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awesmoe
Nov 30, 2005

Pillbug

icantfindaname posted:

Extremely difficult to implement, or extremely difficult to pass, because Dem lawmakers will refuse to do it?
Both, given the existing state realities of the american health care industry, and the general attitude of americans to government expansion.

If you're a democratic rep and an insurance company in your district is going to lay off a whole bunch of people (because the company is no longer able to leech off the american public) thats still an issue you, as a politician, have to deal with. You're going to get thousand-to-one calls against the expansion of government overreach and socialism encroaching on are country and my tax dollars going to pay for lazy bums blah blah, and you need ways to deal with that or you're going to lose your seat.

If (inshallah) a dem majority slams through medicare for all without really consistent and good messaging, a really solid implementation plan that can't be seized on as evidence of failure (eg healthcare.org), and ways to insulate voters from the economic fallout of nationalizing a huge industry - the next election could be a bloodbath, regardless of how much healthier everyone is.

The potential difficulties of implementation make it difficult to sell to lawmakers, because nobody wants to be the deciding vote for a bad bill. See: the Tuesday group.

But this is all just speculation . I think its a lot easier to talk up big bills when you're in absolutely no danger of passing them - I also think its easy to egg each other on to be the one supporting the biggest, most hardcore bill, which can come back to bite hard when you get into power (cf - "repeal obamacare day one")

I say this as someone who personally benefits from a civilized health care system and absolutely wishes americans had one too.


e: yeah what ew said. incrementalism, IMO, is the way to go on this. Boil the frog in healthcare.

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Boon
Jun 21, 2005

by R. Guyovich
Gotta admit, both Tricare and USAA are pretty awesome. Tricare is basically the only reason I'm still in the reserves.

Though I imagine Tricare is only awesome because the people on it tend to be less than 45 years old and not chronically ill. Tricare retirement plans tend to be more expensive and the VA picks up the worst of the vets.

Boon fucked around with this message at 23:16 on Mar 27, 2017

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Confounding Factor posted:

My fingers are crossed that the Supreme Court rules in favor of that partisan gerrymandering case coming up, that would be yuuuuuuuge. Have you been following that at all?

Well, issue is that has no effect on the Senate which is naturally gerrymandered. What's so bad about 2018 is that there's a ton of Democratic seats up for election and virtually no Republican seats outside states where it's not necessarily even worth running a democratic candidate. I'm not joking when I say Ted Cruz is the third most vulnerable Republican senator in that election - there's Heller in Nevada (the only likely vulnerable seat), then Flake in Arizona (not likely to be vulnerable, but this would be the next one to fall most likely), and then Cruz. It's a nightmare of a map but it's not gerrymandered, it just happens to be that 2012 and 2006 were really good for Dems.

But yes, I don't want to get my hopes up too much but Kennedy has always hated partisan gerrymandering but simply had no good rule he could lay out for lower courts to avoid a barrage of "i knows it when i sees it" cases. What's really interesting about that case is that it offers precisely that sort of rule that could let Kennedy finally join an opinion banning it.

evilweasel fucked around with this message at 23:18 on Mar 27, 2017

Accretionist
Nov 7, 2012
I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES

Confounding Factor posted:

If Bernie or another Democrat that campaigns heavily around Medicare for everyone, they get elected, what could they do about getting the votes necessary to get that bill passed? If Bernie was president now, and lets say the bill gets passed in a Democratic majority House but the Senate is composed the way it is today, there's no way that bill would be passed.

It'll be worthless to get Bernie in if he doesn't have a majority of Democrats that would vote for the bills he wants passed. Am I missing something?

Here's why the talking-points piss me off so much: There is a difference between long-term goals and today's sausage-making.

You can advocate for UHC, lambaste opposition, make agitation for UHC mainstream Democratic political culture, etc. all while fighting to lower Medicare age, increase funding, create 55+ optional buy-ins, let Medicare negotiate drug prices, etc.


tl;dr: Ratchet out progress however you can while applying constant pressure to the long-term goal.

