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poopinmymouth
Mar 2, 2005

PROUD 2 B AMERICAN (these colors don't run)

It was legit crazy. 51cm in one night:

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Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?

call to action posted:

What? Snow/water ratios increase at lower temperatures until a certain point. The same amount of moisture falling will produce more snow at -12C than -2C.

Yes, but the air can't hold as much moisture at very low temperatures. "It's too cold to snow" is nonsense, but you don't tend to get heavy snow at very cold temperatures because the air is more dry.

call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Paradoxish posted:

Yes, but the air can't hold as much moisture at very low temperatures. "It's too cold to snow" is nonsense, but you don't tend to get heavy snow at very cold temperatures because the air is more dry.

Maybe at very, very low temperatures experienced within the Arctic/Antarctic circles. In my state, Colorado, the colder it is the more it snows nearly 100% of the time.

Don Pigeon
Oct 29, 2005

Great pigeons are not born great. They grow great by eating lots of bread crumbs.

call to action posted:

What? Snow/water ratios increase at lower temperatures until a certain point. The same amount of moisture falling will produce more snow at -12C than -2C.

The saturation mixing ratio at -2C is 3.25 grams of water per kilogram of air. At -12C it is 1.5 grams of water per kilogram of water.

Gunshow Poophole
Sep 14, 2008

OMBUDSMAN
POSTERS LOCAL 42069




Clapping Larry
sorry y'all i was mainly shitposting in response to what I read as a "If global warming why snow?" flyby.

Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?

call to action posted:

Maybe at very, very low temperatures experienced within the Arctic/Antarctic circles. In my state, Colorado, the colder it is the more it snows nearly 100% of the time.

For what it's worth, the point isn't whether or not it snows, but the amount of precipitation that occurs when it does. The heaviest snowfall should happen in a range that's just shy of freezing, where the air can hold the most water while still being cold enough that it doesn't precipitate out as rain or sleet. Heavier, more severe snowfall is definitely a potential consequence of warming in general since there aren't very many regions where temperatures will rise so much that snowfall isn't possible in the winter any more. It goes hand in hand with shorter, warmer winters.

I'm not an expert, though, so it's entirely possible there's something here I'm missing.

call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Mystic_Shadow posted:

The saturation mixing ratio at -2C is 3.25 grams of water per kilogram of air. At -12C it is 1.5 grams of water per kilogram of water.

Yes, I'm aware that colder air can hold less moisture. You're conflating that with the snow/liquid ratio - less water can result in MORE snow at lower temperatures due to this effect. This is what makes snowman snow (very wet, collapses into slush when compressed) vs. gnar pow pow (very light and airy, not very moist but very voluminous)

Kindest Forums User
Mar 25, 2008

Let me tell you about my opinion about Bernie Sanders and why Donald Trump is his true successor.

You cannot vote Hillary Clinton because she is worse than Trump.
i'm from colorada and i know a lot about snow.

Don Pigeon
Oct 29, 2005

Great pigeons are not born great. They grow great by eating lots of bread crumbs.
Yeah okay so while the mass of snow that is falling is less in colder conditions, the snow/water ratio is different leading to less dense precipitation and higher depths of accumulation. Because most people refer to snow accumulation when talking about how much snow fell, you would be right.

Fasdar
Sep 1, 2001

Everybody loves dancing!

call to action posted:

Maybe at very, very low temperatures experienced within the Arctic/Antarctic circles. In my state, Colorado, the colder it is the more it snows nearly 100% of the time.

As a fellow Coloradan, using how the weather works here to infer things about weather elsewhere is pretty dodgy. If you're among 80% of the population, and live on the Front Range, this is especially true.

We get more snow when it is "cold" generally, because that cold air is from an arctic southerly thrust interacting with warm wet air from the pacific. It feels very cold on the ground, but it is actually the warmth of air higher up that brings the moisture that condenses as snow.

Try to note also how, before really big snows, it is generally warmer. Whereas, when we used to get actual cold days for weeks in a row, it would become very dry. I'm sure there are chapstick sales numbers somewhere that attest to this.

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


Apparently, personal experience TRUMP!S elementary meteorology.

The Ender
Aug 2, 2012

MY OPINIONS ARE NOT WORTH THEIR WEIGHT IN SHIT
...So, we're pretty much down to trying to somehow solve climate change through individual action now then, right? Since the state has catastrophically failed and is obviously not going to be able to respond in time even if somehow Democrats manage to stop being comical losers long enough to hold power again?

:|


FML

Pretty sure there is no good outlook going forward from there, both because people are too stupid & petty to make sufficient changes on their own and because the footprints of private homes aren't large enough even if we could magically convince everyone to reduce their energy consumption.

