link to that? https://www.scribd.com/document/329698329/TargetSmart-William-Mary-Florida-Poll-of-Early-and-Likely-Voters
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Nov 3, 2016 07:51
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stone cold posted:What do you think the third one is? My money's on something good for children The complete and utter destruction of the Republican party. So, we're in agreement, really.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:51
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Roland Jones posted:The complete and utter destruction of the Republican party. I thought that was one of her first two wishes... 
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Nov 3, 2016 07:53
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stone cold posted:
I'm not sure I can vote for someone who doesn't use the third wish to free the genie.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:54
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Phone posted:Cross posting from c-spam: Russia totally not responsible for Wikileaks leaks, says Russia. Cat totally not responsible for spilt water glass, says Cat.
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Nov 3, 2016 07:56
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