Which Thread Title shall we name this new thread? This poll is closed. |
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Independence Day 2: Resturgeonce | 44 | 21.36% | |
ScotPol - Unclustering this gently caress | 19 | 9.22% | |
Trainspotting 2: Independence is my heroin | 9 | 4.37% | |
Indyref II: Boris hosed a Dead Country | 14 | 6.80% | |
ScotPol: Wings over Bullshit | 8 | 3.88% | |
Independence 2: Cameron Lied, UK Died | 24 | 11.65% | |
Scotpol IV: I Vow To Flee My Country | 14 | 6.80% | |
ScotPol - A twice in a generation thread | 17 | 8.25% | |
ScotPol - Where Everything's hosed Up and the Referendums Don't Matter | 15 | 7.28% | |
ScotPol Thread: Dependence Referendum Incoming | 2 | 0.97% | |
Indyref II: The Scottish Insturgeoncy | 10 | 4.85% | |
ScotPol Thread: Act of European Union | 5 | 2.43% | |
ScotPol - Like Game of Thrones only we wish we would all die | 25 | 12.14% | |
Total: | 206 votes |
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CoolCab posted:I mean I don't disagree but to put it another way: they would love to kick Scotland out but despise the idea of Scotland leaving. In large part because the SNP stick has been used to bash Labour for so long. I can't agree with you on this: Brexit and English nationalism are intertwined.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 15:40 |
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# ? May 17, 2024 12:37 |
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Pissflaps posted:This doesn't add up. You're ignoring the rest of the point. To clarify, there are non-EU legal and trading practices that are common across the UK and Scotland, for example a lot of our legal and accounting standards are created by the same bodies. These standards still exist either side of the barrier and are unlikely to change, meaning trade between the two countries is more likely to be maintained. Basically teams that have a stronger mutual understanding of each other are more likely to be able to find wiggle room around problematic regulation than teams who lack that. Further, much of the trade between Scotland and the rest of the UK is in goods that are relatively inelastic. In terms of manufacturing, it's incredibly unlikely that Land Rover for example will tank the sunk cost of moving all its Scottish parts factories because of slightly more difficult trade with the UK. Even where trade is elastic, such as with insurance, unlike with Indyref1 Standard Life now has to weigh whether moving its HQ in Scotland to the UK will be worth it given it loses easy EU market access that way. None of this is certain, but it's a reasonable argument to make and one that I feel mitigates economic uncertainty significantly.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 15:41 |
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What you're saying could have come from the mouth of a Leaver talking about UK trade with the EU. If the effects of Scottish independence can be minimised then so can those for Brexit. If they can't be for Brexit, then the same problems apply for Scotland.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 15:45 |
Yorkshire Tea posted:You're ignoring the rest of the point.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 15:48 |
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Pissflaps posted:I can't agree with you on this: Brexit and English nationalism are intertwined. I would say if you polled every right wing English nationalist sympathising paper's readership and asked "Should May allow another referendum" I doubt Yes would get double digits, and, likewise, if it was instead "Should May remove Scotland from the union" the second Yes would absolutely trounce the first.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 15:54 |
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This thread is gonna pickup it seems.Pissflaps posted:The UK is far more important market for Scotland than the EU is. I doubt it's very clear cut as that. I will expect trade to the rUK from Scotland will go down though when the UK loses it's market membership with the EU as lack of exporting goods from the UK towards EU member states will do damage towards companies/manufactures that Scotland trades with. I very much doubt that there are many major parts of the market that dosen't trade with EU member states.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 16:16 |
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Extreme0 posted:I doubt it's very clear cut as that. I will expect trade to the rUK from Scotland will go down though when the UK loses it's market membership with the EU as lack of exporting goods from the UK towards EU member states will do damage towards companies/manufactures that Scotland trades with. I very much doubt that there are many major parts of the market that dosen't trade with EU member states. It's your prerogative to doubt it but there is no escaping the fact that the UK is a much, much more important market for Scotland than the EU.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 16:20 |
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Pissflaps posted:What you're saying could have come from the mouth of a Leaver talking about UK trade with the EU. This is really silly. The harms of leaving the EU can be mitigated by the UK, that's obvious. The extent to which they can be mitigated differ vastly to the Scottish example. The rUK economy is significantly driven by financial markets in London, most of the companies there have facility to easily move headquarters to the EU if need be, largely because they already have regional headquarters sat in Dublin or Frankfurt. The advantage of doing so is significant as following Brexit it means retention of the European market which is big to them. Contrast to Scotland. Scotland as a whole is not as biased towards financial services as rUK is. The inelastic businesses tend to be ones based around manufacturing that are unlikely to move. So the initial impact on Scotland is lower due to their business mix. But even if we examine the MNC market, the question is whether retention of UK business is more important than retention of Scottish/EU business. Both you and I argued that MNCs would relocate out of the UK to retain EU market access post Brexit, so I'm confused about why they would do that under Brexit, but then wouldn't elect to stay in Scotland under an Indyref that gets EU access. jBrereton posted:If you think that an independent Scotland, lumbered as it is with a population that barely speaks any foreign languages and possibly with a hard border between it and the rest of the EU too, is going to have any trade advantage over anywhere else in the EU after independence, not being in the EU for a while, and then rejoining sometime later, you are a fantasist. I'm literally not arguing about that at all. This is based on an assumption that they get into the EU quickly. If they don't, fair play they're screwed economically. The argument to me is whether being free from detrimental Tory policy is worth the risk.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 16:31 |
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Pissflaps posted:It's your prerogative to doubt it but there is no escaping the fact that the UK is a much, much more important market for Scotland than the EU. When did I doubt that the UK is an more important market?
