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Hello and welcome to the Reworked C-SPAM Prediction and Betting Thread. In this NEWLY REWORKED 2.0 VERSION, the entire process has been simplified. There are no more markets, which mainly didn't make sense because there was no prize or benefit for "winning". Now, you can make whatever "bet" you want regarding any politically-related event. You can "bet" anything from the following list which I have shamelessly copy-pasted: $XX RAINN / ACLU donation An embarrassing avatar that I will hand-pick for you from a list! A probation (minimum 12 hours) Forums Cancer for one week (possibly, if :radiumcode: breaks then this will translate to a week probation) A ban (no permabans) While you can structure your toxx / toxx-lite however you want, it is only in your best interest to be extremely clear and concise. If there is any vagueness in it, it is up to my discretion whether or not you "win". Good Example: DONALD J TRUMP will NOT be impeached before the end of his first term: Bad Example: DONALD J TRUMP will NOT leave office. (this adds vagueness, do we count impeachment, does this technically mean that if he loses in 2020 and he transitions to the next president does that count, etc) You can make predictions PredictIt-style but without any sort of actual tangible benefit to yourself (for now)! Here is a sample post. quote:I bet a $20 RAINN donation that Donald J. Trump will run for re-election in 2020. If somebody makes this post, and then Donald Trump does not run for re-election in 2020 then they are required to donate $20 to RAINN. If he does run, then the bet is complete and they have won nothing. If they refuse to fulfill their end of the bargain, they will be banned. It's fun, it's safe, and it's easy. It's completely optional obviously, and you can make such predictions ITT and discuss it amongst yourselves. For now, the only bets you can make are on events that I will define and post. Look at the second post for current open events! You can only make a bet within these events. You cannot structure your own, for now. An open event is an event where you can place a bet in. For example, An open event could be "Hillary Clinton running in 2020, YES or NO?" and you can bet accordingly. However, you can't go off and bet a probation that Bill Nye will run for God Emperor of Iowa, because I did not post that as an event and your bet will be ignored. Rules - updated regularly 1. Once a prediction has been made, you CANNOT edit your post. 2. You cannot bet a permaban. 3. Probation bets must be structured within the current probation options (12 hours / 24 hours / 1 week / 1 month / 100,000 hours ) THE PUNISHMENT LIST $XX RAINN / ACLU donation An embarrassing avatar that I will hand-pick for you from a list! A probation (minimum 12 hours) Forums Cancer (possibly, if :radiumcode: breaks then this will translate to a week probation) A ban (no permabans) logikv9 has issued a correction as of 18:41 on Jul 29, 2017 |
# ? Mar 19, 2017 04:50 |
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# ? May 15, 2024 04:22 |
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CURRENT OPEN EVENTS
OLD CLOSED EVENTS [*]The AHCA will pass the Senate, YES or NO? [*]The AHCA will pass the House, YES or NO? [*]The AHCA will become the law, YES or NO? [*]Marine Le Pen wins the first round of voting, YES or NO? [*]Marine Le Pen wins the second round of voting, YES or NO? [*]Marine Le Pen becomes the next President of France, YES or NO? [*]François Fillon wins the first round of voting, YES or NO? [*]François Fillon wins the second round of voting, YES or NO? [*]François Fillon becomes the next President of France, YES or NO? [*]Emmanuel Macron wins the first round of voting, YES or NO? [*]Emmanuel Macron wins the second round of voting, YES or NO? [*]Emmanuel Macron becomes the next President of France, YES or NO? [*]Jean-Luc Mélenchon wins the first round of voting, YES or NO? [*]Jean-Luc Mélenchon wins the second round of voting, YES or NO? [*]Jean-Luc Mélenchon becomes the next President of France, YES or NO? Alex Jones is held in contempt of court, YES or NO? I don't see a bet I want to make! whine whine whine! Please suggest it in the thread! logikv9 has issued a correction as of 18:35 on Jul 29, 2017 |
# ? Mar 19, 2017 04:50 |
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Also if you have suggestions for improvements let me know. I wanted to include some sort of prize for "winning", but the issue is that the possible prize selection is rather limited and obviously it would be unfair to include the same prize for winning a bet that you were very unlikely to win vs one that was a shoe-in. It's a work in progress.