Accretionist fucked around with this message at 23:27 on Mar 27, 2017

Fulchrum
Apr 16, 2013

by R. Guyovich

evilweasel posted:

Well, issue is that has no effect on the Senate which is naturally gerrymandered. What's so bad about 2018 is that there's a ton of Democratic seats up for election and virtually no Republican seats outside states where it's not necessarily even worth running a democratic candidate. I'm not joking when I say Ted Cruz is the third most vulnerable Republican senator in that election - there's Heller in Nevada (the only likely vulnerable seat), then Flake in Arizona (not likely to be vulnerable, but this would be the next one to fall most likely), and then Cruz. It's a nightmare of a map but it's not gerrymandered, it just happens to be that 2012 and 2006 were really good for Dems.

But yes, I don't want to get my hopes up too much but Kennedy has always hated partisan gerrymandering but simply had no good rule he could lay out for lower courts to avoid a barrage of "i knows it when i sees it" cases. What's really interesting about that case is that it offers precisely that sort of rule that could let Kennedy finally join an opinion banning it.

There's a pretty easy rule for this, the minimum cumulative border length rule. The state's map needs to be the lowest possible length of each district's borders added together while also including an equal number of people in each district. Any map that includes a 10 foot by 15 mile length so they can include every available Republican across a huge length throws that map hugely off and gets it disqualified. Pure simple mathematical efficiency without a capacity to politicize it.

Fulchrum fucked around with this message at 23:46 on Mar 27, 2017

Bueno Papi
May 10, 2009

Boon posted:

Gotta admit, both Tricare and USAA are pretty awesome. Tricare is basically the only reason I'm still in the reserves.

Though I imagine Tricare is only awesome because the people on it tend to be less than 45 years old and not chronically ill. Tricare retirement plans tend to be more expensive and the VA picks up the worst of the vets.

Neighbor is retired with Tricare, the benefit/price ratio is insanely good. Plus he gets the overseas family add-on for $500.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Fulchrum posted:

There's a pretty easy rule for this, the minimum cumulative border length rule. The state's map needs to be the lowest possible length of each district's borders added together while also including an equal number of people in each district. Any map that includes a 10 foot by 15 mile length so they can include every available Republican across a huge length throws that map hugely off and gets it disqualified. Pure simple mathematical efficiency without a capacity to politicize it.

That's a legislative solution, not a judicial solution. Courts can't just up and declare districts must be drawn according to a specific mathematical formula. They have the power to say that doing certain things in drawing districts is unconstitutional - discriminating by race or (as the partisan gerrymandering cases have argued) discriminating to suppress political speech. What Kennedy needed was a rule that can be easily applied that says "these districts have been unconstitutionally gerrymandered", and what the Wisconsin case offers is a formula for measuring how gerrymandered is too gerrymandered.

The minimum cumulative border length rule you propose and other mathematical things that take the human element out suffer from obvious flaws - most importantly, the distribution of partisan voters is not random, cities are very heavily democratic - so many formulas can create a natural gerrymander, or you can pick between different neutral formulas specifically to pick the one with the maximum natural gerrymander. It does not follow that because the human element is removed, then the map is a fair map (either in the sense that it produces the maximum number of competitive elections, or leads to representation that matches the political leanings of the state).

A much better rule is to eliminate FPTP single-winner districts and move to multi-member districts with some form of PR voting system, like STV or the like. That would require removing the ban on multi-member districts in federal law though.

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011
lmao

https://www.pastemagazine.com/articles/2017/03/former-obama-aide-who-helped-kill-single-payer-in.html

Brainiac Five
Mar 28, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Yeah I hope that guy dies too. Hopefully it's a long, torturous death so that his buddy realizes he was wrong and slits his wrists.

Quorum
Sep 24, 2014

REMIND ME AGAIN HOW THE LITTLE HORSE-SHAPED ONES MOVE?

Brainiac Five posted:

Yeah I hope that guy dies too. Hopefully it's a long, torturous death so that his buddy realizes he was wrong and slits his wrists.

I, uh, sincerely hope that this is not an earnest response (to a lovely low effort drive by post, no less).

Brainiac Five
Mar 28, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

Quorum posted:

I, uh, sincerely hope that this is not an earnest response (to a lovely low effort drive by post, no less).