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 16:47 |
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Yorkshire Tea posted:This is really silly. The harms of leaving the EU can be mitigated by the UK, that's obvious. The extent to which they can be mitigated differ vastly to the Scottish example. Finance is worth 8.9% of the UK's economy compared to 7.1% of Scotland's, hardly world's away from each other. In fact, the business mix of both is broadly the same: Whether financial services and other multinational companies are motivated to move out of UK or not will depend on how the Brexit negotiations shake out, but I'm not sure how a one opting to leave the UK to go to, say, Germany or France, makes Scotland's overwhelming reliance on healthy trade with the UK any less true. Pissflaps fucked around with this message at 16:50 on Mar 13, 2017 |
# ? Mar 13, 2017 16:46 |
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I've mentioned this before but I'm fascinated by what the question would be if there is another referendum, and it seems others are asking the same question. Obviously nationalists would prefer the Yes/No question, not only because it helps with their spin that it's the 'positive' choice, but changing it would mean new flags. However the Electoral Commission decided that it wasn't appropriate for the EU referendum and could well decide the same for a second referendum.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 17:24 |
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Pissflaps posted:Finance is worth 8.9% of the UK's economy compared to 7.1% of Scotland's, hardly world's away from each other. In fact, the business mix of both is broadly the same: Happy to concede that I'm wrong on business mix, I remember the percentages being more distinct, but that's probably due to being an old man. What divergence there is lends itself to my claim being somewhat credible. I'm saying that it is unlikely that there will be business flight from Scotland in elastic sectors subsequent to independence if EU access is retained, significantly mitigating the ostensible harm that was proposed during Indyref1. Absent business flight in the finance sector, Scotland retains good trade with the UK because the remaining businesses are inelastic. Basically the reason I don't hate Scottish independence as much as I hate Brexit is that I'm pretty convinced that finance will say up yours to the City whereas I'm not convinced the Scottish financial sector will do the same.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 17:35 |
Yorkshire Tea posted:I'm saying that it is unlikely that there will be business flight from Scotland in elastic sectors subsequent to independence if EU access is retained, significantly mitigating the ostensible harm that was proposed during Indyref1. The referendum, if it is to be legally binding, will not be held until after Brexit is done. There's no way May wants the complications of negotiating brexit and scottish independence at the same time. And she decides when it's held. They can hold a referendum just for fun whenever they like, like the catalonians, but it's just that.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 17:38 |
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jBrereton posted:But it won't be. Like that's an incredibly important part of this. So this is where things get interesting. What if the Scots hold the ref, win and just say up yours to England? What the hell does the British parliament even do? Invade Scotland? Place trade sanctions on them? Like these are obviously silly, but the situation is so loving bizarre.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 17:43 |
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Yorkshire Tea posted:So this is where things get interesting. See: Catalonia Only nationalists take part. Everyone else ignores the result.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 17:46 |
Yorkshire Tea posted:So this is where things get interesting. Massive capital flight to the many other economies in the world with better fundamentals than a maverick Scottish state with absolutely no state institutions, an aging population, and lovely education for the young there are.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 17:47 |
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Surprised at the scale of this gamble from Sturgeon. UK Government completely outmaneuvered. Looking forward to voting Yes again.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 19:19 |
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Larry Elliot in the guardian:The Scottish economy has strengths – but could it make a success of independence Tldr: mebbes aye, mebbes no. Leans more towards no I'd say, but for all that it's a decent summary of some of the major issues to be considered, there's no real analysis or argument quote:A plunge in the oil price since the 2014 referendum and a budget deficit appear to make Scotland’s finances less than rosy Niric fucked around with this message at 19:29 on Mar 13, 2017 |
# ? Mar 13, 2017 19:27 |
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Ah, just think of it chaps, another 18 months to 2 years of Pissflaps telling us he has Scottish relations Happy new referendum debate everyone!
