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Edible Hat
Jul 23, 2007

by FactsAreUseless

MizPiz posted:

"Let's avoid states with precarious support to trick the opposition into not campaigning there" is nth level chess poo poo that cannot be blamed on bad information.

My point is that what happened is absolutely unacceptable and I want all the Clinton lackeys to be expelled from the Democratic Party, but those decisions were more rational than they would first appear. Data suggested that North Carolina and Florida were far closer than Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, so the campaign's focus on those states where each dollar spent was more likely to affect the outcome makes more sense in that context.

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KomradeX
Oct 29, 2011

But they were only rational because they ignored all information that didn't conform to their expectations

Business Gorillas
Mar 11, 2009

:harambe:



Re: the discrepancy of polls v. the result:

Sounds like when they asked people they supported clinton but just couldn't be fuckin bothered to show up for her on election day :shrug:

FuriousxGeorge
Aug 8, 2007

We've been the best team all year.

They're just finding out.
maybe hillary was actually awesome and her sycophants aren't responsible for letting an incompetent fascist win the presidency?

oh wait, no

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/michigan-hillary-clinton-trump-232547

achillesforever6
Apr 23, 2012

psst you wanna do a communism?

FuriousxGeorge posted:

I live in PA and I still have no idea what the gently caress happened in PA.

All I know is right before the election I was in the small town poconos and basically every lawn had a Trump sign. Obama won some of those areas. I noticed a lot of what looked like recently closed down small businesses, even stuff like restaurants which is sad for a tourist area. I buy the economic anxiety angle to a degree.

Also, if people assumed the "moderate" northeast republicans would be scared off by racism and sexism...you don't understand northeast republicans.


j/k it's all russia.
South Western PA is so depressing once you leave like the 1st suburb from Pittsburgh until you reach Philly these people have no respect for just what damage conservatives/businessmen did to the region. Maybe they will open their eyes when Pittsburgh becomes hell on earth again when the EPA is disbanded and all those coal/old steel mills get to operate without regulations. I mean hell 70% of the city has lead in the water above normal, why not make it 100%?

Hobologist
May 4, 2007

We'll have one entire section labelled "for degenerates"

Mister Fister posted:

The really sad thing is, the only reason Bernie seems 'radical' is because of the Democrats chasing center-right votes. Bernie would best be described as 'boring' and 'garden variety' in virtually any other Western nation.

We are a more conservative country. I was not looking forward to Thanksgiving because my cousin married a foreign horde from Ireland, and I was imagining him saying "You know, in Ireland our president is practically a Socialist."

Business Gorillas
Mar 11, 2009

:harambe:



Hobologist posted:

We are a more conservative country. I was not looking forward to Thanksgiving because my cousin married a foreign horde from Ireland, and I was imagining him saying "You know, in Ireland our president is practically a Socialist."

Better not look at how progressive policies poll when they aren't attached to democrats then

KomradeX
Oct 29, 2011

Every time and uninspiring technocrat losses, the same idiot wing of the party comes out in full defeatist tone that America is just a conservative country there's nothing we can do but become more conservatives in return

Old James
Nov 20, 2003

Wait a sec. I don't know an Old James!

MizPiz posted:

"Best" part:



This reminds me of my experience with the Howard Dean campaign. I was an under-employed recent college grad looking for something worthwhile to do with my time. At my Dad's suggestion I drove up to Burlington to volunteer but was told by staffers to go home. I asked for flyers or signs so I could stand on a street corner and hand out. The response was that I should just write a check. The experience left me so disheartened I haven't volunteered for another campaign since.

Eggplant Squire
Aug 14, 2003


KomradeX posted:

Every time and uninspiring technocrat losses, the same idiot wing of the party comes out in full defeatist tone that America is just a conservative country there's nothing we can do but become more conservatives in return

See Brexit.

JeffersonClay
Jun 17, 2003

by R. Guyovich

KomradeX posted:

Every time and uninspiring technocrat losses, the same idiot wing of the party comes out in full defeatist tone that America is just a conservative country there's nothing we can do but become more conservatives in return

Obama was an inspiring technocrat and won big. There's not necessarily any link between technocrat and uninspiring.

KomradeX
Oct 29, 2011

Radish posted:

See Brexit.

Exactly, we talk just about the Democrats, but the mainstream left parties across the globe have adopted this same thought and than we're all left perplexed at why over the last decade we've seen a global resurgence in the far right and fascism.