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# ? Mar 19, 2017 04:51 |
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Not seeing any bets about us being alive/still having a democracy in 2020. Maybe some non-us votes as well? Le Penn winning? Brexit actually happening, that kind of thing.
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# ? Mar 19, 2017 08:45 |
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GodFish posted:Not seeing any bets about us being alive/still having a democracy in 2020. Added. I didn't initially want to add any of those because uh I don't know enough to structure a direct event but I think I pieced it together ok
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# ? Mar 19, 2017 17:38 |
$100 to RAINN on the pisstape coming out in the first term. Seems unlikely, but I toxxed for a Trump win early on, which seemed impossible. I've always felt like I somehow contributed to the dark meme magic with the toxx, so now I'm focusing my energies on pisstape. Inshallah.
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# ? Mar 19, 2017 20:35 |
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op you seem to have forgotten the possibility of benoit hamon becoming president of frahahahahahaaha
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# ? Mar 19, 2017 20:52 |
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I bet a $100 Cato Institute donation on Marine Le Pen not becoming the next President of France
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# ? Mar 19, 2017 21:03 |
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Let's do this thing. I'll take the Republican Bundle for $100 to the ACLU on each one I get wrong. Donald Trump will run for re-election and will be the Republican nominee for President in 2020: NO Donald Trump will be impeached within his first term: NO(*) The Piss Tape will be released within his first term: NO Reince leaves or is fired from his position as Chief of Staff within the first term: YES Spicer leaves or is fired from his position as Press Secretary within the first term: YES Donald Trump orders military action that directly kills an American citizen (again) in the next four years: YES Donald Trump's tax returns from within the last three years are released in its entirety: NO The 2020 Presidential Election will occur at all: YES (*) While I'm pretty sure Donald will not last four years in office, impeachment won't be the mechanism by which he is ousted. It'll probably be resignation, the 25th amendment, or severe illness or death.
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# ? Mar 19, 2017 23:49 |
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One week's probation on Chelsea Clinton doing a thing for a national office or position if I'm wrong, I get to celebrate
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# ? Mar 20, 2017 00:05 |
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The 2020 GOP nominee will be Jeb! The 46th President will be Jeb! Please clap... I won't be wrong but in the tragic event that Jeb! is assassinated or dies somehow and doesn't become POTUS I will donate $20 to the Georgia Sea Turtle Center.
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# ? Mar 20, 2017 21:33 |
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Whoops didn't read the thread well enough, you can change my punishment to an embarrassing avatar if the turtle one isn't allowed.
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# ? Mar 20, 2017 21:41 |
regardless of the thread rules, you still have an obligation as a man to help those turts for JEb!
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# ? Mar 21, 2017 01:04 |
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You're right, I will help the turtles
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# ? Mar 21, 2017 06:45 |
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I'll take a $20 donation to a charity of op's choice and a 3 day probie that the AHCA will not become law
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# ? Mar 24, 2017 05:01 |
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Can I pick up a friendly month-long probe for exam season?? (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ? Mar 25, 2017 02:23 |
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I have no self control and I'm posting when I should be outlining.
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# ? Mar 25, 2017 02:23 |
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Can I place a bet on Mike Flynn living to see 2018?
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# ? Mar 26, 2017 03:31 |
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My bet: If the Democrats manage to take back the Senate in 2018 the GOP will swiftly host a lame duck session to dissolve the nuclear option before the Democrats take office. If this does not happen I will donate $70 to whatever cause Lastgirl chooses. If it does happen the Democrats will flail about ineffectually and not do poo poo because they won't nuclear the GOP back (because they're diaper wearing babies.)
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# ? Apr 7, 2017 06:15 |
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$25 to ACLU: Obamacare is fully repealed within the next four years, NO Obamacare is partially repealed to any degree within the next four years, YES
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# ? Apr 7, 2017 23:30 |
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I'll update the OP by the end of the weekend.
