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gently caress You And Diebold posted:salty donny Are you all ready for Speaker Trump (R-WI)?
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:05 |
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# ? May 20, 2024 18:48 |
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mandatory lesbian posted:weird as hell magic card you find a magic card somewhere it has no reason to be
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:05 |
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Potato Salad posted:Sorta. From article: Yeah and 88 percent is suddenly way in line with betting markets, the Upshot, and that pessimistic PEC model. Plus, if we do see a slight rebound in national polls, she should tick up even more.
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:05 |
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mannerup posted:https://twitter.com/MichaelBiundo/status/795323385354027009 It's like that time the Romney campaign cut off the campaign credit cards in the middle of his concession speech. But trump is business savvy and not even activating resources to begin with
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:06 |
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Is it too late for a Jeb! comeback?
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:06 |
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Squizzle posted:mods admins plz lift the 10 sec timer from now until 8 am on wednesday yea quit holding this thread back
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:06 |
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he's got the most powerful genes
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:06 |
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He is so loving stupid about everything.
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:06 |
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There's always a certain sweet feeling you get after putting together a particularly cruel decklist
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:06 |
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Turdfuzz posted:yea quit holding this thread back Come on mods! #MSAGA
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:06 |
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Squizzle posted:mods admins plz lift the 10 sec timer from now until 8 am on wednesday Why? are you trying to top al!'s 11k posts? E. forgot punctuation neutral milf hotel fucked around with this message at 19:19 on Nov 6, 2016 |
# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:07 |
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mannerup posted:https://twitter.com/MichaelBiundo/status/795323385354027009 Sounds like the campaign should pay its bills.
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:07 |
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boethius posted:Is it too late for a Jeb! comeback? Too early to tell!!
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:07 |
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mannerup posted:https://twitter.com/MichaelBiundo/status/795323385354027009 Probably because trump campaign didn't pay the phone bill.
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:07 |
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https://twitter.com/CahnEmily/status/795322989973831684 https://twitter.com/CahnEmily/status/795323234665242625
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:07 |
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I'm large and in charge
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:07 |
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That DICK! posted:I'm large and in charge and?
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:07 |
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boethius posted:Is it too late for a Jeb! comeback?
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:08 |
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That DICK! posted:I'm large and in charge a.lo posted:and?
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:08 |
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That DICK! posted:I'm large and in charge Chris Christie?
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:08 |
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That DICK! posted:I'm large and in charge two types of nerds short n fat tall n absurdly tall
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:08 |
iospace posted:In today's "loving Duh" moment: The first paragraph here basically states that Donald Trump is really Wile E Coyote in an elaborate costume. Luckily for us, Hillary is actually The Road Runner in a pantsuit.
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:09 |
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Jeb! Can Fix It (the election)
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:09 |
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Turdfuzz posted:two types of nerds i meant skinny n absurdly tall but hey u kno gotta get them posts out the loving door stat
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:10 |
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iospace posted:Real talk though: The one state I'm worried about now is NC. Rep turnout seems to be higher than 2012 this year, though I haven't seen any solid numbers on final EV turnout. rep turnout's slightly higher (a fraction of a percent) than dem turnout, but it's eating into their election day total in 2012 dems had about 42% ev turnout vs reps 40% and romney's narrow (~90k vote) victory came from dems cannibalizing their election day vote now it's r-47.8 d-47.7, with slightly fewer registered dems and slightly more registered republicans than this day in 2012 provided the clinton campaign actually turns out election day votes and unaffiliateds, the majority of whom are under 50 and live in urban areas, don't for some reason all of a sudden break heavily toward trump, there just aren't enough registered republicans left to carry election day to the same extent they did in 2012 also keep in mind about 45.2% of all registered voters have already voted. a high turnout election in nc sees total turnout in the mid-60s, so we're looking at roughly 2/3 of the state having already voted
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:11 |
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Putting all that spirit cooking to good use. https://twitter.com/porn_horse/status/794741653970059264
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:11 |
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a.lo posted:and? And I want Bill and Melanie to gently caress
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:11 |
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it aint shitposting if u proofread or even correct speeling mistakes
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:12 |
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I'm trying to kick my crippling forums addiction, someone please link the last Schnorkels effortpost so I can read that and log out again tia.
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:12 |
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Tainen posted:Putting all that spirit cooking to good use. like, a horse that does porn?
