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how does he remember to breathe.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:11
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news 
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PEC is at 100% because of a glitch in the software, but it should still say >99%
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Nov 3, 2016 13:11
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Phone posted:Brutal oppo dump: Trump is a dumpster fire of a candidate.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:12
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FAUXTON posted:I would like to think that there's going to be a brutal oppo dump today so that it gets a full day of play, followed by Friday analysis which boosts weekend turnout going into the election. That's a pipe dream and it ain't happening but lol if it did. I'd expect more anti-Clinton leaks from the FBI or even some faked Wikileaks emails before an oppo dump on Trump.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:13
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https://twitter.com/skoczela/status/794101814757101568 Can't imagine Ayotte is up that much, but it's a live poll with landlines and cell's
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Nov 3, 2016 13:14
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Get hosed, you orange fascist.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:14
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canepazzo posted:https://twitter.com/ParkerMolloy/status/793790274870861824 Trumpists are some of the most thin skinned/easily triggered people I have ever seen. These are the type of people that rail on PC culture and how overly sensitive the "liberals" are and they go off the rails at a cup. Do they not realise the irony? Agrajag fucked around with this message at 13:18 on Nov 3, 2016 |
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Nov 3, 2016 13:15
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Roland Jones posted:Yeah, I had another Facebook argument with the Bernie-to-Trump guy, and his argument eventually boiled down to saying "Look at all these scandals and emails! There has to be something there, she's totally corrupt," versus me saying "Prove it; 'where there's smoke there's fire' isn't a good argument when she's had enemies trying to smear her for longer than I've been alive." He never provided proof but likewise wasn't convinced by either my pointing out that most of the "scandals" are really nothing nor that Trump is provably corrupt, so about the only thing accomplished there was me putting up long pro-Hillary arguments my relatives may stumble upon if I don't preemptively block them or something for a while. 1. Clinton does what she does because she thinks it's right 2. Clinton does what she does because somebody pays her to So at worst - if 2 is true - this means somebody could in the future pay her to start doing abhorrent stuff. However, Trump is already doing abhorrent stuff seemingly out of his own free mind.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:16
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Hillary Clinton is suddenly polling at 39% in a swing state she has generally being polling well in so far. Yeah, sure.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:17
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Ganon posted:https://twitter.com/skoczela/status/794101814757101568 Ayotte has been up consistently for the last month with the exception of UNH polls. Unless Hillary wins the state by 6-7, Ayotte will keep her seat.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:19
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Is this seriously the second year in a row that right wingers have had a collective aneurism over a goddamn Starbucks cup?
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Nov 3, 2016 13:23
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FlamingLiberal posted:Is this seriously the second year in a row that right wingers have had a collective aneurism over a goddamn Starbucks cup? Yes.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:24
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FlamingLiberal posted:Is this seriously the second year in a row that right wingers have had a collective aneurism over a goddamn Starbucks cup? Keep at it, Starbucks.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:25
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How did he make it to 42. He sounds like he should have wandered into traffic following a pretty balloon years ago.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:25
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Agrajag posted:Trumpists are some of the most thin skinned/easily triggered people I have ever seen. These are the type of people that rail on PC culture and how overly sensitive the "liberals" are and they go off the rails at a cup. Do they not realise the irony? The real PC culture is you can't offend white people generally and usually white conservatives. BLM's message is merely "hey maybe stop killing us so much police and then letting them get away with it justice system?" and that is enough to get even white moderates to start asking for them to be more polite. FlamingLiberal posted:Is this seriously the second year in a row that right wingers have had a collective aneurism over a goddamn Starbucks cup? I'm sure THIS is the year that they will learn their lesson when all the angry assholes stop getting their coffee there.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:26
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I thought that "Racist is the N-word for whites" was hyperbole, I know now I was very wrong. E: Hillary event in Greenville today.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:27
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If you can imagine the perception that Starbucks is some liberal enclave where all the liberals/hipsters go to sip lattes and be smug, then you understand why right wingers constantly melt down over it
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Nov 3, 2016 13:28
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San Francisco, 1938. INTERNATIONAL BANKERS! DIRTY PRESS! IS THIS AMERICA? DICTATOR! 
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Nov 3, 2016 13:30
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It's way simpler than that even. Bill O'Reilly told them there's a war on Christmas and by gawd they'll fight that imaginary war. 
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Nov 3, 2016 13:30
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metachronos posted:PEC is at 100% because of a glitch in the software, but it should still say >99% So remember earlier when I said that I don't like PEC's model? This is why. There is no loving way you have the polls bouncing around like this and it's 100% certain Clinton wins.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:31
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Dead Cosmonaut posted:If you can imagine the perception that Starbucks is some liberal enclave where all the liberals/hipsters go to sip lattes and be smug, then you understand why right wingers constantly melt down over it Sounds like they hate capitalism. 
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Nov 3, 2016 13:31
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Agrajag posted:Trumpists are some of the most thin skinned/easily triggered people I have ever seen. These are the type of people that rail on PC culture and how overly sensitive the "liberals" are and they go off the rails at a cup. Do they not realise the irony? In some ways, you can't blame them. Option 2 is realizing that they're assholes and mediocre people at best who coasted by on racial privilege and still managed to gently caress up their pathetic lives.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:31
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Dead Cosmonaut posted:If you can imagine the perception that Starbucks is some liberal enclave where all the liberals/hipsters go to sip lattes and be smug, then you understand why right wingers constantly melt down over it Instead it's a slop trough for disgusting hogs howling out of the suburbs in pearl white escalades bought with maxed HELOCs liened against far more house than can ever be afforded on the salaries of a dental tech and an AVP level hack shackled to middle management in B2B sales.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:32
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Dead Cosmonaut posted:If you can imagine the perception that Starbucks is some liberal enclave where all the liberals/hipsters go to sip lattes and be smug, then you understand why right wingers constantly melt down over it It's clearly not. It's a giant multinational that delivers a lovely product at a terrible price. How much more Republican can you get?