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 19:32 |
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Acaila posted:Ah, just think of it chaps, another 18 months to 2 years of Pissflaps telling us he has Scottish relations Happy new referendum debate everyone! And there's the first 'not Scottish enough' post. Congratulations.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 19:35 |
Not sure how I feel about this one yet. Looking forward to two years of all my friends being at each others throats again.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 19:38 |
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Acaila posted:Ah, just think of it chaps, another 18 months to 2 years of Pissflaps telling us he has Scottish relations What pissflaps does in his own time is his business
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 19:39 |
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Pissflaps posted:And there's the first 'not Scottish enough' post. Congratulations. It's not that you're not Scottish enough, it's you claiming your granny or whoever the gently caress somehow makes your opinion more valid or worth listening to. Nevermind that it's the content of your posts during the last indy referendum that are why people don't actually think you're worth listening to on the topic. But I'm sure someone will tell us that Pissflapping is valuable to stop an echo chamber or some such nonsense.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 19:41 |
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Whichever way you may vote, good to see you guys may get another chance to decide your fate, given what you were dragged into.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 19:44 |
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forkboy84 posted:It's not that you're not Scottish enough, it's you claiming your granny or whoever the gently caress somehow makes your opinion more valid or worth listening to. Nevermind that it's the content of your posts during the last indy referendum that are why people don't actually think you're worth listening to on the topic. No. I've never claimed having Scottish relatives makes my opinion more valid. What has happened is that my Scottishness, or lack of, has been questioned several times in this thread. That's why you know I am part Scottish. Considering 50% of your output is whining about my posts I think we'd all be grateful if you stopped reading and responding to my posts. The ignore function exists for a reason.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 19:44 |
ReidRansom posted:Whichever way you may vote, good to see you guys may get another chance to decide your fate, given what you were dragged into. Do you think they'll get a referendum to rejoin a few years in?
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 19:50 |
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Phone in on five live now. Lots of talk of 'remaining in the EU' from Yes voters. That's why the earlier tweet about EU membership was important.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 19:53 |
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My body is ready and I've had Pissflaps on ignore for ages. I highly suggest you do the same.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 20:14 |
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jBrereton posted:How many more times do you think they'll get a chance to decide their fate if this referendum fails? Beats me. And I'm just a spectator anyway. But I'd say this is probably the last chance for some long time unless some other combination of unlikely poo poo happens in the future that causes the rest of the UK to devo leaving just England and Scotland.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 20:21 |
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big scary monsters posted:No true Scotsman would stoop to violence over matters of petty tribalism. forkboy84 posted:Best post in the thread imo. Any insult towards Edinburgh is a good post.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 20:22 |
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It's pretty obvious that the currency question only has one answer now which is a new currency. Any other suggestion would be met with contradictions since the Euro can't be used for at least two years even if we somehow fully reached the convergence criteria when Scotland possibly joins the EU (Which would be around my guess 2022-2030) and the UK government will refuse any deal with the Sterling Pound so we would be left with our own currency which may be pegged or not.Skinty McEdger posted:Not sure how I feel about this one yet. Looking forward to two years of all my friends being at each others throats again. Same Extreme0 fucked around with this message at 20:36 on Mar 13, 2017 |
# ? Mar 13, 2017 20:23 |
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Extreme0 posted:It's pretty obvious that the currency question only has one answer now which is a new currency. Turning everyone in Scotland with a mortgage, loan or savings into a currency speculator. Fascinating times. Though you're right there is no other option. Coohoolin posted:My body is ready and I've had Pissflaps on ignore for ages. I highly suggest you do the same. You're not supposed to post things that make it obvious you have read the post I just made.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 20:50 |
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http://www.eveningtimes.co.uk/news/15152631.SNP_raise___100_000_in_less_than_eight_hours_for_next_independence_fight/ £100,000 in less than eight hours. Is there anyone in this thread with strong opinions on pro-independence crowdfunding who can weigh in on this?
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 20:56 |
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Alertrelic posted:http://www.eveningtimes.co.uk/news/15152631.SNP_raise___100_000_in_less_than_eight_hours_for_next_independence_fight/ I miss when Evening Times sellers would just yell "EVENING TIMES, EVENING TIMES, GET YOUR EVENING TIMES" when I'd go visit Glasgow as a kid. Why did that ever stop?
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 20:57 |
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Alertrelic posted:http://www.eveningtimes.co.uk/news/15152631.SNP_raise___100_000_in_less_than_eight_hours_for_next_independence_fight/ Looks like there's plenty of cash to be made off nationalism.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 21:03 |
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I wonder if EU citizens will be able to vote this time.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 21:16 |
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Pissflaps posted:I wonder if EU citizens will be able to vote this time. After Brexit I doubt any of them are feeling fuzzy warm feelings towards the UK as a whole. I have just conducted a focus group of one French person and I can confirm they have flipped to independence.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 21:31 |
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Lord of the Llamas posted:After Brexit I doubt any of them are feeling fuzzy warm feelings towards the UK as a whole. Well, exactly. It's unlikely any single EU citizen would vote No and it makes me wonder if they'd get a vote if there's another referendum.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 21:34 |
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if scotland becomes independent will we still be legally able to make fun of pissflaps
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 21:40 |
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# ? May 17, 2024 12:37 |
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Angepain posted:if scotland becomes independent will we still be legally able to make fun of pissflaps I'd go so far to say it's a civic duty.
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# ? Mar 13, 2017 21:42 |