Oh you better believe I am in favor of gloating over death and suffering to the fullest possible extent. After all, Emma Goldman was well-known for visiting victims of gas attacks in the hospital to sneer at them for refusing to be conscientious objectors, Abbie Hoffman wrote over a million words about how Vietnam veterans deserved all the health effects linked to Agent Orange exposure, it's more or less a consistently leftist position to exult in bloodshed. Frankly, if you don't believe people should die in agony for being born in an imperialist country, you're the lowest kind of reactionary.

Confounding Factor
Jul 4, 2012

by FactsAreUseless

Brainiac Five posted:

Oh you better believe I am in favor of gloating over death and suffering to the fullest possible extent. After all, Emma Goldman was well-known for visiting victims of gas attacks in the hospital to sneer at them for refusing to be conscientious objectors, Abbie Hoffman wrote over a million words about how Vietnam veterans deserved all the health effects linked to Agent Orange exposure, it's more or less a consistently leftist position to exult in bloodshed. Frankly, if you don't believe people should die in agony for being born in an imperialist country, you're the lowest kind of reactionary.

Nah that just makes you the lowest kind of scum. Nobody gets to decide what country they are born into. Leftists should be about reducing suffering not reveling in it.

Strangely your logic kinda fits into the GOP's healthcare plan of taking millions off insurance and dying, but hey they were born in imperalist America so they should die in agony.

Good grief man. I'm all for using the guillotine judiciously but what you posted is nuts.

Confounding Factor fucked around with this message at 12:58 on Mar 28, 2017

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011

Brainiac Five posted:

Yeah I hope that guy dies too. Hopefully it's a long, torturous death so that his buddy realizes he was wrong and slits his wrists.

:psyduck: Jesus christ dude

Confounding Factor posted:

Nah that just makes you the lowest kind of scum. Nobody gets to decide what country they are born into. Leftists should be about reducing suffering not reveling in it.

Strangely your logic kinda fits into the GOP's healthcare plan of taking millions off insurance and dying, but hey they were born in imperalist America so they should die in agony.

Good grief man. I'm all for using the guillotine judiciously but what you posted is nuts.

Effectronica is mentally ill.

Brainiac Five
Mar 28, 2016

by FactsAreUseless

tekz posted:

:psyduck: Jesus christ dude


Effectronica is mentally ill.

Wow, looks like someone was only exulting in death and suffering ironically.

Yeowch!!! My Balls!!!
May 31, 2006

Brainiac Five posted:

Wow, looks like someone was only exulting in death and suffering ironically.

Twain said it better

quote:

“I come from the Throne — bearing a message from Almighty God!” The words smote the house with a shock; if the stranger perceived it he gave no attention. “He has heard the prayer of His servant your shepherd, and will grant it if such be your desire after I, His messenger, shall have explained to you its import — that is to say, its full import. For it is like unto many of the prayers of men, in that it asks for more than he who utters it is aware of — except he pause and think. “God’s servant and yours has prayed his prayer. Has he paused and taken thought? Is it one prayer? No, it is two — one uttered, and the other not. Both have reached the ear of Him who heareth all supplications, the spoken and the unspoken. Ponder this — keep it in mind. If you would beseech a blessing upon yourself, beware! lest without intent you invoke a curse upon your neighbor at the same time. If you pray for the blessing of rain on your crop which needs it, by that act you are possibly praying for a curse on some neighbor’s crop which may not need rain and can be injured by it.

“You have heard your servant’s prayer — the uttered part of it. I am commissioned by God to put into words the other part of it — that part which the pastor — and also you in your hearts — fervently prayed silently. And ignorantly and unthinkingly? God grant that it was so! You heard the words ‘Grant us the victory, O Lord our God!’ That is sufficient. The whole of the uttered prayer is compact into those pregnant words. Elaborations were not necessary. When you have prayed for victory you have prayed for many unmentioned results which follow victory — must follow it, cannot help but follow it. Upon the listening spirit of God fell also the unspoken part of the prayer. He commandeth me to put it into words. Listen!