Meme Poker Party
Sep 1, 2006

by Azathoth

Old James posted:

This reminds me of my experience with the Howard Dean campaign. I was an under-employed recent college grad looking for something worthwhile to do with my time. At my Dad's suggestion I drove up to Burlington to volunteer but was told by staffers to go home. I asked for flyers or signs so I could stand on a street corner and hand out. The response was that I should just write a check. The experience left me so disheartened I haven't volunteered for another campaign since.

Before this incident were you just known as "James"?

FuriousxGeorge
Aug 8, 2007

We've been the best team all year.

They're just finding out.

JeffersonClay posted:

There's not necessarily any link between technocrat and uninspiring.

Cease to Hope
Dec 12, 2011

JeffersonClay posted:

Obama was an inspiring technocrat and won big. There's not necessarily any link between technocrat and uninspiring.

Obama didn't campaign on being a technocrat. He campaigned on broad, if vague, social goals and ran his campaign like an effective technocrat. Contrast with Gore and Clinton, who campaigned on technocratic ideas like efficiency and incrementalism and ran their campaigns, well, not very efficiently at all.

Aurubin
Mar 17, 2011

KomradeX posted:

Exactly, we talk just about the Democrats, but the mainstream left parties across the globe have adopted this same thought and than we're all left perplexed at why over the last decade we've seen a global resurgence in the far right and fascism.

Neoliberalism is inevitable! Free trade is the future! You'll just have to adju...*door on gas chamber slams shut, Made in America stenciled in bold lettering on it's frame.*

KomradeX
Oct 29, 2011

JeffersonClay posted:

Obama was an inspiring technocrat and won big. There's not necessarily any link between technocrat and uninspiring.

And look at how good coat tails shrank as he sprinted to the right away from what he campaigned on, and lower Democrats sprinted to the right even faster in trying to make it look like they're not like Obama, how did that loving work out?

Obama being an inspiring technocrat doesn't mean that in the end the big standard party member with no message, no vision for the future will be successful.

People responded to Hope and Change, people want change and more than that they want that delivered on. You and your ilk have utterly failed to understand that and so you play helpless as if you are hostage to inevitability and you fail and refuse to learn your lesson. If you shock a mouse enough times when it goes for cheese it will learn not to go for cheese. But no matter how much you lose for the same spineless reasons you refuse to come to any conclusion that maybe what your trying to sell no one wants.

gently caress I almost wish I had that amount of unearned self confidence to carry me through day to day

JeffersonClay
Jun 17, 2003

by R. Guyovich

Cease to Hope posted:

Obama didn't campaign on being a technocrat. He campaigned on broad, if vague, social goals and ran his campaign like an effective technocrat. Contrast with Gore and Clinton, who campaigned on technocratic ideas like efficiency and incrementalism and ran their campaigns, well, not very efficiently at all.

He didn't campaign on being a technocrat, but was a technocrat. So there's no necessary link between being a technocrat and having an uninspiring campaign.

Are incrementalism and efficiency really technocratic ideas? Efficient government has been a progressive ideal for nearly a century and incrementalism is about tactics, not ideals.

Cease to Hope
Dec 12, 2011

JeffersonClay posted:

Are incrementalism and efficiency really technocratic ideas? Efficient government has been a progressive ideal for nearly a century and incrementalism is about tactics, not ideals.

Yes, they are technocratic ideals. Core to Clintonland/centrist Democratic thinking is the idea that incremental change is all that is possible or desirable, so the best governance improves people's lives by making that incremental change as efficient as possible.

It's not exactly an inspiring message, even if you're inclined to think it's a good strategy of governance.

Hobologist
May 4, 2007

We'll have one entire section labelled "for degenerates"

FuriousxGeorge posted:

maybe hillary was actually awesome and her sycophants aren't responsible for letting an incompetent fascist win the presidency?

oh wait, no

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/michigan-hillary-clinton-trump-232547

Those are two separate propositions. I don't know if any Democrat could have won with that particular band of sycophants at the helm. Reading that article, i sounds like they were running the campaign like some sort of large corporation.

MizPiz
May 29, 2013

by Athanatos

JeffersonClay posted:

He didn't campaign on being a technocrat, but was a technocrat. So there's no necessary link between being a technocrat and having an uninspiring campaign.