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


The Ender posted:

...So, we're pretty much down to trying to somehow solve climate change through individual action now then, right? Since the state has catastrophically failed and is obviously not going to be able to respond in time even if somehow Democrats manage to stop being comical losers long enough to hold power again?

:|


FML

Pretty sure there is no good outlook going forward from there, both because people are too stupid & petty to make sufficient changes on their own and because the footprints of private homes aren't large enough even if we could magically convince everyone to reduce their energy consumption.

http://isdeathcertain.com/

Hello Sailor
May 3, 2006

we're all mad here

The Ender posted:

...So, we're pretty much down to trying to somehow solve climate change through individual action now then, right? Since the state has catastrophically failed and is obviously not going to be able to respond in time even if somehow Democrats manage to stop being comical losers long enough to hold power again?

:|


FML

Pretty sure there is no good outlook going forward from there, both because people are too stupid & petty to make sufficient changes on their own and because the footprints of private homes aren't large enough even if we could magically convince everyone to reduce their energy consumption.

In the US, there's always the court system. I'm taking Environmental Law & Reg this semester and current events are an inevitable part of the discussion. A large part of the Trump administration's problems are going to stem from them not really having any idea how their branch of government works or the checks placed upon them.

Mustached Demon
Nov 12, 2016

I think that's why they hired a bar license printed on galena ore using an amalgam of coal waste and fracking fluid as ink.

call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Fasdar posted:

As a fellow Coloradan, using how the weather works here to infer things about weather elsewhere is pretty dodgy. If you're among 80% of the population, and live on the Front Range, this is especially true.

We get more snow when it is "cold" generally, because that cold air is from an arctic southerly thrust interacting with warm wet air from the pacific. It feels very cold on the ground, but it is actually the warmth of air higher up that brings the moisture that condenses as snow.

Try to note also how, before really big snows, it is generally warmer. Whereas, when we used to get actual cold days for weeks in a row, it would become very dry. I'm sure there are chapstick sales numbers somewhere that attest to this.

I was only referring to the snow/liquid ratio, but thanks for the other info! Someone tried to say that colder air always meant less precipitation.

MaxxBot
Oct 6, 2003

you could have clapped

you should have clapped!!
Antarctic ice has been hitting new all time record lows like every day.

https://twitter.com/ZLabe/status/836686326791446528

Wanderer
Nov 5, 2006

our every move is the new tradition
http://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/urban-expeditions/green-buildings/green-urban-landscape-cities-Singapore/

Some interesting green architectural decisions are being made in Singapore. This might be a sneak preview of the future.

The Ender posted:

...So, we're pretty much down to trying to somehow solve climate change through individual action now then, right? Since the state has catastrophically failed and is obviously not going to be able to respond in time even if somehow Democrats manage to stop being comical losers long enough to hold power again?

It's more likely that what we're seeing is the increasing death spiral of the denialist movement. The arctic ice decrease is making mainstream news reasonably regularly now, and it's coming hand in hand with some weird weather. I had thought before that the endgame would be something like Miami having to be abandoned, but the ice shelf fracture is speeding that up.

There are also a lot of big moves being made in the business/corporate/trade space; nanotech, cloned meat, solar stations, Saudi Arabia diversification, . The culture's moving faster than the government on this one, and once the government gets with the program, we're going to see a lot of big changes. They probably won't be big enough, at least not initially, but any progress is better than no progress, and holding warming to 2.5 C is still better than 2.6.

Long story short: prognostication for more than a few weeks out is, at this point, meaningless. It's all a toxic stew of cynicism, but there's no telling what will happen or what will have an impact. We live in the age of the statistical outlier.

RC Cola
Aug 1, 2011

Dovie'andi se tovya sagain
Tornados in chicagoland in February. Yup climate change is a joke

ToxicSlurpee
Nov 5, 2003

-=SEND HELP=-


Pillbug

Why that told me nothing about death. All it told me was that Beath was certain.

Who or what is Beath and why are we so cock sure of it?

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


ToxicSlurpee posted:

what is Beath

Biochromatic aura.

NewMars
Mar 10, 2013

ToxicSlurpee posted:

Who or what is Beath and why are we so cock sure of it?

That's no way to talk about a lady. :colbert:

Fangz
Jul 5, 2007

Oh I see! This must be the Bad Opinion Zone!
Good news for once?

https://twitter.com/laurimyllyvirta/status/836476713500471298

Trainee PornStar
Jul 20, 2006

I'm just an inbetweener

Don't get your hopes up, someone will be along shortly to explain why this is wildly optimistic/wrong.
Normal doom & gloom will soon be restored :(

Oxxidation
Jul 22, 2007
China of all countries leveling off their emissions at such a rate is just one more piece of evidence that climate change mitigation is a question of will, not capability

It's still too late but that doesn't keep it from being good news.

call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless
Do we think that data is legitimate? I have a hard time believing 2016 data is compiled yet, let alone 2017.

