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Niwrad
Jul 1, 2008

Inspector_666 posted:

So if he loses a few MPH he ends up with a high-90s FB and a mid-80s slider, both of which he throws for strikes about 60% of the time.

Like every other good closer in baseball. Again, do you think that's worth QO money?

I don't know a ton about Chapman but his slider seems to be poo poo and when his fastball was only hitting 99-100, teams were hitting him. He's dominant when he's on but he just feels like a guy who becomes really mediocre if he loses a few miles on that fastball.

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Dexo
Aug 15, 2009

A city that was to live by night after the wilderness had passed. A city that was to forge out of steel and blood-red neon its own peculiar wilderness.
I mean he got his last three outs in the World Series throwing nothing but sliders.

As long as he doesn't fall apart in the next 2-3 years the deal is fine

ScottyJSno
Aug 16, 2010

日本が大好きです!
When they say 3 years Full opt out. Is that team or player opt?

Inspector_666
Oct 7, 2003

benny with the good hair

ScottyJSno posted:

When they say 3 years Full opt out. Is that team or player opt?

Opt-out is player choice. Team option is the other.

At least that's how I've always seen it used.

Niwrad posted:

I don't know a ton about Chapman but his slider seems to be poo poo and when his fastball was only hitting 99-100, teams were hitting him. He's dominant when he's on but he just feels like a guy who becomes really mediocre if he loses a few miles on that fastball.

Maybe the Yankees will just teach him a cutter :v:

Niwrad
Jul 1, 2008

Has to be player because otherwise it's a worse deal than what Melancon got.

Ammat The Ankh
Sep 7, 2010

Now, attempt to defeat me!
And I shall become a living legend!
Poor Melancon, only held the record for a relief pitcher contract two days.

Spoeank
Jul 16, 2003

That's a nice set of 11 dynasty points there, it would be a shame if 3 rings were to happen with it
Kinda pissed that piece of poo poo garbage wife beater Aroldis Chapman got a ring and $86 million AND improved his current franchise via trade all in the last 6 months.

Dexo
Aug 15, 2009

A city that was to live by night after the wilderness had passed. A city that was to forge out of steel and blood-red neon its own peculiar wilderness.
A dude like that just won our goddamn presidency. So I'm no longer gonna be shocked about any rear end in a top hat finding massive amounts of success in life.

Mr. Meagles
Apr 30, 2004

Out here, everything hurts


Vernacular posted:

Who does, then?

The guy who cranks the elaborate series of pulleys and levers that run the dinger machine gets to have dental insurance and a free hot dog every shift.

not a polish though, that's extra

Mr. Meagles fucked around with this message at 08:04 on Dec 8, 2016

R.D. Mangles
Jan 10, 2004


now i can root for rajai davis to yard him every time.

Santheb
Jul 13, 2005

I guess the scouts saw what everybody else saw in Giolito during his time in the majors. Nats lineup will be really interesting with Turner/Eaton/Murphy and hopefully Harper in MVP form behind them.

Would've liked to have kept Lopez, but at the same time Giolito looked really awful last year in basically every facet and it wouldn't have been worth it for the White Sox. A lot of that was the hype but..man. He just didn't look anywhere close to big league ready.

Santheb fucked around with this message at 08:17 on Dec 8, 2016

R.D. Mangles
Jan 10, 2004


i just tried to google the white sox "the kids can play" ads from 2000 to saucily post in this thread and got nothing but pictures of the laroches

ZenVulgarity
Oct 9, 2012

I made the hat by transforming my zen

I'm okay with Chapman's contract

I would have preferred a non wife beater/shooter though

Ugh I do not like rooting for him at all

BigBallChunkyTime
Nov 25, 2011

Kyle Schwarber: World Series hero, Beefy Lad, better than you.

Illegal Hen

Popete posted:

My main reason for not wanting to hold on to Chapman is that he seems super volatile. If he loses a tick off his velocity he becomes pretty drat hittable because he doesn't throw much else. His control is already pretty shaky but he gets around it by getting guys to start their swing early and miss on terrible pitches out of the zone.

If he loses a bit of velocity in 2-3 years and he can't control it, it's over.

See: World Series Game 7

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!
I'm glad the least likable team in baseball signed that piece of poo poo, makes everything simple.

Intruder
Mar 5, 2003

I got a taste for blown saves
He got Dustyed by Maddon that's hardly his fault

BigBallChunkyTime
Nov 25, 2011

Kyle Schwarber: World Series hero, Beefy Lad, better than you.