Are incrementalism and efficiency really technocratic ideas? Efficient government has been a progressive ideal for nearly a century and incrementalism is about tactics, not ideals.

Everyone except people wanting to commit fraud holds efficiency as an ideal, only technocrats believe it's more important than actually solving issues. This leads to them holding incrementalism as an ideal rather than a method.

Hobologist posted:

Those are two separate propositions. I don't know if any Democrat could have won with that particular band of sycophants at the helm. Reading that article, i sounds like they were running the campaign like some sort of large corporation.

Makes you wonder how those sycophants even got there in the first place. :v:

Aurubin
Mar 17, 2011

Cease to Hope posted:

Yes, they are technocratic ideals. Core to Clintonland/centrist Democratic thinking is the idea that incremental change is all that is possible or desirable, so the best governance improves people's lives by making that incremental change as efficient as possible.

It's not exactly an inspiring message, even if you're inclined to think it's a good strategy of governance.

Nevermind that all our largest social policies were rammed through by large majorities and picked at by reactionaries for the entirety of US history. The opposite is true however, we regress gradually.

Cease to Hope
Dec 12, 2011

Aurubin posted:

The opposite is true however, we regress gradually.

September 11 looms large here.

Shageletic
Jul 25, 2007

Business Gorillas posted:

Better not look at how progressive policies poll when they aren't attached to democrats then

Or politicians or politicking or making it substantive and a policy plank.

The leaning back on policies by progressives is the same type of sneering arrogance that leads to the Dems being a nowhere party. This election should teach us that its all about optics, all about imagery, all about associations (real or imagined) present in voter's mind.

Shageletic
Jul 25, 2007

Hobologist posted:

Those are two separate propositions. I don't know if any Democrat could have won with that particular band of sycophants at the helm. Reading that article, i sounds like they were running the campaign like some sort of large corporation.

This was a point of pride in the campaign.

Goddamn I was stupid to believe they could actually win.

KomradeX
Oct 29, 2011

It's about playing politics! The Right knows this, that's why the repealed Obamacare 200 times because eventually it would stick! Give these liberals a taste of their own drat advice. If you want to be employed (elected) you have to sell yourself.

And that's the problem Liberals don't want to play politics, they don't want to actually make the sausage of state. Appeal to the voters, and they'll like you. They don't want to hold their fellow party members that go rogue accountable. That's one less boogeyman they could use to explain why changing anything an wasn't actually possible.

Aurubin
Mar 17, 2011

Cease to Hope posted:

September 11 looms large here.

Ack, the egg's on my face here. Yeah I was laser focused on internal issues, as a Japanese internment camp survivor shakes his head sadly.

Edible Hat
Jul 23, 2007

by FactsAreUseless

KomradeX posted:

But they were only rational because they ignored all information that didn't conform to their expectations

I agree. In future elections, what variables do we prioritize in developing an effective campaign apparatus with limited campaign funds? Are the "lessons learned" from this election applicable to future ones? In other words, is Trump sui generis?

Shageletic
Jul 25, 2007

Edible Hat posted:

I agree. In future elections, what variables do we prioritize in developing an effective campaign apparatus with limited campaign funds? Are the "lessons learned" from this election applicable to future ones? In other words, is Trump sui generis?

Off the top of my head:

1) Nominate a presidential candidate that people are actually excited about, rather than one of the most disliked people in the last quarter century

2) Upend the clown car that is the DNC, Washington liberal political bubble, and various dem state chieftiens

3) The primary being used as effective cudgel to push state and local candidates people can actually believe in

4) Work in knitting back in the under 50,000 income working class families that have been the bulwart of the Dem party since FDR (Hillary still won them, but by about 20 points less than Obama. Even levels, we wouldn't be here).

5) Part and parcel of number 4, vigirously push minority and women voices and causes

6) Work on a donor/media bubble that reinforces the top 5.

EDIT: 7) Throw out anything and anyone that smacks of the politics of the last decade and a half.

Mnoba
Jun 24, 2010

FuriousxGeorge posted:

maybe hillary was actually awesome and her sycophants aren't responsible for letting an incompetent fascist win the presidency?

oh wait, no

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/12/michigan-hillary-clinton-trump-232547

If I were the media or part of the DNC machine, I tool would flood all of the news with bullshit about Comey, or sexism, racism, electoral college, russia, anything to try to bury what actually happened.