“Lord our Father, our young patriots, idols of our hearts, go forth into battle — be Thou near them! With them — in spirit — we also go forth from the sweet peace of our beloved firesides to smite the foe. O Lord our God, help us tear their soldiers to bloody shreds with our shells; help us to cover their smiling fields with the pale forms of their patriot dead; help us to drown the thunder of the guns with the shrieks of their wounded, writhing in pain; help us to lay waste their humble homes with a hurricane of fire; help us to wring the hearts of their unoffending widows with unavailing grief; help us to turn them out roofless with their little children to wander unfriended in the wastes of their desolated land in rags and hunger and thirst, sports of the sun flames in summer and the icy winds of winter, broken in spirit, worn with travail, imploring thee for the refuge of the grave and denied it —
For our sakes who adore Thee, Lord, blast their hopes, blight their lives, protract their bitter pilgrimmage, make heavy their steps, water their way with their tears, stain the white snow with the blood of their wounded feet!
We ask it, in the spirit of love, of Him Who is the Source of Love, and Who is the ever-faithful refuge and friend of all that are sore beset and seek His aid with humble and contrite hearts. Amen.

(After a pause.) “Ye have prayed it; if ye still desire it, speak! The messenger of the Most High waits.”

SousaphoneColossus
Feb 16, 2004

There are a million reasons to ruin things.

Brainiac Five posted:

Oh you better believe I am in favor of gloating over death and suffering to the fullest possible extent. After all, Emma Goldman was well-known for visiting victims of gas attacks in the hospital to sneer at them for refusing to be conscientious objectors, Abbie Hoffman wrote over a million words about how Vietnam veterans deserved all the health effects linked to Agent Orange exposure, it's more or less a consistently leftist position to exult in bloodshed. Frankly, if you don't believe people should die in agony for being born in an imperialist country, you're the lowest kind of reactionary.

"you'd like Kafka, one of my predecessors"

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

lol

quote:

WASHINGTON — House Republican leaders and the White House, under extreme pressure from conservative activists, have restarted negotiations on legislation to repeal the Affordable Care Act, with House leaders declaring that Democrats were celebrating the law’s survival prematurely.

Just days after President Trump said he was moving on to other issues, senior White House officials are now saying they have hope that they can still score the kind of big legislative victory that has so far eluded Mr. Trump. Vice President Mike Pence was dispatched to Capitol Hill on Tuesday for lunchtime talks.

“We’re not going to retrench into our corners or put up dividing lines,” House Speaker Paul D. Ryan said after a meeting of House Republicans that was dominated by a discussion of how to restart the health negotiations. “There’s too much at stake to get bogged down in all of that.”

The House Republican whip, Steve Scalise of Louisiana, said of Democrats, “Their celebration is premature. We are closer to repealing Obamacare than we ever have been before.”

It is not clear what political dynamics might have changed since Friday, when a coalition of hard-line conservatives and more moderate Republicans torpedoed legislation to repeal President Barack Obama’s signature domestic achievement. The replacement bill would still leave 24 million more Americans without insurance after a decade, a major worry for moderate Republicans. It would also leave in place regulations on the health insurance industry that conservatives find anathema.

Mr. Ryan declined to say what might be in the next version of the Republicans’ repeal bill, nor would he sketch any schedule for action. But he said Congress needed to act because insurers were developing the premiums and benefit packages for health plans they would offer in 2018, with review by federal and state officials beginning soon.

The new talks, which have been going on quietly this week, involve Stephen K. Bannon, the president’s chief strategist, and members of the two Republican factions that helped sink the bill last week, the hard-right Freedom Caucus and the more centrist Tuesday Group.

Any deal would require overcoming significant differences about how to rework a law that covers about one-fifth of the American economy, differences that were so sharp they led Mr. Trump and Mr. Ryan to pull the bill from consideration just as the House was scheduled to vote on Friday.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/28/us/politics/health-care-obamacare-freedom-caucus.html?_r=0

they're determined to drag this closer to the election

FuriousxGeorge
Aug 8, 2007

We've been the best team all year.