Illegal Hen

Intruder posted:

He got Dustyed by Maddon that's hardly his fault

Didn't say it was, and you're right. That's exactly what happened.

I was just pointing to an example of what happens when he can't hit 102 with his fastball.

mcmagic
Jul 1, 2004

If you see this avatar while scrolling the succ zone, you have been visited by the mcmagic of shitty lib takes! Good luck and prosperity will come to you, but only if you reply "shut the fuck up mcmagic" to this post!

Professor Funk posted:

I feel like I'm living through last offseason again with people (on Twitter etc.) talking about Betances/Chapman and K/9. It doesn't matter; the Yankees are going to win like 76 games next year.

Why would they be worse than they were last season?

tadashi
Feb 20, 2006

The MLB portion of the Rule V draft is over.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/12/2016-rule-5-draft-results.html

V: The Padres are filling in their roster with an infielder from the Cardinals who hasn't played above rookie ball and are rumored to be getting the Twins' pick, a pitcher who hasn't pitched above A ball. It looks like A.J. Preller is still trying to win at his OOTP MLB game.

Inspector_666
Oct 7, 2003

benny with the good hair

tadashi posted:

The MLB portion of the Rule V draft is over.

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/12/2016-rule-5-draft-results.html

V: The Padres are filling in their roster with an infielder from the Cardinals who hasn't played above rookie ball and are rumored to be getting the Twins' pick, a pitcher who hasn't pitched above A ball. It looks like A.J. Preller is still trying to win at his OOTP MLB game.

Hm, surprised nobody took Cave again this year.

Not surprised that Torrens went, but I would be pretty amazed if he stuck.

Paul Zuvella
Dec 7, 2011

In a pure baseball move, I love the chapman deal. Guy's an elite arm and the yankees have infinite money.

However, He is also a shithead and that makes me feel very complicated.

Also a friendly reminder that the Yankees have about 74 million coming off the books next offseason. They are gonna be big time spenders again soon enough.

seiferguy
Jun 9, 2005

FLAWED
INTUITION



Toilet Rascal
If the Mariners come out of the winter meetings with only Phil Humber 2.0 I'm gonna be pretty annoyed because this rotation is in no way one that gets you to the playoffs.

JeterianGiftBasket
Jul 9, 2016

#re2pect

Inspector_666 posted:

I think it's a defensible contract from a years/money standpoint.

Money, sure, but years?

2011's top 10 relievers, by fWAR:
1. Craig Kimbrel (3.2 fWAR in 2011): 1.2 in 2016, worst of his career.
2. Jonathan Papelbon (3.0): 0.3
3. Sean Marshall: Hasn't pitched since 2014.
4. David Robertson (2.6): 1.0
5. Mariano Rivera: Hasn't pitched since 2013.
6. John Axford (1.9): 0.2
7. Mike Adams: Hasn't pitched since 2014.
8. Joel Hanrahan: Hasn't pitched since 2013.
9. Ryan Madson (1.7): 0.3
10. Greg Holland: Hasn't pitched since 2015.

Relievers break. It's what they do. If Chapman is a Rivera-level exception to the rule I'll be ecstatic and it'll be a great contract. But somehow, I don't think that's likely.

Inspector_666
Oct 7, 2003

benny with the good hair

JeterianGiftBasket posted:

Money, sure, but years?

2011's top 10 relievers, by fWAR:
1. Craig Kimbrel (3.2 fWAR in 2011): 1.2 in 2016, worst of his career.
2. Jonathan Papelbon (3.0): 0.3
3. Sean Marshall: Hasn't pitched since 2014.
4. David Robertson (2.6): 1.0
5. Mariano Rivera: Hasn't pitched since 2013.
6. John Axford (1.9): 0.2
7. Mike Adams: Hasn't pitched since 2014.
8. Joel Hanrahan: Hasn't pitched since 2013.
9. Ryan Madson (1.7): 0.3
10. Greg Holland: Hasn't pitched since 2015.

Relievers break. It's what they do. If Chapman is a Rivera-level exception to the rule I'll be ecstatic and it'll be a great contract. But somehow, I don't think that's likely.

If in the 5th year of Chapman's deal he's garbage, I'll still take it. Even Papelbon was good last year.

