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I think I'll be surprised if Karlsson plays in all the ECF games given the TOI he's seeing + his injuries.
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May 10, 2017 18:44
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Wonderllama posted:caps have a 9.5% chance of winning game 7 Yeah but we have Justin Williams who has a 100% chance of winning game 7.
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May 10, 2017 18:45
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Wonderllama posted:caps have a 9.5% chance of winning game 7 a buhhhh
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May 10, 2017 18:54
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The trick is to have Crosby do the math. 268 / 28 = bananna split
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May 10, 2017 19:00
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See normally, you got a 50/50 chance of winning. But I'm a genetic freak and I'm not normal! So you got a 22.5, AT BEST, at beat me. Then you add Evgeni Malkin to the mix, your chances of winning drastic go down. You got a 13% chance of winning, but I- I got a 87% chance of winning, because Braden Holtby KNOWS he can't beat me and he's not even gonna try! So Alex Ovechkin, you take your 22.5% chance, minus my 13% chance and you got a 9.5% chance of winning in game 7. But then you take my 77.5% chance of winning, if we was to go one on one, and then add 87%, I got 164.5% chance of winning game 7. See Ovie, the numbers don't lie, and they spell disaster for you in game 7.
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May 10, 2017 19:04
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Has anyone checked on Kawalimus? I feel that he may try to stab people with a fork if the Caps lose tonight
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May 10, 2017 19:04
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Last week I agreed to pick my buddy and his wife up at the airport tonight at 1030.  I told him today that there is a great chance that he will be taking a cab and he said they already knew that if my wife was behind the wheel the game went to OT.
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May 10, 2017 19:05
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Aphrodite posted:See normally, you got a 50/50 chance of winning. But I'm a genetic freak and I'm not normal! So you got a 22.5, AT BEST, at beat me. Then you add Evgeni Malkin to the mix, your chances of winning drastic go down. You got a 13% chance of winning, but I- I got a 87% chance of winning, because Braden Holtby KNOWS he can't beat me and he's not even gonna try! lmao
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May 10, 2017 19:09
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This will be my final meltdown post of the series, possibly the season. In celebration of tonight's game seven for the Caps, let's take a trip down memory lane. 
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May 10, 2017 19:10
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Wonderllama posted:caps have a 9.5% chance of winning game 7 ya but Justin Williams has literally never lost a game 7
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May 10, 2017 19:19
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Jamwad Hilder posted:ya but Justin Williams has literally never lost a game 7 Technically, neither have most if not all of the oilers.
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May 10, 2017 19:20
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yet
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May 10, 2017 19:28
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Wonderllama posted:caps have a 9.5% chance of winning game 7
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May 10, 2017 19:29
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Fifty Three posted:I'd honestly like to know a team's record in Game 7 after trailing 3-1 in a series. I'm assuming someone, somewhere keeps track of such an insane stat. http://www.hockey-reference.com/playoffs/playoff-comebacks.cgi Canucks have done it three times, no other team's done it more than twice. e: Penguins did it twice, both times against the Caps 
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May 10, 2017 19:35
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Jamwad Hilder posted:ya but Justin Williams has literally never lost a game 7 The old Immovable Object versus the GODDAMIT HE loving DID IT AGAIN gently caress JUSTIN WILLIAMS IN THE MOUTH argument
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May 10, 2017 19:39
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I wonder how many of the caps players/coaching staff are giving Williams meaningful looks today in the locker room
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May 10, 2017 19:41
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JawKnee posted:I wonder how many of the caps players/coaching staff are giving Williams meaningful looks today in the locker room THIS IS WHY WE SIGNED YOU! GO SCORE A HAT TRICK or else
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May 10, 2017 19:47
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JawKnee posted:I wonder how many of the caps players/coaching staff are giving Williams meaningful looks today in the locker room probably all of them because this is literally what he was brought in for - to see if one justin williams can overcome a roster of career capitals, former blues, and the former coach of the nashville predators.
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May 10, 2017 19:48
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1000000% chance Pierre interviews Justin Williams right before tonight's game.