They're just finding out.

quote:

It is not clear what political dynamics might have changed since Friday

"Nancy Pelosi laughed at us. :argh:"

susan b buffering
Nov 14, 2016


The GOP constantly trying to repeal the ACA and failing as a majority is probably the best path towards UHC this stupid country has

Sloober
Apr 1, 2011

skull mask mcgee posted:

The GOP constantly trying to repeal the ACA and failing as a majority is probably the best path towards UHC this stupid country has

It's good b/c if they give the HFC what they want the moderates will torpedo it, and vice versa. How they can reconcile this, I have no idea

Nothus
Feb 22, 2001

Buglord

The only way that doesn't blow up in their face is if they can sabotage the existing system so that it is actually "failing" like Trump says.

susan b buffering
Nov 14, 2016

Nothus posted:

The only way that doesn't blow up in their face is if they can sabotage the existing system so that it is actually "failing" like Trump says.

It would still blow up in their face because things will have gotten dramatically worse on their watch, and whatever the GOP pulls out of their rear end wouldn't fix it at all.

Rhesus Pieces
Jun 27, 2005


And if they don't keep the hope of repealing Obamacare alive they can't very well fundraise off of it, can they?

Sloober
Apr 1, 2011

Rhesus Pieces posted:

And if they don't keep the hope of repealing Obamacare alive they can't very well fundraise off of it, can they?

I can hear it now when they still blame democrats despite having all of the power.

BarbarianElephant
Feb 12, 2015
The fairy of forgiveness has removed your red text.

Rhesus Pieces posted:

And if they don't keep the hope of repealing Obamacare alive they can't very well fundraise off of it, can they?

They can switch to banning abortion. Then sweat as RBG dies and they have enough justices to do so but would have to raise taxes to pay for all the new orphanages and foster homes required.

Sloober
Apr 1, 2011

BarbarianElephant posted:

They can switch to banning abortion. Then sweat as RBG dies and they have enough justices to do so but would have to raise taxes to pay for all the new orphanages and foster homes required.

Tough poo poo once their born they got bootstraps

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Sloober posted:

It's good b/c if they give the HFC what they want the moderates will torpedo it, and vice versa. How they can reconcile this, I have no idea

My feeling is they're not. They know they're not. But the HFC and their crazy donors are raging at the idea of giving up, so they're like fine, we're not giving up. But they won't actually do anything about it.

The issue is that just keeps expectations high and will mean the base is freshly outraged in 2018 when it still hasn't happened.

my bony fealty
Oct 1, 2008

BarbarianElephant posted:

They can switch to banning abortion. Then sweat as RBG dies and they have enough justices to do so but would have to raise taxes to pay for all the new orphanages and foster homes required.

I've thought for years that the GOP would never actually repeal Roe because then they couldn't fundraise off it anymore I'm thrilled, just thrilled that I get to see now if that is true or not

Sloober
Apr 1, 2011

my bony fealty posted:

I've thought for years that the GOP would never actually repeal Roe because then they couldn't fundraise off it anymore I'm thrilled, just thrilled that I get to see now if that is true or not

GOP has had a bogeyman to raise or make people fear about for the entirety of this last decade, they're not giving up their cash cows. What are they going to run off of if abortion is banned and the PPACA is gone?

Literally i have no idea what they could use? At some point when we hit 0% taxes they won't be able to use that either. Where would they go? Maybe go full religious war with anyone non-denominational or w/e

BarbarianElephant
Feb 12, 2015
The fairy of forgiveness has removed your red text.

my bony fealty posted:

I've thought for years that the GOP would never actually repeal Roe because then they couldn't fundraise off it anymore I'm thrilled, just thrilled that I get to see now if that is true or not

I'm guessing you are not a straight woman aged 18-45.

BarbarianElephant
Feb 12, 2015
The fairy of forgiveness has removed your red text.

Sloober posted:

GOP has had a bogeyman to raise or make people fear about for the entirety of this last decade, they're not giving up their cash cows. What are they going to run off of if abortion is banned and the PPACA is gone?