Intruder
Mar 5, 2003

I got a taste for blown saves
Rule V results per MLB Trade Rumors

1. Twins (39) – RHP Miguel Diaz, Brewers
2. Reds (38) – C Luis Torrens, Yankees
3. Padres (33) – IF Allen Cordoba, Cardinals
4. Rays (39) – RHP Kevin Gadea, Mariners
5. Braves (39) – RHP Armando Rivero, Cubs
6. A’s (40) – No selection
7. D-backs (38) – RHP Tyler Jones, Yankees
8. Phillies (40) – No selection
9. Brewers (39) – LHP Caleb Smith, Yankees
10. Angels (39) – RHP Justin Haley, Red Sox
11. Rockies (37) – No selection
12. White Sox (38) – RHP Dylan Covey, Athletics
13. Pirates (38) – LHP Tyler Webb, Yankees
14. Marlins (37) – No selection
15. Royals (39) – No selection
16. Astros (39) – No selection
17. Yankees (39) – No selection
18. Mariners (40) – No selection
19. Cardinals (39) – No selection
20. Tigers (39) – LHP Daniel Stumpf, Royals
21. Giants (40) – No selection
22. Mets (40) – No selection
23. Orioles (36) – OF Aneury Tavarez, Red Sox
24. Blue Jays (38) – RHP Glenn Sparkman, Royals
25. Dodgers (40) – No selection
26. Red Sox (39) – IF Josh Rutledge, Rockies
27. Indians (38) – LHP Hoby Milner, Indians
28. Nationals (38) – No selection
29. Rangers (39) – LHP Mike Hauschild, Astros
30. Cubs (35) – No selection

SECOND ROUND

Reds – C Stuart Turner, Twins
Orioles – OF Anthony Santander, Indians

However, I also saw this

https://twitter.com/brianmctaggart/status/806868291650277376

So who knows how accurate the rest of it is

bewbies
Sep 23, 2003

Fun Shoe
I don't wish the Yankees any particular ill will but I continue to hope that Chapman's rotator cuff will blow out like an old tire

Hand Knit
Oct 24, 2005

Beer Loses more than a game Sunday ...
We lost our Captain, our Teammate, our Friend Kelly Calabro...
Rest in Peace my friend you will be greatly missed..
Glenn Sparkman's got some name tool at least.

tadashi
Feb 20, 2006

Intruder posted:

Rule V results per MLB Trade Rumors

1. Twins (39) – RHP Miguel Diaz, Brewers
2. Reds (38) – C Luis Torrens, Yankees
3. Padres (33) – IF Allen Cordoba, Cardinals
4. Rays (39) – RHP Kevin Gadea, Mariners
5. Braves (39) – RHP Armando Rivero, Cubs
6. A’s (40) – No selection
7. D-backs (38) – RHP Tyler Jones, Yankees
8. Phillies (40) – No selection
9. Brewers (39) – LHP Caleb Smith, Yankees
10. Angels (39) – RHP Justin Haley, Red Sox
11. Rockies (37) – No selection
12. White Sox (38) – RHP Dylan Covey, Athletics
13. Pirates (38) – LHP Tyler Webb, Yankees
14. Marlins (37) – No selection
15. Royals (39) – No selection
16. Astros (39) – No selection
17. Yankees (39) – No selection
18. Mariners (40) – No selection
19. Cardinals (39) – No selection
20. Tigers (39) – LHP Daniel Stumpf, Royals
21. Giants (40) – No selection
22. Mets (40) – No selection
23. Orioles (36) – OF Aneury Tavarez, Red Sox
24. Blue Jays (38) – RHP Glenn Sparkman, Royals
25. Dodgers (40) – No selection
26. Red Sox (39) – IF Josh Rutledge, Rockies
27. Indians (38) – LHP Hoby Milner, Indians
28. Nationals (38) – No selection
29. Rangers (39) – LHP Mike Hauschild, Astros
30. Cubs (35) – No selection

SECOND ROUND

Reds – C Stuart Turner, Twins
Orioles – OF Anthony Santander, Indians

However, I also saw this

https://twitter.com/brianmctaggart/status/806868291650277376

So who knows how accurate the rest of it is

The Tweet was from the 2nd round of the minor league portion of the Rule 5 draft. It moves pretty fast since teams have lists and don't need to do any negotiating with the players.

Intruder
Mar 5, 2003

I got a taste for blown saves
And there you have it. Thanks

Paul Zuvella
Dec 7, 2011

Torrens sure is a choice, he's a 20 year old in A ball who can't hit for poo poo.