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:13 |
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Fiction posted:this is literally your fault you philandering miserable old gently caress behold one of his wonderful contributions to elevating our national discourse https://users.wfu.edu/zulick/454/gopac.html
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:12 |
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logikv9 posted:When this forum gets to November 8, 2016, you're going to see some serious poo poo. I'm going to sign every single one of my posts that day I'm not even kidding!!!
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:14 |
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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/795328001621819393 so this is why he wasn't tweeting for a few hours
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:13 |
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Schnorkles brand EV update, Maybe calling Hispanics rapists was a poor strategic decision edition: Rule of this election: Narratives don't really catch what's going on very well other then that Latino enthusiasm is way up. This will be a pretty short update as my head hurts and I'm tired. We've reached the portion of the media narrative where there are no obvious paths to the presidency for Donald Trump, especially with how Florida is going. This leads to lots of breathless pontificating about whether or not the HRC campaign is in trouble in Michigan or Pennsylvania. The same thing happened in 2012. Michigan [esp. with a couple close polls right at the end] was constantly analyzed as the place where Romney could sneak a state from the blue wall and change everything. While HRC shows weakness in the Rust Belt, I think that the media consensus that Ohio leans Trump and he can attack in MI/PA is a bit of a joke. Ohio is a tossup that will come down to organization [As fake Nixon calls it, "Precinct Politics"] , which is why I think most of the actual pundits who are interested in being right give HRC a very slight edge there. She's not losing MI/PA. Georgia - https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/795303212127551488 AfAm +3.7% from the equivalent point in 2012. [28k votes or so] FL and Louisiana are following similar trends while North Carolina and Virginia have a bit more squishyness in turnout. Virginia - Record turnout in early vote, especially in Latino heavy areas. Some squishyness in AfAm vote here, but not enough to really be concerned about anything, North Carolina - I've spent all morning reading about 10 different takes on the current NC electorate. It's a.) probably really close, b.) somewhere between "pretty good for HRC" and "really good for Trump" so who knows. AfAm turnout is down by about 60k total votes, but urban county turnout is way up. Latinos up by about 35k votes, and the surge in white voters is basically completely among women. My gut instinct is that's balanced out somewhat and depends on how white voters are breaking. Most polls put HRC close in NC with white voters, which is why she was performing well. Generally speaking, the electorate is as we expect it, so it simply comes down to how the white vote is breaking out. FL - I think the republicans are running out of old people. Numbers: Total Ballots cast: 6,152,099 Total Vote By Mail: 2,536,167 (42.2%) Total Early Vote: 3,615,932 (57.8%) Democrats: 2,435,493 (39.58%) Republicans: 2,403,171 (39.06%) NPA: 1,201,715 (21.35%) Total Margin: DEM +0.59% In an early voting cycle that has been characterized by very slight changes one way or the other on a day to day basis, Dems bank 30k+ votes and take a 35k lead into Sunday. Expect the lead to dramatically expand today, as early voting is on a county by county basis and basically the only counties that do it are Democratic strongholds. Ft. Myers, the Republicans best county in the state, sits at 59% turnout at the moment. It's not clear how much more vote they can actually squeeze out of that county. There is other really good news for Democrats all across the state: Turnout in Miami-Dade is really high and just getting higher. The turnout numbers in the I-4 corridor are basically the exact opposite of a Trump wave [i.e. Diverse Latino counties significantly overperforming, white republican counties underperforming.] Partisan democratic leads: Miami-Dade +100k Broward +188.5k If these two numbers together get to around 500k, put a fork in it.
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:14 |
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Tacky-rear end Rococco posted:I'm trying to kick my crippling forums addiction i got forums fever i just cant stop
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:13 |
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If you have to put the text of what someone is saying on a gif it's a bad gif.
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:13 |
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Tainen posted:Putting all that spirit cooking to good use.
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:14 |
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boethius posted:Chris Christie? turnin Chris Christie into a Dark Souls boss I will name him Corpus Christie
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:14 |
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TildeATH posted:If you have to put the text of what someone is saying on a gif it's a bad gif. oh geez a bad gif oh god no oh gently caress oh man
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:15 |
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# ? May 20, 2024 18:48 |
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nate is just really diving deep into that clickbait whirlpool, huh
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# ? Nov 6, 2016 19:16 |