Literally i have no idea what they could use? At some point when we hit 0% taxes they won't be able to use that either. Where would they go? Maybe go full religious war with anyone non-denominational or w/e

WW3 in the Middle East. Protecting your guns against the evil Democrats. They'll think of something.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

yertle is trying desperately to make paul ryan stop

quote:

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) shot down the idea that Republicans would be able to revive their Obamacare repeal effort, after a House replacement bill was pulled from the floor Friday.

McConnell’s remarks Tuesday afternoon threw cold water on optimism coming from the House GOP earlier in the day that lawmakers would be able to come to a deal on the bill.

“I think where we are on Obamacare, regretfully at the moment, is where the Democrats wanted us to be, which is the status quo,” McConnell said a press conference on Capitol Hill when asked if the Senate would be able to pass major health care legislation this year without 60 votes.

“It’s pretty obvious we were not able, in the House, to pass a replacement. Our Democratic friends ought to be pretty happy about that because we have the existing law in place and I think we are just going to have to see how that works out,” McConnell said. “We believe it will not work out well, but we’ll see. They’ll have an opportunity now to have the status quo, regretfully.”

McConnell went on to thank President Trump and House Speaker Paul Ryan for their efforts to pass the Obamacare replacement bill, the American Health Care Act.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/mcconnell-throws-cold-water-on-reviving-obamacare-repeal-effort

evilweasel fucked around with this message at 20:08 on Mar 28, 2017

my bony fealty
Oct 1, 2008

BarbarianElephant posted:

I'm guessing you are not a straight woman aged 18-45.

No and I am not actually thrilled, either :(

There are plenty of partisan issues for the GOP to rally under and fundraise off of but abortion always felt like the big one to me. Although if Roe was overturned, it would probably just flip to "you must elect us so we can preserve the anti-Roe decision, Democrats want to go back to murdering babies!" and not much would change.

Oxxidation
Jul 22, 2007

Sloober posted:

GOP has had a bogeyman to raise or make people fear about for the entirety of this last decade, they're not giving up their cash cows. What are they going to run off of if abortion is banned and the PPACA is gone?

Literally i have no idea what they could use? At some point when we hit 0% taxes they won't be able to use that either. Where would they go? Maybe go full religious war with anyone non-denominational or w/e

Transgender rights are the latest front in the culture war, far as I know.

Sloober
Apr 1, 2011

Oxxidation posted:

Transgender rights are the latest front in the culture war, far as I know.

Oh so only a matter of time before they say you'll be force-transgendered by the LIEberals.

Fulchrum
Apr 16, 2013

by R. Guyovich
Yeah, conservatives will never run out of things to scream and be afraid about. That's a benefit of being completely insane.

my bony fealty
Oct 1, 2008

Fulchrum posted:

Yeah, conservatives will never run out of things to scream and be afraid about. That's a benefit of being completely insane.

Being reactionary means being terrified of change by default so really it can be anything different than "whitebread straight Protestant America"

Fulchrum
Apr 16, 2013

by R. Guyovich
And even then, they'll be terrified by those satanic Catholics, not like us good god fearing protestants.

Simplex
Jun 29, 2003

Sloober posted:

GOP has had a bogeyman to raise or make people fear about for the entirety of this last decade, they're not giving up their cash cows. What are they going to run off of if abortion is banned and the PPACA is gone?

Literally i have no idea what they could use? At some point when we hit 0% taxes they won't be able to use that either. Where would they go? Maybe go full religious war with anyone non-denominational or w/e

Guns

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Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

Accretionist posted:

Here's why the talking-points piss me off so much: There is a difference between long-term goals and today's sausage-making.

You can advocate for UHC, lambaste opposition, make agitation for UHC mainstream Democratic political culture, etc. all while fighting to lower Medicare age, increase funding, create 55+ optional buy-ins, let Medicare negotiate drug prices, etc.

This is an important point. There is value to pushing for policy even if it is unlikely that it will be passable during your administration. It basically increases the policy's perception as being "mainstream" and helps make it more palatable in the future (it's harder to call something "extreme/radical" if it was openly supported by the President). And, as you mentioned, there's nothing stopping you from still accepting beneficial compromises in the meanwhile (if anything, starting from a more radical position gives you more leeway to choose something relatively left-wing and still claim you made a big compromise).

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