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Nov 3, 2016 13:33
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axeil posted:So remember earlier when I said that I don't like PEC's model? This is why. There is no loving way you have the polls bouncing around like this and it's 100% certain Clinton wins. To be fair, if you exclude trackers, polls are bouncing between a close win and a big win for Clinton. There's no bouncing towards a tie or Trump win, for the most part. So technically a 100% win chance seems fair to me. Winning at 270 is the same as winning at 538 after all.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:34
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Dead Cosmonaut posted:If you can imagine the perception that Starbucks is some liberal enclave where all the liberals/hipsters go to sip lattes and be smug, then you understand why right wingers constantly melt down over it Starbucks basically completely flopped in Australia due to it being poo poo coffee. Maybe it has some cultural significance in the states though? I guess if you don't have good alternatives you take what you get.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:39
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axeil posted:So remember earlier when I said that I don't like PEC's model? This is why. There is no loving way you have the polls bouncing around like this and it's 100% certain Clinton wins. Mr. Wang thinks it's less than 1%, Shook Nate put it at 30%, other people are in between.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:40
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Radish posted:The real PC culture is you can't offend white people generally and usually white conservatives. I see there are some people who basically experience it as the downfall of Civilization when somebody makes a joke about "White people" or features a non-European civilization in Civ 6 or whatever. But there's also a huge culture built on White self irony. I know that because I guess I have to admit it's one of my favourite forms of culture. See e.g. Louis Ck, or stuffwhitepeoplelike.com. So there's a huge market for this, and I'd actually guess the market is mostly white. Similarly, it's not like e.g. David Chappelle couldn't pull a mixed audience. I'm not saying I doubt what you're saying, I'm just not sure what exactly you mean.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:40
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Hillary's chance to win in the PEC model is 98% in the random drift and >99% in the Bayesian one. Which seems reasonable unless you assume that polling is significantly biased in her favour.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:42
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DancingShade posted:Starbucks basically completely flopped in Australia due to it being poo poo coffee. Maybe it has some cultural significance in the states though? I guess if you don't have good alternatives you take what you get.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:43
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Holy poo poo. I just heard the most ridiculous Trump ad ever on a national Hip Hop and R&B radio station. It was targeting African-Americans. quote:Black Woman: Election day is coming up and I'm thinking about voting for Hillary Clinton.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:45
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You can go to the NYT upshot page and see all the paths each has to 270. Giving her a baseline of the states at 85% C, he has very few paths. He can win Florida and Ohio and still loose in a bunch of different ways.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:46
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axeil posted:So remember earlier when I said that I don't like PEC's model? This is why. There is no loving way you have the polls bouncing around like this and it's 100% certain Clinton wins. But the more straight-forward reason would be rounding. There is basically no difference between 99.4 and 99.6%, of course. Still, my personal guess would be even 99% is an overestimation.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:47
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:Holy poo poo. Are we absolutely sure that Cracked's parody video wasn't inadvertently 100% factually correct? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qIQbydyHwc
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Nov 3, 2016 13:48
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:Holy poo poo. How do you know they're Black Americans? Do they get really pronounced AAVE pronunciation? Also, the thing sounds like it's written by somebody who says "you people".
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Nov 3, 2016 13:51
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Groovelord Neato posted:how does he remember to breathe. Everyone else is doing it!
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Nov 3, 2016 13:53
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quote:Black Man: And did you hear what she said about us in her emails? Lol
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Nov 3, 2016 13:53
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Cingulate posted:Can you expand on this one a bit? Then you have people who know about all that, but they don't view it as a threat because it's not serious. It's just a silly white comedian or a silly black comedian or a silly video game, and it's nothing to worry about it's just harmlessly irreverent stuff. I suspect this is the majority of white people. These people are able to ignore the stuff you mention in pop culture because they don't take it seriously and are able to convince themselves it isn't aimed at them anyway, at least not directly person-to-person and again it's just harmlessly irreverent anyway. All that changes as soon as you tell them, person-to-person, that no, that poo poo they just did or said is racist as gently caress and they need to cut it out, because they don't have a coping mechanism for why it doesn't apply to them anymore, since you are directly telling them it does really apply to them. Kilroy fucked around with this message at 13:56 on Nov 3, 2016 |
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Nov 3, 2016 13:53
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Nessus posted:Coffee was, previously, mostly something that outside of specialist shops you got in a white mug at the diner or a to-go cup. Maybe there were flavorings, and I am sure espresso and Turkish coffee were around, but it was a pretty fungible good. Starbucks kind of cracked open our collective rear end in a top hat on fancy-pants candy bar sugar drinks. This. Yes, now there are better alternatives most places, but inertia is on Starbucks' side.
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Nov 3, 2016 13:55
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PT6A posted:It's clearly not. It's a giant multinational that delivers a lovely product at a terrible price. How much more Republican can you get? Some kind of Soda-Bucks? A store where they pour cheap club soda into a paper cup, squirt whatever syrup you want into it and sell it for $6? (Rural people, at least around me, drink Coke/Pepsi at 7AM on the way to work. Its disturbing.) Is there any recent new hampshire news? CNN has some "NH is a Toss-up/Moving to trump" article up and i'd like real details
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Nov 3, 2016 13:56
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