Tender Bender
Sep 17, 2004

Popete posted:

For 29 other teams I don't think Chapman is worth the money. But as many have said it's the Yankees so what do they care? They have the closer spot locked down for awhile.


I care because the Yankees do have a ceiling. It's a very high ceiling, I'm not saying "woe is me" but I would still rather they dump that money on someone else. Also I have no interest in rooting for Chapman.

tadashi
Feb 20, 2006

Paul Zuvella posted:

Torrens sure is a choice, he's a 20 year old in A ball who can't hit for poo poo.

He got traded to the Padres, too, so they effectively ended up with the top 3 picks. They are just loading up that empty space on their roster with Rule V guys, it seems. They can always send them back, I guess.

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



If a player gets traded to another team I believe the Rule V rules don't apply

Inspector_666
Oct 7, 2003

benny with the good hair

Paul Zuvella posted:

Torrens sure is a choice, he's a 20 year old in A ball who can't hit for poo poo.

He can hit when he's healthy, he just hasn't been (shoulder stuff.)

tadashi posted:

He got traded to the Padres, too, so they effectively ended up with the top 3 picks. They are just loading up that empty space on their roster with Rule V guys, it seems. They can always send them back, I guess.

Rule 5 guys have to stay on the 25-man all season, so their empty 40-man doesn't factor in much. They'd have to be willing to pretty much burn a roster spot to keep Torrens. Which who knows, maybe they are. It is the Padres.

I think Webb has a very good chance of sticking on Pittsburg though.

FlamingLiberal posted:

If a player gets traded to another team I believe the Rule V rules don't apply

Nope, the restrictions transfer to the new team.

Paul Zuvella
Dec 7, 2011

Tender Bender posted:

I care because the Yankees do have a ceiling. It's a very high ceiling, I'm not saying "woe is me" but I would still rather they dump that money on someone else. Also I have no interest in rooting for Chapman.

The only "ceiling" they have is getting under the Luxary Tax after next season. Which they are going to do.

Also not to mention, this team won 84 games last year with a completely poo poo offense. If Sanchez puts in a full good year, Bird is close to his 2015 level, Halliday mashes some taters and one of their new outfield guys hits, they are going to have a servicible offense and compete for like 87-90 wins, which is a playoff birth.

Inspector_666 posted:

I think Webb has a very good chance of sticking on Pittsburg though.



Yeah, Webb has a real chance to be a actual MLB LOOGY

Intruder
Mar 5, 2003

I got a taste for blown saves

FlamingLiberal posted:

If a player gets traded to another team I believe the Rule V rules don't apply

I could swear they still do but :shrug:

I mean that seems like it would create an extremely easy way to circumvent the system, just have two teams who are drafting back to back take each others' preferred pick and then trade them for each other

Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!
Cubs traded for Caleb Smith for cash considerations following the Rule 5 draft, in Cubs chat.

mcmagic
Jul 1, 2004

If you see this avatar while scrolling the succ zone, you have been visited by the mcmagic of shitty lib takes! Good luck and prosperity will come to you, but only if you reply "shut the fuck up mcmagic" to this post!

Tender Bender posted:

I care because the Yankees do have a ceiling. It's a very high ceiling, I'm not saying "woe is me" but I would still rather they dump that money on someone else. Also I have no interest in rooting for Chapman.

Who? This is a pretty thin FA class.

howe_sam
Mar 7, 2013

Creepy little garbage eaters

Intruder posted:

Rule V results per MLB Trade Rumors

26. Red Sox (39) รขโ‚ฌโ€œ IF Josh Rutledge, Rockies
27. Indians (38) รขโ‚ฌโ€œ LHP Hoby Milner, Indians
28. Nationals (38) รขโ‚ฌโ€œ No selection
29. Rangers (39) รขโ‚ฌโ€œ LHP Mike Hauschild, Astros
30. Cubs (35) รขโ‚ฌโ€œ No selection


Rutledge comes home.

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Nail Rat
Dec 29, 2000

You maniacs! You blew it up! God damn you! God damn you all to hell!!

mcmagic posted:

Who? This is a pretty thin FA class.

I'd say the issue will be in 2 years when there's a really good free agent class, Chapman may or may not be losing a bit of speed off his fastball, but they're still paying him $17 million a year for three more years.

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