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May 10, 2017 19:48
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flakeloaf posted:http://www.hockey-reference.com/playoffs/playoff-comebacks.cgi I also found this site http://www.puckreport.com/2009/04/nhl-playoff-comebacks-trailing-3-1.html , which about halfway down says: quote:In the eleven postseasons since the 2004 NHL Lockout, ten teams have squandered a 3-1 series lead only to stave off elimination by winning Game 7. If you combine that with the Hockey-Reference info, it looks like there have been 18 total Game 7s since the '04 lockout that involved come backs from 3-1. The comeback team has won 8 of the 18 (44%) and the defending team has won 10 of the 18 (56%). And, of those 10 wins for the defending team, 7 of them had home ice for Gm7. I don't know what the pre-04 lockout data is, but this paints a picture that's not so great for the Pens. And it doesn't even factor Justin Williams in.
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May 10, 2017 19:52
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Slappy Pappy posted:1000000% chance Pierre interviews Justin Williams right before tonight's game. "Guys I'm down here on the ice with Sidney Crosby, Sid how many goals will you beat the Caps by tonight? Six? Seven?"
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May 10, 2017 19:52
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i bet all the caps players and staff are being super nice to JW, to the point where they're almost being aggressive in their niceness, and it's totally getting into his head and psyching him out
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May 10, 2017 19:57
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the ottawa senators are going to win the stanley cup
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May 10, 2017 19:57
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Wonderllama posted:caps have a 9.5% chance of winning game 7 good....good
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May 10, 2017 19:59
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TJ Oshie has been relatively quiet this series. I imagine him scoring approximately 8 goals tonight.
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May 10, 2017 20:00
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Sharks Eat Bear posted:i bet all the caps players and staff are being super nice to JW, to the point where they're almost being aggressive in their niceness, and it's totally getting into his head and psyching him out maybe justin williams decided that after winning a conn smythe for being mr game 7 he had nothing left to prove and let his game 7 skills atrophy
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May 10, 2017 20:02
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I have decided to remain optimistic tonight in spite of the past 30 years of my life telling me how stupid this is. If the Capitals lose tonight, I will procure a non-disparaging Penguins-related avatar.
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May 10, 2017 20:05
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May 10, 2017 20:21
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spanky69 posted:Has anyone checked on Kawalimus? I feel that he may try to stab people with a fork if the Caps lose tonight I won't stab any person but maybe some of these migrant warblers if they don't start showing up in the numbers I'd like them to. What a weird and cold May this has been. At least the breeders are around.
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May 10, 2017 20:29
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against my better judgement I will be venturing in to DC for the game tonight. I'm not going to it, but I will enjoy the thrill of victory or sting of defeat with Caps fans, and its going to be fun
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May 10, 2017 20:35
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Taylor Hall lookin' like he's packed on a couple pounds there
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May 10, 2017 20:35
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Aphrodite posted:Those numbers are the result of their luck, not evidence against it. Their luck may have been running in to two teams that somehow had worse defensive cores.
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May 10, 2017 20:45
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I, of course, cribbed that lovely stats post from hfboards. But what's scary is that all this Justin Williams game seven talk reminds me of the henrik lundqvist/rangers game seven records right before the lightning clowned on them in game seven. Almost like...like stats are bullshit. Bullshit!
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May 10, 2017 20:45
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Stats are stats, and prone to misuse by math-abusers
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May 10, 2017 20:51
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Mind_Taker posted:TJ Oshie has been relatively quiet this series. I imagine him scoring approximately 8 goals tonight. Too boring. If the Pens lose I'd prefer it to be via Kuznetsov scoring and doing the bird dance so I can read all the hot takes by the Pittsburgh media and Don Cherry.
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May 10, 2017 21:00
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flakeloaf posted:I'm getting Ray Emery flashbacks. When he was on, man was he brilliant but when he was off, yikes could he play some awful hockey. I'd spent the time up till about a week or two ago thinking Anderson was a pretty solid puck handler; has he been using a borrowed stick or something? I bet the NHL would never let that happen to ratings, though.
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May 10, 2017 21:03
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Mind_Taker posted:TJ Oshie has been relatively quiet this series. I imagine him scoring approximately 8 goals tonight. Clearly you have not been introduced to Playoff Timothy Jimothy Oshie.
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May 10, 2017 21:07
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bewbies posted:Clearly you have not been introduced to Playoff Timothy Jimothy Oshie. Sorry that he stank for the Blues but he's been really good in the playoffs for the Caps. 22 points in 24 games.
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May 10, 2017 21:10
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There's actually a 9.5% chance that the Pens ever successfully break out of their zone tonight
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May 10, 2017 21:22
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| # ? May 18, 2024 01:53 |
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Today, in NHL is really, really backwards: https://twitter.com/PR_NHL/status/862401724547452928
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May 10, 2017 21:23
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