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# ? Apr 8, 2017 01:14 |
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25 dollar donation to a charity of logik's choice (an actual good cause tho not like The Killing Dogs for Nazis Fund or something stupid, defauling to RAINN if he doesn't give me an answer) if marine le pen does not win the french presidential election edit: Marine Le Pen becomes the next President of France, YES to make it simple anime was right has issued a correction as of 19:24 on Apr 17, 2017 |
# ? Apr 17, 2017 19:21 |
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also yeah add melenchon to the list pls
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# ? Apr 17, 2017 19:26 |
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it's kind of niche, but I'd like to suggest a betting line on the number of contempt of court charges Alex Jones will eat during his child custody hearings; I would set the over/under line at 2.5, but it's not my thread.
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# ? Apr 19, 2017 00:35 |
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List updatedDoomtalker posted:it's kind of niche, but I'd like to suggest a betting line on the number of contempt of court charges Alex Jones will eat during his child custody hearings; I would set the over/under line at 2.5, but it's not my thread. i don't know how over/under works so i'll just say "any contempt of court charges" anime was right posted:also yeah add melenchon to the list pls yes El Mero Mero posted:Can I place a bet on Mike Flynn living to see 2018? no
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# ? Apr 19, 2017 00:48 |
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logikv9 posted:List updated over means two or more charges, under means 1 or 0
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# ? Apr 19, 2017 00:58 |
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why was it over/under 2.5, does the fraction mean anything or is it
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# ? Apr 19, 2017 01:07 |
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logikv9 posted:why was it over/under 2.5, does the fraction mean anything or is it since you can't have half a charge, it prevents the bet from becoming null by the end number being the same as the over/under line.
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# ? Apr 19, 2017 01:09 |
I will give $20 to SPLC if Le Pen wins the French election Ditto if it is Melenchon
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# ? Apr 19, 2017 18:04 |
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Alex jones will eat a contempt charge, and I'll stake a day's probe on it (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ? Apr 19, 2017 19:03 |
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Le Pen will NOT be elected President of France. $50 to ACLU wager.
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# ? Apr 21, 2017 02:55 |
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Lmao wrong thread
Chokes McGee has issued a correction as of 17:35 on May 1, 2017 |
# ? May 1, 2017 17:24 |
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No contempt for the fat deranged steroids man. Hit with that probe, fam. Just gently caress me up.
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# ? May 2, 2017 21:39 |
whomupclicklike posted:I will give $20 to SPLC if Le Pen wins the French election Alright I am on a hot streak rn let's do some more bets: Bet a 24 hour probe that Sean Spicer will be fired in the first term. I bet $25 for RAINN that Bannon gets canned in the first term. (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ? May 7, 2017 22:51 |
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Vox Nihili posted:Le Pen will NOT be elected President of France. $50 to ACLU wager. Next one: Donald Trump will NOT be impeached during his first term. $100 to ACLU wager.
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# ? May 8, 2017 21:57 |
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Updated and added in the new AHCA pt2 for Senate and Law. Added Pelosi primary challenger logikv9 has issued a correction as of 02:55 on May 9, 2017 |
# ? May 9, 2017 01:06 |
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Betting my account and a $25 donation to the ACLU that Pelosi will win her primary. I might make the donation anyway, for funsies.
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# ? May 9, 2017 03:44 |
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I got a day on no Hillary or Bernie in 2020 but Booker does run
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# ? May 15, 2017 00:11 |
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Proposition: Hillary 4 Prez 2020 (YES) Wager: One day's probation. Comment: If I'm wrong, I'll be using that day to celebrate and I doubt anyone would wanna see me posting in an inebriated state anyway.
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# ? May 16, 2017 00:08 |
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# ? May 15, 2024 04:22 |
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How do i bet such that i will make money if Kushner is prosecuted Surely that will affect at least one current market
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# ? May 20, 2017 01:47 |