Nocturtle
Mar 17, 2007

I think the generic criticism of the Chinese government's figures is that it's not clear whether they reflect physical reality. Even if the numbers are underestimated it's still a positive message, in that at least one of the top two global carbon emitters thinks it's worthwhile to pretend to reduce emissions.

Convergence
Apr 9, 2005
It's great news, and if true, means we still have a fair shot at RCP2.6 which predicted emissions peaking approximately now.

call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Convergence posted:

It's great news, and if true, means we still have a fair shot at RCP2.6 which predicted emissions peaking approximately now.

RCP2.6 assumes massive carbon sequestration efforts that won't happen, and there's no indication that we're approaching a global peak in CO2 emissions in any of the data I've seen.

Nocturtle posted:

I think the generic criticism of the Chinese government's figures is that it's not clear whether they reflect physical reality. Even if the numbers are underestimated it's still a positive message, in that at least one of the top two global carbon emitters thinks it's worthwhile to pretend to reduce emissions.

Unfortunately, Mother Physics doesn't really give a poo poo what the good intentions of the Chinese government are. But maybe this data is real, unlike any Chinese economic data.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

call to action posted:

RCP2.6 assumes massive carbon sequestration efforts that won't happen, and there's no indication that we're approaching a global peak in CO2 emissions in any of the data I've seen.
Yeah, a global peak in CO2 emissions would mean CO2 reductions in the developed world would match increases in the developing world, which seems unlikely to happen just yet? We're beginning to see some concrete plans for 0-emission power/heating grids in Europe within the next two decades, which is positive, but I'm not sure how this compares to general increases elsewhere as countries get richer.

Wanderer
Nov 5, 2006

our every move is the new tradition

call to action posted:

Do we think that data is legitimate? I have a hard time believing 2016 data is compiled yet, let alone 2017.

The article says Greenpeace did some follow-up research, but at this point, it's entirely understandable to be wary of any data produced by official Chinese sources.

If it's true, it's decent news.

call to action posted:

RCP2.6 assumes massive carbon sequestration efforts that won't happen, and there's no indication that we're approaching a global peak in CO2 emissions in any of the data I've seen.

Some of it's happening. India's trying to reforest itself, and the African Great Green Wall is still progressing, albeit slowly.

MaxxBot
Oct 6, 2003

you could have clapped

you should have clapped!!
Here's some bad news to get the thread back on track to hopeless nihilism.

https://twitter.com/kmcdonovgh/status/837042412858011650

Ferdinand Bardamu
Apr 30, 2013
That's weather, not climate! :colbert:

call to action
Jun 10, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Wanderer posted:

Some of it's happening. India's trying to reforest itself, and the African Great Green Wall is still progressing, albeit slowly.

India:


For further LOLs, this graph is per capita, meaning it would still be getting much worse even if no new children were brought into the mix

call to action fucked around with this message at 22:53 on Mar 1, 2017

Acid Haze
Feb 16, 2009

:parrot:
Sorry, polar bears. Pretty sure your natural reign is over, unless you snap evolve into waterbears.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zOr5W27iiMg :black101: :smith:

ToxicSlurpee
Nov 5, 2003

-=SEND HELP=-


Pillbug

Oxxidation posted:

China of all countries leveling off their emissions at such a rate is just one more piece of evidence that climate change mitigation is a question of will, not capability

It's still too late but that doesn't keep it from being good news.

It's too late to turn back the dial but it isn't too late to minimize the damage, clean up the mess as we best can, and make plans for the changing world. China going "lol gently caress this pollution poo poo" is a huge deal given that they have, you know, over a billion people and a hell of a lot of industry.

Rastor
Jun 2, 2001

WaryWarren posted:

That's weather, not climate! :colbert:

Also apparently it happened in 2015, but was included in a recent report which has caused it to appear in the media.

Of course who knows, maybe 2017 will beat the record.

Queering Wheel
Jun 18, 2011


Acid Haze posted:

Sorry, polar bears. Pretty sure your natural reign is over, unless you snap evolve into waterbears.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zOr5W27iiMg :black101: :smith:

Maybe they can just move south and start eating our faces off. Most of us deserve it.

Descar
Apr 19, 2010

Oxxidation posted:

China of all countries leveling off their emissions at such a rate is just one more piece of evidence that climate change mitigation is a question of will, not capability

It's still too late but that doesn't keep it from being good news.

This is due to their economy is struggling and not because of policy.
Given half a chance to grow past the US, they would put those emissions to shame easily.

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Rastor
Jun 2, 2001

The Chinese government probably doesn't give too much of a poo poo about CO2 emissions on general principle but they do care about the Beijing air pollution publicity. If the industry and coal plants had happened to be downwind they might still be cranking them up.

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