JeffersonClay
Jun 17, 2003

by R. Guyovich
And yet none of those things are bullshit.

ex post facho
Oct 25, 2007
And none of them are the main reason she lost, which is that she ran one of the most breathtakingly incompetent campaigns in history predicated almost entirely on a data model that had been proven wrong twice earlier in the year, along with her campaigns overwhelming hubris.

Hillary literally spent more time with Lena Dunham than the UAW. Think about that.

ex post facho fucked around with this message at 22:17 on Dec 14, 2016

Mister Facetious
Apr 21, 2007

I think I died and woke up in L.A.,
I don't know how I wound up in this place...

:canada:

Shageletic posted:

Off the top of my head:

1) Nominate a presidential candidate that people are actually excited about, rather than one of the most disliked people in the last quarter century

2) Upend the clown car that is the DNC, Washington liberal political bubble, and various dem state chieftiens

3) The primary being used as effective cudgel to push state and local candidates people can actually believe in

4) Work in knitting back in the under 50,000 income working class families that have been the bulwart of the Dem party since FDR (Hillary still won them, but by about 20 points less than Obama. Even levels, we wouldn't be here).

5) Part and parcel of number 4, vigirously push minority and women voices and causes

6) Work on a donor/media bubble that reinforces the top 5.

EDIT: 7) Throw out anything and anyone that smacks of the politics of the last decade and a half.

So, aside from Bernie and Warren, who's left then? Because everyone else skews as a neoliberal, technocratic, Clinton/Obama protege- except maybe that guy that tried to challenge Pelosi's leadership two weeks ago.

Edible Hat
Jul 23, 2007

by FactsAreUseless
When was the data model proven wrong? I'm assuming you mean Michigan and Wisconsin? Why would those two states not being won by Clinton during the primaries be indicative of a faulty model, especially when Clinton won Iowa, Ohio, and Pennsylvania (not to mention Florida, North Carolina, and Arizona) but also lost those in the general?

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005

Edible Hat posted:

My point is that what happened is absolutely unacceptable and I want all the Clinton lackeys to be expelled from the Democratic Party, but those decisions were more rational than they would first appear. Data suggested that North Carolina and Florida were far closer than Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, so the campaign's focus on those states where each dollar spent was more likely to affect the outcome makes more sense in that context.

Maybe the democrats lost the election because they didn't ideologically purge enough.

Condiv
May 7, 2008

Sorry to undo the effort of paying a domestic abuser $10 to own this poster, but I am going to lose my dang mind if I keep seeing multiple posters who appear to be Baloogan.

With love,
a mod


JeffersonClay posted:

And yet none of those things are bullshit.

none of those things matter as much as hillary's idiocy sabotaging her own election prospects. that she and her surrogates keep harping on about them means they will not learn the fundamental lessons they need to to ever win an election again

trump was an easy candidate to beat for the dems. hillary couldn't beat him because she was a gigantic idiot supported by a sea of her favorite idiots

Condiv fucked around with this message at 22:33 on Dec 14, 2016

Mister Facetious
Apr 21, 2007

I think I died and woke up in L.A.,
I don't know how I wound up in this place...

:canada:

Bip Roberts posted:

Maybe the democrats lost the election because they didn't ideologically purge enough.

Unironically this. The neoliberal technocrats that sold America out to Republican ideals for the last thirty years should've been burned alive.

Business Gorillas
Mar 11, 2009

:harambe:



Shageletic posted:

This was a point of pride in the campaign.

Goddamn I was stupid to believe they could actually win.

It's okay, we bought into the big lie because we had to. Looking back on these things and performing honest self assessment is a skill in short supply.

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005

Mister Macys posted:

Unironically this. The neoliberal technocrats that sold America out to Republican ideals for the last thirty years should've been burned alive.

Of course they should. Doesn't mean it'll ever allow you to win anything again.

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Edible Hat
Jul 23, 2007

by FactsAreUseless

Condiv posted:

none of those things matter as much as hillary's idiocy sabotaging her own election prospects. that she and her surrogates keep harping on about them means they will not learn the fundamental lessons they need to to ever win an election again

trump was an easy candidate to beat for the dems. hillary couldn't beat him because she was a gigantic idiot supported by a sea of her favorite idiots

Did Clinton lose because she was an idiot or because she was a centrist (not that those are mutually exclusive)?

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